Decision and Risk Analysis, Applied Probability, Economics of Information, Homeland Security

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CURRICULUM VITAE NİYAZİ ONUR BAKIR, Ph.D. Department of Industrial Engineering TOBB University of Economics and Technology TOBB Ekonomi ve Teknoloji Üniversitesi, Endüstri Müh. Bölümü, Söǧütözü, 06560, Ankara, Turkey mobile: +90 (532) 460-1139 office: +90 (312) 292-4512 fax: +90 (312) 266-4054 email: nbakir@etu.edu.tr EDUCATION 2000-2004 TEXAS A&M UNIVERSITY, COLLEGE STATION, TX Ph.D., Department of Industrial Engineering (GPA: 3.92) Principal Advisor: Georgia-Ann Klutke Thesis: Evaluation of Information Bundles in Engineering Decisions 1998-2000 M.S., Department of Economics (GPA: 3.92) 1994-1998 BILKENT UNIVERSITY, ANKARA, TURKEY B.S., Department of Industrial Engineering (GPA: 3.28) RESEARCH INTERESTS Decision and Risk Analysis, Applied Probability, Economics of Information, Homeland Security ACADEMIC EXPERIENCE 2014 - TOBB University of Economics and Technology, Ankara, Turkey Associate Professor, Department of Industrial Engineering 2011-2014 TOBB University of Economics and Technology, Ankara, Turkey Assistant Professor, Department of Industrial Engineering 2009-2011 Bilkent University, Ankara, Turkey Visiting Assistant Professor, Department of Industrial Engineering 2005-2009 University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA Postdoctoral Research Associate, Center for Homeland Security (CREATE) 2004-2005 Texas A&M University, College Station, TX Postdoctoral Research Associate, Department of Industrial Engineering 2000-2004 Graduate Research Assistant, Department of Industrial Engineering Dissertation research supported by NSF Grant DMI-9900368 TEACHING EXPERIENCE 2011-2011 TOBB University of Economics and Technology, Ankara, Turkey Assistant Professor, Department of Industrial Engineering Courses: Decision Analysis, Stochastic Processes, Stochastic Models, Service Systems 2009-2011 Bilkent University, Ankara, Turkey Visiting Assistant Professor, Department of Industrial Engineering Courses: Principles of Engineering Management, Engineering Economic Analysis, Production Information Systems, Production Systems Design - Synthesis, Quality Assurance and Reliability, Decision Analysis Summer 2005, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 2006 Lecturer, Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering Course: Advanced Engineering Economy (Graduate Level Distance Education Class)

