How To Make A Profit From Semiconductors



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Die Halbleiter Industrie in der Welt, in Europa und in Deutschland Dr. Andreas Wild Executive Director

Content 1. Semiconductors, a few basic ideas 2. Semiconductors in the world 3. Semiconductors in Europe 4. Semiconductors in Germany 5. What to do? 2

Semiconductors, a few basic ideas Moore s Law Driver: Cost per Function The unparalleled cost reduction is the combined effect of miniaturization of the devices and increased of wafer size 3

Semiconductors, a few basic ideas Semiconductor Total Available Market and Silicon Production B$ km 2 4

Semiconductors in the world Who Leads? 1. Number 1: U.S.A. with 48% market share, fastest growing: Asia/Pacific U.S.A. is investing in semiconductors o Over 4 years, >3 times as much as Europe o about 1.5 times as much as Japan, Taiwan or Korea 2. Direction of U.S.A. investments : 65 percent of capital spending on wafer fabs is in U.S.A 75% R&D spending is in U.S.A. Offshore R&D spending mostly to Europe and ROW (India, Israel, Singapore, Malaysia... o not to Korea, nor Taiwan o R&D spending in China is very small but growing Source:MAINTAINING AMERICA S COMPETITIVE EDGE: GOVERNMENT POLICIES AFFECTING SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRY R&D AND MANUFACTURING ACTIVITY (A White Paper prepared by Dewey & LeBoeuf for the Semiconductor Industry Association, March 2009) 5

300mm Wafers Dominate Semiconductors in the world Thousands of wafers (200mm equivalent) 40-50% on 300mm Equipment, materials After IC Insights, July 2009 6

Semiconductors in Europe 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Europe in Top 20 Top 20 Semiconductor Companies Market share, Europeans intop 20 2006 2007 2008 2009 No European company grew into Top 20 in the last 10 years 7

Semiconductors in Europe Would Joint Undertakings Help? COUNCIL REGULATION No 72/2008 setting up the ENIAC Joint Undertaking The ENIAC Joint Undertaking shall increase and leverage private and public investments in nanoelectronics contributing to strengthening Europe s future growth, competitiveness and sustainability 8

Semiconductors in Europe ROADMAP FOR JOINT TECHNOLOGY INITIATIVES "Keys for success" Additionality: Each JTI must be able to demonstrate how its establishment will lead to additional research being undertaken by industry Market failure: Each JTI is expected to provide details of the nature and extent of market failure in the areas it is addressing and to demonstrate how public intervention through a public-private partnership will overcome the market failure effectively and will achieve the desired economic and social effects. Governance: Each JTI must describe the decision-making and management bodies Role of Member States: For those JTIs which foresee the involvement of Member States as founding fathers, the role of Member States in the JTI decision-making process must be clarified... This concerns notably the two JTIs in the field of ICT (ARTEMIS and ENIAC). EC Communication from 9 November 2006 9

Semiconductors in Europe Additionality of funding in ENIAC Joint Undertaking 10

Governance of ENIAC Joint Undertaking Governing Board AENEAS, Public Authorities Meetings chaired by IRC Chairperson Executive Director Secretariat Public Authority Board European Commission, Member and Associated States Industry and Research Committee Nominated by AENEAS The Governing Board approves the research agenda, the budget and procedures, provides overview The Executive Director makes it work (issues calls, selects and monitors projects) The Public Authorities approve the annual strategy implementation and the grants The Industry defines the strategy 11

Semiconductors in Europe Role of Member States ENIAC Joint Undertaking Total Eligible Costs and Public Funding Planned per Year 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 55% R&D Actors JU MAS 12

Semiconductors in Europe Member States Commitments 2008-2010 13

Semiconductors in Germany Modern Times Started 10 Years Ago in Germany Organization Infineon / Motorola Joint Venture Location Dresden Established February 1998 Development VISION Line Part of Module 2, Infineon 2000 Dresden Award Fab Area approx. 2000 m² Class 1.0 P i o n e e r Manpower Engineer 140 Operator 230 Support 80 a b r e a k t h r o u g h i n Sposorship s e m i c o n d u c t o r Technology Product drivers m a n u f a c t u r i n g e f f e c t i v e n e s s BMBF 10/1997 D - e 03/2001(incl. c e m b e r 1 9 9 partners) 8 S e p t e m b e r 1 9 9 9 State of Saxony 0.25 µm - 0.2 µm CMOS 64 Mb DRAM / 256 Mb DRAM 64 M DRAM SEMICONDUCTOR300 F u n c t i o n a l Q u a l i f i e d D r e s d e n, G e r m a n y Dr. Peter Kuecher (Infineon) Horia Grecu (Motorola) 14

Semiconductors in Germany German Foundries 15

What to do? Semiconductor Industry Association Choose to compete recommendations to the U.S.A. Government 1. Fund basic research 2. Make R&D tax credits permanent 3. Ensure a world-class work force 4. Reform "green card" policies to attract the best and brightest 5. Streamline export regulations 6. Invest in clean energy 7. Enact competitive tax policies that encourage investment in America 16

What to do? SEMI White Paper 6 Recommendations to the European Union and National Governments to Increase Europe s Microelectronic Industry Competitiveness 1. Develop a European vision for the industry 2. Increase funding for R&D and manufacturing 3. Promote the microelectronics supply chain 4. Cultivate education and welcome talent 5. Protect and enforce intellectual property 6. Involve SEMI Europe in new EHS legislation 17

What to do? EECA/ESIA Nine immediate EU measures to preserve European semiconductor industry capabilities and ensure the industry s contribution to economic growth 1. Reach quick and firm agreement between the EU and Member States on priority segments for lead markets 2. Support/implement identified lead market initiatives 3. Create critical mass encouraging standardization and interoperability 4. Drive demonstration projects 5. Double the funding levels from 0.6bn to 1.5bn per year within 5 years 6. Revise rules for eligibility for funding beyond pre-competitive projects 7. Recommend to Member States to introduce/expand R&D tax credits 8. Reconsider the EU s state aid rules for semiconductor investments 9. Facilitate an EIB loan policy for the semiconductors with an allocation of up to 5bn 18

What to do? ZVEI Recommendations (Okt 2007) Goal: stimulate investments in Europe, create a global level playing field 1. Common European strategy for semiconductors (investment incentives, legislation for global competition) 2. Adjustment of procurement regulations for R&D 3. Improvements in the German tax legislation (minimum taxation, loss carry forward) 4. Further development of PPP involving industry, academic research and public means 5. Investment-friendly ESH regulations 6. Consistent, efficient customs procedures 19

What to do? How are we doing? 1. EC: Key Technology Initiatives, High-Level Group 2. Intensive initiatives by various associations Difficulty to overcome fragmentation Forecast budget consumption ENIAC JU 20

What to do? What to do? Public Private Partnerships marrying political will and private entrepreneurship are the way forward for the Key Enable Technologies 21