Baw Baw Latrobe Local Learning and Employment Network

Transcription

1 Baw Baw Latrobe Local Learning and Employment Network Baw Baw Shire / Latrobe City Region ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN 2014 Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

2 Table of Contents PART A: ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN... 3 EDUCATION AND TRAINING PROVIDERS PROFILE BUSINESS AND INDUSTRY PROFILE PARENT AND FAMILY PROFILE COMMUNITY GROUP PROFILE PARTNERSHIPS PROFILE PART B: CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES REFERENCES Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

3 PART A: ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN Baw Baw Latrobe Local Learning and Employment Network EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS The Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Region incorporates the two local areas of Latrobe City and Baw Baw Shire. This environmental scan includes data on population trends, characteristics and projections, socio-economic make-up, education and training and employment. The data has been updated in February 2014 where appropriate. An analysis of this environmental scan identifies several key areas for Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN to consider in developing strategies for improvement. The scan shows that: Participation by Koorie young people in senior education and post school training and higher education is substantially lower than in the broader population. Retention to Year 12 is at a low rate. There is an increasing migrant and refugee population, predominantly West African, settling in Latrobe City. Many of these families have been identified as requiring additional support in order to make successful connections with the training sector. Participation and aspiration to higher education by young people in Baw Baw Latrobe is lower than in other areas of the state. Family background data also shows a lower school completion rate and educational attainment than in other regions of the state. There are significant industry areas which report difficulties in attracting and retaining the relevant skills needed for successful operation of the business. While these skills shortages reflect the identified national industry skills shortages, there are also more localised pockets of skills needs. These include engineering, electro technologies, agriculture and horticulture, automotive, health and community services. Retention to and completion of year 12 or equivalent remains a key issue in Baw Baw Latrobe. While increasing, the number of young people successfully completing Year 12 or equivalent, remains lower than other areas of the state. Greater access to more flexible pathways has contributed to this improved retention. The number of young people leaving school prior to completion of year 12 and without a positive destination remains high. In 2013 whilst the number of those Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

4 looking for work has decreased, there has been a rise in those employed fulltime (with no training component) and a decrease in traineeship take-up. Opportunities, including employment opportunities, for early schools leavers are quite limited. At a local level, there is a strong need for re-engagement of displaced adult workers (often the family breadwinners) in available employment opportunities ahead of young people wanting to enter the workforce. Changed funding arrangements in schools and the TAFE sector has put pressure on these sectors to continue to expand access to VCAL, VETiS and entry level training, reducing the options available to many young people. Family disruption, family unemployment (under-employment) and lone parent family numbers are all greater than in many other areas. Community support organisations play an important role in Baw Baw Latrobe; however these resources are often oversubscribed. Unemployment is generally higher than other areas and there are some communities where this problem is significantly greater. Youth unemployment is significant. There is a significant cohort of young people with some form of identified disability which impedes educational completion and success. There are a significant number of teenage mothers in Latrobe City. External support for the Latrobe Valley economy has been has changed direction significantly as a result of the Contract for Closure initiative being withdrawn. The region now requires a more unified direction to plan for a changed low carbon economy and broader economic base. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

5 THE SERVICE REGION The LLEN Region incorporates two local government areas: Latrobe City and Baw Baw Shire. This environmental scan will provide background about the region and its people, particularly in relation to education, the labour market and careers and transition. BAW BAW SHIRE LOCAL GOVERNMENT AREA Baw Baw Shire covers over 4027 square kilometres of rolling green hills, towns, mountains and top agricultural land. From 2006 to 2011, Baw Baw Shire's population increased by 5,682 people (15.3%). This represents an average annual population change of 2.89% per year over the period. The total population in Baw Baw Shire in 2011 was 42,865, with a population density of 0.09 persons per square kilometre. Warragul is the shire's largest town with a population of approximately 12,000 people. Drouin is the second largest town with a population of over 7000 people. The Baw Baw Shire is a major centre for agricultural production, containing highly productive soils and a high rainfall climate. However, the 2011 Census indicates a reduction in employment within the Agricultural sector from An analysis of the jobs held by the resident population in Baw Baw Shire in 2011 shows the three most popular industry sectors were: Health Care and Social Assistance (2,241 people or 11.3%) Construction (2,231 people or 11.3%) Retail Trade (1,950 people or 9.8%) Baw Baw Shire has seen steady and strong growth in population and employment numbers over the last five years whilst maintaining a low level of unemployment. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

6 LATROBE CITY LOCAL GOVERNMENT AREA Latrobe City has a population of 73,564 and is made up of four major urban centres: Churchill, Moe/Newborough, Morwell and Traralgon, with smaller townships of Boolarra, Glengarry, Toongabbie, Tyers, Traralgon South, Yallourn North and Yinnar. The Latrobe City area covers 1422 square kilometres. The population has grown by 4.2% from 2006 to 2011 and represents an increase of 3068 persons. The Latrobe region is a resource rich area, with abundant forest and brown coal resources, water resources and rich agricultural land. The area was initially developed in the 1880's as an agricultural and forestry area and was noted for its cattle runs. Major industries in the area include the Australian Paper, Pulp and Paper Manufacturing Mill at Maryvale, Federation University and the Central Gippsland Institute TAFE, the Australian Securities and Investment Commission's National Information Processing Centre; and Victoria's four major power generators. Electricity generated from brown coal mined in the area represents 85% of all electricity generated in the State of Victoria. Other industries include dairy and beef production. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

