Boriss Siliverstovs. Ph.D. in Economics October 2002 University of Aarhus, Denmark

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Boriss Siliverstovs DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Königin-Luise-Straße 5, Berlin, D 14195 phone: (+49 30) 89 789 333 fax: (+49 30) 89 789 102 e-mail: bsiliverstovs@diw.de Personal Details Date of Birth 17.07.1973 Nationality Latvian Education Ph.D. in Economics October 2002 University of Aarhus, Denmark Visiting Student January 2001 - March 2001 University of California, San Diego M.Sc. in Economics December 1998 University of Aarhus, Denmark B.Sc. in Mechanics June 1994 Riga Technical University, Latvia Employment Research Associate, Department of Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecasting, February 2005 - DIW Berlin, Germany Research Associate, Department of International Economics, January 2002 - January 2005 DIW Berlin, Germany Short-term Expert, German Advisory Group to the Government of Ukraine November 2003 on Economic Reforms, IER Kiev, Ukraine

Curriculum Vitae of Boriss Siliverstovs 2 Publications Using the Gravity Equation to Differentiate Among Alternative Theories of Trade: Another Look (with Dieter Schumacher), forthcoming in Applied Economics Letters Home-Market and Factor-Endowment Effects in a Gravity Approach (with Dieter Schumacher), forthcoming in Review of World Economics/Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv Manufacturing Exports, Mining Exports and Growth: Cointegration and Causality Analysis for Chile (1960-2001) (with Dierk Herzer), forthcoming in Applied Economics Convergence of European Spot Market Prices for Natural Gas? A Real-Time Analysis of Price Integration Using the Kalman Filter (with Anne Neumann), forthcoming in Applied Economics Letters Export-Led Growth in Chile: Assessing the Role of Export Composition in Productivity Growth (with Dierk Herzer and Felicitas Nowak-Lehmann D.), forthcoming in The Developing Economies Volume 44, Issue 3, 2006 On the Estimation and Forecasting of International Migration: How Relevant is Heterogeneity Across Countries? (with Herbert Brücker), forthcoming in Empirical Economics Volume 31, Issue 3, 2006 On the Forecasting Properties of the Alternative Leading Indicators for the German GDP: Recent Evidence (with Konstantin Kholodilin), Journal of Economics and Statistics/Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik Volume 226, Issue 3, p. 234-259, 2006 Estimating and Forecasting European Migration: Methods, Problems, and Results (with Herbert Brücker), Journal of Labour Market Research/Zeitschrift für Arbeitsmarktforschung, Volume 39, Issue 1, p. 35-56, 2006 (special issue) Multicointegration in US Consumption Data, Applied Economics Volume 38, Issue 7, p. 819-833, 2006 Export-Led Growth Hypothesis: Evidence for Chile (with Dierk Herzer), Applied Economics Letters Volume 13, Issue 5, p. 319-324, 2006 The Case of Ukraine (with Olena Bilan), East- Modelling Inflation Dynamics in Transition Economies: ern European Economics Volume 43, Issue 6, p. 66-81, 2005 International Market Integration for Natural Gas? A Cointegration Analysis of Gas Prices in Europe, North America and Japan (with Anne Neumann, Christian von Hirschhausen, Guillaume L Hégaret), Energy Economics Volume 27, Issue 4, p. 603-615, 2005 The Bi-parameter Smooth Transition Autoregressive model, Economics Bulletin Volume 3, Issue 23, p. 1-11, 2005 Long-run Forecasting in Multicointegrated Systems (with Niels Haldrup and Tom Engsted), Journal of Forecasting Volume 23, Issue 5, p. 315-335, 2004 International Migration to Germany: Estimation of a Time-Series Model and Inference in Panel Cointegration (with Herbert Brücker and Parwati Trübswetter), in Karlsson C., Hacker R. S., and B. Johansson (eds.), Emerging Market Economies and European Economic Integration, p. 119-133, Edward Elgar: Cheltenham, UK, 2004 Unusual Behaviour of Dickey-Fuller Tests in the Presence of Trend Misspecification: Comment, Economics Bulletin Volume 3, Issue 30, p. 1-7, 2003

Curriculum Vitae of Boriss Siliverstovs 3 Ph.D. Dissertation Multicointegration, Nonlinearity, and Forecasting,. Supervisors: Niels Haldrup and Svend Hylleberg Reading Committee: Hans Christian Kongsted, University of Copenhagen, Philip Hans Franses, Erasmus University Rotterdam, and Allan Würtz, University of Aarhus. Research Papers Banking Competition, Good or Bad?: The Case of Promoting Micro and Small Enterprise Finance in Kazakhstan (with Dorothea Schäfer and Eva Terberger), DIW Berlin, Discussion Paper Nr. 479-2005 Potential Migration from Central and Eastern Europe into the EU-15 : An Update (with Herbert Brücker and Patricia Alvarez-Plata), Report for the European Commission, DG Employment and Social Affairs, DIW Berlin, 2003. Labor Supply of Married Females in Estonia (with Dmitri Koulikov), DIW Berlin, Discussion paper Nr. 321-2003 Forecasting Industrial Production with Linear, Non-linear, and Structural Breaks Models (with Dick van Dijk), Erasmus University, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, Working Paper Nr. 16-2003 Papers at conferences The XIth Spring Meeting of Young Economists (SMYE), Sevilla, Spain May 2006 The 5th Annual Conference of the European Economics and Finance Society (EEFS), May 2006 Heraklion, Crete The 3rd Annual Conference of the Scottish Economic Society, Perth, UK April 2006 The 6th Macroeconometrics Workshop in Halle, Germany December 2005 The 10th Annual Conference of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic October 2005 Association (LACEA), Paris, France Verein für Socialpolitik (German Economic Association), Annual Meeting, September 2005 Bonn, Germany The 7th International Agency of Energy Economics (IAEE) European August 2005 Energy Conference, Bergen, Norway The 20th Annual Congress of the European Economic Association, EEA, August 2005 Amsterdam, The Netherlands International Scientific Conference, Financial Integration in Europe and the Propagation June 2005 of Shocks, DIW Berlin, Germany The 3rd Nordic Econometrics Meeting, Swedish School of Economics, Helsinki, Finland May 2005 Time series workshop, Department of Forecasting and Macroanalysis (DIW Berlin) May 2005 and Department of Econometrics and Statistics (FU Berlin), Templin, Germany

