Opinions of Canadians on immigration and temporary foreign workers National survey released August, 2016 Project 2016-896
Canadians support or somewhat support the government s response to the Syrian refugee crisis, as well as making the screening process more difficult for immigrants from the Middle East >A comfortable majority of Canadians support or somewhat support the government s overall response to the Syrian refugee crisis, while the majority also support or somewhat support making the screening process for potential immigrants more onerous for those from the Middle East and similar areas. Nearly four in ten each say Canada should accept the same or fewer immigrants in 2017 than it has this year, and most Canadians oppose or somewhat oppose allowing temporary foreign workers to take jobs while qualified Canadians are looking for work. Two in three Canadians support or somewhat support the government s response to the Syrian refugee crisis Two thirds of Canadians support (33%) or somewhat support (33%) the federal government s overall response to the Syrian refugee crisis. Sixteen per cent somewhat oppose the response, and 15 per cent are opposed. Four per cent are unsure. Almost three in four Canadians oppose or somewhat oppose allowing temporary foreign workers into Canada to take jobs that qualified Canadians are looking for Almost three quarters of Canadians oppose (45%) or somewhat oppose (29%) allowing temporary foreign workers into Canada while Canadians qualified for those same jobs are looking for work. Seventeen per cent somewhat support allowing this, while seven per cent support it. Two per cent are unsure. The majority of Canadians support or somewhat support strengthening the screening process for potential immigrants from regions such as the Middle East Just over seven in ten Canadians support (47%) or somewhat support (27%) making the screening process more onerous for potential immigrants from regions such as the Middle East to reduce potential security threats. Fourteen per cent somewhat oppose doing this, while 11 per cent oppose it. Two per cent are unsure. Most Canadians think Canada should accept fewer or the same amount of immigrants in 2017 Thirty-nine per cent of Canadians say the government should accept fewer immigrants in 2017 than the 285,000 accepted in 2016. Thirty-seven per cent say we should accept the same amount of immigrants in 2017, while 16 per cent say we should accept more. Eight per cent are unsure. These observations are based on an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,000 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between August 22 nd and 25 th, 2016 as part of an omnibus survey. Participants were randomly recruited by telephone using live agents and administered a survey online. The data presented in this research is part of a joint project by The Globe and Mail and Nanos Research. 2
Government s response to Syrian refugee crisis Source: The Globe and Mail/Nanos Research, RDD dual frame hybrid telephone and online random survey, August 22 nd to 25 th, 2016, n=1000, accurate 3.1 percentage points plus or minus, 19 times out of 20. Source: The Globe and Mail/Nanos Research, RDD dual frame hybrid telephone and online random survey, April 28 th to May 3 rd, 2016, n=1000, accurate 3.1 percentage points plus or minus, 19 times out of 20. Net Score 2016-08 33% 33% 16% 15% 4% +34.3 2016-05 37% 31% 13% 17% 3% +38.0 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Oppose Unsure *Note: Charts may not add up to 100 due to rounding QUESTION Do you support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or oppose the federal government s overall response to the Syrian refugee crisis? 3
Government s response to Syrian refugee crisis Source: The Globe and Mail/Nanos Research, RDD dual frame hybrid telephone and online random survey, August 22 nd to 25 th, 2016, n=1000, accurate 3.1 percentage points plus or minus, 19 times out of 20. Net Score +34.3 Somewhat oppose 16% Oppose 15% Unsure 4% Somewhat support 33% *Note: Charts may not add up to 100 due to rounding Support 33% Subgroups Support/ Somewhat support Atlantic (n=100) 75.9% Quebec (n=250) 60.2% Ontario (n=300) 65.5% Prairies (n=200) 60.1% British Columbia (n=150) 71.9% Male (n=500) 62.2% Female (n=500) 67.9% 18 to 29 (n=172) 61.8% 30 to 39 (n=174) 62.2% 40 to 49 (n=168) 70.6% 50 to 59 (n=215) 67.5% 60 plus (n=271) 63.4% QUESTION Do you support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or oppose the federal government s overall response to the Syrian refugee crisis? 4