7 POPULATION The total population of the Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN region is 113,000, Age Group Area Total years years years years years years years years Baw Baw Latrobe (Source: ABS Census 2011) Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

8 Baw Baw Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

9 From 2006 to 2011, Baw Baw Shire's population increased by 5,682 people (15.3%). This represents an average annual population change of 2.89% per year over the period. The largest changes in age structure in this area between 2006 and 2011 were in the age groups: 60 to 64 (+865 persons) 0 to 4 (+703 persons) 65 to 69 (+655 persons) 25 to 29 (+576 persons) Latrobe Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

10 Overall, 19.5% of the population was aged between 0 and 15, and 15.5% were aged 65 years and over, compared with 19.2% and 17.6% respectively for Regional VIC. From 2006 to 2011, Latrobe City's population increased by 3,073 people (4.4%). This represents an average annual population change of 0.87% per year over the period. The largest changes in age structure in this area between 2006 and 2011 were in the age groups: 60 to 64 (+958 persons) 25 to 29 (+751 persons) 10 to 14 (-576 persons) 65 to 69 (+556 persons) Main Population Centres Year Olds Total Population 2011 Traralgon % 24,590 Morwell % 13,691 Moe % 15,292 Churchill % 4,750 Warragul % 13,081 Drouin % 9,368 Trafalgar % 3,044 (Source: ABS Census QuickStats 2011 UCL) Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

11 Churchill has a significantly higher relative population of year olds because Federation University is located there. The region is undergoing a shift in population distribution across the age groups. There is a projected rise amongst those aged 60+ and a decline amongst young people. The decline in those aged years between 2006 and 2031 is projected to be in the vicinity of 2916 individuals. This decline will have an impact on viability of some of our schools, and in the capacity to deliver a wide range of programs and courses in some areas. Baw Baw Population Projections ,500 4, ,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, (Source: Department of Planning and Community Development, 'Victoria in Future' population forecasts, 2012 and DPCD, 'Victoria in Future' population forecasts, 2008 (for 2006) from City of Greater Dandenong Statistical Data for Victorian Communities) Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

12 Latrobe Population Projections , ,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 (Source of these forecasts: Department of Planning and Community Development, 'Victoria in Future' population forecasts, 2012 and DPCD, 'Victoria in Future' population forecasts, 2008 (for 2006) from City of Greater Dandenong Statistical Data for Victorian Communities) There has been some revision of population projections over the last couple of years and it is projected that population breakdown over the next 20 years will look like this: Latrobe Change % Change 0-4 4,824 5, ,730 5, ,161 5, ,678 5, ,434 4, Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

13 Baw Baw Change % Change 0-4 2,627 3, ,833 4,136 1, ,163 4,280 1, ,243 4, ,541 3, The following charts present an interesting comparative picture of the respective population breakdowns in the 6 Gippsland LGAs. The significant differences between them are a signal that any Gippsland wide planning, must take into consideration these differences. If we are to compare Latrobe and Baw Baw to the rest of the region we can see very clearly that Latrobe has a more traditional population distribution with fewer older people and more young people than the other LGAs. Baw Baw loses fewer young people from the region, but will have a greater proportion of older people than Latrobe. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

14 Comparative population projections for the 6 Local Government Areas in Gippsland to Bass Coast Male Female East Gippsland 2026 Male Female South Gippsland 2026 Male Female Baw Baw Male Female Latrobe Male Female Wellington Male Female (ACER Industry, Employment and Population profile, Gippsland, 2011) Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

15 Indigenous Population There is an indigenous population in the BBLLLEN area which comprises 1.1% of the total population. In Baw Baw the Indigenous population is 0.99% of the total population, whilst in Latrobe Indigenous people make up 1.53% of the total population. Indigenous Population 2011 Baw Baw Latrobe Population Indigenous % Population Indigenous % Population Persons , Age Indigenous Indigenous 0-4 years years years years years years Total 408 1,054 (ABS Census 2011) CALD Population Latrobe Shire has the highest population of new arrivals from a range of non-english speaking arrivals. Some of these could be accounted through foreign students at Federation University, Gippsland in Churchill. Baw Baw Shire has a much lower number of new arrivals. Anecdotally, a number of Sudanese and West African families have arrived in the region since the last census. A recently commissioned report (DPCD, 2011) indicates that over 150 clients that have accessed Latrobe Community Health Services in the Shire of Baw Baw and Latrobe City, with the vast majority in Latrobe, record their place of origin as Africa. The 2011 Census enumerates the new arrivals as follows for Baw Baw and Latrobe LGAs. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

