RNNP 2014 Trends in risk level

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Transcription:

RNNP 2014 Trends in risk level June 10, 2015 Tore Endresen PSA

Offshore Indicators Major accidents

The objective of the work Measure the impact of the industry's HSE work. Contribute to identifying areas that are critical for HSE and where the effort to identify causes must be prioritised in order to prevent unwanted incidents and accidents. Increase insight into potential causes of accidents and their relative significance for the risk profile, to provide decision-support for the industry and authorities concerning preventive safety and emergency preparedness planning. The work may also contribute to identifying focus areas for amending regulations, as well as research and development.

Number of DFU occurrences Incidents and near misses (DHAs) all facilities (excluding helicopters) 120 Evac/muster 100 Dam. subs inst Subs equipm leak 80 Struct. damage 60 Coll. attend vess. Drifting object 40 Ship on coll course Other fire/expl 20 Well incident Ign HC leak 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Unign HC leak

Number of events Construction and maritime systems Most severe incidents 14 12 10 8 Mobile unit NUI Complex 6 FPU Fixed production 4 2 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Number of leaks Hydrocarbon releases 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 >10 kg/s 1-10 kg/s 0,1-1 kg/s 10 5 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Antall Antall Wells drilled 1996-2013 250 200 150 prod 100 50 0 expl Type of well Letebrønner Produksjonsbrønner Totalt 250 200 150 100 50 0 MODU fixed Type of drilling unit Flyttbare innretninger Produksjonsinnretninger Totalt 7

Antall brønnhendelser Well control incidents 30 25 20 15 10 Leteboring Prod.boring 5 0

Antall brønnhendelser per 100 brønner Well control incidents normalised pr 100 wells 35 30 25 20 15 Leteboring Prod. boring 10 5 0

Antall brønnhendelser Well control incidents, area 35 30 25 20 15 Barentshavet Norskehavet Nordsjøen 10 5 0

Risikoindikator Well control incidents risk indicator (Development and exploration) 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0

Well integrity NCS 2014 2014 : n=1918 1.1 % 6.5 % 23.3 % 69.1 %

Prosentvis andel brønner i kategori Well integrity NCS 2008-2014 2014 : n=1918 80 70 76 76 74.3 73.0 69.8 69.1 69.1 60 50 40 30 Rød Oransje Gul Grønn 20 13 10 10 21.0 16 17.8 18.3 7 7.5 8.2 8.7 23.1 23.3 6.9 6.5 0 1 1 0.30 0.46 0.44 0.91 1.1 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Prosentvis andel Well integrity- per operator 2014 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% Andel brønner i kategori Rød Oransje Gul Grønn 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Op1 Op2 Op3 Op4 Op5 Op6 Op7 Op 9 Op 11 Op 13 Op 14 Op 15 Op 16 Op 17 1222 7 64 281 156 41 25 60 13 39 2 1 2 5

Prosentvis andel Well integrity- per category 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Andel brønner i kategori Rød Oransje Gul Grønn 0% Injecting Producing Temporary Plugged with Monitoring Temporary Abandoned 317 1321 174 106

D 133 E 10 F 44 G 64 H 9 L 50 M 73 Q 65 S 252 T 156 U 55 X 38 Y 32 Ø 59 AA 81 AC 78 AD 144 AE 44 AF 175 AH 49 AI 196 AJ 84 AK 24 AL 121 AM 127 AN 168 AP 133 AQ 257 AR 242 AU 311 AV 258 AW 389 AX 292 AY 88 AZ 521 AÆ 101 AØ 42 AÅ 19 BA 245 BD 283 BG 36 BH 140 BJ 3 BK 335 BL 112 BU 184 BV 56 BW 64 BX 25 BZ 35 BØ 81 CA 27 CB 22 CE 21 CG 4 CH 2 CJ 32 CM 72 CN 8 CO 2 CP 2 CQ 2 CR 6 CS 5 CT 3 CU 20 Andel feil Failure rate DHSV 0,12-22 installations failure rate >0.02 0,10 0,08 0,06 0,04 0,02 0,00 2014 Gjennomsnitt 2002-2014 Bransjekrav

Isolation BOP, MODU Isolering av BOP 2011 2012 2013 2014 Number of tests 1293 1124 2506 20835 Number of failures 24 20 20 156 Units 65 46 66 105** Failure rate 0,019 0,018 0,008 0,007 ** Number of BOP s =42. Number given i table includes several single components (rams)

Relative risk indicator Total indicator major accidents Production facilities 140 120 100 80 Total indicator per year, normalized over manhours 3 year average 60 40 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Based on observations, does not express risk directly Weight factor based on loss of life

Relative risk indicator Total indicator major accidents MODUs 160 140 120 100 Total indicator per year, normalized over manhours 3 year average 80 60 40 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Based on observations, does not express risk directly Weight factor based on loss of life

Trends for 2014 are positive, however..

PSA Investigations 2015 Lifeboat incident on the Mærsk Giant mobile drilling facility on 14 January 2015. Hydrocarbon leak on the Gudrun field in the North Sea on 18 February. Person fell overboard from Scarabeo 8 on the Goliat field in the Barents Sea on 20 February Incident on Transocean Barents on 4 March when a roughneck suffered crush injuries Fire involving the generation of fumes on the production vessel Petrojarl Knarr FPSO in the Knarr Field in the North Sea on 24 March. Dropped object incident on the West Venture mobile drilling facility on 23 March 2015

Questions?