orsam 2014 ANNUAL REPORT

Transcription

1 orsam 2014 ANNUAL REPORT

2 orsam 2014 ANNUAL REPORT ISBN: Ankara - TURKEY 2015 Content of this report is copyrighted to. Except reasonable and partial quotation and use under the Act No. 5846, Law on Intellectual and Artistic Works, via proper citation, the content may not be used or republished without prior permission by. The views expressed in this report reflect only the opinions of its authors and do not represent the institutional opinion of.

3 CONTENT Preface ABOUT RESEARCH PROGRAMS ACTIVITIES REPORTS REVIEW OF REGIONAL AFFAIRS MIDDLE EAST ANALYSIS MIDDLE EASTERN STUDIES FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS INTERVIEWS ON REGIONAL AFFAIRS FIELD RESEARCH Minutes of the MEETINGS BULLETINS EDUCATION PROGRAMS IN 3

4 Preface We are pleased to release Annual Report 2014 in which you may find detailed information about the activities and publications that had carried out by Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies () in In 2014, the remarkable developments had emerged in the region and world politics, while had continued its activities and publications on Turkish foreign policy and the Middle East. activities and publications are met with interest by both national and foreign media, academics, politicians, bureaucrats and diplomats, and are used as reference. Middle Eastern Analysis, which has been published for over five years, started to be printed with a new format since the beginning of Middle Eastern Analysis, with its new format, sought to shed light on regional developments and to deepen our understanding of the Middle East with five issues within Middle Eastern Studies, which has contributed to the literature on the Middle East since 2009 as a refereed journal, continued to provide in-depth analysis and contributed academic literature with its two issues in The year of 2014 was a year of innovation and enriching in terms of publications. One of these innovations is Review of Regional Affairs, which began to be published in 2014 and covers indepth analyses on the current developments in the Middle East. We presented 18 Review of Regional Affairs in We began to share the interviews that had been published under Guest section on website since 2009 with a new and printed format in With 8 interviews published in 2014, Interviews on Regional Affairs continued to contribute to our ability to obtain information from primary sources and to present different views from the region. With Foreign Policy Analysis and Bulletins that were 4

5 published in website, we continued to monitor and evaluated the developments in the Middle East closely in In 2014 analysed and shared regional developments and trends through its work and activities with the public. presented and diversified its activities by organizing meetings and workshops both at home and abroad. In addition, reflected the observations and contributions obtained from field research trips conducted in the region to its publications and hence prepared detailed publications with various issue-related local perspectives. In this context, several field research projects been conducted in Iraq, Jordan and Lebanon; and the findings obtained by these field research trips were shared with the public through reports. Two out of 6 reports that published within reports titled The 2014 Elections, ISIS Operations and the Future of Iraq and The Situation Of Syrian Refugees in the Neighboring Countries: Findings, Conclusions and Recommendations - were prepared by conducting field research. It is not possible to describe all of our work here. Hence we present detailed information about our studies and publications carried out in 2014 to your consideration in the following pages. Thank you for your interest and support. President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş 5

6 6

7 ABOUT Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies () was established in January 2009 to inform the general public and the foreign policy community on the Middle East. is a nonpartisan and non-profit research centre based in Ankara. aims to diversify sources of information on the Middle East and expose the Turkish academia and political circles to the perspectives of researchers from the region., by facilitating the visits of Middle Eastern statesmen, bureaucrats, academics, strategists, businessmen, journalists, and NGO representatives to Turkey, seeks to ensure their knowledge and ideas are shared with the Turkish and international community. To that end, carries out research on social, economic and political developments in the Middle East and shares these with the public., seeking to contribute towards a healthier understanding and analysis of international politics and the Middle Eastern issues, produces stimulating and policy-relevant information for the general public and decision-makers; hence aims to contribute to decision-making processes. Toward that objective, offers projections that involve alternative solutions to regional issues, as well as analyzing regional developments. In order to provide comprehensive and solutionoriented analyses, draws on cutting-edge research produced by competent researchers and intellectuals from diverse disciplines. has a strong publishing line that transmits meticulous analyses of regional developments and trends to relevant audiences. 7

8 8

9 Middle East Turkmens Program Middle East Turkmens Program was established in January 2011 in order to fill the need for greater information and analysis on Turkmens. Middle East Turkmens Program aims to contribute to the development of a better understanding of current conditions and problems of Turkmens living in the Middle East, and offer proposals on those subjects. Toward that end, provides reliable information and analyses for the public and the decision makers and supports the development of literature on Middle Eastern Turkmens. In 2014, 4 conferences, 2 reports, 46 Foreign Policy Anaysis, 3 Interviews, 20 Iraqi Turkmen Bulletins and 7 Review of Regional Affairs about Turkmen were introduced by. Water Research Program O RSAM Water Research Program conducts research on transboundary waters since January Water Research Program aims to provide new ideas that offer different political alternatives on trans-boundary waters issues. In this context, the program aims to support the development of literature on water studies in Turkey. 37 Hydropolitics analysis, 3 Review of Regional Affairs on water issues, and 52 weekly water bulletins were introduced by. 9

10 ACTIVITIES offers a platform where different ideas can be discussed, by hosting various groups from the Middle East. had organized 30 conferences in 2014.

11 ACTIVITIES, NESA and Yıldız Technical University Joint Workshop: The Middle East in Flux: Iraq, Syria and Turkish-American Relations, in cooperation with NESA and Yıldız Technical University, organized a workshop titled Iraq, Syria and Turkish- American Relations in a Changing World on December 2014 in İstanbul. Several Turkish, American, Iraqi and Syrian academics, researchers, officials and journalists attended the workshop. Opening remarks were made by President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, Dr. Roger Kangas from NESA, and Prof. Nursin Atesoglu from Yildiz Technical University. Current issues in the Middle East and Turkish-American relations were discussed in the workshop that was held in five sessions. Talib Aziz Al-Hamdani (Nahrain Centre), Othman Ali (Salahaddin University), Mohammed Ali (Süleymaniye University), Latif Mohammed (Gorran Movement), Hicran Kazancı (Iraqi Turkmen Front, Representative in Turkey), Sinan Hatahet (Omran Center for Strategic Studies), Bassam Al-Kuwatli (RMTeam), Murhaf Jouejati (NESA), Oytun Orhan (), Gawdat Bahgat (NESA), Asst. Prof. Bayram Sinkaya (Yıldırım Beyazıt University, ), Prof. Tayyar Arı (Uludağ University), Asst. Prof. Emre Erşen (Marmara University) made presentations. 11

12 ACTIVITIES Panel at Uludağ University International Relations Conference Uludağ University hosted International Relations Conference on November 2014 in Bursa. At the second day of the conference on 26 November 2014, Panel entitled Turkish Foreign Policy in a Changing Middle East was held. President, Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, Advisers Assoc. Prof. Harun Öztürkler and Asst. Prof. Bayram Sinkaya, Researchers Oytun Orhan and Bilgay Duman attended the panel. Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, who was also the moderator of the panel, discussed the general parameters of Turkish foreign policy within the last 10 years. In addition, he made a presentation on the new challenges to Turkish foreign policy which had emerged with the Arab Spring and how Turkey has been responding them. Assoc. Prof. Harun Öztürkler made a presentation on the economic background of Turkey s Middle East policy. Assist. Prof. Dr. Bayram Sinkaya made a presentation titled Turkey-Iran Relations in the Changing Middle East. Researchers Oytun Orhan and Bilgay Duman respectively made presentations titled Syrian Civil War and Turkey and Turkey s Iraq Policy within the Framework of New Challenges. 12