16 Baw Baw LGA Birth Place of Newly Arrived Residents 2011 England New Zealand Taiwan India Mauritius China Ukraine Zimbabwe Philippines Morocco Mexico Scotland Canada Thailand South Africa South Korea Ireland USA Djibouti Benin Bonaire etc. Jamaica Bahamas Guyana Swaziland Cote d'ivoire Number of Persons In Baw Baw the largest groups of newly arrived residents are from England and New Zealand. Taiwan, China, India and Mauritius form the next largest cohorts. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

17 Latrobe LGA Birth Place of Newly Arrived Residents China New Zealand England Japan Malaysia India Singapore Nigeria Egypt Philippines South Africa South Korea Afghanistan Bangladesh Scotland Ireland Italy Hong Kong Kenya Indonesia Inad. Desc. Zimbabwe Cambodia Burma USA Sudan Number of Persons In Latrobe the largest number of new arrivals has been from China. African arrivals number 37 (includes South Africa). The range of different language groups has implications for the provision of English language courses and support for the children of these families who are attending school. Socio-Economic Status There are a number of indexes that measure levels of disadvantage in communities. The ABS Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) have been derived to measure different aspects of social and economic conditions in areas of Australia. The indicators used include: low income, low educational attainment, high unemployment, and jobs in relatively unskilled occupations. The SEIFA index ranks Local Government Areas on a scale up to 1000, where the Australian average is Added to this is a ranking scale from 1 to 79, where the lowest ranking is an indicator of the highest disadvantage. Baw Baw scores 966, with Latrobe at 932. This compares with a Gippsland score of , and a Victorian score of 1, Both local government areas in this region fall below the Victorian average, and the Australian average (1000). Latrobe is ranked the Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

18 16 th most disadvantaged LGA in Victoria, and Baw Baw is ranked 41 st most disadvantaged LGA in Victoria. The School Family Occupation (SFO) scale also indicates the socio-economic status of the families of school age children. The SFO measure indicates that 36.5% of the families in Baw Baw fall within the lowest two categories of unskilled and unemployed workers, an increase of 1.3% since For Latrobe the SFO measure indicates that 40.6% of families fall within the lowest two categories of unskilled and unemployed. This has decreased by 3% since (Source: DEECD Data Disc, 2012) INCOMES Baw Baw Latrobe Victoria Individual Weekly Disposable Incomes ($) Median Income $512 $468 $562 Median Income: years $714 $719 $841 % incomes below 200: >15 years % incomes below 200: years Median Family Incomes Couple with no children $1,009 $1,039 $1,245 Two parent family $1,740 $1,793 $1,910 One parent family $727 $684 $831 (ABS Census 2011) Latrobe is has as lower median income than both Baw Baw and Victoria as a whole. Both LGAs are below the Victorian figure across all the measures of income. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

19 Analysis of household income levels in Baw Baw Shire in 2011 compared to Regional VIC shows that there was a larger proportion of high income households (those earning $2,500 per week or more) and a lower proportion of low income households (those earning less than $600 per week). Overall, 10.7% of the households earned a high income, and 24.6% were low income households, compared with 9.2% and 27.2% respectively for Regional VIC. The major difference between the household incomes of Baw Baw Shire and Regional VIC is: A smaller percentage of households who earned $300-$399 (7.2% compared to 8.4%) Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

20 Analysis of household income levels in Latrobe City in 2011 compared to Regional VIC shows that there was a larger proportion of high income households (those earning $2,500 per week or more) and a higher proportion of low income households (those earning less than $600 per week). Overall, 11.2% of the households earned a high income, and 28.6% were low income households, compared with 9.2% and 27.2% respectively for Regional VIC. The major differences between the household incomes of Latrobe City and Regional VIC were: A larger percentage of households who earned $2500-$2999 (5.7% compared to 4.5%) A smaller percentage of households who earned $800-$999 (8.3% compared to 9.3%) Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

21 Educational Attainment The level of education attainment, measured here by completion of Year 12 or equivalent is marginally lower when compared with country Victoria. Low completions of Year 12 amongst the population impacts on career and transition choices for young people and may impact on aspirations for young people. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

22 The number of year olds who have completed Year 10 or less in Baw Baw is 23.5%; in Latrobe 20.8%. There has been an improvement of 4.7% of those have completed Year 12 or equivalent since 2006 in Baw Baw. This represents 3129 persons. (ABS Census 2011) The largest changes in the level of schooling attained by the population in Baw Baw Shire, between 2006 and 2011 were: Year 12 or equivalent (+3,129 persons) Year 10 or equivalent (+1,009 persons) Year 11 or equivalent (+802 persons) Year 9 or equivalent (+268 persons) In Latrobe there has been an improvement of 1.5% of those who have completed Year 12 or equivalent since This represents 3182 persons. (ABS Census 2011) The largest changes in the level of schooling attained by the population in Latrobe City, between 2006 and 2011 were: Year 12 or equivalent (+3,182 persons) Year 8 or below (-454 persons) Year 11 or equivalent (+415 persons) Year 10 or equivalent (+404 persons) Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