Foreign workers and immigrants in Canada Source: The Globe and Mail/Nanos Research, RDD dual frame hybrid telephone and online random survey, August 22 nd to 25 th, 2016, n=1000, accurate 3.1 percentage points plus or minus, 19 times out of 20. Net Score Making the screening process more onerous for potential immigrants from regions such as the Middle East to reduce potential security threats 47% 27% 14% 11% 2% +49.0 Allowing temporary foreign workers into Canada while Canadians qualified for those same jobs are looking for work 7% 17% 29% 45% 2% -50.3 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Oppose Unsure *Note: Charts may not add up to 100 due to rounding QUESTION Do you support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or oppose [ROTATE] 5
Allowing temporary foreign workers in Canada Source: The Globe and Mail/Nanos Research, RDD dual frame hybrid telephone and online random survey, August 22 nd to 25 th, 2016, n=1000, accurate 3.1 percentage points plus or minus, 19 times out of 20. Source: CBC/Nanos Research, RDD dual frame hybrid telephone and online random survey, December 3 rd to 4 th, 2012, n=1000, accurate 3.1 percentage points plus or minus, 19 times out of 20. Net Score 2016 7% 17% 29% 45% 2% -50.3 2012 7% 18% 22% 47% 6% -43.9 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Oppose Unsure *Note: Charts may not add up to 100 due to rounding QUESTION Do you support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or oppose [ROTATE] Allowing temporary foreign workers into Canada while Canadians qualified for those same jobs are still looking for work 6
Allowing temporary foreign workers in Canada Source: The Globe and Mail/Nanos Research, RDD dual frame hybrid telephone and online random survey, August 22 nd to 25 th, 2016, n=1000, accurate 3.1 percentage points plus or minus, 19 times out of 20. Net Score -50.3 Oppose 45% *Note: Charts may not add up to 100 due to rounding Support Unsure 7% 2% Subgroups Somewhat support 17% Somewhat oppose 29% QUESTION Do you support, somewhat support somewhat oppose or oppose [ROTATE] Support/ Somewhat support Atlantic (n=100) 25.9% Quebec (n=250) 23.1% Ontario (n=300) 25.3% Prairies (n=200) 27.7% British Columbia (n=150) 15.7% Male (n=500) 22.7% Female (n=500) 25.1% 18 to 29 (n=172) 25.1% 30 to 39 (n=174) 23.3% 40 to 49 (n=168) 24.7% 50 to 59 (n=215) 25.1% 60 plus (n=271) 21.4% Allowing temporary foreign workers into Canada while Canadians qualified for those same jobs are looking for work 7
Screening process for immigrants Source: The Globe and Mail/Nanos Research, RDD dual frame hybrid telephone and online random survey, August 22 nd to 25 th, 2016, n=1000, accurate 3.1 percentage points plus or minus, 19 times out of 20. Net Score +49.0 Somewhat oppose 14% Somewhat support 27% Oppose 11% *Note: Charts may not add up to 100 due to rounding Unsure 2% Subgroups Support 47% Support/ Somewhat support Atlantic (n=100) 74.3% Quebec (n=250) 69.9% Ontario (n=300) 72.8% Prairies (n=200) 80.1% British Columbia (n=150) 70.8% Male (n=500) 77.2% Female (n=500) 69.7% 18 to 29 (n=172) 63.8% 30 to 39 (n=174) 80.9% 40 to 49 (n=168) 71.0% 50 to 59 (n=215) 75.6% 60 plus (n=271) 76.9% QUESTION Do you support, somewhat support somewhat oppose or oppose [ROTATE] Making the screening process more onerous for potential immigrants from regions such as the Middle East to reduce potential security threats 8
Accepting immigrants Source: The Globe and Mail/Nanos Research, RDD dual frame hybrid telephone and online random survey, August 22 nd to 25 th, 2016, n=1000, accurate 3.1 percentage points plus or minus, 19 times out of 20. Net Score -22.7 Unsure 8% Accept more 16% Subgroups Accept fewer Atlantic (n=100) 29.1% Quebec (n=250) 47.4% Ontario (n=300) 33.5% Prairies (n=200) 47.6% Accept fewer 39% Accept the same 37% British Columbia (n=150) 31.2% Male (n=500) 41.5% Female (n=500) 36.5% 18 to 29 (n=172) 34.6% 30 to 39 (n=174) 42.3% 40 to 49 (n=168) 40.7% 50 to 59 (n=215) 33.8% 60 plus (n=271) 42.9% *Note: Charts may not add up to 100 due to rounding QUESTION As you may know Canada accepted 260,000 immigrants in 2014, about 285,000 in 2016. For 2017, should we accept more immigrants, the same amount as this year or fewer immigrants. 9
Methodology 10
