Grey Brownian motion and local times

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Grey Brownian motion and local times"

Transcription

1 Grey Brownian motion and local times José Luís da Silva 1,2 (Joint work with: M. Erraoui 3 ) 2 CCM - Centro de Ciências Matemáticas, University of Madeira, Portugal 3 University Cadi Ayyad, Faculty of Sciences Semlalia, Marrakech, Morocco International Conference on Stochastic Analysis and Applications. Hammamet 14-19, Supported by: CCM - PEst-OE/MAT/UI0219/2011 José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

2 Outline Outline 1 Motivation 2 Grey Brownian motion 3 Representations of gbm 4 On the increments of gbm 5 Local Times 6 References José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

3 Motivation 1 Grey Brownian motion is a stochastic process which a) is self-similar, b) has stationary increments, c) is completely determined knowing its expectation and second moment d) is a non-gaussian process. 2 The marginal probability density function of the grey Brownian motion process is the fundamental solution of the stretched time-fractional diffusion equation: u(x, t) = u 0 (x) + 1 Γ(β) t 0 α β s α β 1( t α β s α ) β β 1 2 u(x, s) ds x2 which provides stochastic models for (slow/fast)-anomalous diffusions. Mura et al. [2008], Mura [2008], Mainardi et al. [2010], Schneider [1992]. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

4 Grey Brownian motion Grey noise space Goal 1 Show the existence of a square integrable grey Brownian motion local times (Berman s criterium). 2 Show that grey Brownian motion local times admits a weak-approximation by the number of crossings associated to a regularized convolution. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

5 Grey Brownian motion Grey noise space Definition (Grey noise measure) Define the By Minlos theorem there is probability measure µ α,β, 0 < α < 2, 0 < β 1 on (S (R), B), with characteristic functional e i w,ϕ dµ α,β (w) := E β ( 1 ) 2 ϕ 2 α, ϕ S(R), (1) S (R) where ϕ 2 α := C(α) R ( πα ϕ(x) 2 x 1 α dx, C(α) := Γ(α + 1) sin 2 and E β is the Mittag-Leffler (entire) function E β (z) = n=0 z n Γ(βn + 1), z C. The probability space (S (R), B, µ α,β ) is called grey noise space. ) José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

6 Grey Brownian motion Generalized stochastic process We now consider the generalized stochastic process X α,β defined canonically on the (S (R), B, µ α,β ), called grey noise for ϕ S(R) by Properties X α,β (ϕ) : S (R) R, w X α,β (ϕ)(w) := w, ϕ. 1 Characteristic function: E (e ) ( ) iθx α,β(ϕ) = E β θ2 2 ϕ 2 α. 2 Moments: E ( { 0, k = 2n + 1, Xα,β k (ϕ)) = (2n)! 2 n Γ(βn+1) ϕ 2n α, k = 2n. 3 For any f H α, we have X α,β (f) L 2 (µ α,β ) and X α,β (f) 2 L 2 (µ α,β ) = 1 Γ(β + 1) f 2 α. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

7 Grey Brownian motion Grey Brownian motion - gbm Grey Brownian motion - gbm Since 1 [0,t) H α with 1 [0,t) 2 α = t α we may define the generalized stochastic process X α,β ( 1 [0,t) ) as an element in L 2 (µ α,β ). Definition (Grey Brownian motion) The stochastic process ( Bα,β (t) ) t 0 = ( X α,β ( 1 [0,t) ) ) t 0 is called gbm - grey Brownian motion. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

8 Grey Brownian motion Grey Brownian motion - gbm Properties of gbm 1. B α,β (0) = 0 a.s., for any t 0, E ( B α,β (t) ) = 0 and 2. The covariance function is E ( B 2 α,β (t)) = 1 Γ(β + 1) tα. E ( B α,β (t)b α,β (s) ) = 1 1 ( t α + s α t s α). 2 Γ(β + 1) 3. Hölder continuity E( Bα,β (t) B α,β (s) p) = C β,p t s pα/2. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

9 Grey Brownian motion Grey Brownian motion - gbm 4. Characteristic function of the increments E ( e iθ(b α,β(t) B α,β (s)) ) = E β ( θ2 t s α 2 ). 5. Self-similarity property: B α,β (at) d = a α/2 B α,β (t), t 0, a > 0. We summarize all these properties in the following: Theorem (Mura and Mainardi [2009]) For any 0 < α < 2 and 0 < β 1 the process B α,β (t), t 0 is H-self-similar with stationary increments (H-sssi), with H = α/2. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

10 Grey Brownian motion Grey Brownian motion - gbm Special classes From what have seen, ( B α,β (t) ) forms a class of H-sssi stochastic t 0 processes indexed by 0 < α < 2 and 0 < β 1. This class includes: 1 Fractional Brownian motion (β = 1) B α,1. 2 Brownian motion (α = β = 1) B 1,1. 3 An H-sssi process (0 < α = β < 1) B α,α with H = α/2. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

11 Grey Brownian motion Grey Brownian motion - gbm Theorem (Finite dimensional distributions) Let B α,β be a gbm, then for any collection X = { B α,β (t 1 ),..., B α,β (t n ) } the characteristic function is given by E(e i(θ,x) ) = E β ( 1 ) 2 θ Σ α θ, θ R n, Σ α = (t α i + t α j t i t j α ) n i,j=1 and the joint probability density function is given by: θ R n f α,β (θ, Σ α ) = (2π) n 2 τ n 2 e θ Σ 1 α θ 2τ M β (τ) dτ, (2) det Σα where the M-Wright density function M β is such that (LM β )(s) = E β ( s). ( ) E.g., for β = 1 2, we have M 1 (τ) = 1 2 2π exp( τ 2 /2). 0 José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