23 EDUCATION AND TRAINING PROVIDERS PROFILE GOVERNMENT PRIMARY SCHOOLS Baw Baw Athlone PS Baringa Blackwood Bona Vista PS Buln Buln PS Darnum PS Drouin PS Drouin South PS Drouin West PS Drouin SC Ellinbank PS Hill End PS Jindivick PS Labertouche PS Lardner & District PS Longwarry PS Neerim District PS Neerim South PS Nilma PS Noojee PS Rawson PS Ripplebrook PS Shady Creek PS Tanjil South PS Trafalgar PS Trafalgar HS Warragul PS Warragul North PS Warragul & District Specialist School Latrobe Churchill PS Churchill North PS Hazelwood North PS Hazelwood Estate Cowwarr PS Glengarry PS Kurnai College Latrobe Special Development School Lowanna College Moe - Albert Street PS Moe - Elizabeth Street PS Moe - South Street PS Morwell - Commercial Road PS Morwell - Crinigan Road PS Morwell - Tobruk Street PS Morwell Park PS Narracan PS Newborough PS Newborough East PS Toongabbie PS Thorpdale PS Traralgon - Grey Street PS Traralgon - Kosciuszko Street PS Traralgon - Liddiard Road PS Traralgon - Stockdale Road PS Traralgon South PS Victorian P-12 College of Koorie Education Morwell Willow Grove PS Yallourn North PS Yinnar South Yinnar PS Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

24 SECONDARY SCHOOLS Schools Total Enrolment Total Enrolment Kurnai College Lavalla Catholic College Lowanna Secondary College St Paul s Anglican Grammar 903 Traralgon College Chairo Christian College 534 Drouin Secondary College Marist Sion Catholic College Neerim and District Secondary College Trafalgar High School Warragul Regional College Woolum Bellum College Berry Street n/a CCG College 37 (Source: DEECD Data Disc, 2012; My School Website Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

25 No of enrolments VCE Enrolments There has been a steady increase in the number of VCE enrolments over this period, with Baw Baw and Latrobe having similar enrolment figures VCE Enrolments Baw Baw Latrobe Total VCAL Enrolments There has been a significant increase in VCAL enrolments over the years , reflecting the need for an alternative stream of Year 11 and 12 studies that accommodate the students who learn best through applied learning. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

26 No of enrolments 1200 VCAL Enrolments Baw Baw Latrobe Total (Source: DEECD Data Disc 2012) Indigenous Engagement Indigenous students are under-represented in the post-compulsory years in schools across the region. This is a considerable retention issue for this equity group. Indigenous Enrolments 2011 Year Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 Year 12 Special Total 7 School Baw Baw Latrobe Total (Source: DEECD Data Disc, 2012) Disability The region has three specialist schools: Baringa Specialist School, Latrobe Special Developmental School and Warragul Specialist School. All schools are offering the Victorian Certificate of Applied Learning and some VETiS delivery. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

27 RETENTION The following chart indicates the trend across the Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN region from 2001 to Baw Baw Latrobe Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Gippsland (All Schools) Baw Baw Latrobe Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Gippsland (All Schools) (Source: ERBI Cube Enrolments, 2014) Retention in the Baw Baw region is trending upwards over the past five years, and currently exceeds the Gippsland average. In the Latrobe region the data fluctuates much more and in recent years has declined. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

28 Percentage Indigenous Retention Indigenous Apparent Retention Yr 7-12: (Source: DEECD Data Disc 2012) Baw Baw Latrobe Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Gippsland (All schools) The low numbers for Indigenous students does not provide a consistent pattern for Indigenous retention. It is apparent, though, that Indigenous retention is considerably lower than Retention as a whole. Year 12 Attainments of 19 Years Olds LGA Baw Baw Latrobe (Source: DEECD Data collated from VCAA, ABS and Skills Victoria data, 2011) This data measures the percentage of 19 years olds who have attained Year 12 or equivalent (VCE, VCAL (Intermediate or Senior), Cert II or above). This compares with a Gippsland figure of 68.4% for This will prove useful data to establish trends over the next few years. (Note: There has been some variation of these annual figures provided by DEECD and may need verification.) Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

29 Percentage DISENGAGEMENT 25 Youth Disengagement - Young People Not in Work or Education Baw Baw Latrobe Baw Baw Latrobe Males Females Persons Females in the year age range are the most likely to be disengaged from work and education in both Baw Baw and Latrobe. Latrobe has the most young people disengaged. The percentages of the total number of young people in each LGA and age group represent the following number of young people Region Age Group Number of Young People Baw Baw Years 187 Latrobe Years 498 Baw Baw Years 309 Latrobe Years 919 (Source: ABS Census, 2011) Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

