INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY UpcomingIEA Publications March 2009
2009 Spring Energy Policies of Luxembourg: 2008 Review Luxembourg has reformed its energy policies since the last IEA in-depth review in 2004. The country has prepared a broad action plan on energy efficiency, improved support for renewable energy sources and revised taxes to mitigate climate change. Luxembourg s future energy policy will be shaped by EU2020 targets, which will be difficult to meet. This review analyses energy challenges facing Luxembourg and provides critiques and recommendations for policy improvements. Cleaner Coal in China China s recent rapid economic growth has spurred strong interest in understanding the issues this populous nation faces as it further develops a strong economy largely fuelled by CO 2 -intensive coal. While China s coal, which is mined locally and relatively inexpensive, has brought enormous benefits to energy consumers, its use inflicts other high costs. Many small coal mines lag far behind the health and safety standards achieved in China s modern, large mines. Environmental degradation is also a pressing problem. Technology solutions exist that could transform the way coal is used in China and elsewhere. This study explores the context in which these technologies can be developed and deployed commercially, calling for greater levels of collaboration both bi-laterally and multi-laterally. Electricity Transmission: Getting the Best Investments IEA countries have recently experienced a lack of investment in diverse electricity generation options and in the large-scale transmission systems needed to ensure reliable, flexible and secure grid operation. This failure is particularly worrisome at a time when increasing amounts of renewable energy, often remotely located and intermittent, must be integrated. This report provides an assessment of recent trends and prospects of transmission investments in IEA member countries. It also discusses the key challenges facing transmission investment and develops policy options to ensure transmission capacity. Natural Gas Market Review 2009 This year s annual report will focus on gas in an era of global recession analysing the impact of the economic downturn on gas prices, demand, longer-term investment and security. The book will also include regular features such as a review of investment trends in infrastructure and upstream projects; an assessment of the strategies of major players in the gas industry; an evaluation of developments in the liquid natural gas (LNG) industry; and country/region updates on gas markets in both OECD and non-oecd countries. 2009 Medium-Term Oil Market Report (MTOMR) In a global oil market that has seen rollercoaster changes since last July s edition, the 2009 MTOMR will update forecasts of global/regional oil demand, supply and refining through 2014. Forecasts based on 22
2009 Summer detailed product, refinery and field-specific research will be presented, with a concise discussion of the factors now driving market fundamentals. The report will assess the likely impact of global economic slow-down on oil demand, alongside key sectoral demand drivers. The upstream impact of lower prices, tighter credit and project slippage will be put in context against a counteracting reduction of cyclical project costs. The ability of OPEC to sustain capacity investment while curtailing short term output will also be examined. In short, the MTOMR will provide a full outlook on the oil market over the next five years. Gadgets and Gigawatts: Policies for Energy Efficient Electronics The growth of electricity consumption by electrical and electronic devices has been the most rapid of all appliance categories over the past five years in both OECD and non-oecd countries. Quickly rising global ownership levels of information and communication technologies (ICT) and consumer electronics (CE) means that these products now account for approximately 15% of global residential electricity consumption. This book includes a global assessment of the changing pattern in residential electricity consumption over the past decade, and an in-depth analysis of the role played by electronic equipment. It reviews the influence that government policies have had on creating markets for more energy efficient appliances and identifies new opportunities for creating smarter homes. Customer Choice in Electricity Markets: Retail Switching and Demand Response in Competitive Markets The IEA has published studies on regulatory reform and liberalisation of the electricity sector since the 1990s, including a series examining the principles of market reform. A new series of books was launched in 2005 focusing on the experiences and lessons from the first decade of market reform. This new publication, the latest in the series, focuses on the role of the customer in liberalised markets and is intended to complete the picture by shifting attention from the supply side to the demand side. The study will focus on collecting and analysing information on the state of retail competition, switching of retail supplier, contracts/product development, demand response and advanced smart metering and communication infrastructure. Continuing Series of Renewable Energy Essentials The Renewable Energy Essentials are concise, technology-specific, four-page brochures targeted at a broad audience, including non-experts in the energy field. Each document paints a compact picture of key issues in renewable energy, including resources, technology status and research, markets and costs, the outlook for further deployment, environmental aspects and system related impacts. The first edition, on wind energy, was produced at the end of 2008. A Photo voltaic edition is under development, and further editions are planned on bioenergy, geothermal, concentrating solar, solar heating and cooling, hydropower and ocean technologies.