12 Grey Brownian motion Grey Brownian motion - gbm Plot of M-Wright function for β [0, 1/2] Transition : M 0 ( x ) = exp( x ) M 1 ( x ) = 1 exp( x 2 /2) 2 2π José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

13 Grey Brownian motion Grey Brownian motion - gbm Plot of M-Wright function for β [1/2, 1] Transition : M 1 ( x ) = 1 exp( x 2 /2) M 1 ( x ) = δ(x ± 1) 2 2π José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

14 Grey Brownian motion Grey Brownian motion - gbm The previous result together with the Kolmogorov extension theorem allows us to define the gbm in an abstract probability space (Ω, F, P ). Theorem Let X(t), t 0, be a stochastic process on a probability space (Ω, F, P ), such that 1 X(t) has covariance matrix Σ α and finite-dimensional distributions f α,β as in (2), 2 E ( X 2 (t) ) = 2 Γ(β+1) tα, 0 < α < 2, 0 < β 1, 3 X(t) has stationary increments, then X(t), t 0 is grey Brownian motion. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

15 Representations of gbm Normal variance mixture Theorem (Normal variance mixture) Let B α,β (t), t 0 be the gbm, then B α,β (t) = d Y β X α (t), t 0, 0 < β 1, 0 < α < 2, (3) where X α (t), t 0 is a standard fbm with Hurst parameter H = α 2, Y β is an independent non-negative r.v. with pdf M β (τ), τ 0. Remark (Advantages) The representation (3) is very interesting since: 1 Many question related to gbm B α,β may be reduced to questions concerning the fbm X α which is easier since it is Gaussian. 2 The factorization is also suitable for path-simulations once we have a method to generate the r.v. Y β. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

16 Representations of gbm Normal variance mixture Subordination Grey Brownian motion admits also to other representations in terms of subordination but these representations are valid only for one dimensional distributions. 1 We have B α,β (t) 1-dim == B(S β (t α )), B is a standard BM and S(t), t 0 be a β-stable subordinator. 2 The grey Brownian motion B α,β is represented as B α,β (t) 1-dim == B H (A 1/α t α/β ), H = α 2, where the process A t has 1-dim. probability density function f At (x) = t β M β (xt β ), x, t 0. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

17 Representations of gbm Question Question Consider the fractional Poisson measure with characteristic function C β,α (ϕ) :=E β α e iϕ(x) 1 x α 1 dx R d and the process X β,α (t) :=, 1 [0,t), t 0. Obtain a representation for X β,α (t) d =? José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

18 On the increments of gbm 1 We now consider the increments of gbm B α,β : Z α,β,ε (t) := ε α/2 (B α,β (t + ε) B α,β (t)), ε > 0, 0 t 1 in order to study the convergence of λ{t [0, 1], Z α,β,ε (t) x}, ε 0. 2 This is equivalent to find the limit of the t-characteristic function 1 lim ε 0 0 e iuz α,β,ε(t) dt. 3 This question is related to the moment problem, i.e., study the limit lim Y α,β,ε,k := lim ε 0 ε Zα,β,ε k (t) dt, k N. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

19 On the increments of gbm We obtain the following result which will be useful for the approximation of the occupation measure. Proposition For any t [0, 1], almost surely we have t N has distribution N(0, 1). 0 Zα,β,ε k k/2 (s) ds tyβ E(N k ), ε 0, Theorem 1. For a.s. for all x R we have λ{t [0, 1], Z α,β,ε (t) x} P ( Y β N x), ε 0, where N is a standard normal distribution. 2. For a.s. for each interval I R + and all x R, we have λ{t I, Z α,β,ε (t) x} λ(i)p ( Y β N x ), ε 0. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

20 On the increments of gbm The above result is also valid in a more general context. Define the convolution approximation of B α,β by Bα,β ε = ψ ε B α,β, where ψ ε (t) = 1 ( ) t ε ψ, ε ψ is a bounded variation function with support in [ 1, 1] and ψ(t) dt = 1. Define R Z α,β,ε (t) := ε 1 α/2 d dt Bε α,β (t), t 0. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

21 On the increments of gbm Theorem 1. For almost sure for all x R we have λ { t [0, 1], Zα,β,ε (t) x } P (C ψ Yβ N x), ε 0, (4) where C ψ is given by C ψ = ( /2 u v α dψ(u) dψ(v)) For almost sure for each interval I R + and all x R, it follows from (4) that λ { t I, Zα,β,ε (t) x } λ(i)p (C ψ Yβ N x), ε 0. (5) José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

22 Local Times Definition (Occupation measure) For a measurable function f : I R, I a Borel set in [0, 1], we define the occupation measure µ f on I by µ f (B) := 1 B (f(s)) ds, B B(R). I Interpreting [0, 1] as a time set this is the amount of time spent by f in B during the time period I. Definition (Occupation density) We say that f has an occupation density on I if µ f is absolutely continuous with respect to the Lebesgue measure λ and denote it by L f (, I), in explicit, for any x R, L f (x, I) = dµ f dλ (x). José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

23 Local Times Definition (Berman s criterium: Existence of LT) A stochastic process X admits a local times if and only if (see or Berman [1969, Lemma 3.1] or Geman and Horowitz [1980, Thm 21.9] R E ( e iλ(x(t) X(s))) ds dt dλ <. (6) José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

24 Local Times Theorem 1 The gbm process B α,β admits a λ-square integrable local time L B α,β(, I) almost surely. 2 As a consequence of the existence of the local time L B α,β(, I), we obtain the occupation formula f(b α,β (s)) ds = f(x)l B α,β (x, I) dx, a.s. I I José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