30 OTHER EDUCATION AND TRAINING PROVIDERS For a complete list of providers and courses see: TAFE GippsTAFE services the Latrobe Valley and provides a range of programs including: o Pre Vocational o Pre Apprenticeship o VET in Schools o Apprenticeship Training o Industry specific Training o VCE and VCAL o Course levels from Certificate 1 Diploma level o Access Education o Pathways to Bachelor Degrees through Federation University o GippsTAFE is the main provider of VETiS training across the Baw Baw Latrobe region. Community College Gippsland o Offers a range of accredited training, including agriculture, horticulture and production horticulture. National Centre for Dairy Education Australia (a branch of Goulburn Ovens TAFE) o Offers a range of accredited training programs allied with the dairy industry. Advance TAFE Equine Studies and Agriculture Worksafe Training Morwell ADULT AND COMMUNITY EDUCATION (ACE) Community College Gippsland Gippsland Employment Skills Training Inc - GEST Inc. PRIVATE REGISTERED TRAINING ORGANISATIONS (RTOs) Workways Berry Street Apprenticeships Group Australia Building & Construction, Engineering and Automotive National Centre for Equine Education Australian Construction Equipment Assessment and Training Services - ACE Assessment & Training Services Deanmac Emergency Services Training Centre True Blue Mates DECA Training Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

31 Lifeline Australia Inc Lifeline Gippsland Latrobe Valley Enterprises NMTC Optec Pty Ltd Latrobe Valley Training and Assessment Centre Try Australia Rural Industries Skill Training College of Australian Training GROUP TRAINING COMPANIES Link Employment AusNAC Melbourne East Group Training Apprenticeships Group Australia AUSTRALIAN APPRENTICESHIP CENTRES AusNAC Melbourne East Group Training Victorian Employers Chamber of Commerce and Industry (VECCI) DISABILITY EMPLOYMENT NETWORKS (DEN S) Interact Sites: Moe, Morwell, Traralgon Community College Gippsland Sites: Morwell, Warragul Work Solutions Sites: Moe, Morwell, Warragul, Traralgon. HIGHER EDUCATION Universities Federation University, Churchill Federation University was established in It is a collaboration of Monash University s Gippsland Campus and University of Ballarat. The campus offers a range of degree programs which include: Art & Design, Arts, Business & Economics, Civil & Environmental Engineering, Education, Information Technology, Nursing and Science. The campus was funded for a small intake for the Graduate course in medicine which commenced in The campus also offers the Diploma of Foundation Studies which is proving to be a valuable pathway for students wishing to study at University, but who have not achieved the required ENTER score. The diploma allows students to demonstrate Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

32 their academic skills and provides for transfer into degree programs at Monash and other Universities. The Campus is also the Off Campus study provider throughout Australia and also into South East Asia as the demand increases for flexible delivery for courses. DESTINATIONS It is useful to look at trends when examining destinations. The On Track survey is now in its 10 th year and provides useful data for Year 12 exiting students and Early Leavers. Destinations of Year 12 exiting students, Baw Baw Latrobe Region In Education and Training TAFE/VET App/trainee % Uni enrolled % enrolled % Not in Education and Training Looking for Deferred Employment. % work% Note: * this deferral figure includes some students who have already been counted in the employment & looking for work category. There has been a steady increase in the total number of young people receiving an offer to university. University enrolments to 2011 have been increasing with decreasing deferments. In 2012 an increase in deferments was been match by a decrease in Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

33 Percentage enrolments. In 2013 the number of university increased and was again, matched by the lower deferrals. The other figures indicate a fluctuating take up of other options. The looking for work group reduced in 2011 and 2012, however increased in TAFE/VET enrolments has decreased which is reflected in the increase the looking for work and employed category. Destinations of Year 12 Completers 2012 Region Working full-time % Working part-time % Baw Baw Latrobe Victoria (Source: On Track, Note: that the number working part-time includes deferees who were working P/T during their gap year). Deferrals Deferral Rates Victoria Baw Baw Latrobe (Source: Polesel, 2008; On Track, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010,2011, 2012, 2013) The deferral rate in Baw Baw Latrobe has increased from 2011, reversing the gains made in the previous years. This is due to the reduced financial capacity of families to support young people in relocating to take up higher education. The deferral research supported by regional LLENs and YACVic and conducted by the University of Melbourne, has indicated that there is a trend of regional disadvantage within the patterns of high deferral rates in country Victoria. Those who defer quote financial and cost-related factors as the main reasons for deferring. (Polesel, 2009) Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

34 Destinations of Early School Leavers Year Looking for work % Working Part-time % Employed F/T % VET % Apprentice % Trainee % (Source: DEECD On Track data ) Apprenticeships remain the major destination for early school leavers. In 2013 there was a slight decrease in the uptake of apprenticeships, however, there was an increase in traineeships. There has been a significant increase in early leavers taking up VET Training. The number looking for work has increased. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