13 ACTIVITIES, IPM-Sabancı University- Stiftung Mercator Initiative, ABKAD AND TOBB ETU JOINT SYMPOSIUM: BEYOND CHAPTERS-THE FUTURE OF TURKEY IN EUROPE in cooperation with IPM-Sabancı University-Stiftung Mercator Initiative, ABKAD and TOBB ETU organized a conference entitled Beyond Chapters The Future of Turkey in Europe. The conference took place on 18 November 2014 in Ankara. The speakers discussed Turkey- EU relations, blockages during the negotiation process and solutions for the Turkey s accession to the European Union (EU). President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, also moderator of the confereance, Dr. Tuğrul Arat, Professor of International Relations at TOBB ETU, Fuat Keyman Director of İstanbul Policy Center and Professor of International Relations at Sabancı University, Hannes Swoboda, former member of the European Parliament and Mercator-IPM Senior Fellow at İstanbul Policy Center, and AK Party Siirt Deputy and co-chair of Turkey- EU Joint Parliamentary Committee, Afif Demirkıran made presentations. In the conference, where the speakers evaluated Turkey- EU relations, the importance of Turkey-EU relations, Turkey s possible contributions to the EU, the current state of Turkey-EU relations, and suggestions for the future of Turkey-EU relations were discussed. 13

14 ACTIVITIES IRI AND JOINT Young Leadership Academy: Power of Transformation in Turkish Politics: Youth youth training program which includes youth branches of various parties. The main aim of leadership academy is to contribute to the development and enrichment of political language and politicmaking process by giving seminars on the topics such as political participation and communication, campaign process, efficient use of media in politics. The first workshop of Young Leadership Academy Program, which has conducted by International Republican Institute Turkey (IRI) and, was held with the theme of Power of Transformation in Turkish Politics: Youth on 8-9 November and November 2014 at Ankara Park Hotel. Young Leadership Academy, program held by IRI for several years, has occupied a pride place in Turkey, because it is the first and one At the first conference of Young Leadership Academy, the participants took seminars on organization of the party members, political communication strategies, media and politics relations in Turkey, surveys and their effects on voting behavior, policy development process, policy advocacy and political discourse of political parties. At the end of the academy, the young participants received program certificates. 14

15 ACTIVITIES, TOBB ETU and Austrian Embassy JOINT CONFERENCE: WHICH EFFECTS WILL THE NEW GOVERNMENT IN IRAQ HAVE ON THE FUTURE OF THE ISIS IN IRAQ AND BEYOND? in coordination with Department of International Relations TOBB ETU, and Austrian Embassy held conference entitled Which Effects Will The New Government in Iraq Have on The Future of The ISIS in Iraq and Beyond?. Diplomatic officials, media representatives, academics, bureaucrats and students attended the conference where Gudrun Harrer was speaker. Dr. Gudrun Harrer, in speech, analysed fundamental state organization which was formed after US occupation in Iraq and Iraq s reconstruction process as well as, analyzing how this process had produced ISIS with details. Harrer, by saying that ISIS is an ideological and practical result of the US invasion in Iraq, stated that gaps in post-invasion Iraq by USA led to the strengthening of ISIS. Then, she highlighted deepening impact of sectarianism and drew attention to the fact that sides, which excluded from politics or could not be part of political process, have used sectarian identities as a mask to be effective in politics, which also deepen polarization and division in Iraq. The conference was ended following the Q&A Session. 15

16 ACTIVITIES, SAM AND TOBB ETU Joint Conference: Regional Security and Cooperation Perspectives in the Black Sea in the aftermath of Recent Developments in Ukraine Kılıç, Director of AVİM (Center for Eurasian Studies) and Assoc. Prof. Emre Erşen from Marmara University. President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, moderated the conference, which was initiated by the introductory speech of Assoc. Prof. Haldun Yalçınkaya, Chair of TOBB ETU Department of International Relations., Center for Strategic Research (SAM) and TOBB ETU have organized a conference on 30 October 2014 entitled Regional Security and Cooperation Perspectives in the Black Sea in the aftermath of Recent Developments in Ukraine. The speakers in the conference were the Ukrainian Ambassador to Turkey, H.E. Mr. Sergiy Korsunsky, Ambassador (Rtd.) Mr. Alev H.E. Mr. Korsunsky, taking floor after the introductory speech, evaluated Russia s involvement in the Ukraine crisis within the context of altering the international security infrastructure in Russia s immediate neighborhood and NATO presence in the region. Alev Kılıç stressed Turkey s appraoch to Ukraine crisis. Assoc. Prof. Emre Erşen assessed the geopolitical implications of the Ukraine crisis for world politics and Turkey. 16

17 ACTIVITIES Panel at II. Middle Eastern Congress on Politics and Society by Sakarya University: Turkish Foreign Policy in a Changing Middle East Sakarya University Center for Middle Eastern Studies held 2 nd Middle Eastern Congress on Politics and Society, on October 2014, in Sakarya. Among the congress speakers, there were wellknown social scientists working on the Middle East such as Bobby Salman Sayyid, Richard Falk, Fawas Gerges, Omar Ashour, Thomas Pierret, Khalil Al-Anani, Michael Lüders, Kudret Bülbül, Kayhan Bargezar, Burhanettin Duran, Mesut Özcan, Ali Resul Usul and Jotiar Mahmood. At the third day of the Congress on 16 October 2014, Panel titled Turkish Foreign Policy in a Changing Middle East was held. President, Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, Advisers Assoc. Prof. Harun Öztürkler and Assist. Prof. Dr. Bayram Sinkaya, Researchers Oytun Orhan and Bilgay Duman attended the panel. Kardaş, the moderator of the panel, discussed the general parameters of Turkish foreign policy within the last 10 years. The presentations were the economic background of Turkey s Middle East policy by Harun Öztürkler; Turkey-Iran Relations in the Changing Middle East by Bayram Sinkaya; Syrian Civil War and Turkey by Oytun Orhan and Turkey s Iraq Policy within the Framework of New Challenges by Bilgay Duman. 17

18 ACTIVITIES, JAPANESE EMBASSY AND SAM JOINT SYMPOSIUM: JAPAN AND TURKEY: WHERE DID WE COME FROM? WHERE ARE WE GOING? On the occasion of the 90 th Anniversary of the Diplomatic Relations between Japan and Turkey, in cooperation with Japanese Embassy and SAM organized a joint symposium entitled Japan and Turkey: Where Did We Come From? Where Are We Going? on September The symposium began with the openning speeches of Yutaka Yokoi, Amb. of Japan and Numan Kurtulmuş, Deputy Prime Minister of Turkey. At the two-days symposium, presentations were made by President of International University of Japan H.E Amb. Prof. Shinichi Kitaoka, Director of Diplomacy Academy Assoc. Prof. Mesut Özcan, (Ret) Prof. Noboru Yamaguchi (National Defense Academy of Japan), Prof. Selçuk Çolakoğlu (Yıldırım Beyazıt University), Prof. Masanori Naito (Doshisha University), Assist. Prof. Bahadır Pehlivantürk (TOBB ETU), Research Fellow Dr. Korei Imai (Japan Society to Promote Science); Amb. of Japan Embassy Yutaka Yokoi, Undersecretary of Ministry of Culture and Tourism Prof. Ahmet Haluk Dursun, President of Japanese Institute of Anatolian Archaeology Dr. Sachihiro Omura, Composer Yoshiyuki Kozu, Prof. Katsumi Tanabe; Dr. Erdal Küçükyalçın (Boğaziçi University), Prof. Nurettin Demir (Hacettepe University), and Prof. Tooru Hayasi. 18

19 ACTIVITIES AND THE WOODROW WILSON INTERNATIONAL CENTER FOR SCHOLARS JOINT PANEL: TURKEY, IRAQ AND KURDISTAN REGIONAL GOVERNMENT in collaboration with the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars organized a panel entitled Turkey, Iraq and Kurdistan Regional Government on 25 August 2014 in Washington D.C.. The panel analyzed the most recent developments in the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), future of Iraq after the ISIS threat and perspective of Turkey on recent events. The panel began with opening speeches made by Christian F. Osterman, Director of the History and Public Policy Program (HAPP) and Prof. Ali Resul Usul, SAM President. The panel consisted of three speakers: Bülent Aras, Global Fellow Chairman at the Wilson Center, President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, and President of the Middle East Research Institute based in Erbil Dlawer Ala Aldeen. Ala Aldeen, first speaker, addressed Erbil- Baghdad relations in his presentation; Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş assessed the current positions and foreign policies of Turkey. The last speaker of the panel, Bulent Aras focused on the situation of Turkmens in Iraq, which has always been one of the most salient issues of Turkey s foreign policy in Iraq. 19

