SIA ANALYST/MEDIA BRIEFING FY2014/15 Results 15 May 2015 THE PARENT AIRLINE FY2014/15 RESULTS



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Transcription:

SIA ANALYST/MEDIA BRIEFING FY2014/15 Results 15 May 2015 THE PARENT AIRLINE FY2014/15 RESULTS 1

THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY OPERATING PERFORMANCE FY2014/15 4Q/14 % Change 14/15 % Change Available Seat-KM (million) 29,091-0.9 120,001-0.4 Revenue Pax-KM (million) 22,144-2.0 94,209-0.9 Passenger Load Factor (%) 76.1-0.9 pt 78.5-0.4 pt Slide 3 THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY OPERATING PERFORMANCE FY2014/15 4Q/14 % Change 14/15 % Change Passenger Yield ( /pkm) 11.4 +2.7 11.2 +0.9 Slide 4 2

THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY RESULTS FY2014/15 Monthly Pax Yields (Including Fuel Surcharge) /pkm 12 FY12/13 FY13/14 FY14/15 11 11.4 11.2 11.1 10.9 11.1 10.7 11.6 11.2 10.9 11.6 11.3 11.3 11.3 10.8 10.8 11.2 10.8 10.7 11.5 11.1 11.5 11.4 11.4 11.4 11.4 11.4 11.2 11.3 11.1 11.1 11.3 11.0 10.9 10 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Slide 5 THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY OPERATING PERFORMANCE FY2014/15 4Q/14 % Change 14/15 % Change Passenger Yield ( /pkm) Passenger Unit Cost ( /ask) 11.4 +2.7 11.2 +0.9 9.0-2.2 8.9-2.2 Passenger Unit Ex- Fuel Cost ( /ask) 5.5 +3.8 5.2 +2.0 Passenger Breakeven Load Factor (%) 78.9-4.0 pts 79.5-2.5 pts Slide 6 3

THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY OPERATING PERFORMANCE % 90 Passenger Load Factor Breakeven Load Factor 85 80 75 78.5 74.8 +3.7 78.0 77.4-0.6 80.7 79.3-1.4 82.0-3.1 79.5 78.9 78.5-1.0 70 65 60 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 Slide 7 THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY RESULTS FY2014/15 4Q/14 $million Better/ (Worse) $million 14/15 $million Better/ (Worse) $million Total Revenue 3,002 54 12,418 (61) Total Expenditure 2,932 76 12,078 146 - Fuel Cost 724 456 4,079 764 - Fuel Hedging Loss 287 (311) 457 (528) -Ex-fuel Cost 1,921 (69) 7,542 (90) Operating Profit 70 130 340 85 Operating Profit Margin (%) 2.3 4.3 pts 2.7 0.7 pt Slide 8 4

THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY COST COMPOSITION FY2014/15 Passenger Costs 676.7 (+0.1% pt) AMO Costs 655.7 (-0.1% pt) LPO* Charges 594.8 (-) Staff 1,540.2 (-) Fuel Cost Post Hedging 4,536.2 (-1.5% pts) Handling Charges 876.2 (+0.1% pt) Others 1,280.5 (+0.5% pt) Aircraft Depreciation & Lease Rentals 1,917.9 (+0.9% pt) *Landing, Parking and Overflying Slide 9 THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY FUEL PRICE AND EXPENDITURE - TREND Fuel Cost after hedging Fuel Price before hedging Fuel Price after hedging ($ million) (USD/BBL) 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 100 99 94 90 98 93 88 90 119 851 939 899 924 1,043 115 Fuel Price After Hedging 136 135 1,205 133 127 126 124 123 121 123 124 121 122 400 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 Slide 10 1,268 1,174 1,156 1,150 1,194 102 1,182 103 74 1,011 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 5

THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY FUEL EXPENDITURE FY2014/15 $M 5,000 4,500 4,772-91 1.9% Lower uplift Lower weighted average fuel price Hedging loss vs gain last year +47 Stronger US Dollar +14 Others 4,536-236 (-4.9%) 4,000-734 +528 FY13/14 Volume Price Hedging Exchange Others FY14/15 Slide 11 THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY UNIT COST ANALYSIS FY2014/15 /ask 10 8 6 9.1 8.9 4.0 Unit Fuel Cost 3.7 (-7.5%) 4 1.3 Unit Staff Cost 1.3 (-) 2 3.8 Unit Other Cost 3.9 (+2.6%) Slide 12 0 13/14 14/15 6

SIA GROUP FY2014/15 RESULTS GROUP REVENUE FY2014/15 ($ million) 4,000 3,840 3,750 3,682 3,500 FY13/14 3,901 3,905 FY14/15 4,099 3,914 3,875 3,880 3,708 3,628 Full Year Revenue $15,209M $15,566M Year-on-Year $35M $322M -0.2% +2.1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Slide 14 7

