Bitcoin, Innovation, Financial. Instruments, and Big Data
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1 HANDBOOK OF DIGITAL CURRENCY Bitcoin, Innovation, Financial Instruments, and Big Data Edited by DAVID LEE KUO CHUEN Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics, Singapore Management University, Singapore ELSEVIER AMSTERDAM BOSTON HEIDELBERG LONDON NEW YORK OXFORD PARIS SAN DIEGO SAN FRANCISCO SINGAPORE SYDNEY TOKYO Academic Press is an imprint of Elsevier
2 CONTENTS Contributors Preface and Acknowiedgments xv// XM Part 1 Digital Currency and Bitcoin 1 Section One Bitcoin and Alternative Cryptocurrencies 3 1. Introduction to Bitcoin Lam Pak Nian, David LEE Kuo Chuen The Next Generation of Money and Payments Digital Currency as Alternative Currency Cryptocurrency General Features of Bitcoin Benefits and Risks Impact of the Digital Currency Revolution Conditions for a Successful Cryptocurrency Future Prospects and Conclusion 27 Acknowiedgments 29 References ls Bitcoin a Real Currency? An Economic Appraisal 31 David Yermack 2.1 Introduction History and Background of Bitcoin Bitcoin's Weaknesses as a Currency Conclusion: Obstades Faced by Bitcoin 42 Acknowiedgments 43 References 43 Bitcoin Mining Technology 45 Nirupama Devi Bhaskar, David LEE Kuo Chuen 3.1 Introduction Technology Behind Bitcoin Mining Process Mining Possibilities 53 VII
3 viii Contents 3.5 Mining Pools Threats to mining Recent Advancements Conclusion 64 References 64 Further Reading National Cryptocurrencies 67 Andras Kristof 4.1 The First Wave The Future of National Cryptocurrency Conclusion 79 Sources Evaluating the Potential of Alternative Cryptocurrencies 81 Bobby Ong, Teik Ming Lee, Guo Li, David LEE Kuo Chuen 5.1 Introduction Different Types of Altcoins Launching an Altcoin Data Collection and Altcoin Evaluation Strategy Altcoin Evaluation Results Empirical Research Using Social Network Data Empirical Analysis Using Time Series and Cross-Section Data Conclusion 95 Appendix: Empirical Analysis of Bitcoin and Altcoins 96 5A.1 Time Series Data Analysis of Bitcoin: Cointegration Analysis Through VECM and Granger Causality Test 96 5A.2 Cross-Sectional Data Analysis on Altcoins: Linear and Quantile Regression 112 Key Factors' Analysis 120 5A.3 Conclusion and Issues 123 Appendix 125 Key Factors' Analysis 132 References 135 Section Two E-Payment and Security The Effect of Payment Reversibility on E-commerce and Postal Quality 139 Christian Jaag, Christian Bach 6.1 Introduction The Model 143
4 Contents ix 6.3 Basic Case Results with Postal Quality Conclusion 150 References Blockchain and Digital Payments: An Institutionalist Analysis of Cryptocurrencies 153 Georgios Papadopoulos 7.1 Introduction Definition The Structure and the Incentives Behind the Supply and Demand of Cryptocurrencies Understanding Institutional Change The Ceremonial Encapsulation of Cryptocurrencies in the Established Model of Regulation for Digital Payments Cryptocurrencies as Mature Payment Technologies: Challenges in the Near Future Conclusions 171 Acknowiedgments 171 References Counterfeiting in Cryptocurrency: An Emerging Problem 173 Ralph E. McKinney, Jr Lawrence P. Shao, Duane C. Rosenlieb, Jr Dale H. Shao 8.1 Chapter Overview Introduction: Cryptocurrency Has Virtually Evolved from Hard Currency The Basic Function of Currency: A Medium of Exchange Counterfeiting: Methods, Motivation, and Opportunities The Global Anticounterfeiting Initiative Deterring Counterfeiting in the Future Summary 185 References 185 Section Three Big Data and Network Effect Emergence, Growth, and Sustainability of Bitcoin: The Network Economics Perspective 191 Ernie G.S. Teo 9.1 Network Economics and Cryptocurrencies Sustainability of a Cryptocurrency Network Discussion/Conclusion 200 References 200
5 x Contents 10. Cryptocurrencies as Distributed Community Experiments 201 Matthias Tarasiewicz, Andrew Newman 10.1 Introduction From Bitcoin as Single Cryptocurrency to an Ecosystem of Cryptocurrencies Altcoins as Evolutionary Problem Solving and "Proof of Concepts" Overview of the Main Critique and Discourse on Cryptocurrencies The Future of the Blockchain Conclusion 220 References Extracting Market-Implied Bitcoin's Risk-Free Interest Rate 223 Nicolas Wesner 11.1 Introduction A Model for the Determination of Bitcoin's Risk-Free Interest Rate Application to USS and Euro Data Perspective on Bitcoin Interest Rate Conclusion 229 References A Microeconomic Analysis of Bitcoin and Illegal Activities 231 Tetsuya Saito 12.1 Introduction The Baseline Model Market Equilibrium Demand for Bitcoins Extensions Concluding Remarks 246 Acknowledgments 247 References 247 Part 2 Finance Markets and Bitcoin 249 Section Four Regulation and Taxation Legal Issues in Cryptocurrency 253 Vrajlal Sapovadia 13.1 Introduction Legality Versus Illegal Global Regulatory Movement Conclusion 265 References 266
