Managing Natural Disaster in Europe and Central Asia. Social and Economic Dimension

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1 Managing Natural Disaster in Europe and Central Asia The World Bank Perspective Presentation by Christoph Pusch The World Bank Group December 2002 Social and Economic Dimension In the past decade, about 1.1 billion people were affected by natural disasters throughout the world Total amount of damage is estimated at US$730 billion 1

2 Bank s Approach to Disaster Management Disasters happen - we should not be caught by surprise Technological and social/organizational remedies exist Be PROACTIVE, not reactive Development activities MUST contribute to disaster risk reduction Europe and Central Asia Region Exposed to a wide range of natural disasters including floods, landslides, earthquakes, droughts, and forest fires Disaster management portfolio of about US$ 2 bn Active operations in Armenia, Kyrgyz Republic, Poland, Romania, Tajikistan, and Turkey Focus is shifting to emergency preparedness, risk prevention, mitigation and transfer 2

3 WB financed Reconstruction WB financed Prevention and Mitigation Activities Institutional capacity building and TA for supporting legislative environment Modern disaster information management systems Education and public awareness campaigns Flood protection infrastructure Satellite based weather forecast and flood warning systems Vulnerability assessments, hazard mapping, and microzonation Land use planning and building code enforcement Seismic risk mitigation measures for lifelines, schools, hospitals, and essential facilities Catastrophic Risk Insurance 3

4 Turkey MEER Framework Mitigation - disaster insurance scheme - major policy changes - land use planning - enforcement of building codes - cadastre renovation and land management Impact Assessment Recovery - social trauma program - budget support (MERL Project) - business rehabilitation Preparedness - national emergency management system - new emergency management agency - regional pilot projects - public awareness campaign Reconstruction - rural & urban housing units - municipal infrastructure - power distribution networks -social infrastructure - planning, design, supervision Seismic Risk in Istanbul Seismic Risk comparable to San Francisco, LA, and Tokyo Probability > 50% for major event in next 30 years Probability > 20% for major event in next decade Social and Economic Impact Casualties up to 1 Million US$ Billion Complexities of Mega-City -> Special approach and focused intervention required 4

5 Proposed Istanbul Seismic Risk Mitigation Project Upgrading technical and institutional emergency response capacity and integration with national system Identification/prioritization of essential risk-mitigation investments Social, technical, economic criteria Seismic strengthening of lifelines and critical facilities Transportation, telecommunication, electricity, gas, water supply etc. Schools, hospitals, local administration etc. Creation of incentives for retrofitting of private buildings (pilot basis) Designing an Effective Risk Management Program for Romania US$ 150 Million loan under preparation Risk Identification and Development of Priorities Up-grading technical emergency response capacity Enhancing institutional capacity Risk Mitigation Lifelines, schools, hospitals, essential facilities Flood protection Landslides Risk Mitigation Risk Transfer through Catastrophic Risk Insurance 5

6 Lake Sarez Risk Mitigation Project, Tajikistan LAKE SAREZ RISK MITIGATION STRATEGY HAZARD PREVENTION HAZARD MITIGATION MONITORING PREPAREDNESS STRUCTURAL MEASURES EFFECTIVE EARLY WARNING SYSTEM LONG-TERM MONITORING OF SLOPE AND DAM STABILITY, AND OF THE HYDROLOGIC REGIME Main Challenges Sustainability of P&M activities Institutional, technical, as well as financial capacity to design and implement risk mitigation Multi-sector approach including all stakeholders Applying basic principles of mitigation and prevention activities Economically justified Technical feasible Financially affordable Socially accepted Mainstreaming mitigation and prevention in urban and rural development 6

7 Europe and Central Asia Disaster Management Strategy Under preparation Preparing risk profile on country by country basis Economic and social impact of disasters in ECA Institutional assessment Introducing Bank s approach towards managing disasters in ECA Lessons learned from WB experience worldwide Providing recommendations for high priority investments from a regional perspective 7