NORSAR/International Center of Geohazards (ICG) Kjeller, Norway. International Conference on Open Risk Analysis Cambridge, UK June 2009
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1 The SELENA RISe Open Risk Package D.H. Lang, S. Molina, V. Gutiérrez, C.D. Lindholm, and F. Lingvall NORSAR/International Center of Geohazards (ICG) Kjeller, Norway International Conference on Open Risk Analysis Cambridge, UK June 2009
2 Terminology SELENA RISe SELENA: "Seismic Loss Estimation using a Logic Tree Approach" RISe: "Risk Illustrator for SELENA" Damage and loss computation software Google Earth interface (KML file converter)
3 SELENA Basic features (1) analytical (engineering) approach using capacity spectrum method (CSM) iterative procedure A of ATC-40 (1996) procedure C of MADRS (FEMA-440, 2005) classification of physical damage following 'HAZUS damage states' (FEMA, 2003)
4 SELENA Basic features (2) ground motion values (PGA, S a ) can be provided on three different ways: (1) deterministic scenario (2) grided data (e.g. given by probabilistic shake maps) (3) randomly distributed data (e.g. coming from recording stations) seismic demand in the S a S d domain is represented by a code design spectrum currently incorporated: IBC-2006 Eurocode 8 Type 1 & 2 (CEN, 2002) Indian code IS 1893 (Part 1): 2002 (BIS, 2002) respective soil classification schemes considered: Shear wave Soil type IBC-2006 (NEHRP) Eurocode 8 IS 1893 (Part 1): 2002 velocity v s,30 hard rock > 1500 m/s A A rock m/s B I stiff soil m/s C B soft soil m/s D C II very soft soil < 180 m/s E D III
5 SELENA Basic features (2) ground motion values (PGA, S a ) can be provided on three different ways: (1) deterministic scenario (2) grided data (e.g. given by probabilistic shake maps) (3) randomly distributed data (e.g. coming from recording stations) program sequence of a deterministic analysis:
6 SELENA Basic features (3) weighted logic tree computation scheme weighted results will provide expected mean values and confidence levels (percentiles) ground motion with and w/o soil amplification i factors damage probabilities and damage extent (no. of buildings or building floor area) casualties (injuries and fatalities) economic (monetary) loss 25 % 50 % 25 % 25 % 50 % 25 % 10 % 80 % 10 % 20 % 60 % 20 % 25 % 50 % 25 %
7 Connection SELENA RISe currently RISe is solely customized to the SELENA file structure RISe serves as an intermediary between SELENA and Google Earth both input and output files are required/given in plain ASCII text format
8 RISe Illustrating input and inventory all geo-referenced input files can be converted into GE maps different illustration types are incorporated (color-shaded, bar chart plots, etc.) Input file (.txt) Mapping file (.kml) Description earthquake.txt earthquake.kml 1 placemark for each defined earthquake epicenter (only deterministic analysis) INVENTORY INFORMATION: numbuild.txt numbuild.kml 1 color-shaded map for each model building type builtarea.txt builtarea.kml 1 color-shaded map for each model building type population.txt population.kml 1 absolute bar chart map ocupmbtl.txt ocupmbtl.kml 1 color-shaded map for each occupancy type and model building type l occupancy.txt occupancy.txt 1 normalized bar chart map illustrating the distribution of building floor area to the main occupancy types RES, COM, IND, REL, GOV and EDU irrespective of model building type SOIL INFORMATION: soilcenterk.txt soilcenterk.kml 1 color-shaded map for each soil model k GROUND MOTION INFORMATION: shakecenteri.txt shakecenteri.kml 3 color-shaded maps for each shakemap i separate for PGA, S a (0.3 s) & S a (1.0 s)
9 RISe Illustrating input and inventory all geo-referenced input files can be converted into GE maps different illustration types are incorporated (color-shaded, bar chart plots, etc.) Input file (.txt) Mapping file (.kml) Description earthquake.txt earthquake.kml 1 placemark for each defined earthquake epicenter (only deterministic analysis) INVENTORY INFORMATION: numbuild.txt numbuild.kml 1 color-shaded map for each model building type builtarea.txt builtarea.kml 1 color-shaded map for each model building type population.txt population.kml 1 absolute bar chart map ocupmbtl.txt ocupmbtl.kml 1 color-shaded map for each occupancy type and model building type l occupancy.txt occupancy.txt 1 normalized bar chart map illustrating the distribution of building floor area to the main occupancy types RES, COM, IND, REL, GOV and EDU irrespective of model building type SOIL INFORMATION: soilcenterk.txt soilcenterk.kml 1 color-shaded map for each soil model k GROUND MOTION INFORMATION: shakecenteri.txt shakecenteri.kml 3 color-shaded maps for each shakemap i separate for PGA, S a (0.3 s) & S a (1.0 s)
10 RISe Illustrating input and inventory number of buildings disaggregated by MBT ( numbuild.kml)
