New York Analyst Day November 13, 28
Safe Harbor Before we proceed with our presentation, we would like to point out that the following discussion will contain forward-looking statements from industry consultants, Qualcomm, and others regarding industry trends, anticipated future results and product availability, potential market size, market shares, and other factors which inherently involve risks and uncertainties, including the rate of development, deployment and commercial acceptance of CDMA- and OFDMA- based networks and technology and fluctuations in the demand for CDMA- and OFDMA- based products, services or applications. These and other risks and uncertainties relating to Qualcomm s business are outlined in detail in our most recent 1-Q and 1-K forms filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Please consult those documents for a more complete understanding of these risks and uncertainties. This presentation includes a discussion of "non-gaap financial measures" as that term is defined in Regulation G. The most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and information reconciling these non-gaap financial measures to the company's financial results prepared in accordance with GAAP have been included at the end of this presentation.
Steve Altman President
3G Today: 55 Commercial 3G Operators in ~14 Countries CDMA2: 27+ Total operators 1xEV-DO: 1 operators Rev A: 4 operators WCDMA: 235+ Total operators HSDPA: 22+ operators HSUPA: 5+ operators Source: Wireless Intelligence, CDG and GSA
3G CDMA Global Handset Shipments are Forecast to Reach Nearly a Billion by 213 (Millions) 1,8 1,6 1,4 1,2 1, 8 Total Handsets 3G 4% CAGR 17% CAGR 6 4 2 35% 41% 47% 52% 58% 63% 28 29 21 211 212 213 Note: 3G includes CDMA2, WCDMA and TD-SCDMA Source: 3G Handsets: Average of Strategy Analytics (July 28), IDC (June28), ABI (June 28), Gartner (Dec 27), Yankee Group (June 28), WCIS (May 28) and Forward Concepts (June 28); Total Handsets: Average of Strategy Analytics (July 28), Gartner (Dec 27), IDC (June 28), Ovum (Mar 28), Yankee Group (June 28), WCIS (May 28) and Forward Concepts (June 28)
3G CDMA Global Handset Revenue is Forecast to Reach More Than $16 Billion by 211 US$ (Billions) 25 2 3G share of total handset revenue 15 68% 77% 8% 1 5 59% 53% 46% 35% 23% 31% 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 Note: 3G includes CDMA2, WCDMA and TD-SCDMA Source: Yankee Group (October 28)
Lower Priced Handsets A Key Driver of Market Growth $367 $311 WCDMA Lowest Price $287 $272 $254 $27 $217 $141 $129 $141 $128 $128 $135 $15 $124 $78 $67 $53 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 24 25 26 27 28 Note: WCDMA Phones Sold per Calendar Quarter; lowest price represents complete phones sold in quantities of approx 5, units or higher Data derived from licensee reports. Does not include modules or modems. Source: QUALCOMM Incorporated
Smartphone Percentage of Total Shipments Worldwide 22-212 SMARTPHONE DEVICES FORECAST TO BE MORE THAN 32% OF TOTAL SHIPMENTS BY 212 (Millions) 1,6 1,4 1,2 Smartphones Total Handsets 1, 8 6 4 2 32% 27% 23% 19% 14% 1% 5% 7% 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 Sources: Smartphone Forecast - ABI - Smartphone and OS Markets (Q1 28) Total Handsets: Average of Strategy Analytics (July 28), Gartner (Dec 27), IDC (June 28), Ovum (Mar 28), Yankee Group (June 28), WCIS (May 28) and Forward Concepts (June 28)
Operators Worldwide Show Strong Data Growth Data Revenues +5% Data Revenues +44% Data Revenues +42% Data Revenues +5% 664M $1.5B $2.8B $2.7B 441M $1.1B $2.B $1.8B June Qtr 7 June Qtr 8 FY7 FY8 Q3 7 Q3 8 Q3 7 Q3 8 British Austr. $ U.S. $ U.S. $ Source: Verizon, Vodafone Group, AT&T, Telstra
Handset Shipment Growth: Developing Regions GSM v. CDMA-Based Latin America 28 to 213 CDMA Growth: 456% Units (Millio 16 12 8 4 17M 84% 21M 16% 44M 28% 114M 72% India 28 to 213 CDMA Growth: 213% Units (Millio 2 15 1 5 71M 68% 34M 32% CDMA-Based GSM 67M 39% 15M 61% 28 29 21 211 212 213 28 29 21 211 212 213 China 28 to 213 CDMA Growth: 396% 2 16 11M 82% 23M 18% 52M 32% 114M 68% Units (Millio 12 8 4 Source: WCIS+ (October 28) 28 29 21 211 212 213