Summer 2009 Continued Energy Technology Transitions for Industry What are the likely future trends in energy use and CO 2 emissions from heavy industry? What impact could the application of current best practice technologies have on these trends? Which new options are needed if these sectors are to fully play their role in a more secure and sustainable energy future? Building upon the insights of Tracking Industrial Energy Efficiency and CO 2 Emissions and Energy Technology Perspectives 2008: Scenarios and Strategies to 2050, this publication will answer these questions through detailed sectoral and regional analyses and by describing potential technology transition paths for the most important sectors of industry. Case Studies on Coal Plants Case studies on recently constructed supercritical or ultra-supercritical coal-fired units: This report provides information on operation and performance of eight recently built highly efficient supercritical or ultra-supercritical units, and the policies that facilitated their deployment. Assessment of full coal process chain for efficiency improvement in power generation: This report presents analytical work and case studies assessing best practice along the full coal process chain, with emphasis on coal upgrading, to reduce coal use in power generation. Coal-fired power generation: efficiency reporting, ongoing developments and future outlook: This report assesses different efficiency reporting methodologies used in different countries and recommends a method to rationalise these to a common basis. It also presents the status of ongoing developments and their potential effects on future coal-fired power generation. Potential of upgrade and replacement of older coal-fired power plants in major coal using economies: This report explores the variation in operating efficiency of coal-fired plants in different countries, the likely number of units that might require upgrade or replacement to bring them at par with the benchmark, the potential reduction of CO 2 emissions and coal consumption, the effect on coal reserves in individual countries resulting from such upgrade and replacements, as well as the barriers to such upgrade or replacements and policy measures required to overcome the barriers. Cutting Down Energy Consumption in Buildings: A Global Strategy Based on Best Policy Practice This book on energy efficiency buildings will be published in summer 2009 as a part of the G8 process. It illustrates that global energy use for heating, cooling, ventilation and hot water in buildings could be reduced by 70-75 % in 2050, compared with business-as-usual if best practices and policies for new and existing buildings are implemented rapidly on a global scale. Progress Report on Energy Efficiency Recommendations The IEA is measuring member countries progress with implementing energy efficiency. The aim is to assist countries with improving their energy efficiency and to encourage countries to implement and evaluate energy efficiency policy with a particular focus on the 25 IEA recommendations. A book recording the member countries progress will be completed for the Ministerial meeting in October 2009.
Automn 2009 Autumn Transport, Energy and CO 2 : Moving toward Sustainability This book will build on the analysis and messages from the transport chapter of Energy Technology Perspectives (ETP) 2008, information papers on fuel efficiency policies and other recent IEA work to provide a more detailed and updated look at future scenarios, the role of new technologies, and the role of policies in planning a sustainable transport future. New estimates of technology potential and cost for key areas like electric and fuel cell vehicles as well as an updated review of fuel efficiency policies and some analyses on market based policies will be included. All transport modes will be covered. And several new and updated future scenarios will be presented, along with a comprehensive transport sector CO 2 abatement cost curve. Energy Policies of Spain: 2009 Review Spain has substantially reformed its energy policies since the last IEA in-depth review in 2005. The country is now part of an all-iberian electricity market, has one of the most diversified natural gas supplies on the planet, and has become a leader in certain renewable energy technologies. But climate change remains a true challenge, and the country will need to pay much more attention to mitigating it. This review analyses energy challenges facing Spain and provides critiques and recommendations for policy improvements. Understanding Energy Use and CO 2 Trends What are the latest trends in global energy use, efficiency developments and CO 2 emissions? Are there big differences between countries and across sectors? How do factors such as income, prices, demography, economic structure, lifestyle, climate and fuel mix affect these trends? This report will answer these questions using the latest insights from the IEA energy indicators work. A number of case studies will use the indicators approach to quantify the impact of energy efficiency policies on energy consumption trends in key sectors and countries and will identify the scope for further savings. IEA Scoreboard In 1999, the Secretariat prepared a document, 25 Key Energy Trends in the IEA and Worldwide, which was very well received. For the IEA 35 th Anniversary, the Secretariat will build on this approach, go further and produce the first edition of an IEA Scoreboard publication which will: Provide a wide range of users with a one-stop resource containing comparative and country-based data. Give a snapshot of where countries currently stand in terms of energy policy and offer an overview of the evolution of the situation over 35 years of IEA existence. Highlight progress and challenges. Provide policy makers a useful reference document for comparing the energy situation in their country with the situation in other countries (with the understanding that each country has its own specificities: size, climate, economy, resources, etc.). Communicate key IEA messages to a broader audience through a very comprehensive horizontal publication written in non-technical language.
