Investor Day -May 2012. Oporto, May 22 nd, 2012



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Transcription:

EDP Energias do Brasil Investor Day -May 2012 Oporto, May 22 nd, 2012 0

Disclaimer This presentation may include forward looking statements of future events or results according to regulations of the Brazilian and international securities and exchange commissions. These statements are based on certain assumptions and analysis by the company that reflect its experience, the economic environment and future market conditions and expected events, many of which are beyond the control of the company. Important factors that may lead to significant differences between the actual results and the statements of expectations about future events or results include the company s business strategy, Brazilian and international economic conditions, technology, financial strategy, public service industry developments, hydrological conditions, financial market conditions, uncertainty of the results of future operations, plans, objectives, expectations and intentions, among others. Considering these factors, the actual results of the company may be significantly differentfrom those shown or implicit in the statement of expectations about future events or results. The information and opinions contained in this presentation should not be understood as a recommendation to potential investors and no investment decision is to be based on the veracity, current events or completeness of this information or these opinions. No advisors to the company or parties related to them or their representatives shall have any responsibility for whatever losses that may result from the use or contentsof t thispresentation. tti This material includes forward looking statements subject to risks and uncertainties, which are based on current expectations and projections about future events and trends that may affect the company s business. These statements include projections of economic growth and energy demand and supply, as well as information about the competitive position, the regulatory environment, potential opportunities for growth and other matters. Several factors may adversely affect the estimates and assumptions on which these statements are based. 1

Agenda I Achievements and EDP s View of Brazil Antonio Mexia, Chairman II EDP Brasil Onwards Ana Maria Fernandes, CEO III Financials Miguel Amaro, CFO IV Final Remarks Ana Maria Fernandes, CEO 2

Achievements and EDP s View of Brazil António Mexia, CEO

Brazil s contribution to EDP 18% of EDP Group EBITDA 8% of Installed Capacity Listed subsidiary: EDP has 51% Stake Installed Capacity: 1.8 GW 2 Distribution concessions Rankingamong among Non State Owned companies Commercialization (TWh) Distribution (TWh) Installed Capacity (GW) 3 rd 4 th 5 th 4

EDP Brasil s total shareholder s return since the IPO Total Shareholder s Return since IPO to date (1) (Index; 100 = IPO date) 400 In Euros In Reais 350 300 250 +228% +198% 200 150 100 50 Jul/ /05 Jan/ /06 Jul/ /06 Jan/ /07 Jul/ /07 Jan/ /08 Jul/ /08 Jan/ /09 Jul/ /09 Jan/ /10 Jul/ /10 Jan/ /11 Jul/ /11 Jan/ /12 Since the IPO, EDP Brasil delivered ~200% of value creation to shareholders (1) As of 20 th May 2012. Source: Bloomberg 5

EDP is in Brazil to stay: more than 15 years Company Investment in Lajeado Acquisition of Bandeirante Acquisition of Iven (Escelsa and Enersul) Acquisition of Peixe Angical (partnership with Furnas) EDP Energias do Brazil s IPO on BOVESPA Investment in wind energy Asset Swap (Enersul for Lajeado) A 5 Auction TPP Pecém Follow on of treasury shares Acquisition of Jari Follow on (controlling shareholder 14%) Mac cro Asian Crisis Russian Crisis Real Devaluation Energy Shortage in Brazil Internet Burst Argentinean Crisis Emerging Market Crisis Lula s first mandate election New Model of Brazilian Power Sector Investment Grade from Moody s Subprime Crisis Economic Worldwide Meltdown European Credit Crisis Baixa do Feijão WPP 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Country Risk EMBI (JP Morgan) EBITDA Growth 2004 2011: +98%; EBITDA Margin: 28% in 2011 vs. 21% in 2004 6

Presence in 10 Brazilian states Hydro Concessions in Operation 1790.1 MW Concessions Ending: 2025 2036 Sto. Antônio do Jari 373.4 MW Under construction Concession: 2044 Porto Pecém 360 MW Under construction Generation 9 States: Espírito Santo, Mato Grosso do Sul, Tocantins, Ceará, Santa Catarina, Rio Grande do Sul, Rio Grande do Norte, Pará and Amapá Installed Capacity : 1,8 MW BAIXA DO FEIJÃO 54 MW Concession: 2046 Distribution CENAEEL 6.3 MW Concession: 2032 Elebras 31.5 MW Concession: 2031 Hydro Generation Thermal Generation Wind Generation (45% stake) Distribution Escelsa 11 th state in GDP: 2.3% of national total 1.3 MM clients in 41.2 K km² Concession: 2025 Bandeirante SP 1 st state in GDP: ~33% of national total 1.5MM clients in 9.6 K Km 2 Concession: 2028 2 States: São Paulo and Espirito Santo More than 2.8 million of clients 7

The Brazilian power sector faces challenges but there are growth opportunities Distribution companies Generation companies Regulatory pressure on: Returns and quality of Service Levels Smart grids Electric mobility Some competitors accepting Lower Returns on the new capacity Strong competition in auctions Long and demanding environmental licensing process Power consumption (1) whole market Installed capacity (TWh) (GW) CAGR (%) CAGR (%) 321 335 348 +4.3% 378 393 388 415 430 52 +2.7% +16 68 +4.3% +35 +4.5% +6 104 110 +61 171 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1989 1999 2009 2010 2020E (1) Source: CCEE and ANEEL 8

Considering projects under construction, generation capacity will grow ~5x since the IPO Installed capacity (TWh) ~5.0x 1,828 360 25 373 54 2,625 530 2005 2011 Pecém 2012 Power Up. Mascarenhas Sto. Ant. Jari Baixa do Feijão 2015E Sustainable and Profitable Growth 9

Shareholders return with solid and regular dividend payments 2005 2011 Energy sector dividend per share CAGR 16.9% 11.6% 11.0% 9.4% 8.5% 58% 5.8% 3.3% 1.5% EDP BR Integrated 1 Disco 1 Genco 1 Integrated 2 Genco 2 Disco 2 Integrated 3 Since the IPO (2005 2011): Investments of R$ 5.9 billion R$1.8 billion paid in dividendsid d Preserved leverage capacity (1.9x Net Debt / EBITDA on 1Q12) More than 60% of IPO price returned as dividends 10

Change in management with same strategy Brazil: a geography with high growth potential A key market in EDP s business portfolio with growth focused on generation Value enhancing local partnerships in generation (Eletrobrás, MPX,..etc.) Bidfor new PPAcontracts alwaysunder strict riskvs. return criteria Partnership with CTG reinforces EDP s strategy in Brazil: Strengthened financial capabilities and a shared vision as a key market Low risk business mix with growth potential from generation 11