Program. Political Methodology Summer Meeting Florida State University. July 28-31, 1993. Wednesday, July 28. Thursday, July 29



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Program Political Methodology Summer Meeting Florida State University July 28-31, 1993 Wednesday, July 28 Throughout the afternoon and evening, vans transport participants from Tallahassee Airport to Wakulla Springs for lodging. Invited participants eat dinner in transit, or at Wakulla Springs. 9:00 PM Reception for participants and FSU faculty in Wakulla Springs Terrace Thursday, July 29 7:45 AM Vans leave Wakulla Springs for FSU Conference Center 8:20 AM Continental Breakfast, FSU Conference Center 9:00 AM Noon Panel 1: Cross-National Analysis Using Panel Data in Cross-National Political Economy Research Neal Beck and Jonathan Katz, University of California, San Diego Discussant: Brian Loynd, Duke University Bayesian Inference for Comparative Research Simon Jackman, Princeton University Bruce Western, UCLA Discussant: Sharyn O Halloran, Columbia University Noon Lunch in Dining Room, FSU Conference Center 1:00 2:00 PM Invited Talk (followed by general discussion) Observations on the State of Political Methodology Larry Bartels, Princeton University Henry Brady, University of California, Berkeley 2:00 5:30 PM Panel 2: Heterogeneity Sophistication and the Stability of Partisan and Ideological Sentiment Robert Erikson and Kathleen Knight, University of Houston Discussants: John Jackson, University of Michigan Herb Weisberg, Ohio State University

When Do Campaigns Matter? Informed Votes, the Heteroscedastic Logit and the Responsiveness of Electoral Outcomes Elizabeth Gerber, Caltech Skip Lupia, University of California, San Diego Discussant: Doug Rivers, Stanford University 5:30 PM Free time (Lounge at FSU Conference Center available) & On-Site Registration 6:00 PM Vans leave FSU Conference Center for Dinner at Chez Pierre or Bamboo House 8:15 PM Reception at Fran and Bill Berry s house Friday, July 30 8:00 AM Vans leave Wakulla Springs for FSU Conference Center 8:30 AM Continental Breakfast, FSU Conference Center 9:15 12:45 PM Panel 3: Aggregation Within-Constituency Distributional Assumptions in Ecological Inference Research Chris Achen, University of Michigan Discussant: Janet Box-Steffensmeier, University of Texas & Ohio State University The Aggregate Consequences of Nonlinear Information Diffusion Renee M. Smith, University of Rochester Discussant: Gary King, Harvard University 12:45 PM Lunch in Dining Room, FSU Conference Center 1:45 PM Vans leave FSU Conference Center for Wakulla Springs 2:15 PM Swimming or Free Time at Wakulla Springs 3:45 5:15 PM Panel 4: Specification Uncertainty The Searchers I: Specification Uncertainty in the Study of Macropolitics John Freeman, University of Minnesota Discussant: Robert Durr, Washington University, St. Louis 5:15 5:35 PM Business Meeting (if needed) 6:00 PM Vans leave Wakulla Springs for Dinner at Angelo s Restaurant in Panacea, FL 8:45 PM -?? Informal presentations by graduate students Saturday, July 31

7:15 8:15 AM Nature Walk 7:30 9:20 AM Breakfast at Wakulla Springs Dining Room (Please arrive by no later than 8:40) 9:30 12:30 PM Panel 5: Dynamic Models Empircally Discriminating Between Chaotic and Stochastic Time Series John Williams and Robert Huckfeldt, Indiana University Discussant: Mel Hinich, University of Texas Modeling Latent Dependent Variables with Dynamics: The Kalman Filter DYMIMIC Setup Jim Stimson, University of Minnesota Michael MacKuen, University of Missouri, St. Louis Robert Erikson, University of Houston Paul Kellstedt, University of Minnesota Discussant: Henry Brady, University of California, Berkeley 12:30 PM Lunch at Wakulla Springs Dining Room 1:30 4:15 PM Panel 6: Nonrandom Response Bias Information and Pollution Reduction John Brehm and Jay Hamilton, Duke University Discussant: Walter Mebane, Cornell University Measurement Error and the Structure of Attitudes: Are Positive and Negative Judgments Opposites? Don Green, Yale University Jack Citrin, University of California, Berkeley Discussant: To Be Announced 4:30 PM Reception in Wakulla Springs Terrace 6:00 PM Boat Ride, Swimming and/or Free time 8:00 PM Dinner at Wakulla Springs Dining Room Sunday, August 1 7:15 8:20 AM Breakfast at Wakulla Springs Dining Room (Please arrive as soon after 7:15 as possible) 8:30 10:00 AM Panel 7: Categorical Variables Choice Models for Multi-Candidate Elections R. Michael Alvarez, Caltech Jonathan Nagler, University of California, Riverside Discussant: Larry Bartels, Princeton University

Vans transport participants from Wakulla Springs to Tallahassee Airport throughout morning

Participants 1993 Political Methodology Meeting Florida State University Achen, Chris University of Michigan Adams, Greg University of Iowa Alvarez, R. Michael Caltech Baker, Regina University of Michigan Bartels, Larry Princeton University Beck, Neal University of California, San Diego Berry, Frances Stokes Florida State University Berry, William Florida State University Box-Steffensmeier, Janet U. of Texas & OSU Brady, Henry University of California, Berkeley Brehm, John Duke University Chackerian, Richard Florida State University Cnudde, Chuck Florida State University Davis, Wartyna Florida State University Durr, Robert Washington University, St. Louis Epstein, David Columbia University Erickson, Robert University of Houston Fey, Mark Caltech Fording, Richard Florida State University Freeman, John University of Minnesota Gerber, Elizabeth Caltech Glen, Carol Florida State University Glick, Henry Florida State University Green, Don Yale University Hinich, Mel University of Texas Hodget, Brian Florida State University Hojnacki, Marie Ohio State University Jackman, Simon Princeton University Jackson, John University of Michigan James, Patrick Florida State University Jewett, Aubrey Florida State University Jones, Bradford SUNY, Stony Brooke Katz, Jonathan U. of California, San Diego Kellstedt, Paul University of Minnesota Kemp, Kathleen Florida State University Kim, Heemin Florida State University King, Gary Harvard University Knight, Kathleen University of Houston Krishman, Ram Florida State University Loynd, Brian Duke University Lupia, Skip University of California, San Diego MacKuen, Michael U. of Missouri, St. Louis Mebane, Walter Cornell University Mitchell, Glenn Florida State University Nagler, Jonathan U. of California, Riverside Nixon, David Washington University, St. Louis O Halloran, Sharyn Columbia University Ray, James Florida State University Rivers, Doug Stanford University Schickler, Eric Yale University Smith, Don Florida State University Smith, Renee M. University of Rochester Squier, John University of Michigan Stevenson, Randy University of Rochester Stimson, Jim University of Minnesota Stream, Chris Florida State University Wang, Kevin Florida State University Wanke, Jurgen Florida State University Wawro, Greg Cornell University Weisberg, Herb Ohio State University Whitten, Guy Princeton University Williams, John Indiana University Wood, B. Dan Texas A&M University