20 ACTIVITIES The Japan Institute of International Affairs (JIIA) s Visit to Senior Researcher of the JIME Center- IEEJ (the Institute of Energy Economics) Akiko Yoshioka, Research Fellow of Japan Society for the Promotionof Science (JSPS) Kohei Imai and Research Fellow of the Japan Institute of International Affairs (JIIA) Mari Nukii. A delegation from The Japan Institute of International Affairs (JIIA) visited on 19 August Japanese delegation was composed of Prof. Eiji Nagasawa from University of Tokyo, Executive Director of Eurasia Consultant Ltd Manabu Shimizu, Assistant Director of JIME Center-IEEJ (the Institute of Energy Economic) and Senior Research Fellow Shuji Hosaka, At the meeting, the relationship between Turkey and Japan was discussed as well as recent developments in the Middle East. In addition, both countries perspectives on the current events in the Middle East were evaluated. At the meeting, ISIS threatwas discussed. Turkmen, Yezidi and other minorities situation after invasion of Mosul by ISIS were also discussed and both sides exchanged ideas. The meeting ended with question and answers. 20

21 ACTIVITIES WORKSHOP ON THE FUTURE OF IRAQI POLITICS AFTER 2014 ELECTIONS organized a workshop on 13 June 2014, entitled The Future of Iraqi Politics After 2014 Elections. In the workshop, there were academics and experts both from Iraq and Turkey. In addition, there were 60 participants from press, diplomatic circles, public institutions and think tanks. President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş (Moderator), Board of Trustees of Communication and Media Commission Salem Maskhour, Baghdad University Faculty of Political Science Firas Cokrkis, academic member of Cankaya University Mahir Nakip, and, academic member of Selahattin University Osman Ali attended the 1 st Session titled The Evaluation of the Election Results and the Performance of the Political Parties. Salem Maskhour (Moderator), academic member of Baghdad University Faculty of Political Science Asaad Al-Rubai, President of Hivar El-Fikir Institute Ali Abdulemir, President of Institue for Research and Development Kurdistan Saro Qadir, and academic member of Cork University Serdar Aziz attended the 2 nd Session titled The New Equation in the Iraqi Politics, Search for a New Government after the Elections and the Kurdish Domestic Politics. 21

22 ACTIVITIES -IAI JOINT MEETING: TURKISH POLICY TOWARD THE SYRIAN CRISIS AND THE IMPACT OF REFUGEES in coordination with the Italian research institute of Istituto Affari Internazionali (IAI) organized a meeting in Rome entitled Turkish Policy toward the Syrian Crisis and the Impact of Refugees on 6 June In the meeting, a study, which was produced as a result of six months of intensive research, conducted by with support from Konrad Adenauer Stiftung titled The Situation of Syrian Refugees In the Neighbouring Countries: Findings, Conclusions, and Recommendations, was introduced. Diplomats, Italian press representatives, researchers as well as Turkish authorities and press attended to meeting. The meeting began with a speech given by President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş. Kardaş s speech discussed Turkish policies toward the Syrian crisis. OR- SAM Researcher Oytun Orhan, presented the findings from OR- SAM s report entitled The Status of Syrian Refugees in Neighbouring Countries. Orhan specifically gave information about the project and shared its conclusions. SETA s Foreign Policy Program Coordinator Ufuk Ulutaş explained the Turkish policy towards the Syrian refugees. 22

23 ACTIVITIES AND Center for Strategic Studies-University of Jordan (CSS) JOINT WORKSHOP: Exchanges on the Middle East and Center for Strategic Studies-University of Jordan (CSS) organized a workshop entitled Exchanges on the Middle East: Turkey-Jordan Relations within the Changing Regional Environment on 26 May 2014, in Amman. The workshop was supported by Prime Ministry s Office of Public Diplomacy, and Foreign Ministry s Center For Strategic Studies (SAM). Turkish delegation included Turkish Ambassador to Jordan H.E. Sedat Önal, SAM Chairman Prof. Ali Resül Usul, Chairman of Diplomacy Academy at Turkish MFA Assoc. Prof. Mesut Özcan, President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, as well as other Turkish academics and experts. During the first session, the participants exchanged opinions on regional developments in terms of the role of international actors and conflict resolution mechanisms. In the second session, the participants discussed, with the support of qualitative and quantitative data, the two countries policies towards the Syrian crisis, specifically as regards the refugee flows. The current stand of the economic, political and cultural dimensions in Turkey- Jordan bilateral relations were assessed with a future-oriented vision in the last session. 23

24 ACTIVITIES, MIDDLE EAST INSTITUTE, MIGRATION POLICY INSTITUTE JOINT CONFERENCE: SYRIANS ON THE EDGE: THE STATUS OF REFUGEES IN NEIGHBORING COUNTRIES presented its report entitled The Status of Syrian Refugees in Neighboring Countries: Findings, Outcomes, and Suggestions on 20 May 2014, in Washington D.C.. The meeting was organized in cooperation with Washington s research center Middle East Institute and was held in the Migration Policy Institute. Participants in the meeting included American officials, academics, researchers, reporters, as well as Turkish authorities and press living in Washington. President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, and researcher, Oytun Orhan, gave information about the project that they conducted and shared the results with the listeners. Peri-Khan Aqrawi-Whitcomb, a researcher from the Middle East Research Institute (MERI) based in Erbil, shared information stating that the majority of the Syrian refugees in Iraq came from a Kurdish origin. After the remarks of Peri-Khan Aqrawi- Whitcomb, Faysal Itani, resident fellow in the Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East at the Atlantic Council, gave a speech about the conditions of refugees in Lebanon. 24

25 ACTIVITIES Forum for the Support of the Palestinian People, in cooperation with TOBB ETU and the United Nations, held a panel entitled Forum for the Support of the Palestinian People on 14 May After the opening speeches made by Chairman of the Committee on the Exercise of the Inalienable Rights of the Palestinian People, Mr. Abdou Salam Diallo, President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş and Assist. Prof. Dr. Serdar Palabıyık from TOBB ETU, the panel continued with the presentation of Palestinian experts on Jerusalem. Mr. Fady Khoury, attorney of Land and Planning Rights Unit, which is an organ of The Legal Center for Arab Minority Rights in Israel (Adalah), and Mr. Mohammad Shtayyeh, Palestinian Economic Council for Research and Development as well as a senior adviser to Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas in negotiations with Israel, mentioned about issues ensued from Jerusalem Master Plan and property rights and criticized the Israeli settlement plans in East Jerusalem in their speeches. They also evaluated the impacts of these developments on the Israeli-Palestinian peace process. In the last part of the panel speakers answered questions from the audience. After the panel, the 2005 Oscar-nominated Omar film was screened. 25

26 ACTIVITIES, Türkmenelİ Cooperation and Cultural Foundation, TİKA, Turkish Historical Society Joint Symposium: Reflections from Middle Eastern Turkmen On 6-7 May 2014,, in cooperation with Türkmeneli Cooperation and Cultural Foundation, Turkish Cooperation and Coordination Agency (TİKA) and Turkish Historical Society organized a symposium entitled Middle Eastern Turkmen. At the Symposium many domestic and foreign speakers gave enlightening information and discussed many topics about Iraqi, Syrian, Lebanese and Palestinian Turkmen. In the Symposium, there were academics and experts from Turkey as well as a total of ten Turkmen speakers from abroad, namely four from Iraq, three from Syria, two from Lebanon and one from Palestine. They made presentations and shared their observations from the field with Turkish public at the Middle Eastern Turkmen Symposium. The Middle Eastern Turkmen Symposium was remarkable given the level of participation from the region, as well as in terms of the interest of public officials. President Abdullah Gül and Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu could not attend the symposium but sent messages to the Symposium. In addition, opening speech of the Deputy Prime Minister Emrullah İşler was read to the participants. 26

