VHI Image Date: Jun 17, 2016 USA Corn Soybeans Vegetative Health Index Map and Crop Condition Tendency EUROPE Rapeseed BLACK SEA INDIA Soybeans Groundnuts CHINA Corn Soybeans ARGENTINA Corn Soybeans BRAZIL Safrinha Corn Soybeans AUSTRALIA Vegetative Health Index (VHI) Legend 8 16 24 32 40 45 55 60 68 76 84 92 Stressed Healthy Desert Snow/Ice or Missing Data Colored boxes within the map above indicate whether crop conditions will be declining or improving for each crop in each major global growing region, incorporating current conditions and the latest 10 day CropCAST forecast. Declining Neutral Improving The Midwest corn/soybean/wheat belt forecast is unchanged today. Showers favored KY and southern OH yesterday. Amounts were 0.25 to 1.5, with 15% coverage of the corn and soybeans, and 30% of the wheat. A few showers should favor far southwestern and northwestern areas today, then build further in northwestern areas on Saturday, and north central and northeastern areas on Sunday. Showers should end in far southern areas on Tuesday. Amounts will be 0.25 to 1.5, with 50% coverage of corn and soybeans, and 60% of the wheat (-20% for corn, soybeans and wheat from yesterday). Rains in northern areas will improve moisture, but amounts will be too light to improve conditions in central and southern areas. The 6-10 day outlook is slightly wetter in far western areas. The 11-15 day outlook is wetter in southern areas. The Plains wheat belt forecast is unchanged today. Showers favored south central KS and southwestern NE yesterday. Amounts were 0.25 to 0.75, with 15% coverage. A few showers should favor central areas through Monday, then favor northern and southeastern areas on Tuesday. Amounts will be 0.25 or less, with 80% coverage (+5% from yesterday). Rains in central areas should result in only minor harvest delays for winter wheat. The 6-10 day outlook is unchanged. The 11-15 day outlook is wetter in central areas. The China corn/soybean belt forecast is unchanged today. Showers favored North China Plain, northwestern Yangtze Valley, and eastern and northern Northeast China yesterday. Amounts were 0.25 to 1.5, locally 5, with 40% coverage of corn/soybeans. Rains will favor Yangtze Valley and Northeast China through Tuesday. Amounts will be 0.25 to 1.5, locally 4, with 75% coverage of corn/soybeans (-5% from yesterday). Additional heavy rains in central and eastern Yangtze Valley should further increase wetness concerns. The 6-10 day outlook is wetter in southeastern Yangtze Valley. Europe: Australia: Black Sea: Other Major Crop Areas Forecast is unchanged today; showers should further improve moisture in Poland, northern Germany, and Scandinavia. Forecast is unchanged today; showers are maintaining favorable moisture for winter wheat. Forecast is unchanged today; moisture continues to decline across eastern Ukraine and central Russia crop areas.
6-10 Day Forecast: Wed Jun 29-Sun Jul 3 MDA 6-10 Day Temperature Forecast Wetter far western Midwest MDA Previous Forecast Previous Forecast Model Preference: ECM Ensemble CHANGES: The precipitation outlook is wetter in the far western Midwest. Temperatures are unchanged. CROP IMPACT: Showers in the Plains would slow winter wheat drydown and harvesting. Showers in the Delta and far southwestern Midwest would improve moisture for corn and soybeans, but drier weather in the central and eastern Midwest would allow moisture shortages to build again. RISKS: There is a wetter risk in the northern Midwest. CONFIDENCE: Confidence in the temperature outlook is above normal. Confidence in the precipitation outlook is near normal. MODEL PREFERENCE: ECM ensemble 11-15 Day Forecast: Mon Jul 4-Fri Jul 8 MDA 11-15 Day Temperature Forecast Wetter southern Midwest, central Plains MDA 11-15 Day Precipitation