6 Contents xi 14. How to Tax Bitcoin? 267 Aleksandra Bai 14.1 Introduction Characteristic and Nature of Bitcoin Income Tax Consumption Tax National Approaches Conclusions 281 References Cryptocurrency and Virtual Currency: Corruption and Money Laundering/Terrorism Financing Risks? 283 Kim-Kwang Raymond Choo 15.1 Corruption: A Social Evil Review of Financial Action Task Force on Money Laundering Compliance on PEPs Cryptocurrencies and Virtual Currencies and Their Potential to be Misused for Money Laundering The Way Forward: A Conceptual Intelligence-Ied AML/CTF Strategy 302 References A Light Touch of Regulation for Virtual Currencies 309 Lam Pak Nian, David LEE Kuo Chuen 16.1 Introduction Legitimate Uses Potentially Regulated Risks Survey of Regulatory Approaches in Tackling These Risks Highlight on US Regulation Toward a Light-Touch Approach to Regulation 323 References Real Regulation of Virtual Currencies 327 Richard B. Levin, Aaron A. O'Brien, Madiha M. Zuberi 17.1 Introduction Background Bitcoin Prosecutions FinCEN Regulation of Virtual Currencies SEC Regulation of Virtual Currencies CFTC Regulation of Virtual Currencies IRS Treatment of Virtual Currencies 354
7 xii Contents 17.8 FINRA Concerns Regarding Virtual Currencies Congressional Concerns Regarding Virtual Currencies Conclusions 355 References A Facilitative Model for Cryptocurrency Regulation in Singapore 361 Jonathan W. Lim 18.1 Introduction Background to Cryptocurrencies Clear and Targeted Regulation A Self-regulatory Framework International Coordination and Harmonization Conclusion 380 References 380 Section Five Financial Innovation and Internet of Money Advancing Egalitarianism 385 Gavin Wood, Aeron Buchanan 19.1 Introduction Development of Centrally Controlled Money Systems A New Paradigm: Decentralization of Authorities Practicalities The Future of Blockchain-Based Systems Conclusion 400 References How Digital Currencies Will Cascade up to a Global Stable Currency: The Fundamental Framework for the Money of the Future 403 Gideon Samid 20.1 Introduction Commodity-Backed Digital Mint Derived Commodities Cascading Outlook 414 References Bitcoin-Like Protocols and Innovations 417 Ignacio Mas, David LEE Kuo Chuen 21.1 The Bitcoin System and the Element of Trust A New Digital Commodity 419
8 Contents xiii 21.3 Pseudonymous Ownership and Trades An Open and Decentralized Ledger System BlockChain, Mining, Block Time, and Forks Validation of Transaction Over a Peer-to-Peer Network Operation via Open-Source Protocols The Anatomy of Bitcoin Bitcoin Ecosystem Benefits of Bitcoin: An Assessment Future-Proofing Bitcoin: Addressing Key Risks Potential Demand Drivers for Bitcoin Conclusions: The New Vistas Opened Up by Bitcoin 447 References Blockchain Electronic Vote 453 Pierre Noizat 22.1 The Problem with Proprietary Voting Systems Open-Source, Free Software Electronic Transaction and Voting Systems Conclusion 460 References Translating Commons-Based Peer Production Values into Metrics: Toward Commons-Based Cryptocurrencies 463 Primavera De Filippi 23.1 Introduction Commons-Based Peer Production Value Metrics Complementary Currencies Conclusion 479 References The Confluence of Bitcoin and the Global Sharing Economy 485 Alyse Killeen Stimulus Confluence of Bitcoin and the Global Sharing Economy Sharing Economy Resource Ownership Versus Access Mental Accounting Bitcoin Distributed Network Token Lifecycle Device Level Resources 501 References 502
9 / xiv Contents 25. What Does Cryptocurrency Mean for the New Economy? 505 David G.W. Birch 25.1 introduction Bitcoin A Money Narrative Beyond Money Conclusions 516 Acknowledgment 516 References Bitcoin: A Look at the Past and the Future 519 Anton Cruysheer 26.1 Reasons for Success and Failure A Numismatic Approach The End of Money The Role of the Government The Role of Banks Future Possibilities 525 References 525 Sources 526 SECTION SIX Investments and Crowdfunding Bitcoin IPO, ETF, and Crowdfunding 529 Nirupama Devi Bhaskar, Laim Pak Nian, David LEE Kuo Chuen 27.1 Introduction IPO: Digital CC ETF: WBT Crowdfunding Conclusion 555 Acknowledgment 556 References 556 Relevant Websites Bitcoin Exchanges 559 Nirupama Devi Bhaskar, David LEE Kuo Chuen 28.1 Introduction Bitcoin Exchanges Exposure to Risk of Exchange Failure 560
10 Contents xv 28.4 Survival Time of an Exchange Discussion Conclusion 571 References 572 Additional Readings 572 Index 575
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