35 BUSINESS AND INDUSTRY PROFILE BAW BAW The economic growth in Baw Baw is influenced by its close proximity to the Urban Growth Boundary of metropolitan Melbourne and large areas of high quality agricultural land. The economy within the Shire is based around agriculture, retail, manufacturing, and health/ community service sectors. The growth of the population and the strong economy of the Shire have enabled the development of strong commercial centres, the most significant being Drouin, Warragul and Trafalgar. Smaller towns rely on these towns for amenity provision, transport connections, health and commercial services. The Baw Baw Shire is seeking to establish itself as a hydroponics hub. A recently announced hydroponic development with advanced science and technology to develop agriculture (Gippsland Farmer, May 2008) demonstrates the potential for continued growth in this sector. A growth management and strategy plan has been developed for Warragul and Drouin where the majority of new population growth and urban development is anticipated to occur. Major Industries Baw Baw Agriculture The dairy industry dominates with its strong performances in production and research and development, leading to world competitive productivity. Confidence in this industry has seen large investments in dairy manufacturing, providing the capacity to supply growing world markets. Livestock production (mainly beef) is the second largest industry sector, followed closely by horticulture. The fruit and vegetable and hydroponic sectors are expanding rapidly and are major agricultural activities. Council is actively persuing development in the hydroponics industry which saw production of between $35 and $40 million in 2008/09. The region is also one of Victoria s main potato growing areas. Cut flowers and specialist nurseries are also important industries in this area. Timber Timber production was one of the earliest industries in Baw Baw, across the Mountain Ash Forests of the Central Highlands. Value adding through specialised grading, milling, drying, laminating and machining processes also offer new opportunities for the region. The availability of this high quality timber resource creates opportunities for further value adding industries such as furniture, laminated veneers and fibreboard. Development of timber plantations has been identified as a major opportunity within Baw Baw with some of the land previously cleared for agriculture now proving to be suited to forestry plantations. Food The availability of high quality agricultural products, meat, milk, vegetables and fruit, and ease of access to markets provides great opportunities for value adding and packaging for the domestic and international food markets. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

36 Dairy processing has led the way with milk powder, butter and cheeses for export and domestic markets. Local cheese companies have achieved world acclaim as well as national and international awards for their products. Also gaining renown are locally produced wines, smoked meats, jams, pickled products and preserves. Major abattoirs and boning facilities are also located in Baw Baw servicing organic and standard markets. Primary Industry Primary industry is a major employer and industry sector within Baw Baw and includes dairy and beef cattle, pome/pip fruits (apples), vegetables, potatoes, cool climate grapes, maize, soft fruits (berries and currants), fresh flowers, seedlings and plants, hydroponic tomatoes and timber. There is also a significant and growing value-adding sector, taking advantage of the primary produce grown in the area. Organic production is also increasing significantly.(source: Baw Baw Shire, Economic Development Industry Sector of Employment Baw Baw Shire Change Industry sector Number % Number % 2006 to 2011 Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 1, , Mining Manufacturing 1, , Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services Construction 2, , Retail Trade 1, , Wholesale trade Accommodation and Food Services 1, Transport, Postal and Warehousing Information Media and Telecommunications Financial and Insurance Services Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Professional, Scientific and Technical Services Administrative and Support Services Public Administration and Safety 1, Education and Training 1, , Health Care and Social Assistance 2, , Arts and Recreation Services Other Services Inadequately described or not stated Total Employed Persons Aged , , ,959 Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Census of Population and Housing 2006 and (Usual residence data) Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

37 An analysis of the jobs held by the resident population in Baw Baw Shire in 2011 shows the three most popular industry sectors were: Health Care and Social Assistance (2,241 people or 11.3%) Construction (2,231 people or 11.3%) Retail Trade (1,950 people or 9.8%) In combination these three industries employed 6,422 people in total or 32.4% of the employed resident population. The number of employed people in Baw Baw Shire increased by 2,959 between 2006 and The largest changes in the jobs held by the resident population between 2006 and 2011 in Baw Baw Shire were for those employed in: Construction (+605 persons) Health Care and Social Assistance (+467 persons) Accommodation and Food Services (+279 persons) Education and Training (+255 persons) Employment By Industry Years and Years Baw Baw LGA years years (Source: ABS Census 2011) The largest industry sectors for the employment of young people are: Retail Trade 325 young people aged years employed. 250 young people aged years employed. Accommodation and food services 325 young people aged years employed. Construction 310 young people aged years employed. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