25 Local Times Proof. For the gbm B α,β we have = = 1 1 R R E ( e iλ(b α,β(t) B α,β (s)) ) ds dt dλ ( ) E β λ2 t s α ds dt dλ ( ds dt E t s α/2 β r 2 ) dr. R } {{ } (B) } {{ } (A) (A) : (B) : 1 t s α/2 ds dt = 8 (2 α)(4 α). ( E β r 2 ) dr < R José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

26 Local Times Theorem For any continuous bounded real function f and any bounded interval I, almost surely, we have ε 1 α/2 π 2 C 1 ψ R f(x)c Bε α,β(x, I) dx Yβ f(x)l ε 0 R B α,β (x, I) dx. Here B ε α,β is the regularized gbm Bε α,β := ψ ε B α,β and C ψ is defined by C ψ = ( ) 1/2 u v α dψ(u) dψ(v) and C Bε α,β(x, I) is the number of crossing at level x of Bα,β ε interval I: } C Bε α,β(x, I) := # {t I : Bα,β ε (t) = x. in the José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

27 Local Times Proof. Step 1: For any continuous bounded function f and Banach-Kac formula we have ε 1 α/2 f(x)c Bε α,β(x, I) dx = ε 1 α/2 f(bα,β ε (t)) d dt Bε α,β (t) dt. R Now apply a standard trick (add and subtract) ( = f(b ε α,β (t)) f(b α,β (t)) ) ε 1 α/2 d I dt Bε α,β (t) dt + f(b α,β (t)) d ε1 α/2 dt Bε α,β (t) dt. I Step 2: Since B α,β and f are continuous it follows that, almost surely lim f(b α,β ε (t)) f(b α,β(t)) = 0 sup ε 0 t I I José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

28 Local Times and So we have lim ε 0 I sup ε>0 I d ε1 α/2 dt Bε α,β (t) dt <. ( f(b ε α,β (t)) f(b α,β (t)) ) ε 1 α/2 d dt Bε α,β (t) dt = 0. Step 3: For the other integral, f(b α,β (t)) d ε1 α/2 dt Bε α,β (t) dt lim ε 0 we use the previous result: t 0 I Z α,β,ε (s) ds ty 1/2 β E ( N ), ε 0. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

29 Local Times So that f(b α,β (t)) d ε1 α/2 dt Bε α,β (t) dt = lim ε 0 I 2 π C ψ Yβ f(b α,β (t)) dt. I The result of the theorem follows from the occupation formula: 2 = π C ψ Yβ f(x)l B α,β (x, I) dx. R We have ε 1 α/2 π 2 C 1 ψ R f(x)c Bε α,β(x, I) dx Yβ f(x)l ε 0 R B α,β (x, I) dx. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

30 Local Times Summary I The grey Brownian motion B α,β is a α 2 -self-similar, stationary increments process and the marginal pdf solves the stretched time-fractional diffusion equation. This class of processes includes Fractional Brownian motion, Brownian motion and other α 2 -sssi process as special cases. gbm admits different representations: Normal variance mixture B α,β (t) = Y β X α (t), t 0, where X α is a standard fbm, H = α 2 and Y β is an independent non-negative r.v. pdf M β. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

31 Local Times Summary II Multi-variate elliptic distribution X = R β A α S, where R β 0 is a radial r.v., A α is such that Σ α = A α A α and S is the uniform distribution on the sphere {x R n : x = 1}. Brownian motion subordinator B α,β (t) B(S β (t α )), t 0. Fractional Brownian motion subordinator B α,β (t) B H (A 1/α t α/β ), H = α 2, t 0. The gbm process B α,β admits a λ-square integrable local time L B α,β(, I) almost surely and as a consequence we obtain the occupation formula. The number of crossings C Bε α,β(x, I) of gbm weakly converges to the local times L B α,β(, I) almost surely. José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

32 References References I S. M. Berman. Local times and sample function properties of stationary Gaussian processes. Transactions of the American Mathematical Society, 137: , J. L. Da Silva and M. Erraoui. Grey Brownian motion local time: Existence and weak-approximation. Preprint, Univeristy of Madeira, URL D. Geman and J. Horowitz. Occupation densities. Ann. Probab., 8(1):1 67, ISSN F. Mainardi, A. Mura, and G. Pagnini. The M-Wright function in time-fractional diffusion processes: A tutorial survey. Int. J. Differ. Equ., pages Art. ID , 29, ISSN A. Mura. Non-Markovian Stochastic Processes and their Applications: From Anomalous Diffusions to Time Series Analysis. PhD thesis, Bologna, A. Mura and F. Mainardi. A class of self-similar stochastic processes with stationary increments to model anomalous diffusion in physics. Integral Transforms Spec. Funct., 20(3-4): , ISSN URL José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

33 References References II A. Mura, M. S. Taqqu, and F. Mainardi. Non-Markovian diffusion equations and processes: analysis and simulations. Phys. A, 387(21): , ISSN URL W. R. Schneider. Grey noise. In Ideas and methods in mathematical analysis, stochastics, and applications (Oslo, 1988), pages Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, Thank you José Luís Silva (CCM - UMa) Grey Brownian motion local times Hammamet / 33

CHAPTER IV - BROWNIAN MOTION

CHAPTER IV - BROWNIAN MOTION CHAPTER IV - BROWNIAN MOTION JOSEPH G. CONLON 1. Construction of Brownian Motion There are two ways in which the idea of a Markov chain on a discrete state space can be generalized: (1) The discrete time

More information

Mathematical Finance

Mathematical Finance Mathematical Finance Option Pricing under the Risk-Neutral Measure Cory Barnes Department of Mathematics University of Washington June 11, 2013 Outline 1 Probability Background 2 Black Scholes for European

More information

Simple Arbitrage. Motivated by and partly based on a joint work with T. Sottinen and E. Valkeila. Christian Bender. Saarland University