Autumn 2009 Continued World Energy Outlook 2009 What will the credit crunch and economic recession mean for energy markets? Will investment cutbacks lead us towards a supply crunch a few years down the line? How could the transition to a clean global energy system be financed? These are just three of the questions that World Energy Outlook 2009 addresses. Incorporating recent developments in energy and environmental policy and drawing on the latest data reflecting the impact of the global financial and economic crisis, as well as the ongoing gyrations in energy prices, this year s Outlook presents a full update of energy projections through to 2030, fuel by fuel and country by country. In addition, WEO-2009 puts the spotlight on three special topics: Financing energy investment under a post-2012 climate framework. Prospects for global natural gas markets. Energy trends in Southeast Asia. Energy Policy Review of Chile With its sustained economic growth, free market policies, and favorable climate for foreign investment, Chile has become a model for emerging markets. Yet despite major economic successes, the country has one vulnerable point: energy. With few conventional energy sources except for some coal and hydroelectricity Chile is susceptible to volatile international prices and supply interruptions as seen in 2008. This review will comment on the New Guidelines for Energy Policy released by the Chilean government in January 2009, which set out the country s six energy priorities: strengthening institutions, promoting energy efficiency, optimising diversification, ensuring sustainable development, supporting equal access and contingency planning. This book analyses the energy challenges facing Chile, providing critiques and recommendations for policy improvements for consideration by the Chilean government. Energy Technology at the Cutting Edge This report, which has been prepared for each IEA Ministerial since 2003, provides an overview of the Agency s energy technology collaboration network, focusing on the activities of the Implementing Agreements (IA). This edition will include specific R&D pages for each country participating in IAs that detail budgets, policies and participation. The goal is to highlight best practices in national and international R&D policies as well as identify any gaps or shortcomings. This information can be used to compare results between countries and reveal opportunities for capacity building in non-iea countries. The 2009 report will also include a short feature article on industry participation in IAs. Building a Sustainable Future: The Residential and Service Sectors The buildings sector accounts for around 40% of global final energy demand and is crucial to achieving any ambitious long-term CO 2 reduction goal. The book will highlight the two-speed nature of the sector, in which appliances and energy equipment turns over relatively rapidly compared to the building stock, which can last for 100 years or even longer, and the special challenges this implies for technology development and deployment, as well as policy. In providing possible answers to some of these challenges, the book will present a comprehensive integrated analysis of the global buildings stock, the clean energy and energy efficiency technology options available, their costs and potential deployment paths.
Sectoral Approaches for Greenhouse Gas Policy: Building Bridges to a Safe Climate This publication addresses the issue of climate change policy and energy from the standpoint of sectoral approaches (SA) as a means to bridge the gap between the current climate policy regime and a broader engagement in greenhouse gas mitigation. It illustrates this position with the example of the electricity sector. Money Matters Money Matters analyses instruments and policies to scale up the financing of energy efficiency projects in China and India (with a possible extension to other emerging economies) with a particular focus on the industrial and building sector. The purpose of the project is to quantify the impacts of existing policies on the evolution of private investment flows in energy efficiency projects. As such the study will identify and quantify governments role and most successful policies to facilitate the private sector s involvement and will make recommendations regarding future steps to bridge the efficiency gap in a post-2012 framework. Smart Distributed Energy: Renewables in Cities According to the World Energy Outlook 2008, over 70% of global energy-related CO 2 emissions are produced and two-thirds of the energy is consumed in urban areas by half the world s population. Can cities become sustainable, energy secure and reduce their greenhouse gas emissions by greater deployment of renewable energy systems? Renewables in Cities assesses the potential of renewables for smart distributed generation of power, heat and transport fuels, with a specific focus on cities. It is aimed at city mayors, executives, planners and engineers seeking ways to deploy decentralised energy systems and overcome barriers to implementation. It includes case studies on successful local projects that have enabled cost-effective deployment of distributed energy generation in selected cities worldwide. Note: Publication dates and titles are approximate. List does not include quarterly and annual statistics books.
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY 9, rue de la Fédération 75739 Paris Cedex 15 www.iea.org OECD/IEA, 2009