Forecast Previous Forecast Previous Forecast Model Preference: ECM Ensemble CHANGES: The precipitation outlook is wetter in the southern Midwest and central Plains, and drier in the southern Delta. Temperatures are unchanged. CROP IMPACT: Continued drier weather in the central and northwestern Midwest will allow moisture shortages and stress on corn and soybeans to increase further. However, showers in the southern Midwest and northern Delta would improve moisture and crop conditions. Showers in the southern Plains would once again slow winter wheat harvesting. RISKS: There is a drier risk in the southern Plains. CONFIDENCE: Confidence in the temperature outlook is above normal. Confidence in the precipitation outlook is near normal. MODEL PREFERENCE: ECM ensemble
United States The Midwest corn/soybean/wheat belt is unchanged today. PAST 24 HOURS: Showers favored Kentucky and southern Ohio yesterday. 5 DAY FORECAST: A few showers should favor far southwestern and northwestern areas today, then build further in northwestern areas on Saturday, and north central and northeastern areas on Sunday. Showers should end in far southern areas on Tuesday. CROP IMPACT: Showers in northern areas through the weekend will further improve moisture for corn and soybeans. Showers in central and southern areas will likely remain light, and are thus not expected to significantly improve conditions. The Delta corn/soybean/wheat belt is drier today. PAST 24 HOURS: Dry weather prevailed yesterday. 5 DAY FORECAST: Dry weather should prevail through Sunday. Showers should return to the region Monday and Tuesday. CROP IMPACT: Drier weather through the weekend will allow moisture to decline. However, an upturn in rains early next week will increase moisture a bit. The Northern Plains wheat belt is unchanged today. The Plains wheat belt is unchanged today. PAST 24 HOURS: Dry weather prevailed yesterday. 5 DAY FORECAST: Showers should favor northern Montana, northern North Dakota, and northern Minnesota today and Saturday, then return to South Dakota on Tuesday. CROP IMPACT: Additional rains across northern areas Friday and Saturday will maintain favorable moisture for spring wheat growth. Moisture continues to decline in South Dakota and southern North Dakota, although some improvements will be possible there by Tuesday. PAST 24 HOURS: Showers favored south central Kansas and southwestern Nebraska yesterday. 5 DAY FORECAST: A few showers should favor central areas through Monday, then favor northern and southeastern areas on Tuesday. CROP IMPACT: Showers across central areas through early next week should result in only minor delays to winter wheat drydown and harvesting. United States % Precipitation Coverage Past 24 Hour Midwest Midwest Midwest Plains Delta Delta Delta N. Plains W. Corn Soybeans W. Corn Soybeans S. > 6 mm (0.25") 32% 13% 15% 16% 9% 14% 6% 0% > 25 mm (1.0") 8% 2% 3% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% Corn Areas Soybean Areas W. United States % Precipitation Coverage 5 Day Forecast Midwest Midwest Midwest Plains Delta Delta Delta N. Plains W. Corn Soybeans W. Corn Soybeans S. > 6 mm (0.25") 58% 50% 47% 81% 64% 55% 65% 68% > 25 mm (1.0") 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 16%
Past 24 Hour Precipitation Totals (inches) Previous Forecast 24 Hour Precipitation MDA Precipitation Forecast Friday, June 24, 2016 Saturday, June 25, 2016 Sunday, June 26, 2016 Monday, June 27, 2016 Tuesday, June 28, 2016 5 Day Total
Maximum Temperature Past 24 Hours Previous Forecast 24 Hour Maximum Temperature MDA Maximum Temperature Forecast Friday, June 24, 2016 Saturday, June 25, 2016 Sunday, June 26, 2016 Monday, June 27, 2016 Tuesday, June 28, 2016 5 Day Total