Simple Arbitrage. Motivated by and partly based on a joint work with T. Sottinen and E. Valkeila. Christian Bender. Saarland University Simple Arbitrage Motivated by and partly based on a joint work with T. Sottinen and E. Valkeila Saarland University December, 8, 2011 Problem Setting Financial market with two assets (for simplicity) on

More information

A SURVEY ON CONTINUOUS ELLIPTICAL VECTOR DISTRIBUTIONS

A SURVEY ON CONTINUOUS ELLIPTICAL VECTOR DISTRIBUTIONS A SURVEY ON CONTINUOUS ELLIPTICAL VECTOR DISTRIBUTIONS Eusebio GÓMEZ, Miguel A. GÓMEZ-VILLEGAS and J. Miguel MARÍN Abstract In this paper it is taken up a revision and characterization of the class of

More information

Asian Option Pricing Formula for Uncertain Financial Market

Asian Option Pricing Formula for Uncertain Financial Market Sun and Chen Journal of Uncertainty Analysis and Applications (215) 3:11 DOI 1.1186/s4467-15-35-7 RESEARCH Open Access Asian Option Pricing Formula for Uncertain Financial Market Jiajun Sun 1 and Xiaowei

More information

Introduction to Probability

Introduction to Probability Introduction to Probability EE 179, Lecture 15, Handout #24 Probability theory gives a mathematical characterization for experiments with random outcomes. coin toss life of lightbulb binary data sequence

More information

EXIT TIME PROBLEMS AND ESCAPE FROM A POTENTIAL WELL

EXIT TIME PROBLEMS AND ESCAPE FROM A POTENTIAL WELL EXIT TIME PROBLEMS AND ESCAPE FROM A POTENTIAL WELL Exit Time problems and Escape from a Potential Well Escape From a Potential Well There are many systems in physics, chemistry and biology that exist

More information

Marshall-Olkin distributions and portfolio credit risk

Marshall-Olkin distributions and portfolio credit risk Marshall-Olkin distributions and portfolio credit risk Moderne Finanzmathematik und ihre Anwendungen für Banken und Versicherungen, Fraunhofer ITWM, Kaiserslautern, in Kooperation mit der TU München und

More information

ARBITRAGE-FREE OPTION PRICING MODELS. Denis Bell. University of North Florida

ARBITRAGE-FREE OPTION PRICING MODELS. Denis Bell. University of North Florida ARBITRAGE-FREE OPTION PRICING MODELS Denis Bell University of North Florida Modelling Stock Prices Example American Express In mathematical finance, it is customary to model a stock price by an (Ito) stochatic

More information

Math 526: Brownian Motion Notes

Math 526: Brownian Motion Notes Math 526: Brownian Motion Notes Definition. Mike Ludkovski, 27, all rights reserved. A stochastic process (X t ) is called Brownian motion if:. The map t X t (ω) is continuous for every ω. 2. (X t X t

More information

Explicit Option Pricing Formula for a Mean-Reverting Asset in Energy Markets

Explicit Option Pricing Formula for a Mean-Reverting Asset in Energy Markets Explicit Option Pricing Formula for a Mean-Reverting Asset in Energy Markets Anatoliy Swishchuk Mathematical & Computational Finance Lab Dept of Math & Stat, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada

More information

Tail inequalities for order statistics of log-concave vectors and applications

Tail inequalities for order statistics of log-concave vectors and applications Tail inequalities for order statistics of log-concave vectors and applications Rafał Latała Based in part on a joint work with R.Adamczak, A.E.Litvak, A.Pajor and N.Tomczak-Jaegermann Banff, May 2011 Basic

More information

Monte Carlo Methods in Finance

Monte Carlo Methods in Finance Author: Yiyang Yang Advisor: Pr. Xiaolin Li, Pr. Zari Rachev Department of Applied Mathematics and Statistics State University of New York at Stony Brook October 2, 2012 Outline Introduction 1 Introduction

More information

Continued Fractions and the Euclidean Algorithm

Continued Fractions and the Euclidean Algorithm Continued Fractions and the Euclidean Algorithm Lecture notes prepared for MATH 326, Spring 997 Department of Mathematics and Statistics University at Albany William F Hammond Table of Contents Introduction

More information

Properties of BMO functions whose reciprocals are also BMO

Properties of BMO functions whose reciprocals are also BMO Properties of BMO functions whose reciprocals are also BMO R. L. Johnson and C. J. Neugebauer The main result says that a non-negative BMO-function w, whose reciprocal is also in BMO, belongs to p> A p,and

More information

Operator-valued version of conditionally free product

Operator-valued version of conditionally free product STUDIA MATHEMATICA 153 (1) (2002) Operator-valued version of conditionally free product by Wojciech Młotkowski (Wrocław) Abstract. We present an operator-valued version of the conditionally free product

More information

THE CENTRAL LIMIT THEOREM TORONTO

THE CENTRAL LIMIT THEOREM TORONTO THE CENTRAL LIMIT THEOREM DANIEL RÜDT UNIVERSITY OF TORONTO MARCH, 2010 Contents 1 Introduction 1 2 Mathematical Background 3 3 The Central Limit Theorem 4 4 Examples 4 4.1 Roulette......................................

More information

Is a Brownian motion skew?