27 ACTIVITIES KIRIKKALE UNIVERSITY I. INTERNATIONAL MIDDLE EAST SYMPOSIUM: CONTINUITY AND CHANGE IN THE MIDDLE EAST Kırıkkale University organized a symposium with the theme Continuity and Change in the Middle East on 7-9 May Several intellectuals and scholars from different countries and experiences attended the symposium and discussed issues as well as rich historical background of the Middle East. At the session entitled International Relations and Middle East held at the second day of the symposium on 8 May 2014, President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, and researchers Oytun Orhan and Bilgay Duman made presentations. Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, who was also the moderator of the session, discussed the general parameters of Turkish foreign policy in the last 10 years and explained the challenges that Arab Spring had introduced as well as Turkey s responses to them. researchers Oytun Orhan and Bilgay Duman addressed the dynamics which had shaped Turkey s foreign policies towards Syria and Iraq. 27

28 ACTIVITIES LEBANON TURKMENS VISIT TO A delegation which is composed of Lebanon Turkmens and chaired by Hussein Mohamad- Secretary General of the Tripoli and Dinniye Lebanon Turkoman League visited Turkey in order to contact with some institutes. Delegation is composed of Hussein Mohamad- Secretary General of the Tripoli and Dinniye Lebanon Turkmen League; Moustafa Khoder, Mayor of Kvashra; Hodor Abbas, Secretary General of the Lebanon Turkmenn League; Khaled el Assaad from Kvashra; Rami Khadad, Mayor of Aydamoun; Moustapha İbrahim, Deputy Mayor of Aydamoun; Nabih Youssef Alhajj, Headman of the Aydamoun; Mohamad Terkmeni, Turkmen of the Tripoli- Dimniye; Ali Ghorli, Deputy Mayor of Beqaa-Duris and Jomaa El Melhem from Beqaa. At the visit, the importance of the cooperation between Turkey and Lebanon Turkmens were stated and views were been exchanged about the situation of the Lebanon Turkmens. 28

29 ACTIVITIES AND TEHRAN UNIVERSITY JOINT SYMPOSIUM: Examining Regional Transformation: Turkish View A delegation of Turkish academics led by President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş paid a visit to Iranian universities and research institutions on April Allameh Tabataba i University, Tehran University Caucasus Studies Institute, Tehran University Department of History, Institute for Middle East Strategic Studies, Institute for Political and International Studies of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Institute for Iranian Contemporary Historical Studies, Tehran University World Studies Faculty and Institute of Iran and Eurasian Studies were among the universities and institutions that were visited. Turkish and Iranian foreign policies were discussed in the meetings. A conference was organized for Turkish delegation in the Faculty of Law and Political Science at Tehran University, in cooperation with the Eurasian Studies Research Group and Caucasus Studies Institute of Tehran University. The conference, entitled as Examining Regional Transformation: Turkish View, was moderated by Dr. Farhad Ataei, faculty member in International Relations. Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, SDE Vice-President Assoc. Prof. Mehmet Şahin, Asst. Prof. Bayram Sinkaya and Dr. İnanç Atılgan made presentations. 29

30 ACTIVITIES LAUNCHING WORKSHOP OF THE REPORT THE SITUATION OF SYRIAN REFUGEES IN THE NEIGHBORING COUNTRIES: FINDINGS, CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS On 24 April 2014, launched its report, entitled The Situation of Syrian Refugees In the Neighboring Countries: Findings, Conclusions and Recommendations, which was based on the field research, conducted with the support of the Konrad Adenauer Foundation. Approximately 70 participants including the press, diplomatic representatives, faculty members from various universities and researchers from think tanks took part in the meeting. Dr. Fuat Oktay, the President of the Prime Ministry s Disaster and Emergency Management Presidency (AFAD), attended the meeting as the keynote speaker. In addition, Walid Alkhatib from Center for Strategic Studies of University of Jordan; Dr. Othman Ali from Selahaddin University in Erbil and Asst. Prof. Fulya Memişoğlu made presentations on the situation of Syrian refugees in Jordan, Iraq and Turkey and their impacts on these counties. The meeting started with the opening speeches of President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş and the President of Konrad Adenauer Stiftung Dr. Colin Dürkop. AFAD President Dr. Fuat Oktay described the general situation of the Syrian refugees in Turkey. Researcher Oytun Orhan shared the basic data about the Syrian refugees. 30

31 ACTIVITIES, SAM AND TOBB ETU Joint Lecture: How will the International Order Accommodate Rising Powers? A Liberal Perspective by G. John Ikenberry, in partnership with SAM ve TOBB ETU, held a lecture entitled How will the International Order Accommodate Rising Powers? A Liberal Perspective by G. John Ikenberry on 16 April 2014 in Ankara. Officials, academics, researchers and representatives of civil society organizations attended the event. Ikenberry started his lecture by explaining the shift of the economic center of gravity from West to East, and argued that the largest economy will be a developing country and a non- Western state in the future. Then he clarified the goals of China and other rising non-western states by categorising their goals into power goals, ideological and value goals and authority goals. In this context, he argued that China and other emerging states are rising up by working within and through the rules/institutions built during American liberal era. Moreover, he said that the rise of these states is cretaing more rather than less demand for liberal internationalism. Lastly he argued that China had incentives to restarin itself, integrate, and seek authority and leasership within the existing order. 31

32 ACTIVITIES SAM, AND MOSUL UNIVERSITY JOINT PANEL: CHANGING EQUILIBRIUM IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND TURKEY-IRAQ RELATIONS On 24 March 2014,, in partnership with the SAM and the Mosul University Department of Turkish Language and Literature, organized a panel entitled Changing Equilibrium in the Middle East and Turkey- Iraq Relations in Mosul. Assoc. Prof. Mesut Özcan, Chairman of SAM; Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, President; Asst. Prof. Murat Yeşiltaş, SAM Advisor; and Bilgay Duman, Researcher attended the panel as speakers. In addition to the lecturers and students from the Mosul University, Öztürk Yılmaz, Consul General of the Republic of Turkey and diplomats in Mosul, attended the panel. During the visit the delegation met with Etil Nuceyfi, Governer of Mosul, Nurettin Kaplan, Deputy President of General Assembly in Mosul Province, members of General Assembly in Mosul Province, Representatives of Mosul Culture Center and Prof. Abu Sa eed Dewachi, Rector of Mosul University. The delegation also met with Turkmen Members of General Assembly in Mosul Province. Turkmen authorities informed about the problems of Turkmens living in Mosul and their expectations about the elections. 32

33 ACTIVITIES, SAM AND Salahaddin University JOINT WORKSHOP, with the support of SAM and Salahaddin University in Erbil and contributions of Turkish Consulate General in Erbil, organized a workshop in Erbil on 20 February In the workshop, the participants from Turkish delegation headed by Assoc. Prof. Mesut Özcan, as well as Salahaddin University and other Iraqi institutions made presentations. Following the presentations, the participants exchanged their views in the context of questions directed by KRG officials on Turkey s foreign policies towards the Middle East. In the workshop, in addition to Assoc. Prof. Mesut Özcan and President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş; Dr. Helin Sarı Ertem from Yıldız Technical University Political Science and International Relations Department; Asst. Prof. Murat Yeşiltaş from Sakarya University Center for Middle Eastern Studies; Furkan Torlak from Prime Ministry; and Vice President of Republic of Turkey, Presidency of Turks Abroad and Related Communities (YTB) Mehmet Köse made presentations. The Government Spokesman of KRG and KDP s Director of Foreign Policy Sefin Dzayi made a presentation on the relations between Turkey and KRG. 33