38 Health Care and Social Assistance young people aged years employed. LATROBE Latrobe City has one of the State s strongest regional economies. It is home to the energy industry ( Victoria s Powerhouse ) and secondary industries are located in Moe, Morwell and Traralgon. The Australian Pulp and Paper mill is located at Maryvale. Energy, mining (brown coal extraction) agriculture and manufacturing are the dominant economic sectors of the City. Other significant industries include construction, personal and other services, transport and storage, gas, water supply, forestry, health and community services, local government and education. Major Industries Latrobe Retail The Retail industry is the largest employer in the Latrobe Valley region. Mid Valley Shopping Centre and the Traralgon Centre Plaza are the largest shopping centre s located in Morwell and Traralgon respectively. Typically staff are recruited as casuals, inducted and trained in store and then moved to permanent status when vacancies arise. There are a number of retail food outlets who recruit and train school students as School Based Apprentices (SBAs). A substantial number of these students complete VCE or VCAL and move away from the region for tertiary study or employment opportunities. Schools must now ensure that SBAs are integrated into the student s VCE or VCAL program and training and/or employment must take up at least one regular school day. There is a continued growth in major franchise businesses and therefore pressure of competition for independent smaller retailers, and leading to a demand for higher level of skills in the industry. Small business continues to be the key employers in the Latrobe region. Health Care and Social Assistance The Health Care and Social Industry sector is a growing industry in the region with the demand for childcare places increasing as parents move back into the workforce. In the aged care sector, the number of mature age workers is increasing to meet demands. Training for childcare workers has fallen behind the demand particularly from school leavers, whilst there appears to be adequate training places available for entrants into the aged care sector of the industry. The Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN is a member of the Gippsland Community Partnership Reference Group which is one of five reference groups statewide, to provide a reference in the form of information, networks, engagement of stakeholders, and where appropriate, resources for the development and delivery of the Human Services Program (HSCP) for country Victoria. The LLEN is a partner in the Community Services and Health Pathways Partnership in the Latrobe Valley. Other partners include Latrobe Community Health Services, Latrobe Regional Hospital, GippsTAFE and the Gippsland Campus of Monash Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

39 University. The aim of the partnership is to increase the number of young people in the Baw Baw and Latrobe regions in non university Health Care and Social Assistance pathways. This sector was one of the growth areas with an increase of 707 persons working in the Health Care and Social Assistance sector from The Gippsland Integrated Health and Community Care Education Program was established in 2012 as a result of the successful application to Regional Partnership Facilitation Fund. The project focusses on the development of appropriate pathways in Community Health. Aeronautical In 2008 Latrobe Regional Airport was named the Rural Airport of the Year in the Australian Aviation Industry Excellence Awards. The airport has developed the Helimed Ambulance Centre and constructed an additional taxiway. It is the new DSE firefighting base. The Aeronautical Industry remains a significant employer with the increased output of aircraft manufacturing at the Latrobe regional airport as the company becomes known in Europe and the USA. The company has developed from a research and development company to Australia s only commercial aircraft manufacturer. The expansion has increased the demand for sheet metal workers, spray painters, assembly workers and trainees. Gippsland Aeronautics has obtained the certificate to manufacture the Nomad. GA estimates that their current staff of 120 may double when they begin production. Gippsland Aeronautics provides limited places for work experience and structured work placements but supports structured visits by groups of young people to observe its operations. Energy Industry The Latrobe Valley is the major player in energy generation in Victoria and following privatization in the 1990s, the industry now finds itself with an emerging skills shortage and an ageing workforce. Both electricity suppliers and electricity retailers recognize that many of the skills that were part of the power industry have dissipated and now there is a need for a more skilled workforce available to deliver services in the Latrobe Valley to meet the future needs of the energy industry in Australia. The VEET program facilitated by the LLEN, gives local young people exposure to the Energy industry by participating in the program. The VVET program has been successfully operating since There is an SWL component and site visits where the students gain an insight into the various careers within the Energy industry. The energy industry in Latrobe is facing several challenges with increased pressure to reduce their carbon emissions. Several initiatives have evolved as a result of this. The Australian Government has invested $2 billion in clean coal technology. The Australian Energy Company (AEC) Latrobe Urea Project will be located near Loy Yang Power. It is estimated that it will require around 1000 workers to build the plant, and 180 permanent staff once completed. The project is expected to have positive spin-offs for industries such as transport, maintenance and services. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

40 HRL are have also been supported by State Government to build a new clean coal power station at Loy Yang B. The station will use advanced technology to reduce carbon emissions. The new plant is due to be operational in 2012 / It is estimated that it will create around 300 jobs during construction and 36 on-going jobs when completed. The Mining sector within the energy industry has increased the labour force by 231 persons from Engineering / Manufacturing Industry Other companies such as Australian Paper at Maryvale but does not take students on work experience. Gippsland Water continues to expand, which will include increasing the numbers in their respective workforces substantially. The Gippsland Water Factory is completed. National Foods with its processing plant in Morwell is a major employer along with companies such as International Power and Loy Yang Power. Service Industry The Latrobe Valley has Call Centres operating including Telstra, DHS, ASIC and Centrelink and these attract a large number of potential employees with customer service skills and word processing. The Call Centres are a source of employment for people looking for a career change or those wishing to re-enter the workforce via casual and part time modes. There does not appear to be active recruitment of school leavers into this sector. Transport and Logistics There is continued growth in this industry in the Latrobe region with a number of local and national road transport companies having distribution centres locally. The South East Australian Transport Strategy aims to stimulate and facilitate investment in transport and infrastructure locally and its members include the City of Latrobe, regional development, government agencies and regional industry. Civil Construction The Australian Government has recently announced projects that will help to maintain employment levels in the current financial crisis. One such project is the Princes Highway, Traralgon-Sale duplication which will include expanding the current road to a two lane carriageway between Traralgon and Rosedale. Commencement of this project was in March 2009 and completion expected in While this may not provide direct job opportunities for young people aged 13-19, it may help to absorb any loss of employment by local people having a positive flow-on effect to other retail and service providers. It is estimated that this project will require around 360 workers on-site. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