Is a Brownian motion skew? Is a Brownian motion skew? Ernesto Mordecki Sesión en honor a Mario Wschebor Universidad de la República, Montevideo, Uruguay XI CLAPEM - November 2009 - Venezuela 1 1 Joint work with Antoine Lejay and

More information

1 Simulating Brownian motion (BM) and geometric Brownian motion (GBM)

1 Simulating Brownian motion (BM) and geometric Brownian motion (GBM) Copyright c 2013 by Karl Sigman 1 Simulating Brownian motion (BM) and geometric Brownian motion (GBM) For an introduction to how one can construct BM, see the Appendix at the end of these notes A stochastic

More information

Nonparametric adaptive age replacement with a one-cycle criterion

Nonparametric adaptive age replacement with a one-cycle criterion Nonparametric adaptive age replacement with a one-cycle criterion P. Coolen-Schrijner, F.P.A. Coolen Department of Mathematical Sciences University of Durham, Durham, DH1 3LE, UK e-mail: [email protected]

More information

A spot price model feasible for electricity forward pricing Part II

A spot price model feasible for electricity forward pricing Part II A spot price model feasible for electricity forward pricing Part II Fred Espen Benth Centre of Mathematics for Applications (CMA) University of Oslo, Norway Wolfgang Pauli Institute, Wien January 17-18

More information

Estimating the Degree of Activity of jumps in High Frequency Financial Data. joint with Yacine Aït-Sahalia

Estimating the Degree of Activity of jumps in High Frequency Financial Data. joint with Yacine Aït-Sahalia Estimating the Degree of Activity of jumps in High Frequency Financial Data joint with Yacine Aït-Sahalia Aim and setting An underlying process X = (X t ) t 0, observed at equally spaced discrete times

More information

Some Research Problems in Uncertainty Theory

Some Research Problems in Uncertainty Theory Journal of Uncertain Systems Vol.3, No.1, pp.3-10, 2009 Online at: www.jus.org.uk Some Research Problems in Uncertainty Theory aoding Liu Uncertainty Theory Laboratory, Department of Mathematical Sciences

More information

Some remarks on two-asset options pricing and stochastic dependence of asset prices

Some remarks on two-asset options pricing and stochastic dependence of asset prices Some remarks on two-asset options pricing and stochastic dependence of asset prices G. Rapuch & T. Roncalli Groupe de Recherche Opérationnelle, Crédit Lyonnais, France July 16, 001 Abstract In this short

More information

Sensitivity analysis of European options in jump-diffusion models via the Malliavin calculus on the Wiener space

Sensitivity analysis of European options in jump-diffusion models via the Malliavin calculus on the Wiener space Sensitivity analysis of European options in jump-diffusion models via the Malliavin calculus on the Wiener space Virginie Debelley and Nicolas Privault Département de Mathématiques Université de La Rochelle

More information

Lectures 5-6: Taylor Series

Lectures 5-6: Taylor Series Math 1d Instructor: Padraic Bartlett Lectures 5-: Taylor Series Weeks 5- Caltech 213 1 Taylor Polynomials and Series As we saw in week 4, power series are remarkably nice objects to work with. In particular,

More information

Poisson process. Etienne Pardoux. Aix Marseille Université. Etienne Pardoux (AMU) CIMPA, Ziguinchor 1 / 8

Poisson process. Etienne Pardoux. Aix Marseille Université. Etienne Pardoux (AMU) CIMPA, Ziguinchor 1 / 8 Poisson process Etienne Pardoux Aix Marseille Université Etienne Pardoux (AMU) CIMPA, Ziguinchor 1 / 8 The standard Poisson process Let λ > be given. A rate λ Poisson (counting) process is defined as P

More information

Overview of Monte Carlo Simulation, Probability Review and Introduction to Matlab

Overview of Monte Carlo Simulation, Probability Review and Introduction to Matlab Monte Carlo Simulation: IEOR E4703 Fall 2004 c 2004 by Martin Haugh Overview of Monte Carlo Simulation, Probability Review and Introduction to Matlab 1 Overview of Monte Carlo Simulation 1.1 Why use simulation?

More information

Differentiating under an integral sign

Differentiating under an integral sign CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY Ma 2b KC Border Introduction to Probability and Statistics February 213 Differentiating under an integral sign In the derivation of Maximum Likelihood Estimators, or

More information

A generalized allocation scheme

A generalized allocation scheme Annales Mathematicae et Informaticae 39 (202) pp. 57 70 Proceedings of the Conference on Stochastic Models and their Applications Faculty of Informatics, University of Debrecen, Debrecen, Hungary, August

More information

Probability and Random Variables. Generation of random variables (r.v.)

Probability and Random Variables. Generation of random variables (r.v.) Probability and Random Variables Method for generating random variables with a specified probability distribution function. Gaussian And Markov Processes Characterization of Stationary Random Process Linearly

More information

The Black-Scholes-Merton Approach to Pricing Options

The Black-Scholes-Merton Approach to Pricing Options he Black-Scholes-Merton Approach to Pricing Options Paul J Atzberger Comments should be sent to: atzberg@mathucsbedu Introduction In this article we shall discuss the Black-Scholes-Merton approach to determining

More information

Probability Theory. Florian Herzog. A random variable is neither random nor variable. Gian-Carlo Rota, M.I.T..

Probability Theory. Florian Herzog. A random variable is neither random nor variable. Gian-Carlo Rota, M.I.T.. Probability Theory A random variable is neither random nor variable. Gian-Carlo Rota, M.I.T.. Florian Herzog 2013 Probability space Probability space A probability space W is a unique triple W = {Ω, F,

More information

Stochastic Processes and Queueing Theory used in Cloud Computer Performance Simulations

Stochastic Processes and Queueing Theory used in Cloud Computer Performance Simulations 56 Stochastic Processes and Queueing Theory used in Cloud Computer Performance Simulations Stochastic Processes and Queueing Theory used in Cloud Computer Performance Simulations Florin-Cătălin ENACHE

More information

Monte Carlo Simulation

Monte Carlo Simulation 1 Monte Carlo Simulation Stefan Weber Leibniz Universität Hannover email: [email protected] web: www.stochastik.uni-hannover.de/ sweber Monte Carlo Simulation 2 Quantifying and Hedging