34 ACTIVITIES Strategic Studies Network Summit Strategic Studies Network summit took place in Bangkok, the capital city of Thailand, on February In total, 120 participants from 31 countries and 56 different organizations attend the 2014 Summit. The first Working Groups Meeting of 2014 was held in the summit. 12 academics and researchers from Turkey attended the Strategic Studies Network summit. In addition to research centers such as Center for Strategic Research of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Turkey (SAM),, SETA, TASAM, TESEV; academics from Akdeniz University and Okan Univesity were among the members of Turkish delegation. In the plenary sessions entitled Arab Transformation, which was held on the first day of the summit, President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş made a presentation on Syrian crisis. In the summit, in addition to Arab transformation; the topics such as Regional Security in the Middle East, the Future of Education, Water and Food Security, Economic Security, Dynamism of Asia, Energy Revolution, were discussed by the experts of the issues in different sessions. The summit finalized with a closing session where the findings reached in the working groups were shared with all participants. 34

35 ACTIVITIES JORDAN JOURNALIST COMMITTEE S VISIT TO Jordanian journalists visited the on 12 March 2014 as part of a program organized by the Office of Public Diplomacy under the Prime Ministry of the Republic of Turkey. The delegation included the executive editor of Es-Sabil Newspaper, Atef Ishaq Mousa Al-Jolani, the editorial consultant of Ed-Dustur Newspaper, Jamal Mohammad Alawy, the writer from El-Gad Newspaper, Fhad Salah Salameh Alkhitan, the program host from Jordan TV Channel, Nisreen Abusalha, the program host of Jordan TV Channel, Samar Feher Khaleel Gharaibehand the editor in chief of Er- Rey Newspaper, Faisel N. Q. Al-Ahmad. The meeting began with a presentation on s activities. The discussion started with exchanges on the situation of the Syrian refugees in Jordan, the political, economic, social and security problems caused by the refugee inflow in the country and the Jordanian perspective on the recent developments in the Middle East. Then, the discussion focused on s field studies in Iraq and Syria, as well as the status of the Middle Eastern studies in Turkey. The meeting continued with question and answers session; and discussion on further cooperation possibilities between sides. 35

36 ACTIVITIES and TESEV Joint Workshop: Regional Impact Analysis: Syrian Conflict context of an ongoing project on the regional implications of the Syrian crisis, conducted by the Stabilization Unit. and TESEV (The Turkish Economic and Social Studies Foundation), with support from the Stabilization Unit of the UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office, held a joint workshop entitled Regional Impact Analysis: Syrian Conflict on 6 March 2014, in İstanbul. Officials, academics, researchers and representatives of civil society organizations from Turkey, the UK and Syria attended the event. The workshop was organized in the The workshop started with the opening speeches given by Sabiha Şenyücel Gündoğar, Foreign Policy Coordinator at TESEV, Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, President of, and Louise Hoppe from the Stabilization Unit. The effect of the Syrian crisis on Turkey and Iraq from different aspects were discussed through out the day-long discussions organized into six different sessions. The workshop was concluded with the evaluations from the participants as to how the spill over effects of the Syrian crisis to the region, especially to Turkey and Iraq, could be handled. 36

37 ACTIVITIES AND JIIA JOINT WORKSHOP: TURKEY JAPAN RELATIONS AND PERSPECTIVES TOWARDS THE MIDDLE EAST, in cooperation with The Japan Institute of International Affairs (JIIA) held a joint workshop entitled Turkey Japan Relations and Perspectives Towards the Middle East on 28 February The workshop was chaired by President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş and Professor of National Defence Academy Ryoji Tateyama; and was held with the participation of researchers from and JIIA at s building. The meeting started with Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş s presentation on Turkey s Middle East policy and Prof. Tateyama s presentation on the Japanese perspective towards the Middle East. In his presentation, Kardaş elaborated on the basic principles and tools of Turkey s Middle East policy in the last decade. Prof. Ryoji Tateyama elaborated the Japanese perspective towards the Middle East and also explained why the Middle East is so significant for Japan. In the question and answer section of the meeting, Syria issue and recent developments in the Middle East were discussed. 37

38 ACTIVITIES AND TOBB ETU JOINT PANEL: EGYPTIAN POLITICS AFTER CONSTITUTIONAL REFERENDUM, in cooperation with TOBB ETU, organized a panel discussion titled Egyptian Politics After Constitutional Referandum on 20 January The moderator of the Panel was President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş. Around 100 participants, including several diplomats, journalists, academics and students attended the panel. The Panel began with Kardaş s opening speech. Dr. Mahmoud Hamad, academic member of United States Drake University and Cairo University, made presentation about Egyptian leaders forms of government and expressed their misapplications and mismanagements as well as Egypt after post-mubarak era. İsmail Numan Telci, Research Fellow from Sakarya University Middle East Studies Center and research assistant of Sakarya University, cited his observations on Egypt and analysed analysed new Egyptian constitution. Asst. Prof. Burak Bilgehan Özpek, academic member of TOBB ETU, evaluated new Egyptian constitution by rcomparing with Constitution Making Process in Turkey. SETA Researcher Dr. Mehmet Özkan, explained the current situation in Egypt, coup and new constitution. 38

39 ACTIVITIES VISIT OF SDE (Institute of Strategic Thinking) Academy to On 27 April 2014, a group of students from SDE Academy, established within the Institute of Strategic Thinking paid a visit to within the scope of their Weekly Event Schedule. VISIT OF ÇANAKKALE ONSEkİZ MART UNIVERSITY INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS COMMUNITY TO Within the context of Ankara Familiarisation Trip, a delegation of Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart University International Relations Community composed of 45 students paid a visit to on 11 December

40 REPORT Reports consist of in-depth analysis about the topics containing importance for the region. has released 6 reports in 2014.

41 ORTADOĞU STRATEJİK ARAŞTIRMALAR MERKEZİ CENTER FOR MIDDLE EASTERN STRATEGIC STUDIES REPORT Report No: 194 Effects of Oil Price Plunge on the Mena Economies ASST. PROF. Rüstem Yanar, Gazİantep University 3 December 2014 Rapor No: 194, Aralık 2014 PETROL FİyATLARINDAKİ DüŞüŞ ve ORTADOĞU EKONOMİLERİNE ETKİLERİ There was a rapid decrease in oil prices in the last four months and the price of the Brent oil per barrel fell below $ 80 at the beginning of November for the first time in the last four years. It was decided during OPEC meeting in Vienna on 27 November that the oil supply could not be decreased. This decision led the price of oil (per barrel) to decrease to $ 71, which dropped to $60 following the Mortgage Crisis of Gradually decreasing oil prices may have positive effects on inflation, mainly because it will decrease the cost of input in oil importing countries in short-run. It will also create a positive impact on external trade balance and growth due to the fact that these countries will have to pay less in foreign exchange. In the middleterm, the demand shrinkage in the oil exporting countries may bring in negative effects since it will lead to a decrease in the exports of the countries trading with the oil exporting countries. The continuation of low prices carries high risks for the OPEC countries and the Middle Eastern economies depending heavily on oil. The regional countries have confronted serious economic problems in the last four years because of the political instability. The decrease in oil prices will lead to shrinkage in the economies of the region; can cause an increase in political instability originating from the decrease in public expenditure and increase in unemployment. 41

42 JAPONYA BÜYÜKELÇİLİĞİ ORTADOĞU STRATEJİK ARAŞTIRMALAR MERKEZİ CENTER FOR MIDDLE EASTERN STRATEGIC STUDIES 中 東 戦 略 研 究 センタ- REPORT Süleyman Nazif Sokak No: 12-B Çankaya / Ankara Tel: 0 (312) Fax: 0 (312) [email protected] Rapor No: 193, Kasım 2014 Report No: 193, November 2014 ULUSLARARASI TOPLUMDA JAPONYA VE TÜRKİYE: İŞBİRLİĞİ VE POTANSİYEL JAPAN AND TURKEY IN ThE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY: COOPERATION AND POTENTIAL Japonya ve Türkiye Arasındaki Diplomatik İlişkilerin 90. Yıldönümü Etkinlikleri Commemorating the 90th Anniversary of the Turkey-Japan Diplomatic Relations Japonya Türkiye Ortak Sempozyumu: Japonya ve Türkiye Nereden Geldik, Nereye Gidiyoruz? Joint Symposium Japan and Turkey: Where Did We Come From? Where Are We Going? DİPLOMATİK SEMİNER/DiPLOMATiC SEMiNAR Report No: 193 Japan and Turkey in the International Community: Cooperation and Potential Bahadır Pehlİvantürk, TOBB ETU, Abdülkerİm Cidal, TOBB ETU 27 November 2014 On the occasion of the 90 th Anniversary of the Diplomatic Relations Between Japan and Turkey, in cooperation with Japanese Embassy and SAM organized a joint symposium entitled Japan and Turkey: Where Did We Come From? Where Are We Going? The Symposium took place on September 2014 in Ankara. The Symposium was attended by participants from press, diplomatic circles, public enterprises and think tanks. The speakers were from both Turkey and Japan, and they gave informative and enlightening speeches about bilateral relations, global partnerships, regional policies, and cultural interactions between the two countries. Drawing on the discussions throughout the twoday seminar and also the extant literature, this report analyzes Turkey-Japan relations in its historical context, as well as the current dynamics shaping it. 42