41 Industry Sector of Employment Latrobe City Change Industry sector Number % Number % 2006 to 2011 Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing Mining Manufacturing 2, , Electricity, Gas, Water and 1, , Waste Services Construction 2, , Retail Trade 3, , Wholesale trade Accommodation and Food 1, , Services Transport, Postal and 1, Warehousing Information Media and Telecommunications Financial and Insurance Services Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Professional, Scientific and 1, Technical Services Administrative and Support Services Public Administration and 2, , Safety Education and Training 2, , Health Care and Social 3, , Assistance Arts and Recreation Services Other Services 1, Inadequately described or not stated Total Employed Persons 30, , ,950 Aged 15+ (Source: ABS Census 2011) An analysis of the jobs held by the resident population in Latrobe City in 2011 shows the three most popular industry sectors were: Health Care and Social Assistance (3,900 people or 12.9%) Retail Trade (3,802 people or 12.6%) Construction (2,979 people or 9.8%) Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

42 In combination, these three industries employed 10,681 people in total or 35.3% of the employed resident population. The number of employed people in Latrobe City increased by 1,950 between 2006 and The largest changes in the jobs held by the resident population between 2006 and 2011 in Latrobe City were for those employed in: Health Care and Social Assistance (+707 persons) Accommodation and Food Services (+353 persons) Mining (+231 persons) Public Administration and Safety (+231 persons) With the climate change imperatives the Latrobe Valley may see a shrinking of employment in the mining and energy sectors, and a potential increase in employment in the alternate energy sectors. Employment by Industry Years and Years Latrobe LGA years PERSONS years (ABS Census 2011) The largest industry sectors for the employment of young people are: Retail trade over year olds employed; year olds employed. Accommodation and food sector year olds employed; Year olds employed. Construction Industry year olds employed. Health Care and Social Assistance 320 young people aged years employed. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

43 With the growth in the Health Care and Social Assistance sector there is an opportunity for increased employment for young people in this sector. Skill Shortages The June 2012 DEEWR Survey of Employers Recruitment Experiences for Latrobe Employment Service Area (ESA) indicates difficulty for employers to recruit in the following industries: Accommodation and Food Services Kitchen Hands, Waiters and Chefs Construction Steel and welding trades workers Other positions difficult to fill included Truck Drivers; Housekeepers and Real Estate Agents. (DEEWR, 2012) Employment growth in Latrobe has slowed and the number of full-time jobs are declining. Growth industries include: Health Care and Social Assistance Construction Accommodation and Food Services. Note: the Latrobe ESA includes the LGAs of Latrobe City, Baw Baw Shire, South Gippsland Shire and Bass Coast Shire. Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

44 Vocational Education and Training in Schools (VETiS) Participation in the Vocational Education and Training in Schools certificates offer in the regions remains relatively high in proportion to the number of enrolments. Data below includes the number of young people in schools participating in VETiS programs by industry types. Baw Baw Industry Aeroskills Agriculture and Horticulture Animal Handling Automotive Industry Building and Construction Business Services Community Services and Health Cultural & Recreation - Arts & Design Cultural & Recreation - Entertainment Cultural & Recreation - Racing Cultural & Recreation - Recreation Electrical and Electronics Furnishing Information Technology Metals and Engineering Printing Textile Clothing and Footwear Tourism and Hospitality Events Transport and Storage Wholesale Retail and Personal Services Languages Emergency services Grand Total (Source: BBLLLEN Local Data, 2014) Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

45 Latrobe Industry Aeroskills Agriculture and Horticulture Animal Handling Automotive Industry Building and Construction Business Services Community Services and Health Cultural & Recreation - Arts & Design Cultural & Recreation - Entertainment Cultural & Recreation - Racing Cultural & Recreation - Recreation Electrical and Electronics Furnishing Information Technology Metals and Engineering Textile Clothing and Footwear Tourism and Hospitality Events Transport and Storage Wholesale Retail Personal Services Languages Lab Skills Fire Fighting Emergency Services Grand Total (Source: BBLLLEN Local Data, 2014) Enrolments in VETiS by school based students in each of Baw Baw and Latrobe has reduced since 2012, however, it remains proportional to the number of students enrolled in year Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February

46 LABOUR MARKET UNEMPLOYMENT RATES BY AGE Baw Baw Latrobe (Source: ABS Census 2011) Age Youth Unemployment The above graph indicates that the unemployment rate for year olds is 13.9% for Baw Baw and 20.1% for Latrobe. For year olds the rates are 7.5% for Baw Baw and 12.7% for Latrobe. The youth unemployment (15-19 years) rate has risen from 16.8% in 2008 to 20.1% in the youth unemployment rate increased from 11.8% in 2008 to 13.9% in Baw Baw Latrobe LLEN Environmental Scan Updated February