More information

LÉVY-DRIVEN PROCESSES IN BAYESIAN NONPARAMETRIC INFERENCE

LÉVY-DRIVEN PROCESSES IN BAYESIAN NONPARAMETRIC INFERENCE Bol. Soc. Mat. Mexicana (3) Vol. 19, 2013 LÉVY-DRIVEN PROCESSES IN BAYESIAN NONPARAMETRIC INFERENCE LUIS E. NIETO-BARAJAS ABSTRACT. In this article we highlight the important role that Lévy processes have

More information

Corrected Diffusion Approximations for the Maximum of Heavy-Tailed Random Walk

Corrected Diffusion Approximations for the Maximum of Heavy-Tailed Random Walk Corrected Diffusion Approximations for the Maximum of Heavy-Tailed Random Walk Jose Blanchet and Peter Glynn December, 2003. Let (X n : n 1) be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random

More information

A new continuous dependence result for impulsive retarded functional differential equations

A new continuous dependence result for impulsive retarded functional differential equations CADERNOS DE MATEMÁTICA 11, 37 47 May (2010) ARTIGO NÚMERO SMA#324 A new continuous dependence result for impulsive retarded functional differential equations M. Federson * Instituto de Ciências Matemáticas

More information

On the mathematical theory of splitting and Russian roulette

On the mathematical theory of splitting and Russian roulette On the mathematical theory of splitting and Russian roulette techniques St.Petersburg State University, Russia 1. Introduction Splitting is an universal and potentially very powerful technique for increasing

More information

IEOR 6711: Stochastic Models, I Fall 2012, Professor Whitt, Final Exam SOLUTIONS

IEOR 6711: Stochastic Models, I Fall 2012, Professor Whitt, Final Exam SOLUTIONS IEOR 6711: Stochastic Models, I Fall 2012, Professor Whitt, Final Exam SOLUTIONS There are four questions, each with several parts. 1. Customers Coming to an Automatic Teller Machine (ATM) (30 points)

More information

Symmetric planar non collinear relative equilibria for the Lennard Jones potential 3 body problem with two equal masses

Symmetric planar non collinear relative equilibria for the Lennard Jones potential 3 body problem with two equal masses Monografías de la Real Academia de Ciencias de Zaragoza. 25: 93 114, (2004). Symmetric planar non collinear relative equilibria for the Lennard Jones potential 3 body problem with two equal masses M. Corbera,

More information

Finitely Additive Dynamic Programming and Stochastic Games. Bill Sudderth University of Minnesota

Finitely Additive Dynamic Programming and Stochastic Games. Bill Sudderth University of Minnesota Finitely Additive Dynamic Programming and Stochastic Games Bill Sudderth University of Minnesota 1 Discounted Dynamic Programming Five ingredients: S, A, r, q, β. S - state space A - set of actions q(

More information

Probability and statistics; Rehearsal for pattern recognition

Probability and statistics; Rehearsal for pattern recognition Probability and statistics; Rehearsal for pattern recognition Václav Hlaváč Czech Technical University in Prague Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Department of Cybernetics Center for Machine Perception

More information

Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model

Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model Nathan Coelen June 6, 22 1 Introduction Finance is one of the most rapidly changing and fastest growing areas in the corporate business world. Because of this rapid change,

More information

Finite speed of propagation in porous media. by mass transportation methods

Finite speed of propagation in porous media. by mass transportation methods Finite speed of propagation in porous media by mass transportation methods José Antonio Carrillo a, Maria Pia Gualdani b, Giuseppe Toscani c a Departament de Matemàtiques - ICREA, Universitat Autònoma

More information

Reference: Introduction to Partial Differential Equations by G. Folland, 1995, Chap. 3.

Reference: Introduction to Partial Differential Equations by G. Folland, 1995, Chap. 3. 5 Potential Theory Reference: Introduction to Partial Differential Equations by G. Folland, 995, Chap. 3. 5. Problems of Interest. In what follows, we consider Ω an open, bounded subset of R n with C 2

More information

Linear Threshold Units

Linear Threshold Units Linear Threshold Units w x hx (... w n x n w We assume that each feature x j and each weight w j is a real number (we will relax this later) We will study three different algorithms for learning linear

More information

Valuation of American Options

Valuation of American Options Valuation of American Options Among the seminal contributions to the mathematics of finance is the paper F. Black and M. Scholes, The pricing of options and corporate liabilities, Journal of Political

More information

A PRIORI ESTIMATES FOR SEMISTABLE SOLUTIONS OF SEMILINEAR ELLIPTIC EQUATIONS. In memory of Rou-Huai Wang

A PRIORI ESTIMATES FOR SEMISTABLE SOLUTIONS OF SEMILINEAR ELLIPTIC EQUATIONS. In memory of Rou-Huai Wang A PRIORI ESTIMATES FOR SEMISTABLE SOLUTIONS OF SEMILINEAR ELLIPTIC EQUATIONS XAVIER CABRÉ, MANEL SANCHÓN, AND JOEL SPRUCK In memory of Rou-Huai Wang 1. Introduction In this note we consider semistable

More information

Two Topics in Parametric Integration Applied to Stochastic Simulation in Industrial Engineering

Two Topics in Parametric Integration Applied to Stochastic Simulation in Industrial Engineering Two Topics in Parametric Integration Applied to Stochastic Simulation in Industrial Engineering Department of Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences Northwestern University September 15th, 2014

More information

Probability and Statistics

Probability and Statistics Probability and Statistics Syllabus for the TEMPUS SEE PhD Course (Podgorica, April 4 29, 2011) Franz Kappel 1 Institute for Mathematics and Scientific Computing University of Graz Žaneta Popeska 2 Faculty