Methodology Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,000 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between August 22 nd and 25 th, 2016 as part of an omnibus survey. Participants were randomly recruited by telephone using live agents and administered a survey online. The results were statistically checked and weighted by age and gender using the latest Census information and the sample is geographically stratified to be representative of Canada. Individuals randomly called using random digit dialling with a maximum of five call backs. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,000 Canadians is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The data presented in this research is part of a joint project by The Globe and Mail and Nanos Research. Note: Charts may not add up to 100 due to rounding. 11
Element Organization who commissioned the research Final Sample Size Description Globe and Mail 1,000 Randomly selected individuals. Margin of Error ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. Mode of Survey RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online omnibus survey Technical Note Element Weighting of Data Screening Excluded Demographics Description The results were weighted by age and gender using the latest Census information (2014) and the sample is geographically stratified to ensure a distribution across all regions of Canada. See tables for full weighting disclosure Screening ensured potential respondents did not work in the market research industry, in the advertising industry, in the media or a political party prior to administering the survey to ensure the integrity of the data. Individuals younger than 18 years old; individuals without land or cell line could not participate. Sampling Method Base The sample included both land- and cell-lines RDD (Random Digit Dialed) across Canada. Stratification By age and gender using the latest Census information (2014) and the sample is geographically stratified to be representative of Canada. Smaller areas such as Atlantic Canada were marginally oversampled to allow for a minimum regional sample. Demographics (Captured) Atlantic Canada, Quebec, Ontario, Prairies, British Columbia; Men and Women; 18 years and older. Six digit postal code was used to validate geography. Estimated Response Rate Sixteen percent, consistent with industry norms. Demographics (Other) Age, gender, education, income Question Order Question order in the preceding report reflects the order in which they appeared in the original questionnaire. Fieldwork/Validation Live interviews with live supervision to validate work as per the MRIA Code of Conduct Question Content This was module three of an omnibus survey. Previous modules included questions about top unprompted issues of national concern and terrorism in Canada. Number of Calls Time of Calls Maximum of five call backs. Individuals were called between 12-5:30 pm and 6:30-9:30pm local time for the respondent. Question Wording Survey Company The questions in the preceding report are written exactly as they were asked to individuals. Nanos Research Field Dates August 22 nd to 25 th, 2016. Language of Survey The survey was conducted in both English and French. Contact Contact Nanos Research for more information or with any concerns or questions. http://www.nanosresearch.com Telephone:(613) 234-4666 ext. Email: info@nanosresearch.com. 12
About Nanos Nanos is one of North America s most trusted research and strategy organizations. Our team of professionals is regularly called upon by senior executives to deliver superior intelligence and market advantage whether it be helping to chart a path forward, managing a reputation or brand risk or understanding the trends that drive success. Services range from traditional telephone surveys, through to elite in-depth interviews, online research and focus groups. Nanos clients range from Fortune 500 companies through to leading advocacy groups interested in understanding and shaping the public landscape. Whether it is understanding your brand or reputation, customer needs and satisfaction, engaging employees or testing new ads or products, Nanos provides insight you can trust. View our brochure Nik Nanos FMRIA Richard Jenkins Chairman, Nanos Research Group Vice President, Nanos Research Ottawa (613) 234-4666 ext. 237 Ottawa (613) 234-4666 ext. 230 Washington DC (202) 697-9924 rjenkins@nanosresearch.com nnanos@nanosresearch.com 13
Tabulations 14
