BP PTA Advantaged Proven Technology

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Transcription:

BP PTA Advantaged Proven Technology IOCL Conclave, Mumbai, February 2016 Zhuhai 3 BP Petrochemicals 1

Disclaimer Copyright 2016 BP Amoco Chemical Company. All rights reserved. Contents of this presentation do not necessarily reflect the Company s views. This presentation and its contents have been provided to you for informational purposes only. This information is not advice on or a recommendation of any of the matters described herein or any related commercial transactions. BP is not responsible for any inaccuracies in the information contained herein. BP makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, regarding the accuracy, adequacy, reasonableness or completeness of the information, assumptions or analysis contained herein or in any supplemental materials, and BP accepts no liability in connection therewith. BP deals and trades in energy related products and may have positions consistent with or different from those implied or suggested by this presentation. This presentation also contains forward-looking statements. Any statements that are not historical facts, including statements about BP's beliefs or expectations, are forward-looking statements. These statements are based mostly on publicly available information, estimates and projections and you should not place undue reliance on them. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to predict. Therefore, actual future results and trends may differ materially from what is forecast, suggested or implied in any forward-looking statements in this presentation due to a variety of factors. Factors which could cause actual results to differ from these forward-looking statements may include, without limitation, general economic conditions; conditions in the markets; behaviour of customers, suppliers, and competitors; technological developments; the implementation and execution of new processes; and changes to legal, tax, and regulatory rules. The foregoing list of factors should not be construed as exhaustive. BP disclaims any intention or obligation to publicly or privately update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Participants should seek their own advice and guidance from appropriate legal, tax, financial and trading professionals when making decisions as to positions to take in the market. 2

Technology is Critical to the Future A world leading methanol carbonylation technology for the production of acetic acid, with lowest capital and variable costs BP PTA A world leading PTA technology with clear capital, operating and environmental advantages PX A world leading PX technology with the lowest variable and capital cost Technology deployed at: 1 wholly owned site in Europe 5 JVs in Asia 2 third party licenses Assessment on-going for deployment of Cativa XL and SaaBre technologies Technology deployed at: 3 wholly owned sites in Europe and the US 1 wholly owned in Indonesia 1 JV in China 1 JV in Taiwan Latest generation technology, BP PTA, deployed at Zhuhai #3, China 3 third party licenses granted Technology deployed at: 3 wholly owned sites in Europe and the US Significant next generation technology in development 2 third party licenses sold BP s latest breakthrough technology for the production of Acetic Acid 3

BP PTA Technology BP is a PTA industry leader with 50 years of investment and commitment BP PTA is the lowest cost commercially proven technology available today BP PTA licensing offer BP PTA, latest generation PTA technology deployed at Zhuhai Advantages of licensing a commercially proven technology Exclusive Alliance with Technip for FEED There is more: BP PTA + 4

1954 1955 1956 1967 1969 1978 1979 1982 1989 1994 1997 2003 2008 2012 2014 2015 50 year History of BP in PTA TA process invented by Mid-Century Patent for PX into PTA AMOCO acquired the technology First PTA unit at Decatur PTA production in Geel, Belgium World s largest PTA plant at Cooper River First PTA plant in Asia -CAPCO SPC inkorea CAPCO Expansion PT AMI JV in Merak Zhuhai-I Zhuhai-2 JBF License PT AMI share acquisition Geel Expansion Zhuhai-3 Technology development US & Europe as manufacturing center Asia growth Asia balanced China expansion Total PTA Capacity = 79 mtepa, ~ 7 mtepa BP owned (100% or JV) A leader in PTA technology, manufacturing excellence and licensing Licensed +45 * PTA plants globally, ~ 13 mtepa (9.5 mtepa operational) * Excludes the three licenses signed since 2012 and MCI licensed capacity Data Source: PCI 4Q 2015 PX & Derivatives Demand Supply Report 5

BP PTA the most advantaged commercially proven technology Commercially Proven Technology Track record of successful technology development, commercialisation and flawless project execution - deployed at company owned sites, most recently Zhuhai, China 50 years of owner / operator experience & licensing successes Long term commitment, in-house investments +$200m Material R&D spend with a staff of 150 scientists, ~ 200 Patents, progressive technology innovation BP PTA Distinction par excellence with high reliability and availability (compared to conventional PTA technology) $100 120m Lower Capital Costs Reduced ISBL footprint, capacity per metre square efficiency improved by 400% 30 % less equipment (160 fewer pieces of equipment ) $60/te Lower Variable Costs = $75m/year for 1.25 mtepa Exothermic heat recovery and integration Recycle process stream Operation optimisation expertise Distinctive Environmental Performance 65% lower GHG emissions 75% lower water discharge 95% lower solid waste disposal 6

BP PTA Technology Licensing Offer BP Distinctive Licensing offer Proven technology at Zhuhai 3 50 years of operator experience Access to: Extensive technical support services Capability / best practices Knowledge management Continuous improvement Ongoing technology development Extensive patent portfolio Delivered through BP s exclusive strategic alliance with Technip Licensing Success BP has won three licenses since the decision to reenter licensing business 7