More information

CONTINUOUS COUNTERPARTS OF POISSON AND BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTIONS AND THEIR PROPERTIES

CONTINUOUS COUNTERPARTS OF POISSON AND BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTIONS AND THEIR PROPERTIES Annales Univ. Sci. Budapest., Sect. Comp. 39 213 137 147 CONTINUOUS COUNTERPARTS OF POISSON AND BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTIONS AND THEIR PROPERTIES Andrii Ilienko Kiev, Ukraine Dedicated to the 7 th anniversary

More information

How To Find Out How To Calculate A Premeasure On A Set Of Two-Dimensional Algebra

How To Find Out How To Calculate A Premeasure On A Set Of Two-Dimensional Algebra 54 CHAPTER 5 Product Measures Given two measure spaces, we may construct a natural measure on their Cartesian product; the prototype is the construction of Lebesgue measure on R 2 as the product of Lebesgue

More information

On exponentially ane martingales. Johannes Muhle-Karbe

On exponentially ane martingales. Johannes Muhle-Karbe On exponentially ane martingales AMAMEF 2007, Bedlewo Johannes Muhle-Karbe Joint work with Jan Kallsen HVB-Institut für Finanzmathematik, Technische Universität München 1 Outline 1. Semimartingale characteristics

More information

Statistics Graduate Courses

Statistics Graduate Courses Statistics Graduate Courses STAT 7002--Topics in Statistics-Biological/Physical/Mathematics (cr.arr.).organized study of selected topics. Subjects and earnable credit may vary from semester to semester.

More information

DIRICHLET S PROBLEM WITH ENTIRE DATA POSED ON AN ELLIPSOIDAL CYLINDER. 1. Introduction

DIRICHLET S PROBLEM WITH ENTIRE DATA POSED ON AN ELLIPSOIDAL CYLINDER. 1. Introduction DIRICHLET S PROBLEM WITH ENTIRE DATA POSED ON AN ELLIPSOIDAL CYLINDER DMITRY KHAVINSON, ERIK LUNDBERG, HERMANN RENDER. Introduction A function u is said to be harmonic if u := n j= 2 u = 0. Given a domain

More information

A Uniform Asymptotic Estimate for Discounted Aggregate Claims with Subexponential Tails

A Uniform Asymptotic Estimate for Discounted Aggregate Claims with Subexponential Tails 12th International Congress on Insurance: Mathematics and Economics July 16-18, 2008 A Uniform Asymptotic Estimate for Discounted Aggregate Claims with Subexponential Tails XUEMIAO HAO (Based on a joint

More information

Lecture 10. Finite difference and finite element methods. Option pricing Sensitivity analysis Numerical examples

Lecture 10. Finite difference and finite element methods. Option pricing Sensitivity analysis Numerical examples Finite difference and finite element methods Lecture 10 Sensitivities and Greeks Key task in financial engineering: fast and accurate calculation of sensitivities of market models with respect to model

More information

COMPLETE MARKETS DO NOT ALLOW FREE CASH FLOW STREAMS

COMPLETE MARKETS DO NOT ALLOW FREE CASH FLOW STREAMS COMPLETE MARKETS DO NOT ALLOW FREE CASH FLOW STREAMS NICOLE BÄUERLE AND STEFANIE GRETHER Abstract. In this short note we prove a conjecture posed in Cui et al. 2012): Dynamic mean-variance problems in

More information

Order statistics and concentration of l r norms for log-concave vectors

Order statistics and concentration of l r norms for log-concave vectors Order statistics and concentration of l r norms for log-concave vectors Rafa l Lata la Abstract We establish upper bounds for tails of order statistics of isotropic log-concave vectors and apply them to

More information

The Exponential Distribution

The Exponential Distribution 21 The Exponential Distribution From Discrete-Time to Continuous-Time: In Chapter 6 of the text we will be considering Markov processes in continuous time. In a sense, we already have a very good understanding

More information

Harnack Inequality for Some Classes of Markov Processes

Harnack Inequality for Some Classes of Markov Processes Harnack Inequality for Some Classes of Markov Processes Renming Song Department of Mathematics University of Illinois Urbana, IL 6181 Email: [email protected] and Zoran Vondraček Department of Mathematics

More information

Høgskolen i Narvik Sivilingeniørutdanningen STE6237 ELEMENTMETODER. Oppgaver

Høgskolen i Narvik Sivilingeniørutdanningen STE6237 ELEMENTMETODER. Oppgaver Høgskolen i Narvik Sivilingeniørutdanningen STE637 ELEMENTMETODER Oppgaver Klasse: 4.ID, 4.IT Ekstern Professor: Gregory A. Chechkin e-mail: [email protected] Narvik 6 PART I Task. Consider two-point

More information

The Analysis of Data. Volume 1. Probability. Guy Lebanon

The Analysis of Data. Volume 1. Probability. Guy Lebanon The Analysis of Data Volume 1 Probability Guy Lebanon First Edition 2012 Probability. The Analysis of Data, Volume 1. First Edition, First Printing, 2013 http://theanalysisofdata.com Copyright 2013 by

More information

Stochastic Processes LECTURE 5

Stochastic Processes LECTURE 5 128 LECTURE 5 Stochastic Processes We may regard the present state of the universe as the effect of its past and the cause of its future. An intellect which at a certain moment would know all forces that

More information

Numerical Methods for Pricing Exotic Options

Numerical Methods for Pricing Exotic Options Numerical Methods for Pricing Exotic Options Dimitra Bampou Supervisor: Dr. Daniel Kuhn Second Marker: Professor Berç Rustem 18 June 2008 2 Numerical Methods for Pricing Exotic Options 0BAbstract 3 Abstract