NİYAZİ ONUR BAKIR, Ph.D.. Page 2 TEACHING EXPERIENCE CONTINUED Fall 2003 REFEREED Texas A&M University, College Station, TX Graduate Assistant Lecturer, Department of Industrial Engineering Course: Economic Analysis of Engineering Projects (Undergraduate Level) PUBLICATIONS N.O. Bakır, G-A. Klutke, Buying price of event information in two-action decision problems, 2014, Environment Systems and Decisions, Vol. 34, No. 1, pp. 38-48 A.E. Abbas, N. O. Bakır, G-A. Klutke, Z. Sun, Effects of risk aversion on the value of information in two-action decision problems, 2013, Decision Analysis, Vol. 10, No. 3, pp. 257-275 N.O. Bakır, D. von Winterfeldt, Is better nuclear weapon detection capability justified?, 2011, Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, Vol. 8, No. 1, pp. 1-18 N.O. Bakır, A Stackelberg game model for resource allocation in cargo container security, 2011, Annals of Operations Research, Vol. 187, No. 1, pp. 5-22 N.O. Bakır, G-A. Klutke, Information and Preference Reversals in Lotteries, 2011, European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 210, No. 3, pp. 752-756 N.O. Bakır, A.A. Savachkin, A. Uribe Two countermeasure strategies to mitigate random disruptions in capacitated systems, 2010, Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering, Vol. 19, No. 2, pp. 210-226 N.O. Bakır, A decision tree model for evaluating countermeasures to secure cargo at United States southwestern ports of entry, 2008, Decision Analysis, Vol. 5, No. 4, pp. 230-248 A.A. Savachkin, N.O. Bakır, A. Uribe An optimal countermeasure policy to mitigate random capacity disruptions in a production system, 2008, Int. Journal of Agile Systems and Management, Vol. 3, Nos. 1/2, pp. 4-17 BOOK CHAPTERS N.O. Bakır, Optimal inspection strategies for Coast Guard operations, 2007, In The Economic Costs and Consequences of Terrorism, edited by Harry W. Richardson et al., Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, UK N.O. Bakır, A brief analysis of threats and vulnerabilities in the maritime domain, 2007, In Managing Critical Infrastructure Risks, edited by I. Linkov et al., Springer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS B.N. Güneş, N.O. Bakır, Value of information in a supply-chain for a risk averse supplier, 2013, Proceedings of the International XI. Logistics and Supply Chain Congress, Kayseri, Turkey N.O. Bakır, E. Kardeş, A stochastic game model on container security, 2011, Proceedings of the IEEE International Conference on Technologies for Homeland Securitys, Waltham, MA M. Orosz, C. Southwell, A. Barrett, N.O. Bakır, J. Chen, I. Maya, PortSec: Port security risk management and resource allocation system, 2009, Proceedings of the IFAC Symposium on Control in Transportation Systems, Redondo Beach, CA

NİYAZİ ONUR BAKIR, Ph.D.. Page 3 CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS CONTINUED N.O. Bakır, Time value of perfect information in a two period consumption choice model, 2008, Proceedings of the Decision Sciences Annual Conference, Baltimore, MD N.O. Bakır, Preference reversals for atomic information bundles in lotteries with multiple actions, 2007, Proceedings of the Decision Sciences Annual Conference, Phoenix, AZ TECHNICAL REPORTS N.O. Bakır, E. Keinan, I. Maya, E. Southers, Evaluating deployment of peroxide-based explosive detection technology at US commercial airports, CREATE Technical Report, August 2009. A.M. Barrett, N.O. Bakır, I. Maya, Evaluation of US Coast Guard terrorism risk and decision analysis models and processes for port, waterways and coastal security, CREATE Technical Report, August 2009. N. O. Bakır, J.E. Moore II, A. Rose, A terrorist attack scenario for a major U.S. port, CREATE Technical Report, May 2009. N.O. Bakır, D. Pakdaman, An analysis of truck cargo security at southwestern borders and potential impacts of cross-border trucking services of Mexican carriers on terrorism risk exposure, CREATE Technical Report, September 2006. N.O. Bakır, Vulnerabilities along US borders: A brief analysis of potential terrorist traffic through US borders, CREATE Technical Report, March 2006. D. Belson, N.O. Bakır, T. O Sullivan, H. Bowman Los Angeles County operational area strategic national stockpile plan, CREATE Technical Report, January 2006. N.O. Bakır, Debra Elkins, Georgia-Ann Klutke, Fire risk modeling: Evaluating different risk mitigation options for a risk averse decision maker, General Motors R&D Center Technical Report, August 2004. WORKING PAPERS N.O. Bakır, G-A. Klutke, Risk aversion and the value of information in multi-action lottery choice problems, 2014, Working Paper, Target Journal: IIE Transactions N.O. Bakır Monotonicity of the selling price of information with risk aversion in two action decision problems, 2014, Working Paper, Target Journal: Operations Research Letters H.T. Birihan, N.O. Bakır Value of intelligence on terrorist preferences, 2014, Working Paper, Target Journal: European Journal of Operational Research B. Keleş, S. Tekin, N.O. Bakır Optimal inspection strategies to maintain systems subject to non-selfannouncing failures, 2014, Working Paper, Target Journal: IEEE Transactions on Reliability D. Gülel, N.O. Bakır, S. Tekin Sigorta mükelleflerinin optimal beyan zamanlarının belirlenmesi, 2014, Working Paper, Target Journal: Endüstri Mühendisliǧi Dergisi RESEARCH GRANTS Principal Investigator: Analysis of the relationship between risk aversion and the value of information under various approaches, The Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey Research Grant under Program No. 1002, 2011, $7500.

