Cloud Trends 2015 and beyond Thierry Kuperman Le Bihan @tkuperman Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. This publication may not be reproduced or distributed in any form without Gartner's prior written permission. If you are authorized to access this publication, your use of it is subject to the Usage Guidelines for Gartner Services posted on gartner.com. The information contained in this publication has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information and shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in such information. This publication consists of the opinions of Gartner's research organization and should not be construed as statements of fact. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. Although Gartner research may include a discussion of related legal issues, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner is a public company, and its shareholders may include firms and funds that have financial interests in entities covered in Gartner research. Gartner's Board of Directors may include senior managers of these firms or funds. Gartner research is produced independently by its research organization without input or influence from these firms, funds or their managers. For further information on the independence and integrity of Gartner research, see "Guiding Principles on Independence and Objectivity."
Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning. Winston Churchill 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 What is "Cloud"? What can we do with "Cloud"? Should we use "Cloud"? How do we do "Cloud" Best? Of course we use "Cloud"! What is "Cloud"?
Gartner's Definition of Cloud Gartner defines cloud computing as "a style of computing where scalable and elastic IT-related capabilities are provided 'as a service' to customers using Internet technologies." Five Attributes That Support Outcomes 1 2 3 4 5 Service Based Scalable and Elastic Shared Metered by Use Internet Technologies Consumer concerns are abstracted from provider concerns through service interfaces. Services scale on-demand to add or remove resources as needed. Services share a pool of resources to build economies of scale. Services are tracked with usage metrics to enable multiple payment models. Services are delivered through use of Internet identifiers, formats, and protocols.
Gartner Hype Cycle for Cloud Computing The public cloud services market is expected to grow 17.8% in 2014 to $153 billion. Through 2017, the market is forecast to reach $244 billion.* From "Hype Cycle for Cloud Computing, 2014," 24 July 2014, G00263850 * Gartner, Forecast: Public Cloud Services, Worldwide, 2012-2018, 2Q14 Update
Cloud Computing: Expectations and Concerns Are Both Evolving Agility Security Cost Transparency Less Complexity More Focus Selfservice Assurance Lock-in Self-service Integration Innovation Financial
When Cloud Spawns Other Models, It Spawns Future Innovation 2014 2016 Personal Cloud Cloud + Mobile Internet of. The Nexus of Forces makes cloud more usable today and tomorrow Collaboration Cloud + Social Cloud + Info. Smart Machines Brokers Cloud Factories
In the Cloud, Global-Class Styles Are Competing With Enterprise Goals Global-class External Many companies Global public Dynamic resource use Unknown, little control Open and mashable Explicit in compositions Design for resiliency Extensibility Track events and patterns High or unknown Modular and stateless Scale out and dynamic Continuous External consumer-ready Area of Interest Focus Scope Access Optimize for User Use Processes Reliability Solution Design Security Risk Architecture Computing Style Implementation Time Culture Traditional Enterprise-class Internal Single company Company only Predictable resource use Known and managed Defined and fixed Explicit in applications Assume resilient infra. Completeness Secure perimeter Managed or well-known Stateful and monolithic Scale up and static Months to years Internal employee target
Ask These Questions to Define Your Global Class Cloud Strategy for the Next year Essential Cloud Strategy Elements 1 Where and how should the enterprise consume cloud computing services? 2 3 4 5 Where and how should the enterprise implement private cloud environments? How will we secure, manage and govern cloud services across internal, external and hybrid environments? How does cloud computing factor into our application strategy and architecture? Are there opportunities for the business to become a cloud computing service provider?
Work Toward the New Hybrid Role: Hybrid IT Is an Opportunity Builds and manages private cloud Liaisons with business leaders Maintains the traditional IT environment Forges relationships
Hybrid IT Task: Cloud-Enabled Applications and Workloads in Layers Using the Public Cloud Time to Cloud First Dev./Test Web Servers Email Help Desk Product Design HR Productivity Applications Core Systems CRM Account Mgmt. Evaluations Consumer Centric Systems of Innovation (New) Systems of Differentiation (Unique) Prototyping Collaboration Now A Little Later: 1-3 years Much Later: 5-7 years Social Systems of Record (Common) Last
But Treat Cloud Security and Privacy as a Delicate Balancing Act With Adoption Cloud Adoption Riding High Balanced Against The Impact of... A "Snowden Moment" Outages Breaches Rights Violations Incompetence Regulations Privacy Fears
Future Directions of Cloud Computing Stability: Expect a bumpy ride. More nirvanix moments are on the way. Process integrity is next. Choice: Big ERPs will not catch up. Small ERP dominates through 2016! Growth: Growth will eclipse 25% by 2016 with the rise of SaaS and BPaaS Expectations: Cloud computing will be "just computing" by 2018
Recommendations for the Future Cloud is at the end of its beginning phase and has gotten serious. Private cloud is growing but giving way to hybrid cloud. Become a hybrid IT organization. Balance security concerns with privacy realities. Seek cloud brokerages to enhance performance and cloud service capabilities. Build internal cloud brokers. Get an exit strategy for cloud services yesterday! Future cloud spending will align with cloud growth.