Zhuhai 1 Zhuhai 2 Zhuhai 3 BP PTA Technology: Zhuhai journey from 2000 to 2015 350 to 600 ktepa Focus on capital Costs Major process simplification 40% fewer pieces of equipment 40% smaller plot plan 75% less process wastewater 40% less solid waste Demonstrated at Zhuhai 1 and CAPCO 6, JVs (2003) Some parts of Technology implemented at existing PTA assets 900 to 1100 ktepa Lowest capital and variable cost PTA plant in the world single train Capitalize on economies of scale Additional plot plan reduction Over 50% reduction in fuel Net generator of electricity Technology allows more local sourcing of equipment 50 % reduction in GHG 1,250 ktepa Further process simplification lowest cost producer in the world Product on-spec within 24 hours 100% Operating rates 99.2% Reliability Variable cost already lowest in the world and still reducing through optimization 25% reduction in Capital cost compared to conventional technology 44% reduction in variable costs vs. Zhuhai1 33% reduction in variable costs vs. Zhuhai2 8

Cost per Capacity (USD/kte)) PTA Technology - Driving Capital Efficiency Engineering, Procurement, and Construction Normalized Costs Z1 X C6 X Z2 SOX Z3 BP PTA Generating scale advantage Reduced Equipment count BP evolving PTA technology Other PTA technology Plant Capacity (kte) Improved Plot Plan Efficiency: Capacity per square metre 15% local equipment 60% local equipment 85% local equipment Local Equipment Sourcing 9

Inherently Safe Design (ISD) principles applied at Zhuhai 2 & 3 Enhanced Oxidation Reactor Safety System System Automation & Automation Process & Simplification Process Simplification Reduced caustic washing Reduced Caustic Washing Fully HAZOPed Design design & PSV Sizing Sizing Fewer on-site chemicals Chemicals Elimination of of Titanium Combustion combustion hazard Hazard 10

Zhuhai 2 at > 90% Utilization through downturn Utilization Rate 94% 94% 88% 84% 82% 78% 2013 2014 2015 BP Advanced Technology PTA Industry Zhuhai 2 has been consistently operating safely at >95% Reliability Utilisation at Zhuhai 2 is > 90% due to low costs whilst most of China is at ~ 80% through downturn 10% increase in Utilisation for 1.25 mtepa = +130 ktepa 11

Advantages of a commercially proven technology Substantial lead over best demonstrated competitor technology Z2, Z3, and BP PTA+ all maintain an advantage over any new & unproven technology. BP actual advantage is likely to be higher given new technology risks. Based on BP experience and industry data, new technology will have a $15/ton higher VC for at least 3 years until new technology issues are resolved. 12

New Technology Commercialization Risks Proven Technology New/Unproven Technology Startup Duration (Median) Startup Duration Variability Initial Operability After Startup 1 month 4 months 85% within 6 months 85% within 14 months 93+% 60% On average, each new step reduces operability by 14 percent in months following the initial start up period. Facilities with three or more new steps are at a much higher risk of outright failure At $100/ton margin, every month of delayed startup is >$10m loss. Data Source : IPA report for BP on New Technology Commercialization Risks, 2000 13

BP / Technip Alliance Alliance since 1999 and applies to fully owned/ JVs plants / third party licenses applications 8000 ktepa of PTA based upon BP technology engineered by Technip over 20 projects Technip develops on an exclusive basis the FEED to be included in the BP License Package Fully integrated BP / Technip Team A Technip PTA Village which is preserved to maintain and improve expertise Injection in the FEED package of the Technip EPC experience Supporting BP with engineering of R&D ideas within a technology continuous improvement framework Technip could provide, if selected by licensee as (BP preferred) EPC contractor, schedule and cost advantages, technical integrity assurance and risk management adapting to any local requirement 14

BP PTA Enhancements: BP PTA+ BP PTA+ is the next generation of PTA technology beyond Zhuhai #3 Current variable cost improvement is > $10/ton over Zhuhai #3, further extending BP s advantage over other technologies BP PTA+ is a series of incremental engineering evolutions of the Zhuhai #3 technology BP PTA+ also incorporates equipment improvements based on learnings from Zhuhai#3 BP PTA+ will be the standard BP License offer at the end of Q1 2016. BP is 10+ years and 2 generations of technology ahead. All changes to the proven technology will further lower variable costs! 15

Summary Global PTA industry is experiencing a protracted down-turn due to overcapacity in Asia; cost leadership is critical to be competitive in the long term Distinctive technology offered by experienced owner, operator and licensor: Commitment to the PTA industry and technology Capital cost advantage of $100 120m compared to conventional technology Variable cost advantage of $60/te, $75m/year compared to conventional technology Distinctive environmental performance Technical Services, knowledge management, continuous improvement Licensing offer is a proven technology that is in operation today at Zhuhai, China 16

BP PTA Advantaged Proven Technology IOCL Conclave, Mumbai, February 2016 Zhuhai 3 BP Petrochemicals 17