NİYAZİ ONUR BAKIR, Ph.D.. Page 4 RESEARCH GRANTS CONTINUED Investigator: PortSec: Port operations modeling through computer simulation, CREATE Renewal 3-Year Project Grant, 2007-2010, $100,000. Principal Coordinator: 2007-2008, $100,000. Stochastic game analysis for container security, CREATE Renewal Grant, Investigator: Peroxide-based explosives: Properties, detection technologies & risk assessment, Department of Homeland Security Grant, 2007-2008, $200,000. WORK EXPERIENCE Summer 2004 General Motors R&D, Warren, MI Visiting Scholar, Manufacturing Systems Research Lab SELECTED RESEARCH PRESENTATIONS N.O. Bakır, Value of intelligence on terrorist preferences, INFORMS 2012, Phoenix, AZ N.O. Bakır, Sensitivity of inventory management policies to the level of risk aversion, INFORMS 2011, Charlotte, NC N.O. Bakır, Risk aversion and value of information under various approaches, INFORMS 2010, Austin, TX N.O. Bakır, Is better nuclear weapon detection capability justified?, YAEM 2010, İstanbul, Turkey N.O. Bakır, Georgia-Ann Klutke Risk aversion and the value of information, INFORMS 2009, San Diego, CA N.O. Bakır, A stochastic game model on overseas cargo container security, INFORMS 2008, Washington DC N.O. Bakır, A.A. Savachkin, A. Uribe Countermeasure policies to mitigate random disruptions in a capacitated system, POMS Annual Meeting 2008, La Jolla, CA N.O. Bakır, Cargo security at land borders, POMS Annual Meeting 2008, La Jolla, CA N.O. Bakır, Securing cargo at southwestern ports of entry, INFORMS 2007, Seattle, WA N.O. Bakır, Preference reversals for information bundles, INFORMS 2006, Pittsburgh, PA N.O. Bakır, Threat and vulnerability analysis for border security, The Los Alamos National Laboratories Risk Analysis Symposium 2006, Santa Fe, NM N.O. Bakır, A systems based risk management approach for border security, INFORMS 2005, San Francisco, CA N.O. Bakır, Optimal inspection strategies for Coast Guard operations, CREATE Economics Symposium 2005, Los Angeles, CA N.O. Bakır, Information preference reversals for a risk averse decision maker, INFORMS 2004, Denver, CO N.O. Bakır, Fire risk modeling, General Motors R&D, 2004, Detroit, MI

NİYAZİ ONUR BAKIR, Ph.D.. Page 5 PROFESSIONAL MEMBERSHIPS Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) Decision Analysis Society Applied Probability Society GRADUATE THESES SUPERVISED 1. Buǧra Ersü, Value of Intelligence Resource Allocation in Counter-terrorism Planning, In progress. 2. Büşra Keleş, Optimal inspection strategies to maintain systems subject to non-self-announcing failures, In progress, Co-supervisor: Salih Tekin. 3. Büşra Nur Güneş, Value of information in a supply chain for a risk averse supplier, In progress. 4. Derya Gülel, Optimal Claim Behavior in Turkish Insurance Market: The Case of Traffic Insurance, In progress, Co-supervisor: Salih Tekin. 5. Hasan Tugay Birihan, Optimal Allocation of Intelligence Resources against an Adaptive Adversary Committing Terrorist Attacks, Completed December 2012. REFEREE FOR (journals in alphabetical order) Annals of Operations Research Decision Analysis Journal Endüstri Mühendisliǧi Dergisi European Journal of Operational Research IIE Transactions International Journal of Emerging Markets