43 Süleyman Nazif Sokak No: 12-B Çankaya / Ankara Tel: 0 (312) Fax: 0 (312) [email protected] ORTADOĞU STRATEJİK ARAŞTIRMALAR MERKEZİ CENTER FOR MIDDLE EASTERN STRATEGIC STUDIES REPORT Report No: 192 Turkey-Tunisia Relations on the Eve of Elections in Tunisia Nebahat Tanrıverdİ O Yaşar, Research Assistant, 21 October 2014 Rapor No: 192, Ekim 2014 Tunus Seçimleri Arifesinde Türkiye-Tunus İlişkileri Tunisia is undergoing a transformation process, which was triggered by popular protests. The street politics in Tunisia has left its place to institutional politics more quickly than other examples of the Arab Spring. Especially in the post-2011 period, the integration of NGOs and Tunisian youth via the institutional structures broke the power of street politics and enabled the shift of the location of political struggle from streets to political structures. Thus, Tunisian politics has been stabilized after ensuring the normalization of the political processes. The relations between Turkey and Tunisia, the unique country that sustains the hopes for Arab Spring, has continued to increase in the period after Turkey has provided important contributions to Tunisia s democratization process, the solutions of socioeconomic problems and stabilization of country in the post-2011 period. It is clear that Turkey will continue to play a key role in the period ahead in Tunisia in order to support the normalization of social, economic and political life, as well as the stabilization and democratization of the country. This report aims to contribute to the understanding of the current status of Turkey-Tunisia relations. The report is structured into three parts. In the first part of the report, the post-2011 era in Tunisia is examined within the context of the dynamics of democratization. The second part is devoted to Turkey-Tunisia relations. In the last section, Tunisia-Turkey relations are studied in the context of the expectations and challenges. 43

44 REPORT Report No: 191 US Strategy against ISIS and its Potential Implications for Iraq & Syria Bİlgay Duman, Oytun Orhan, Assoc. Prof. Ferhat Pİrİnççİ 24 September 2014 The Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) has established its dominance in an area extending towards the Iranian border after its capture of Mosul in Iraq. Even though the group has been active in Syria for a long time, after its gains in Iraq, it became a target for the West, especially for the United States. The turning point in the Western perspective was ISIS s advance towards the outskirts of Erbil, the administrative center of the Iraq s Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG). In response, the U.S. conducted an aerial bombardment of the ISIS positions. On 10 September 2014, President Barack Obama declared the U.S. strategy against ISIS, which the U.S. considers the biggest threat in recent years. Obama s 4-point plan, which includes air strikes against ISIS, improving the anti-terror capability, supporting local forces on the ground and increasing humanitarian assistance, involved the creation of a coalition that included some NATO allies. This process is going to affect the future of ISIS as well as having critical impact on the security situation in Iraq and Syria, as well as the political atmosphere and humanitarian dimension. This report prepared by focuses mainly on two points- the factors that caused ISIS to emerge as well as the process of coalition formation against ISIS; and the effects of the fight against ISIS in the contexts of Iraq and Syria. This report aims to shed some light on the recent discussions about the problem of ISIS, which is a recent agenda item. 44

45 IRAK TA 2014 SEÇİMLERİ, IŞİD OPERASYONLARI VE IRAK IN GELECEĞİ REPORT Report No: 190 The 2014 Elections, ISIS Operations and the Future of Iraq Bilgay Duman, 12 July 2014 Rapor No: 190, Haziran Iraq, which was at the center of regional problems in the Middle East politics after the Cold War, was overshadowed by the Syrian crisis that erupted in Iraq once again has come to the forefront of the regional and international agenda due to several factors, namely the political ambiguity after the 30 April 2014 elections, the sudden advance of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) towards Mosul, ISIS s control in the Sunni regions and its activities in Kirkuk, Diyala and Baghdad. This study aims to become a reference source for those seeking to understand the current situation in Iraq. It analyzes the political situation in Iraq before the elections, the election results and ISIS s June offensive. Then the report analyzes the background conditions, i.e., the political situation before the elections, as well as their impact on the elections process and the current situation characterized by the ISIS s June offensive. Finally, the report concludes with the short, medium and long term projections about the situation in Iraq and the scenarios regarding the future of Iraq. This report is based on an analysis of the literature, the field trips by researchers and the analysis of the results of the workshop, The Future of Iraq after the 2014 Elections, which was organized by, with the participation of academics and specialists from Iraq on 13 June Therefore, the issues that are debated in Iraq are also covered in this report, conveying the Iraqi people s and intellectual s opinions. 45

46 Süleyman Nazif Sokak No: 12-B Çankaya / Ankara Tel: 0 (312) Fax: 0 (312) [email protected] ORTADOĞU STRATEJİK ARAŞTIRMALAR MERKEZİ CENTER FOR MIDDLE EASTERN STRATEGIC STUDIES REPORT Rapor No: 189, Nisan 2014 SURİYE YE KOMŞU ÜLKELERDE SURİYELİ MÜLTECİLERİN DURUMU: BULGULAR, SONUÇLAR VE ÖNERİLER Report No: 189 The Situation Of Syrian Refugees in the Neighboring Countries Oytun Orhan, 2 May 2014 Because of Syrian civil war, the Syrian people started to migrate from their homes, villages, towns in search of security. As from April 2014, 3 million Syrian refugees; 1 million to Lebanon, 800 thousands to Turkey, 600 thousands to Jordan, 220 thousands to Iraq, in total left their homes. The mass migration and humanitarian tragedy reached a point which has posed threats both to security and stability of region and international system. Considering only neighboring countries as the sole addressee of the problem might further worsen the situation. Therefore, all actors need to get more involved in the problem. As we believe it is essential for decision-makers, international organizations and civil society organizations to access information which will provide the basis for the future efforts for relieving the suffering of Syrian refugees. From this point of view, with the support of the Konrad Adenauer Stiftung s Turkey Office, we have conducted a six-monthlong project focusing on Syrian refugees. Until now, many studies were done on Syrian refugees. What distinguishes this work from others is its depth which covers Syrian refugees in four neighboring countries. Another factor that makes this study significant is that project team visited four countries in 6 months, observed the situation on the ground and met one on one with relevant officials, representatives of civil society organizations and most importantly with the Syrians themselves. The study is based on information and observations obtained from these various field research trips. 46

47

48 REVIEW OF REGIONAL AFFAIRS Review of Regional Affairs contains short overviews and in-depth analysis of current developments in the Middle East. has published 19 Review of Regional Affairs in 2014.

