Chilean Insurance Market Overview London, October 14 th, 2014 Jorge Claude Executive Vice President Asociación de Aseguradores de Chile
Agenda 1. Chilean Economy & Insurance Market at a glance 2. Non-Life Insurance Market 3. Life Insurance Market 4. Challenges & Opportunities 5. Conclusions
The Chilean Association of Insurers (AACH) is the voice of the local industry. It is a 115 year-old institution representing 53 insurance companies who account for 96% of Chile s Insurance Premiums
1. Chilean Economy & Insurance Market at a glance
Chilean Economy (2013) Inhabitants 16,7 Millions GDP US$ 280.7 billions GDP per capita US$ 18,945 PPP US$ 22,500 Main Cities: Santiago (Capital 7,5 Mill.); Concepción (1,5 Mill); Antofagasta ( 1,0 Mill); Temuco (1,0 Mill.) Main Industrial & Economic Sectors: Mining (Cooper/Iron), Paper Pulp, Fishing, Agro-industry, Wine, Finance. Economic Freedom Index (1): 78,7 7th place Competivity Index (2): 4,61 33rd place Gini Index: 0,49 pts. (1) The Heritage Foundation 2014 Index of Economic Freedom (2) World Economic Forum The Global Competiveness Report 2014-2015 5
Chilean Macroeconomic Indexes 10 8 6 4 2 0-2 Inflation 7,8 7,8 4,5 4,5 3,7 3 3 2,4 2,6 1,5-1,4 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Unemployment 10 10 9,2 8,3 7,8 7,8 7,1 7,2 6,4 6,7 5,7 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0-1 GDP Growth 6 5,8 5,9 5,5 5,5 4,6 4,6 4,1 3,7 2,8-0,9 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 5 4,5 4 3,5 3 2,5 2 1,5 1 0,5 0 Interest Rate (real) 3,4 3,4 3,4 2,7 2,6 3 2,9 3 2,4 1,2 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 4,5-2 Source: Banco Central de Chile 6
Chilean Insurance Market (2013) The Chilean Insurance Market is the 5 th largest in Latin America with the biggest insurance density (premium per capita) & penetration (Premiums in % of GDP) in the region. It is also an essential part of the Chilean economic strength, managing investments for more than US$ 49 billion (equivalent to 18,9% of GDP) But it is not only an economically solid market; with a Self-Regulation code in place for over 12 years and an active Council appointing an Ombudsman who receives an average of 1000 cases a year vs. over 15 million claims paid by the industry, it has a strong credibility in the economy. 7
Latin American Insurance Industry (2013) Premiums per Capita or Density (D) 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 Perú D: US$ 110 P: 1,6% MM US$ 3.354 México D: US$223 P: 2,2% MM US$ 27.354 Uruguay D: US$ 356 P: 2,2% MM US$ 1.213 Ecuador D: US$ 105 P: 1,8% MM US$ 1.659 Panamá D: US$ 322 P: 3,0% MM US$ 1.244 Venezuela D: US$ 452 P: 3,6% MM US$ 13.733 Colombia D: US$ 209 P: 2,7% MM US$ 10.070 Argentina D: US$ 417 P: 3,6% MM US$ 17.317 Chile D: US$ 664 P: 4,2% MM US$ 11.712 Brasil D: US$ 443 P: 4,0% MM US$ 88.931 0 0,0% 0,5% 1,0% 1,5% 2,0% 2,5% 3,0% 3,5% 4,0% 4,5% 5,0% Premiums in % of GDP or Penetration (P) Source: SIGMA Swiss Re 8
Insurance Industry & the Economy (2013) Premium per capita in USD Premium in % of GDP Total Premium in Billion of USD Chilean Insurance Market grew 3,9% (local currency, inflation adjusted) in a scenario of a 4,1% GDP growth and a 3% inflation rate. 9
Chilean Insurance Industry (2013) Life Insurance Companies Non-life Insurance companies Credit Insurance Companies Total 33 23 6 62 Insurance Brokers Re Insurance Brokers Adjusters 2.266 60 217 Source: AACH based on SVS data 10
Chile Direct Premiums (Life & Non-life) (US$ million) 14.000 12.000 Life Non-Life 10.000 8.000 6.000 5.968 6.295 7.519 7.399 4.000 2.000 0 4.498 4.114 3.761 3.038 3.152 2.799 3.060 3.346 3.913 3.677 1.228 1.481 1.552 2.056 2.022 2.396 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: AACH based on SVS data 11
Chile Insurance Density (premium per capita) (Figures in US$; Census 2002) 700 600 USD$ 630,88 500 400 300 200 Life Non-Life Total Market 100 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 12 Sources: AACH based on SVS data and INE
Chile Insurance Penetration (% of GDP) 4,5% 4,0% 4,2% 3,5% 3,0% 2,5% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: AACH based on SVS data and Central Bank of Chile 13