2016-896 Globe and Mail/Nanos Survey Immigration - STAT SHEET Region Gender Age Canada 2016-08 Atlantic Canada Quebec Ontario Prairies British Columbia Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 59 60 plus Question - Do you support, Total Unwgt N 1000 100 250 300 200 150 500 500 172 174 168 215 271 somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or oppose the federal Wgt N 1000 100 250 300 200 150 500 500 205 169 208 178 239 government s overall response to the Syrian refugee crisis [Rotate] Support % 32.5 43.4 26.5 36.8 25.6 35.5 28.2 36.7 28.0 29.5 33.0 34.6 36.3 Somewhat support % 32.6 32.5 33.7 28.7 34.5 36.4 34.0 31.2 33.8 32.7 37.6 32.9 27.1 Somewhat oppose % 15.8 10.9 15.8 16.9 19.4 12.1 16.1 15.6 15.4 17.3 15.3 16.6 15.0 Oppose % 15.0 6.3 18.0 14.0 18.2 13.2 18.0 11.9 17.2 16.6 10.3 12.2 17.9 Not sure % 4.1 6.8 6.0 3.6 2.2 2.8 3.8 4.5 5.6 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.6 Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell- lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,000 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between August 22 nd and 25 th, 2016. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,000 Canadians is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. www.nanosresearch.com Page 1
2016-896 Globe and Mail/Nanos Survey Immigration - STAT SHEET Region Gender Age Canada 2016-08 Atlantic Canada Quebec Ontario Prairies British Columbia Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 59 60 plus Question - Do you support, somewhat support somewhat oppose or oppose: Allowing temporary foreign workers into Canada while Canadians qualified for those same jobs are looking for work. [Rotate] Total Unwgt N 1000 100 250 300 200 150 500 500 172 174 168 215 271 Wgt N 1000 100 250 300 200 150 500 500 205 169 208 178 239 Support % 7.0 9.6 5.5 8.9 7.8 2.8 6.3 7.7 6.9 8.5 6.7 6.9 6.2 Somewhat support % 16.9 16.3 17.6 16.4 19.9 12.9 16.4 17.4 18.2 14.8 18.0 18.2 15.2 Somewhat oppose % 28.8 33.9 30.5 24.4 27.1 33.4 28.4 29.1 29.5 28.0 29.6 28.0 28.5 Oppose % 45.4 36.2 41.4 49.6 45.1 50.1 47.6 43.2 40.9 47.2 44.9 44.3 49.3 Not sure % 2.0 4.0 5.0.7.0.8 1.3 2.6 4.5 1.5.8 2.6.7 Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell- lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,000 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between August 22 nd and 25 th, 2016. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,000 Canadians is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. www.nanosresearch.com Page 2
2016-896 Globe and Mail/Nanos Survey Immigration - STAT SHEET Region Gender Age Canada 2016-08 Atlantic Canada Quebec Ontario Prairies British Columbia Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 59 60 plus Question - Do you support, somewhat support somewhat oppose or oppose: Making the screening process more onerous for potential immigrants from regions such as the Middle East to reduce potential security threats [Rotate] Total Unwgt N 1000 100 250 300 200 150 500 500 172 174 168 215 271 Wgt N 1000 100 250 300 200 150 500 500 205 169 208 178 239 Support % 46.5 45.3 48.5 41.6 55.6 41.2 50.0 43.0 37.6 50.7 42.7 46.6 54.3 Somewhat support % 26.9 29.0 21.4 31.2 24.5 29.6 27.2 26.7 26.2 30.2 28.3 29.0 22.6 Somewhat oppose % 13.9 17.1 13.6 14.5 11.2 14.4 12.0 15.7 17.3 8.8 14.0 13.2 14.8 Oppose % 10.5 6.6 13.0 10.5 7.5 12.8 8.5 12.5 15.1 9.6 12.3 9.8 6.0 Not sure % 2.3 2.0 3.5 2.2 1.2 2.0 2.4 2.1 3.8.7 2.7 1.5 2.3 Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell- lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,000 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between August 22 nd and 25 th, 2016. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,000 Canadians is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. www.nanosresearch.com Page 3
2016-896 Globe and Mail/Nanos Survey Immigration - STAT SHEET Region Gender Age Canada 2016-08 Atlantic Canada Quebec Ontario Prairies British Columbia Male Female 18 to 29 30 to 39 40 to 49 50 to 59 60 plus Question - As you may know Canada accepted 260,000 immigrants in 2014, about 285,000 in 2016. For 2017, should we accept more immigrants, the same amount as this year or fewer immigrants. Total Unwgt N 1000 100 250 300 200 150 500 500 172 174 168 215 271 Wgt N 1000 100 250 300 200 150 500 500 205 169 208 178 239 Accept more % 16.3 23.8 13.9 16.1 14.7 18.1 15.4 17.2 14.9 15.2 17.4 17.3 16.6 Accept the same % 36.6 36.7 31.6 43.1 28.6 42.7 35.6 37.6 38.5 37.9 32.7 40.6 34.5 Accept fewer % 39.0 29.1 47.4 33.5 47.6 31.2 41.5 36.5 34.6 42.3 40.7 33.8 42.9 Not sure % 8.0 10.4 7.1 7.4 9.0 8.0 7.4 8.7 11.9 4.6 9.2 8.3 6.0 Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell- lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,000 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between August 22 nd and 25 th, 2016. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,000 Canadians is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. www.nanosresearch.com Page 4