More information

ON THE EXISTENCE AND LIMIT BEHAVIOR OF THE OPTIMAL BANDWIDTH FOR KERNEL DENSITY ESTIMATION

ON THE EXISTENCE AND LIMIT BEHAVIOR OF THE OPTIMAL BANDWIDTH FOR KERNEL DENSITY ESTIMATION Statistica Sinica 17(27), 289-3 ON THE EXISTENCE AND LIMIT BEHAVIOR OF THE OPTIMAL BANDWIDTH FOR KERNEL DENSITY ESTIMATION J. E. Chacón, J. Montanero, A. G. Nogales and P. Pérez Universidad de Extremadura

More information

Finite Differences Schemes for Pricing of European and American Options

Finite Differences Schemes for Pricing of European and American Options Finite Differences Schemes for Pricing of European and American Options Margarida Mirador Fernandes IST Technical University of Lisbon Lisbon, Portugal November 009 Abstract Starting with the Black-Scholes

More information

Estimation of Fractal Dimension: Numerical Experiments and Software

Estimation of Fractal Dimension: Numerical Experiments and Software Institute of Biomathematics and Biometry Helmholtz Center Münhen (IBB HMGU) Institute of Computational Mathematics and Mathematical Geophysics, Siberian Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, Novosibirsk

More information

3. INNER PRODUCT SPACES

3. INNER PRODUCT SPACES . INNER PRODUCT SPACES.. Definition So far we have studied abstract vector spaces. These are a generalisation of the geometric spaces R and R. But these have more structure than just that of a vector space.

More information

Pricing Discrete Barrier Options

Pricing Discrete Barrier Options Pricing Discrete Barrier Options Barrier options whose barrier is monitored only at discrete times are called discrete barrier options. They are more common than the continuously monitored versions. The

More information

Alternative Price Processes for Black-Scholes: Empirical Evidence and Theory

Alternative Price Processes for Black-Scholes: Empirical Evidence and Theory Alternative Price Processes for Black-Scholes: Empirical Evidence and Theory Samuel W. Malone April 19, 2002 This work is supported by NSF VIGRE grant number DMS-9983320. Page 1 of 44 1 Introduction This

More information

arxiv:0805.1170v1 [cond-mat.stat-mech] 8 May 2008

arxiv:0805.1170v1 [cond-mat.stat-mech] 8 May 2008 Path integral formulation of fractional Brownian motion for general Hurst exponent arxiv:85.117v1 [cond-mat.stat-mech] 8 May 28 I Calvo 1 and R Sánchez 2 1 Laboratorio Nacional de Fusión, Asociación EURAOM-CIEMA,

More information

Hydrodynamic Limits of Randomized Load Balancing Networks

Hydrodynamic Limits of Randomized Load Balancing Networks Hydrodynamic Limits of Randomized Load Balancing Networks Kavita Ramanan and Mohammadreza Aghajani Brown University Stochastic Networks and Stochastic Geometry a conference in honour of François Baccelli

More information

Chapter 5. Banach Spaces

Chapter 5. Banach Spaces 9 Chapter 5 Banach Spaces Many linear equations may be formulated in terms of a suitable linear operator acting on a Banach space. In this chapter, we study Banach spaces and linear operators acting on

More information

The sample space for a pair of die rolls is the set. The sample space for a random number between 0 and 1 is the interval [0, 1].

The sample space for a pair of die rolls is the set. The sample space for a random number between 0 and 1 is the interval [0, 1]. Probability Theory Probability Spaces and Events Consider a random experiment with several possible outcomes. For example, we might roll a pair of dice, flip a coin three times, or choose a random real

More information

MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.436J/15.085J Fall 2008 Lecture 5 9/17/2008 RANDOM VARIABLES

MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.436J/15.085J Fall 2008 Lecture 5 9/17/2008 RANDOM VARIABLES MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 6.436J/15.085J Fall 2008 Lecture 5 9/17/2008 RANDOM VARIABLES Contents 1. Random variables and measurable functions 2. Cumulative distribution functions 3. Discrete

More information

INDISTINGUISHABILITY OF ABSOLUTELY CONTINUOUS AND SINGULAR DISTRIBUTIONS

INDISTINGUISHABILITY OF ABSOLUTELY CONTINUOUS AND SINGULAR DISTRIBUTIONS INDISTINGUISHABILITY OF ABSOLUTELY CONTINUOUS AND SINGULAR DISTRIBUTIONS STEVEN P. LALLEY AND ANDREW NOBEL Abstract. It is shown that there are no consistent decision rules for the hypothesis testing problem

More information

1 Norms and Vector Spaces

1 Norms and Vector Spaces 008.10.07.01 1 Norms and Vector Spaces Suppose we have a complex vector space V. A norm is a function f : V R which satisfies (i) f(x) 0 for all x V (ii) f(x + y) f(x) + f(y) for all x,y V (iii) f(λx)

More information

Numerical methods for American options

Numerical methods for American options Lecture 9 Numerical methods for American options Lecture Notes by Andrzej Palczewski Computational Finance p. 1 American options The holder of an American option has the right to exercise it at any moment

More information

Mathematics for Econometrics, Fourth Edition

Mathematics for Econometrics, Fourth Edition Mathematics for Econometrics, Fourth Edition Phoebus J. Dhrymes 1 July 2012 1 c Phoebus J. Dhrymes, 2012. Preliminary material; not to be cited or disseminated without the author s permission. 2 Contents

More information

On a comparison result for Markov processes

On a comparison result for Markov processes On a comparison result for Markov processes Ludger Rüschendorf University of Freiburg Abstract A comparison theorem is stated for Markov processes in polish state spaces. We consider a general class of

More information

( ) is proportional to ( 10 + x)!2. Calculate the

( ) is proportional to ( 10 + x)!2. Calculate the PRACTICE EXAMINATION NUMBER 6. An insurance company eamines its pool of auto insurance customers and gathers the following information: i) All customers insure at least one car. ii) 64 of the customers

More information