GROUP EXPENDITURE FY2014/15 ($ million) 4,000 3,758 3,750 3,642 3,500 FY13/14 3,814 3,773 FY14/15 3,953 3,788 3,772 3,724 3,689 3,603 Full Year Expenditure $14,790M $15,156M Year-on-Year $171M $195M +1.1% -1.3% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Slide 15 GROUP OPERATING PROFIT FY2014/15 ($ million) 1,500 1,271 Full Year Op Profit $419M $410M 1,000 Year-on-Year $160M $151M +61.8% +58.3% 500 286 229 259 410 419 410 0 Slide 16 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 8

CONTRIBUTION TO GROUP OPERATING PROFIT FY2014/15 ($ million) 14/15 13/14 Change % Change Singapore Airlines 340 256 + 84 + 32.8 SIA Engineering 84 116-32 - 27.6 SilkAir 41 35 + 6 + 17.1 SIA Cargo (22) (100) + 78 + 78.0 Slide 17 GROUP NET PROFIT FY2014/15 ($ million) Full Year Net Profit $368M 1,250 1,092 1,000 750 Year-on-Year + $9M +2.5% 500 336 379 359 368 250 0 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 Slide 18 9

GROUP PROFIT ATTRIBUTABLE TO OWNERS OF PARENT FY2014/15 ($ million) 600 Higher operating profit Higher share of losses 500 Lower share of profits +73-93 400 300 359 +151-84 -42 Gain vs loss last year Expense vs credit last year +4 368 +9 (+2.5%) 0 FY13/14 Operating profit Associates JVs Exceptional items Tax Others FY14/15 Slide 19 FLEET DEVELOPMENT SIA No. of Aircraft Operating Fleet at 31 March 15 IN: Delivery of A350-900 Delivery of A330-300 Entry of A330-300 into service Delivery of B777-300ER OUT: Decommissioned A330-300 Decommissioned B777-300 Decommissioned B777-200 Decommissioned B777-200ER Operating Fleet at 31 March 16 105 + 3 + 3 + 1 + 2-4 - 1-2 -1 106 Slide 20 10

FLEET DEVELOPMENT SLK Operating Fleet at 31 March 15 No. of Aircraft 27 IN: Delivery of B737-800 + 5 OUT: Decommissioned A320-200 Decommissioned A319-100 - 2-1 Operating Fleet at 31 March 16 29 Slide 21 FLEET DEVELOPMENT SCOOT Operating Fleet at 31 March 15 No. of Aircraft 6 IN: Delivery of B787-8 Delivery of B787-9 OUT: Decommissioned B777-200 Operating Fleet at 31 March 16 + 5 + 4-4 11 Slide 22 11

FLEET DEVELOPMENT TIGER Operating Fleet at 31 March 15 OUT: Decommissioned A320 Operating Fleet at 31 March 16 No. of Aircraft 24-1 23 Slide 23 GROUP CAPITAL EXPENDITURE FY15/16 FY16/17 FY17/18 FY18/19 FY19/20 Aircraft 2,700 3,000 4,400 4,800 4,700 Other Assets 200 150 150 150 150 Total 2,900 3,150 4,550 4,950 4,850 Slide 24 12

GROUP FUEL HEDGING POSITION For the period Apr 15 to Mar 16 Jet Fuel Brent Percentage hedged (%) 40.9 4.0 Average hedged price (USD/BBL - Jet Fuel) 106 102 Slide 25 DIVIDENDS FY2014/15 14/15 13/14 Earnings Per Share ( ) 31.4 30.6 Interim Dividend Per Share ( ) 5.0 10.0 Proposed Final Dividend Per Share ( ) Proposed Special Dividend Per Share ( ) 17.0-11.0 25.0 Total Dividend Per Share ( ) 22.0 46.0 Slide 26 13

OUTLOOK FY2015/16 CHALLENGES 1 2 3 Intense Competition Economic Uncertainty Currency Fluctuations Slide 28 14

STRATEGY FSC Competition LCC Competition Network Product Service Group Portfolio Geography Multi-Hubs Revenue Streams New Revenue New Business Slide 29 NETWORK SAS Lufthansa Turkish Airlines Virgin Atlantic EUR SilkAir SIN SEA Air Canada JetBlue Virgin America AME EGYPTAIR Ethiopian Airlines South African Airways Slide 30 WAA Virgin Australia Air New Zealand SWP ANA Asiana Airlines EVA Air Shenzhen Airlines NA 15