Argentina The Argentina wheat belt forecast is unchanged today. Argentina % Precipitation Coverage Argentina % Precipitation Coverage Past 24 Hours W. Corn Soybeans 5 Day Forecast W. Corn Soybeans > 6 mm (0.25") 0% 0% 0% > 6 mm (0.25") 100% 99% 100% > 25 mm (1.0") 0% 0% 0% > 25 mm (1.0") 32% 57% 57% Argentina Crop Areas PAST 24 HOURS: Dry weather prevailed yesterday. 5 DAY FORECAST: Showers should return to Cordoba, Santa Fe, Entre Rios, northeastern La Pampa, and Buenos Aires through Tuesday. 6-10 DAY: The 6-10 day outlook is drier in western areas. CROP IMPACT: Abundant rains across northern and eastern areas this weekend and early next week should finally improve moisture which will favor winter wheat growth. RISKS: There is a wetter risk in eastern Buenos Aires in the 6-10 day period. Corn Areas Soybean Areas Brazil The Brazil corn/soybean belt forecast is unchanged today. Brazil % Precipitation Coverage Brazil % Precipitation Coverage Past 24 Hours W. Corn Soybeans 5 Day Forecast W. Corn Soybeans > 6 mm (0.25") 0% 1% 1% > 6 mm (0.25") 13% 5% 4% > 25 mm (1.0") 0% 1% 1% > 25 mm (1.0") 9% 2% 2% Brazil Crop Areas PAST 24 HOURS: Dry weather prevailed yesterday. 5 DAY FORECAST: A few showers should favor far southwestern Rio Grande do Sul through Tuesday. 6-10 DAY: The 6-10 day outlook is unchanged. CROP IMPACT: Drier weather across south central areas through next week will allow any wetness to ease and will also favor corn drydown. Maturation should continue to progress well in northern areas. RISKS: There is a wetter risk in eastern Minas Gerais through Tuesday. Corn Areas Soybean Areas
Europe The Europe wheat/rapeseed belt forecast is unchanged today. Europe % Precipitation Coverage Europe % Precipitation Coverage Past 24 Hours W. Corn Rapeseed 5 Day Forecast W. Corn Rapeseed > 6 mm (0.25") 11% 4% 16% > 6 mm (0.25") 51% 63% 82% > 25 mm (1.0") 2% 1% 4% > 25 mm (1.0") 6% 3% 12% Corn Areas Europe Crop Areas PAST 24 HOURS: Showers favored northern Germany and southeastern UK yesterday. 5 DAY FORECAST: Rains will favor eastern France, northern UK, northern Germany, Poland, Scandinavia, Czech-Slovak Republics, Hungary, Romania, and Italy through Tuesday. 6-10 DAY: The 6-10 day outlook is wetter in eastern France, southern Germany, and western Poland. CROP IMPACT: Showers in northern Germany, Scandinavia, northern UK, Slovak Republic, and southeastern Poland should continue to improve moisture. However, dryness will persist in central and southern Spain. Some wetness will continue in northeastern France and southwestern Germany. Temperatures remain quite warm across much of the region, but should cool a bit in western areas through next week. RISKS: There is a wetter risk in Bulgaria through Tuesday. Black Sea Region Black Sea % Precipitation Coverage Past 24 Hours W. S. Corn Sunflower > 6 mm (0.25") 11% 11% 10% 8% > 25 mm (1.0") 1% 1% 2% 2% Black Sea Crop Areas Black Sea % Precipitation Coverage 5 Day Forecast W. S. Corn Sunflower > 6 mm (0.25") 24% 76% 11% 23% > 25 mm (1.0") 2% 16% 0% 1% The Black Sea wheat belt forecast is unchanged today. PAST 24 HOURS: Showers favored eastern Volga Valley, southern North Caucasus, and northern Kazakhstan yesterday. 5 DAY FORECAST: Showers will favor southwestern Ukraine, northern Volga Valley, northeastern Kazakhstan, and Western Siberia through Tuesday. 6-10 DAY: The 6-10 day outlook is wetter in central Ukraine. CROP IMPACT: Dryness will continue to build across Belarus, eastern Ukraine, northern North Caucasus, western Volga Valley, and southeastern Central Region as dry and warm conditions persist there. Showers in central and southwestern Ukraine later next week will maintain favorable moisture there. Temperatures remain warm across much of the region. RISKS: There is a wetter risk in northern Ukraine and Central Region through Tuesday.