Handset Shipment Growth: Developed Regions GSM v. CDMA-Based CDMA-Based GSM North America 28 to 213 CDMA Growth: 62% 2 39M 25% 117M 75% Units (Millio 16 12 8 4 28 29 21 211 212 213 7M 3% 188M 97% Europe 28 to 213 CDMA Growth: 172% Units (Millio 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 17M 55% 138M 45% 28 29 21 211 212 213 42M 1% 376M 9% Japan 28 to 213 CDMA Growth: 2% Korea 28 to 213 CDMA Growth: 16% 7 6 56M 57M 3 25 22M 25M Units (Millio 5 4 3 2 Units (Millio 2 15 1 1 5 28 29 21 211 212 213 28 29 21 211 212 213 Source: WCIS+ (October 28)
Qualcomm s Unique Patent Position PATENT PORTFOLIO IS A STRONG ASSET VALUE Industry recognized patent portfolio essential for all 3G CDMA and 4G OFDMA standards Patents essential/applicable to GSM/GPRS/EDGE products Cumulative U.S. Patents (Excludes non-u.s. pending and granted patents) ~ 8.9K Granted Total (Granted & Pending) ~ 6.7K Cumulative Worldwide Granted & Pending Patents ~ 53K ~ 2.4K ~ 2.9K ~ 17K Oct'7 Oct '8 Oct 8
Qualcomm Patent Portfolio Grows Extensively While Royalty Rate Has Not Increased Royalty rate QUALCOMM s Standard Patent CDMA Portfolio royalty rate of < 5% has not increased Growing portfolio is licensed New licensed innovations may be incorporated into licensed products with no increase in standard rate * Standard Royalty Rate: < 5% ~8.9K 1991 1996 1997 1998 1999 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 YTD Cum US Patents (Granted and Pending) Cumulative Patents (Granted & Pending) * Standard Royalty Rate: < 5% of the wholesale selling price of complete CDMA handsets in commercial volumes
How Qualcomm's CDMA Licenses Generally Work For Multi-Mode Subscriber Equipment Licensed and Royalty Bearing Under Qualcomm CDMA License Agreements Generally Not Covered by Qualcomm CDMA License Agreements CDMA-Only Subscriber Unit Multi- Mode Subscriber Unit (CDMA and e.g. GSM, OFDMA) Non-CDMA Subscriber Unit (e.g GSM, OFDMA) Qualcomm CDMA license to make, use and sell subscriber equipment incorporating a CDMA air interface, including multi-mode subscriber units
WCDMA Subscriber Unit License Extensions 95+ WCDMA Subscriber Unit License Agreements Only two licensees WCDMA Subscriber Unit royalty obligations will expire prior to November 217 These two licensees will require an extension The vast majority of our WCDMA Subscriber Unit licensees, including some of the largest handset manufacturers, are licensed for all present and future WCDMA essential Qualcomm patents
Nokia Agreement New long term agreement through 222 US $2.5B non-refundable payment to QC Nokia will pay ongoing royalties for its sales of CDMA, WCDMA, TD-SCDMA and OFDMA (including LTE and WiMax) subscriber products 12 patent families assigned to Qualcomm (more than 85 patents and applications) Nokia agreed not to assert its patents against Qualcomm chipsets/software and certain other businesses (e.g., services) Nokia committed to limit the royalties that it charges Qualcomm's chipset customers for claimed essential GSM, WCDMA, CDMA2 and OFDMA patents
Nokia Patents Assigned to Qualcomm # of Patents 57 31 192 15 117 52 2G/GSM 3G 4G Granted Patents Pending Applications Nokia assigned 12 patent families to Qualcomm Assigned patent families are broadly filed worldwide and include more than 7 granted patents and more than 15 pending applications Assigned patents apply to a wide variety of technologies/standards, including GSM/GPRS/EDGE, WCDMA, CDMA2 and OFDMA-based standards Note: Many of the patents and applications apply to more than one technology category. In cases where a patent or application applies to more than one technology category, the patent or application was included in each technology category above to which it applies.
Licensing Business Positioned Well For the Future 155+ Licensees in place for CDMA and WCDMA products 8 royalty-bearing licenses already in place for OFDMA Includes two major handset manufacturers (including Nokia) 1+ years of OFDMA related research and development leading to over 1,7 issued U.S. patents and pending patent applications applicable to OFDM/OFDMA Technology and Standards leadership
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