Indice Herfindahl Chile: a very competitive market (2012) LA Market share by country 120% Country N of companies Share largest 5 Share Largest 10 Leader share Uruguay 14 90% 98,60% 65,10% Peru 14 89,80% 99,80% 33,40% Bolivia 14 85,30% 99,50% 21,70% Brasil 116 65,40% 82,90% 20,40% Colombia 45 54,20% 76,60% 22,80% Venezuela 47 51,50% 72,20% 13,70% Paraguay 34 47,30% 65,70% 20,10% Ecuador 42 40,40% 59,10% 10,50% Chile 60 36,90% 58,50% 9,80% Argentina 180 35,30% 53,90% 9,80% Latinoamérica: Concentración de Mercado, Índice Combinado y ROE por País 2012 100% 80% 85,0% 60% 40% 20% 0% 43,9% 21,7% 22,8% 4,2% 5,0% 5,4% 6,7% 7,2% 9,0% 9,2% 10,6% 10,9% 13,7% 14,0% 14,8% 14,6% 14,8% 16,9% ARG ECU CHI MEX VEN PAR COL BRA PAN GUA SAL DOM HON PRI BOL PER NIC URU CRI 140% 120% Source: MAPFRE and Latinoinsurance 100% 102% 104% 104% 105% 105% 106% 114% 116% 14
2. Chilean Non Life Insurance Market
Non-Life Insurance Premium (2013) Marine Hull 1% SOAP 3% Theft 3% Cargo 3% Personal Accident 4% Credit 2% Others (1) 13% Property 33% USD Property 1.288.424.664 Motor 1.050.727.549 Cargo 144.725.232 Theft 128.544.090 Hull 67.494.420 Liability 194.332.797 Others 1.012.407.198 Liability 5% Motor 28% Total 3.886.655.953 Engineering 5% (1) Surety, unemployment; Extended Warranty, IT Fraud etc. 16 Sources: AACH based on SVS data and SVS
Market Share by Company (2013) Total (USD) (1) % RSA 566.445.436 14,75% Penta-Security 427.674.051 11,13% BCI 424.434.263 11,05% MAPFRE 417.839.719 10,88% Liberty 342.726.008 8,92% Magallanes 310.061.606 8,07% BNP Cardif 251.075.347 6,54% ACE 232.390.760 6,05% Chilena (Zurich) 206.951.333 5,39% AIG 145.772.479 3,80% Consorcio 106.916.473 2,78% Zurich Santander 105.266.851 2,74% HDI 73.554.196 1,91% Chubb 48.957.721 1,27% Orion 40.862.754 1,06% Others 83.649.963 2,15% Total 3.886.655.953 100,00% 813,78; 22% 256,67; 7% 2,577,4; 71% 37,2% Internacionales International Companies Locales Companies 62,8% Source : Superintendencia de Valores y Seguros (SVS) FECU 2013 (1) Credit companies are not included Todo All lines Segmento Industriales/Comerciales Industrial/commercial Personales lines Premium Premium
Non-Life: a Reinsured Market Out of Gross Premiums are ceded The largest (in premiums) ceded line including CAT coverage Ceded annual premiums in millions of USD Retained premiums by lines (% of Gross premiums, 2013) 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% Sources: AACH based on SVS data 0% Property Motor Hull Cargo Engineering Liability 18
3. Chilean Life Insurance Market
Life Insurance Premiums (2013) Retirement Savings Insurance 5% Personal Accidents 2% Private Annuities 1% Others 0% Life 8% Universal Life & Index Life 8% Health 9% Social Security / Annuities 45% Mortage 10% Disability and Survival (SIS) 12% Sources: AACH based on SVS data and INE 20
4. Challenges & Opportunities
Challenges & Opportunities New & upcoming regulatory changes Tax reform Risk based capital law Consumer protection regulation Approved In Congress Under Review Market Conduct regulations Personal Data protection act Submitted to market for comments Under review 22
Challenges & Opportunities Challenges Social A larger middle income country with middle and lower classes demanding immediate benefits. From an insurance perspective this implies that apart from lower premiums, consumers want insurance products and services delivered as easily and efficiently as other types of online transactions, do not like small print and do not hesitate to use social networks to claim their rights Insurance Industry CAT risks; a new model to calculate PML We have been working on this and we expect to have the first operative version by the end this year. 23
Challenges & Opportunities Opportunities Infrastructure New concessions programme & insurance solutions for existing infrastructure The ministry for public works (MOP) has announced a new concessions programme in excess of USD 25 Bio. Furthermore we are working with the Ministry to provide Surety coverage for existing contracts, business that was exclusive to banks. Liability Liability growth There is a increasing consciousness of demand for liability products and higher insured amounts in such coverages. 24
5. Conclusions
Conclusions Chilean economy is growing strong with positive macroeconomic indexes, a robust fiscal discipline and a clear legal environment. Our Insurance Market is an open and sophisticated market exposed to international compliance standards & regulations. Risk based capital, market conduct acts, personal data & consumer protections acts, among other global trends are main issues in Chile. Chilean Industry has been tested through natural catastrophes and economic crises and has proven its strength and trustworthiness to its clients. All this confirms that Chile is a good place to do business. 26
Chilean Insurance Market Overview London, October 14 th, 2014 Jorge Claude Executive Vice President Asociación de Aseguradores de Chile