China China % Precipitation Coverage Past 24 Hours W. Corn Rapeseed Soybeans > 6 mm (0.25") 63% 40% 39% 39% > 25 mm (1.0") 43% 16% 31% 14% China Crop Areas Corn Areas Soybean Areas China % Precipitation Coverage 5 Day Forecast W. Corn Rapeseed Soybeans > 6 mm (0.25") 53% 64% 88% 84% > 25 mm (1.0") 33% 18% 61% 36% The China corn/soybean belt forecast is unchanged today. PAST 24 HOURS: Showers favored North China Plain, northwestern Yangtze Valley, and eastern and northern Northeast China yesterday. 5 DAY FORECAST: Rains will favor Yangtze Valley and Northeast China through Tuesday. 6-10 DAY: The 6-10 day outlook is wetter in southeastern Yangtze Valley. CROP IMPACT: Rains continued to ease remaining dryness in northeastern North China Plain yesterday. Additional showers in western Yangtze Valley will further improve moisture there. However, heavy rains in central and eastern Yangtze Valley will allow wetness to expand a bit. Also, some wetness will continue in northern Northeast China. RISKS: There is a wetter risk in northwestern North China Plain through Tuesday. Southeast Asia SE Asia % Precipitation Coverage Past 24 Hours Palm > 6 mm (0.25") 29% > 25 mm (1.0") 10% Southeast Asia Crop Areas Palm Areas SE Asia % Precipitation Coverage 5 Day Forecast Palm > 6 mm (0.25") 95% > 25 mm (1.0") 36% The Southeast Asia palm oil belt forecast is unchanged today. PAST 24 HOURS: Showers favored northern Sumatra, southern Malay Peninsula, and central East Malaysia yesterday. 5 DAY FORECAST: Rains will favor south central Sumatra, East Malaysia, and Kalimantan through Tuesday. 6-10 DAY: The 6-10 day outlook is wetter in Kalimantan and East Malaysia. CROP IMPACT: Spotty dryness continues in south central Sumatra and central East Malaysia. Some slight improvements will be possible in southern Sumatra through the weekend, but dryness in central East Malaysia will likely continue. Also, moisture will decline a bit in Malay Peninsula and northern Sumatra. RISKS: There is a drier risk in East Malaysia in the 6-10 day period. CONFIDENCE: Slightly below normal.
Australia The Australia wheat belt forecast is unchanged today. Australia % Precipitation Coverage Australia % Precipitation Coverage Past 24 Hours W. Barley Sorghum 5 Day Forecast W. Barley Sorghum > 6 mm (0.25") 26% 26% 27% > 6 mm (0.25") 14% 14% 0% > 25 mm (1.0") 0% 0% 0% > 25 mm (1.0") 0% 0% 0% Australia Crop Areas PAST 24 HOURS: Showers favored southern South Australia, Victoria, and eastern New South Wales yesterday. 5 DAY FORECAST: Showers should favor southern Queensland and eastern New South Wales through Tuesday. 6-10 DAY: The 6-10 day outlook is unchanged. CROP IMPACT: Moisture remains adequate across nearly all of the winter wheat belt, and crop conditions should remain favorable. RISKS: There is a wetter risk in southeastern Queensland through Tuesday. India The India soybean/groundnut belt forecast is unchanged today. India % Precipitation Coverage Past 24 Hours W. Soybeans Groundnuts > 6 mm (0.25") 11% 18% 27% > 25 mm (1.0") 11% 14% 24% India Crop Areas Soy Areas India % Precipitation Coverage 5 Day Forecast W. Soybeans Groundnuts > 6 mm (0.25") 86% 96% 100% > 25 mm (1.0") 50% 76% 100% PAST 24 HOURS: Showers favored central Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, and northern Andhra Pradesh yesterday. 5 DAY FORECAST: Rains should be widespread across much of the region through Tuesday. 6-10 DAY: The 6-10 day outlook is wetter in eastern areas. CROP IMPACT: Abundant rains across much of the region through next week will further improve moisture for groundnut and soybean germination and early growth. Moisture should remain adequate in south central areas as well. RISKS: There is a drier risk in Gujarat through Tuesday. Groundnut Areas
Canadian Prairies Canada % Precipitation Coverage Past 24 Hour S. > 6 mm (0.25") 0% > 25 mm (1.0") 0% Canadian Prairies Crop Areas and Canola Areas Canada % Precipitation Coverage 5 Day Forecast S. > 6 mm (0.25") 97% > 25 mm (1.0") 41% The Canadian Prairies wheat/canola belt forecast is unchanged today. PAST 24 HOURS: Showers favored central Alberta yesterday. 5 DAY FORECAST: Showers should favor Alberta and northern Saskatchewan today, then spread across much of the region Saturday. Showers should linger in Manitoba and Alberta on Sunday. Dry weather should return Monday, with a few showers possible in southern Alberta on Tuesday. 6-10 DAY: The 6-10 day outlook is wetter in central Saskatchewan and central Alberta. CROP IMPACT: Spotty dryness continues in central Manitoba, east central Saskatchewan, and southern Alberta, but abundant showers there through the weekend should improve conditions for spring wheat and canola. RISKS: There is a drier risk in Saskatchewan in the 6-10 day period.