49 REVIEW OF REGIONAL AFFAIRS THE DEEPENING OF STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP BETWEEN IRAQ AND IRAN ASST. PROF. BAYRAM SİNKAYA, YILDIRIM BEYAZIT UNIVERSITY NO. 19, DECEMBER 2014 T he 19 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Bayram Sinkaya, examines implications of major developments that took place in 2014 for the bilateral relations between Baghdad and Tehran, including the parliamentary elections, the seizure of Mosul by ISIS, and the formation of new government in Iraq. MIGRATION RESULTED FROM THE ATTACKS ON SINJAR AND KOBANE, AND TURKEY S HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE Firuze Yağmur Gökler, RESEARCH ASSISTANT, No. 18, DECEMBER 2014 The 18 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Firuze Yağmur Gökler, examines the ISIS operations to Sinjar and Kobane and the resulting mass migration of Yazidis and Syrian Kurds; and reveals Turkey s humanitarian assistance to both of the regions and the refugees. 49

50 REVIEW OF REGIONAL AFFAIRS US STRATEGY AGAINST ISIS IN SYRIA AND TURKEY S POSITION Oytun Orhan, Researcher, No. 17, NOVEMBER 2014 The 17 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Oytun Orhan, examines US strategy in fight against ISIS and Turkey s position. Presidental Election in Tunisia Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar, Research Assistant, No. 16, NOVEMBER 2014 T he 16 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar, examines the presidential elections in Tunisia in the context of authoritarianism and democratization. 50

51 REVIEW OF REGIONAL AFFAIRS THE POLITICAL OUTLOOK OF THE SYRIAN OPPOSITION: A RETROSPECTIVE ASSESSMENT Ömer Kuş, Researcher No. 15, NOVEMBER 2014 T he 15 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Ömer Kuş, examines the issues as how opposition movements, which are disconnected from the people, did not emerge out of them and did not take the people s demand into consideration; as well as the regional and global dynamics of the representation problem. Toward a New Era in Tunisian Politics: 2014 Parliamentary Elections Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar, Research Assistant, No. 14, OCTOBER 2014 The 14 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar, examines parliamentary elections in Tunisia, parties as well as coalitions, and predictions on elections. 51

52 REVIEW OF REGIONAL AFFAIRS THE HUMANITARIAN SITUATION, THE TURKMENS AND TURKEY S HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE TO IRAQ AFTER ISIS OPERATIONS Firuze Yağmur Gökler, Research Assistant, No. 13, OCTOBER 2014 The 13 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Firuze Yağmur Gökler, examines Turkey s humanitarian assistance to Iraq and the Turkmens. TURKEY-JORDAN RELATIONS REVISITED WITHIN THE CONTINUING TRANSITION IN THE MIDDLE EAST AssISt. Prof. Nur Köprülü, Near East University No. 12, OCTOBER 2014 T he 12 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Nur Köprülü, examines the relations between Turkey-Jordan in the context of changing regional environment. 52

53 REVIEW OF REGIONAL AFFAIRS STRUGGLE AGAINST ISIS, BORDER CROSSINGS AND TURKEY Oytun Orhan, Researcher, No. 11, SEPTEMBER 2014 T he 11 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Oytun Orhan, examines fight against ISIS, border security and Turkey in the context of border crossings. The Implications of the War on ISIS in Kurdistan Prof. Dr. Othman Ali No. 10, SEPTEMBER 2014 The 10 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Othman Ali, examines the impacts of war against ISIS to KRG in the context of the relations between Iraq and USA, Erbil and Baghdad as well as internal dynamics within KRG. 53

54 REVIEW OF REGIONAL AFFAIRS TRANSNATIONAL WATER TRANSFER PROJECTS Taner Kimençe NO. 9, AUGUST 2014 The 10 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Taner Kimençe, examines transnational water transfer projects. Humanitarian Tragedy in Gaza AssIsT. Prof. Dr. Halil İbrahim Yenigün NO. 8, July 2014 The 8 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Halil İbrahim Yenigün, examines Israel s attack on Gaza from a humanitarian perspective. The Effects of the ISIS Operations on the Turkmens Bilgay Duman, Researcher, No. 7, JULY 2014 T he 7 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Bilgay Duman, examines the effects of the ISIS operations on the Turkmens. 54

55 REVIEW OF REGIONAL AFFAIRS ISIS, KRG and New Hydropolitics Order in the Euphrates-Tigris Basin Dr. Seyfi Kılıç, RESEARCHER No. 6, JULY 2014 The 6 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Seyfi Kılıç, examines the water structures constructed on the Euphrates-Tigris Basin that lies in territories of Syria and Iraq; and the approaches adopted by the powers that control the area. It also discusses how the attempts of KRG to expand its domain in disputed areas impact the hydropolitics of the basin. Egypt, Nile and International Law Dr. Seyfi Kılıç, RESEARCHER No. 5, JUly 2014 T he 5 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Seyfi Kılıç, examines the international law dimension of the dispute between Egypt and Ethiopia over the Great Renaissance Dam on Blue Nile. 55

56 REVIEW OF REGIONAL AFFAIRS TRANSFORMATION IN THE ARAB WORLD: THE VIEW FROM TURKEY Bülent Arınç No. 4, JUne 2014 The 4 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Bülent Arınç, examines regional transformation in the Middle East and Turkey s approach to the region. A READING ON THE IRAQI NATIONAL ASSEMBLY ELECTION RESULTS: NATIONAL AND REGIONAL IMPLICATIONS Prof. Dr. Othman Ali No. 3, May 2014 T he 3 rd issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Othman Ali, examines the Iraqi domestic political scene in the run up to the 2014 parliamentary elections, the impacts of elections on Iraqi domestic politics and its regional impacts. 56

57 REVIEW OF REGIONAL AFFAIRS THE 2014 IRAQI PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS: AN ANALYSIS OF THE POLITICAL MAP AND EXPECTATIONS Dr. Yasser Abdulhussein No. 2, APRIL 2014 The 2 nd issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Yasser Abdulhussein, examines the Iraqi domestic political scene in the run up to the 2014 parliamentary elections, arguing that they may represent a turning point in the history of Iraq. CHANGE IN FOREIGN POLICY OF IRAN UNDER ROUHANI GOVERNMENT AND ITS REFLECTIONS IN DOMESTIC POLITICS Pınar Arıkan No. 1, MARCH 2014 T he 1 th issue of Review of Regional Affairs, written by Pınar Arıkan, examines change in Iranian foreign policy and its reflections in domestic politics since the election of Hassan Rouhani as the new president of the Islamic Republic in June

58 Middle East Analysis Middle East Analysis, which is published bimonthly in Turkish, covers the expert opinions both from Turkey and the region on contemporary developments in the Middle East. It aims to explain readers the Middle East from various angles and raise their awareness about regional developments by presenting different opinions. has published 5 issues in 2014.