NETWORK FY14/15 SQ SQ+MI Codeshare Partners Destinations 60 100 180 (+45%) Weekly Frequencies (ex-sin) 741 (ex-sin) 1,097 8,081 (+59%) Slide 31 PRODUCT Next Generation Seat Products 8 new B777-300ERs USD325M retrofit of 19 existing B777-300ERs First Class Business Class Added privacy Ergonomic Seat 35 width Increased length of 82 Industry s widest full-flat bed 28 width 78 length More stowage and greater incline Slide 32 16

PRODUCT Premium Economy Class Entry Into Service: 9 August 2015 Product to be introduced on A380s, 777-300ERs and A350s Total investment estimated at USD80M Slide 33 PRODUCT New website progressively delivered via beta site Roll-out began Mar 2015 and will take place across this and next year Improved user-experience through improved aesthetic design, intuitive flows, mobile-optimised pages Launched: Internet Check-in (ICE) flow Promotions section Flight Status, Flight Schedules, Seat Selection Upcoming: Improved commercial and redemption booking (3Q FY15/16) Slide 34 17

PRODUCT New mobile and tablet apps as part of overall delivery of enhanced digital experience First phase mobile app launch: 23 Apr 2015 First phase tablet app launch: 1Q FY15/16 Launched: Contextual Homescreen Mobile Boarding Pass / ios Passbook Apple Watch Upcoming: Deals and Offers Day of Travel Tablet Slide 35 PRODUCT SilverKris Lounge (SKL) Development New SKL in Hong Kong and London started operations General increase in Hong Kong SKL SPS scores post-renovation Upcoming SKL development: Manila, Brisbane, Bangkok New HKG SKL New LHR SKL Slide 36 18

PRODUCT New A350 Long Haul Aircraft 3-Class Configuration (J/PY/Y) Latest Airbus aircraft technology To be launched in early 2016 Slide 37 SERVICE Customer Experience Management (CEM) CEM Release 1 fully implemented as of Jan 2015 Integrated database Ease of information access Tablet-based mobile application used by cabin crew: Ease of access to customer information Available on all flights from mid Dec 2014 onwards CEM Release 2 to be delivered in FY15/16 Workflows/alerts More personalised, proactive and integrated servicing by service touch points Slide 38 19

GROUP PORTFOLIO Full Service Positioning SYNERGIES Low Cost Regional Markets Long-Haul Slide 39 GROUP PORTFOLIO Synergies for SIA Group More efficient use of resources Economies of scale Commercial Operations Support Services Slide 40 20

GROUP PORTFOLIO Collaboration between Tigerair and Scoot CCS granted both carriers ATI in Aug 2014 Allow for closer cooperation between both carriers Jan 2015: Doubling of passengers connecting between both carriers Jan 2015: Both carriers operating SIN-BKK/HKG vv as JV services Feb 2015: TZ increased PER frequency to daily as TR redeploys aircraft Slide 41 MULTI-HUBS Vistara Currently has six Airbus A320s 8 cities and 197 weekly flights 2 new destinations in May and June with 56 additional weekly flights (Lucknow and Bangalore) Slide 42 21

MULTI-HUBS NokScoot Low cost carrier based in Don Mueang International Airport, Bangkok AOC awarded in October 2014 Current initial fleet of three 415-seat 777-200s with 24 seats in ScootBiz cabin and 391 seats in Economy Class cabin Operated charter services to Seoul, Tokyo and Osaka Starts scheduled operations in May 2015 Slide 43 NEW REVENUE/NEW BUSINESS Growth of existing travel-related products Expanded Travel Insurance and Multi-Currency Pricing to more markets Introduction of complementary products and services on SAA Launched Destination Activities Contracted partner for Visa Facilitation Service Development of SIA-branded merchandise Inflight sales Leveraging major events (e.g. SG50, F1) Sale of advertising assets Expanded advertising assets across customer touch-points Slide 44 22

NEW REVENUE/NEW BUSINESS Expanding KrisFlyer KrisFlyer Group Airlines SQ/MI Scoot Tigerair Expand across customer segments Airlines SQ/MI Non-Airline Partners Banks, Hotels etc. Airline Partners Star Alliance Others Airline Partners Star Alliance Others Virgin Australia Vistara Expand geographically e.g. Australia, India Expand across categories Slide 45 Non-Airline Partners Banks, Hotels, Supermarkets/Pharmacies, others NEW REVENUE/NEW BUSINESS Airbus Asia Training Centre Leverage strengths of SIA and Airbus to provide pilot simulator training to the region Capitalise on strong delivery streams of Airbus aircraft to the region Recent Milestones: Received regulatory and ATI approvals Launched operations at SIA Training Centre in April 2015 New facility at Seletar Aerospace Park under construction and due to open in first quarter 2016 Slide 46 23

Thank You 24