11 RISe Illustrating input and inventory all geo-referenced input files can be converted into GE maps different illustration types are incorporated (color-shaded, bar chart plots, etc.) Input file (.txt) Mapping file (.kml) Description earthquake.txt earthquake.kml 1 placemark for each defined earthquake epicenter (only deterministic analysis) INVENTORY INFORMATION: numbuild.txt numbuild.kml 1 color-shaded map for each model building type builtarea.txt builtarea.kml 1 color-shaded map for each model building type population.txt population.kml 1 absolute bar chart map ocupmbtl.txt ocupmbtl.kml 1 color-shaded map for each occupancy type and model building type l occupancy.txt occupancy.txt 1 normalized bar chart map illustrating the distribution of building floor area to the main occupancy types RES, COM, IND, REL, GOV and EDU irrespective of model building type SOIL INFORMATION: soilcenterk.txt soilcenterk.kml 1 color-shaded map for each soil model k GROUND MOTION INFORMATION: shakecenteri.txt shakecenteri.kml 3 color-shaded maps for each shakemap i separate for PGA, S a (0.3 s) & S a (1.0 s)
12 RISe Illustrating input and inventory number of population in each geounit ( population.kml) night time residential population
13 RISe Illustrating input and inventory all geo-referenced input files can be converted into GE maps different illustration types are incorporated (color-shaded, bar chart plots, etc.) Input file (.txt) Mapping file (.kml) Description earthquake.txt earthquake.kml 1 placemark for each defined earthquake epicenter (only deterministic analysis) INVENTORY INFORMATION: numbuild.txt numbuild.kml 1 color-shaded map for each model building type builtarea.txt builtarea.kml 1 color-shaded map for each model building type population.txt population.kml 1 absolute bar chart map ocupmbtl.txt ocupmbtl.kml 1 color-shaded map for each occupancy type and model building type l occupancy.txt occupancy.txt 1 normalized bar chart map illustrating the distribution of building floor area to the main occupancy types RES, COM, IND, REL, GOV and EDU irrespective of model building type SOIL INFORMATION: soilcenterk.txt soilcenterk.kml 1 color-shaded map for each soil model k GROUND MOTION INFORMATION: shakecenteri.txt shakecenteri.kml 3 color-shaded maps for each shakemap i separate for PGA, S a (0.3 s) & S a (1.0 s)
14 RISe Illustrating input and inventory percental distribution of occupancy types in the geounits ( occupancy.kml)
15 RISe Illustrating output Output file Mapping file Description GROUND MOTION INFORMATION: gmotionsceni.txt gmotionsceni.kml 6 color-shaded maps (separate for PGA, S a (0.3 s) & S a (1.0 s) on rock and soil conditions) for each logic tree branch i DAMAGE INFORMATION: douti.txt douti.kml normalized bar chart maps separate for each model building type for each logic tree branch i medianct.txt medianct.kml absolute bar chart maps separate for each model building type 16prctile.txt 16prctile.kml absolute bar chart maps separate for each model building type 84prctile.txt 84prctile.kml absolute bar chart maps separate for each model building type LOSS INFORMATION: lossmedian.txt loss.kml absolute bar chart map (median 1 ) loss16prctile.txt loss84prctile.txt hlbyinjurmean.txt t hlbyinjurs.kml absolute bar chart maps (median 1 ) for each injury severity level (1 4) hlbyinjur16.txt and each daytime scenario (2 am, 10 am, 5 pm) hlbyinjur84.txt hlbyinjurmean.txt totalinjurs.kml absolute bar chart maps (median 1 ) for cumulated casualty numbers hlbyinjur16.txt separated for each daytime scenario (2 am, 10 am, 5 pm) hlbyinjur84.txt
16 RISe Illustrating output Output file Mapping file Description GROUND MOTION INFORMATION: gmotionsceni.txt gmotionsceni.kml 6 color-shaded maps (separate for PGA, S a (0.3 s) & S a (1.0 s) on rock and soil conditions) for each logic tree branch i DAMAGE INFORMATION: douti.txt douti.kml normalized bar chart maps separate for each model building type for each logic tree branch i medianct.txt medianct.kml absolute bar chart maps separate for each model building type 16prctile.txt 16prctile.kml absolute bar chart maps separate for each model building type 84prctile.txt 84prctile.kml absolute bar chart maps separate for each model building type LOSS INFORMATION: lossmedian.txt loss.kml absolute bar chart map (median 1 ) loss16prctile.txt loss84prctile.txt hlbyinjurmean.txt t hlbyinjurs.kml absolute bar chart maps (median 1 ) for each injury severity level (1 4) hlbyinjur16.txt and each daytime scenario (2 am, 10 am, 5 pm) hlbyinjur84.txt hlbyinjurmean.txt totalinjurs.kml absolute bar chart maps (median 1 ) for cumulated casualty numbers hlbyinjur16.txt separated for each daytime scenario (2 am, 10 am, 5 pm) hlbyinjur84.txt
17 RISe Illustrating output spectral ground motion maps (deterministic scenario) ( gmotionsceni.kml)