Curriculum Vitae of Boriss Siliverstovs 4 The 6th Annual Conference of the European Trade Study Group, ETSG, September 2004 Nottingham, The United Kingdom Verein für Socialpolitik (German Economic Association), Annual Meeting, September 2004 Dresden, Germany The 31st Conference of the European Association for Research in Industrial Economics, September 2004 EARIE, Berlin, Germany The 59th European Meeting of Econometric Society, ESEM, Madrid, Spain August 2004 EcoMod 2004, International Conference on Policy Modelling, Paris, France July 2004 School of Economic Studies, University of Manchester, UK June 2004 Economic, Econometric and Cross-Disciplinary Aspects of European Union May 2004 Enlargement, EUI, Florence, Italy Aarhus Econometrics conference, Svinkløv, Denmark May 2004 Time series workshop, Department of Forecasting and Macroanalysis (DIW Berlin) May 2004 and Department of Econometrics and Statistics (FU Berlin), Belzig, Germany Common Features in Maastricht conference, University of Maastricht, The Netherlands December 2003 The 58th European Meeting of Econometric Society, ESEM, Stockholm, Sweden August 2003 Time series workshop, Department of Forecasting and Macroanalysis (DIW Berlin) June 2003 and Department of Econometrics and Statistics (FU Berlin), Belzig, Germany The 2nd Nordic Econometrics Meeting, Bergen, Norway May 2003 Macroeconomic Transmission Mechanisms in Europe. Empirical Applications January 2003 and Econometric Methods, Copenhagen, Denmark The 13th (EC) 2 conference, Model selection and evaluation, Bologna, Italy December 2002 Verein für Socialpolitik (German Economic Association), Annual Meeting, September 2002 Innsbruck, Austria ERC/METU VI conference in Economics, Ankara, Turkey September 2002 Common Features in Rio conference, Graduate School of Economics - July 2002 EPGE Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil The 22nd International Symposium on Forecasting 2002, Trinity College, Dublin, Ireland June 2002 The 15th European Advanced Studies Institute in Regional Science June 2002 Emerging Market Economies and European Economic Integration, Eksjö, Sweden Workshop on Labour Markets, Work, and Welfare During the Transition May 2002 and Integration Processes, ZEI and CEPR, Tartu University, Estonia The Danish Doctoral Programme in Economics (DDPE) Ph.D. workshop, November 2001 Rungstedgaard, Denmark ERC/METU V conference in Economics, Ankara, Turkey September 2001

Curriculum Vitae of Boriss Siliverstovs 5 Seminar, German Institute for Economic Research (DIW), Berlin, Germany August 2001 Transition and Labor Market in Estonia and Poland, Institute for the Study of October 2000 Labor, IZA-VW workshop, Bonn, Germany I(2) Time Series workshop, Bertinoro, Italy January 2000 Centre of Nonlinear Modelling in Economics, workshop, Svinkløv, Denmark September 1999 The Danish Doctoral Programme in Economics (DDPE) Ph.D. workshop, Sept. 1999 Tune, Denmark Danish Econometrics Society Meeting, Sandbjerg, Denmark June 1999 Macroeconomic Transmission Mechanisms, workshop, Trondheim, Norway April 1999 Teaching Course in Time Series Econometrics, 2nd Alumni Workshop in Economics and Management, October 2004 Universidad de La Habana - Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin - DIW Berlin Supervision of the undergraduate students in their 2nd year paper June 2000 Teaching Assistant, Econometrics 2, Graduate course Spring 2000 Teaching Assistant, Econometrics 1, Undergraduate course Fall 1999 Teaching Assistant, Econometrics 2, Graduate course Spring 1999 Professional Activities Member of the Editorial Board, DIW Berlin Discussion Paper Series Referee: European Journal of Political Economy, International Journal of Forecasting, The Baltic Journal of Economics, The Econometrics Journal, Economic Modelling, Journal of Population Economics Awards Ph.D. scholarship, University of Aarhus January 1999 - December 2001 EuroFaculty Center Aarhus Scholarship February 1997 - June 1998 The Danish Rectors Conference Scholarship September 1996 - January 1997 EuroFaculty Center Aarhus Scholarship September 1995 - January 1996

Curriculum Vitae of Boriss Siliverstovs 6 Membership Nordic Econometric Network Danish Econometric Society The Globalization of Natural Gas Markets Research Network, Dresden Technical University - DIW Berlin Languages Russian, Latvian, English, German, Danish Computer skills Ox, Gauss, PcGive, EViews, RATS, SAS, LATEX, Scientific Workplace Last revised May 30, 2006