18 RISe Illustrating output Output file Mapping file Description GROUND MOTION INFORMATION: gmotionsceni.txt gmotionsceni.kml 6 color-shaded maps (separate for PGA, S a (0.3 s) & S a (1.0 s) on rock and soil conditions) for each logic tree branch i DAMAGE INFORMATION: douti.txt douti.kml normalized bar chart maps separate for each model building type for each logic tree branch i medianct.txt medianct.kml absolute bar chart maps separate for each model building type 16prctile.txt 16prctile.kml absolute bar chart maps separate for each model building type 84prctile.txt 84prctile.kml absolute bar chart maps separate for each model building type LOSS INFORMATION: lossmedian.txt loss.kml absolute bar chart map (median 1 ) loss16prctile.txt loss84prctile.txt hlbyinjurmean.txt t hlbyinjurs.kml absolute bar chart maps (median 1 ) for each injury severity level (1 4) hlbyinjur16.txt and each daytime scenario (2 am, 10 am, 5 pm) hlbyinjur84.txt hlbyinjurmean.txt totalinjurs.kml absolute bar chart maps (median 1 ) for cumulated casualty numbers hlbyinjur16.txt separated for each daytime scenario (2 am, 10 am, 5 pm) hlbyinjur84.txt
19 RISe Illustrating output damage probabilities separate for each building typology ( douti.kml)
20 RISe Illustrating output Output file Mapping file Description GROUND MOTION INFORMATION: gmotionsceni.txt gmotionsceni.kml 6 color-shaded maps (separate for PGA, S a (0.3 s) & S a (1.0 s) on rock and soil conditions) for each logic tree branch i DAMAGE INFORMATION: douti.txt douti.kml normalized bar chart maps separate for each model building type for each logic tree branch i medianct.txt medianct.kml absolute bar chart maps separate for each model building type 16prctile.txt 16prctile.kml absolute bar chart maps separate for each model building type 84prctile.txt 84prctile.kml absolute bar chart maps separate for each model building type LOSS INFORMATION: lossmedian.txt loss.kml absolute bar chart map (median 1 ) loss16prctile.txt loss84prctile.txt hlbyinjurmean.txt t hlbyinjurs.kml absolute bar chart maps (median 1 ) for each injury severity level (1 4) hlbyinjur16.txt and each daytime scenario (2 am, 10 am, 5 pm) hlbyinjur84.txt hlbyinjurmean.txt totalinjurs.kml absolute bar chart maps (median 1 ) for cumulated casualty numbers hlbyinjur16.txt separated for each daytime scenario (2 am, 10 am, 5 pm) hlbyinjur84.txt
21 RISe Illustrating output absolute damage extent separate for each building typology ( medianct.kml)
22 RISe Illustrating output Output file Mapping file Description GROUND MOTION INFORMATION: gmotionsceni.txt gmotionsceni.kml 6 color-shaded maps (separate for PGA, S a (0.3 s) & S a (1.0 s) on rock and soil conditions) for each logic tree branch i DAMAGE INFORMATION: douti.txt douti.kml normalized bar chart maps separate for each model building type for each logic tree branch i medianct.txt medianct.kml absolute bar chart maps separate for each model building type 16prctile.txt 16prctile.kml absolute bar chart maps separate for each model building type 84prctile.txt 84prctile.kml absolute bar chart maps separate for each model building type LOSS INFORMATION: lossmedian.txt loss.kml absolute bar chart map (median 1 ) loss16prctile.txt loss84prctile.txt hlbyinjurmean.txt t hlbyinjurs.kml absolute bar chart maps (median 1 ) for each injury severity level (1 4) hlbyinjur16.txt and each daytime scenario (2 am, 10 am, 5 pm) hlbyinjur84.txt hlbyinjurmean.txt totalinjurs.kml absolute bar chart maps (median 1 ) for cumulated casualty numbers hlbyinjur16.txt separated for each daytime scenario (2 am, 10 am, 5 pm) hlbyinjur84.txt
23 RISe Illustrating output casualties (mv ) for 4 severity levels and 3 daytime scenarios ( hlbyinjurs.kml)
24 "Openess" of SELENA Free: Open source: distributed free of charge through the NORSAR/ICG website open source code, different formats now available (1) MATLAB code (2) "C" code which can be compiled into a) stand-alone binary independent of MATLAB & toolboxes b) binary (mex/oct) functions which can be used from within the MATLAB/Octave environment Advantages: - approximately 50 times faster than MATLAB code - code can be run in the free (open source) MATLAB clone GNU Octave Open documentation: o open user manual in MS Word.doc and LATEX, all figure files in gnuplot.gpl format
25 "Openess" of RISe Freeware: distributed free of charge through the NORSAR/ICG website Open source: open source code, coded in C# Advantages: - coding can be done in the Integrated Development Environment (IDE) provided free of charge by Microsoft (MS Visual Studio C# Express Edition 2008) - running the RISe software only requires an installation of a) the free Microsoft.NET framework (at least version 2.0) b) Google Earth's free version Open documentation: open user manual currently only in MS Word.doc
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