59 ORTADOĞU ANALİZ 59

60 MIDDLE EAST ANALYSIS, November-December 2014, VOLUME 6, NUMBER 65 CONTENT Türkiye ve Ortadoğu AYRIŞSA DA BERABER: TÜRK- AMERİKAN İLİŞKİLERİNE YAPISAL BİR BAKIŞ Şaban Kardaş Dosya Konusu: Arap Baharı ndan Geriye Ne Kaldı? ARAP BAHARI NI YENİDEN DÜŞÜNMEK Ferhat Pirinççi ARAP BAHARI SONRASI JEOPOLİTİK, İSLAM DEVLETİ VE TÜRKİYE Bülent Aras SURİYE DE GÜVENLİ BÖLGE Oytun Orhan SURİYE SORUNU VE IŞİD LE MÜCADE- LEDE ÇÖZÜM ALTERNATİFLERİ Tayyar Arı İnfografik Kürt Parti ve Örgütleri Şeması ROJAVA ÇÖZÜM SÜRECİ DENKLEMİ- NİN NERESİNDE? Mehmet Alaca KOBANİ DEN KİTLESEL ZORUNLU GÖÇ VE TÜRKİYE NİN GÜVENLİ BÖLGE TALEBİ Suna Gülfer Ihlamur Öner İnfografik Türkiye nin Kobani ye ve Kobani den Göç Etmiş Suriyeli Kürtlere Yaptığı Yardımlar IRAK TA IŞİD LE MÜCADELE STRATEJİ- SİNİN GETİRDİĞİ YENİ DÜZEN: YEREL- LEŞME VE MİLİSLEŞME Bilgay Duman IŞİD VE DOĞU YU KUŞATAN BARBAR- LIK : BATI NIN YENİ TEMSİL VE YÖNE- TİM STRATEJİLERİNE DAİR Ali Balcı HAMAS IŞİD TİR VE IŞİD HAMAS TIR İbrahim Efe KOBANİ SALDIRILARININ ÖĞRETTİK- LERİ Zana Baykal Bölgesel Gelişmeler KİMLİK VE DIŞ POLİTİKA EKSENİNDE MISIR DIŞ POLİTİKASI Özge Gökçen Terzi MISIR DA KARŞI-DEVRİM KARŞITI HAREKETİN İMKÂNI İsmail Numan Telci TUNUS TA PARLAMENTO SEÇİMLERİ VE SONUÇLARI Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar İnfografik Tunus Parlamento Seçimleri 2014 LÜBNAN DA YAŞANAN SU SORUNUN- DA İKLİM DEĞİŞİMİ VE GÖÇMENLERİN ROLÜ Tuğba Evrim Maden İSRAİL TOPLUMSAL ÇATIŞMASINDA HAREDİLER Eldar Hasanov NİKARAGUA/KOLOMBİYA KARARI IŞIĞINDA DOĞU AKDENİZ DEKİ DENİZ YETKİ ALANLARININ SINIRLANDIRIL- MASI Yunus Emre Açıkgönül Ekonomi ORTADOĞU VE KUZEY AFRİKA DA İŞSİZLİK SORUNUNUN EKONOMİ-PO- LİTİK BİR DEĞERLENDİRMESİ Harun Öztürkler PETROL FİYATLARİNDAKİ DÜŞÜŞ VE ORTADOĞU EKONOMİLERİNE ETKİ- LERİ Rüstem Yanar Kültür #DİREN BEYT-UL HİKME Burak Bilgehan Özpek Söyleşi Leeds Üniversitesi Sosyoloji Bölümü Öğretim Üyesi Bobby Salman Sayyid ile Söyleşi Etkinlik İzlenimleri Ortadoğu da Mavi Barış Üst Düzey Forumu EDAM-CER Onuncu Bodrum Yuvarlak Masa Toplantısı ATCOSS 4 (Arap-Türk Sosyal Bilimler Kongresi) Türkiye-Japonya Ortak Sempozyumu Kitap Tanıtımları Ortadoğu da Devlet ve İktidar: Otoriter Rejimler Üzerine Bir İnceleme Berkan Öğür 60

61 ORTADOĞU ANALİZ 61

62 MIDDLE EAST ANALYSIS, September-October 2014, VOLUME 6, NUMBER 64 CONTENT Türkiye ve Ortadoğu TÜRK DIŞ POLİTİKASINDA Lİ- DER-EKSENLİ MODEL ARAYIŞI VE TÜRKİYE NİN ORTADOĞU POLİTİKASI Şaban Kardaş Dosya Konusu: GAZZE GAZZE YE EKİLEN NEFRET TOHUM- LARI Bora Bayraktar 2014 GAZZE KRİZİ: AKTÖRLER, PERS- PEKTİFLER VE İTTİFAKLAR Cüneyt Özşahin İSRAİL İN GAZZE MÜDAHALESİ VE BİRLEŞMİŞ MİLLETLER Gonca Oğuz Gök İnfografik: İsrail in 2005 Sonrası Gazze Saldırıları BİR VATANİ HİZMET OLARAK HAS- BARA: İSRAİL ORDUSU NUN KORUYU- CU HAT OPERASYONU PERFORMANSI Ceyhun Çiçekçi GAZZE SALDIRISININ ETKİLERİ: FİLİS- TİNİ NE BEKLİYOR? Zahide Tuba Kor İnfografik: Filistin deki Ana Siyasi Aktörler NETANYAHU ABD NİN GÜVENİNİ KAY- BETTİ Ragıp Soylu FİLİSTİN MESELESİ, DİRENİŞ EKSENİ VE İRAN Bayram Sinkaya MISIR IN GAZZE YE YÖNELİK DIŞ PO- LİTİKASI Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar POST-KOLONYAL ORTADOĞU DA SA- VAŞ VE SAVAŞ HUKUKU Ali Balcı Bölgesel Gelişmeler-Arap Baharı ARAP BAHARI NIN JEOPOLİTİĞİ Bülent Aras IŞİD, SINIR GEÇİŞLERİ VE TÜRKİYE Oytun Orhan KÜRTLER, OLASI KÜRT DEVLETİ VE ORTADOĞU Serhun Al LİBYA DA İKİ YÖNETİMLİ DÖNEME DOĞRU Levent Baştürk PEŞMERGE NİN IŞİD LE İMTİHANI VE ABD ASKERİ STRATEJİSİ Nihat Ali Özcan İRAN RUSYA MUTABAKAT ANLAŞ- MASI: STRATEJİK ORTAKLIK MI? Pınar Arıkan ORTA AFRİKA CUMHURİYETİ NDE SİYASAL KRİZ: SEBEPLER VE DİNAMİK- LER Abdurrahim Sıradağ TÜRKİYE DEN KKTC YE İÇME SUYU TRANSFERİ VE ETKİLERİ Tuğba Evrim Maden IRAK TAKİ ÇATIŞMALARDA SU YA- PILARININ ÖNEMİ: MUSUL BARAJI ÖRNEĞİ Seyfi Kılıç İnfografi: Irak ta Su Yapıları Üzerinde Hakimiyet Savaşı IRAK TA YENİ HÜKÜMET VE TEMEL DİNAMİKLER Bilgay Duman İnfografi: 2014 Irak Hükümeti ORTADOĞU DA ORTAK STRATEJİK VİZYON IŞIĞINDA TÜRKİYE-KATAR İLİŞKİLERİ Ali Oğuz Diriöz Kültür İSKENDERİYE KÜTÜPHANESİNİN Hİ- KAYESİ Burak Bilgehan SURİYE NİN KÜLTÜREL MİRASI YOK OLURKEN Besime Yücel Söyleşi Arap Reform İnisiyatifi Yönetici Müdürü Bassma Kodmani ile Söyleşi Etkinlikler IPRA Konferansı WOCMES Konferansı Kitap Tanıtımları Kaçarlar Döneminde İran ( ): İdari, Askeri, Sosyal Yapı Ve Toplumsal Hareketleri Fatih Tiryaki 62

63 ORTADOĞU ANALİZ 63

64 MIDDLE EAST ANALYSIS, July-August 2014, VOLUME 6, NUMBER 63 CONTENT Türkiye ve Ortadoğu YENİ GÜVENSİZLİK SARMALINDA ORTADOĞU DA BÖLGESEL DÜZENİN GELECEĞİ VE TÜRKİYE Şaban Kardaş TÜRKİYE-İSRAİL YAKINLAŞMASINA İSRAİL İN BAKIŞI Eldar Hasanov Dosya Konusu: Ortadoğu nun Değişmeyen Kaderi: Güvenlik, Çatışma, Savaş ARAP BAHARI SONRASI ORTADOĞU DA KİTLE İMHA SİLAHLA- RININ YAYILMASI SORUNU Nurşin Ateşoğlu Güney ARAP BAHARININ ORTADOĞU DAKİ SAVUNMA HARCAMALARINA VE Sİ- LAHLANMAYA ETKİSİ Ferhat Pirinççi İnfografik ORTADOĞU DA SAVUNMA HARCAMA- LARI: 2004 VE 2013 YILLARININ KARŞI- LAŞTIRMASI İRAN - P5+1 MÜZAKERELERİ: TEMKİN- Lİ VE İYİMSER Bayram Sinkaya İnfografik ORTADOĞU VE KUZEY AFRİKA DA YER ALAN BAŞLICA TERÖR GRUPLARI LİBYA DA İKİNCİ İÇ SAVAŞIN ADI: KA- RAMA (HAYSİYET) OPERASYONU Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar ARAP OTORİTERLİĞİNİN DÖNÜŞÜMÜ Bülent Aras SURİYE İÇ SAVAŞI VE ORTADOĞU DA GÜVENLİK Oytun Orhan ORTADOĞU DA TOPLUMLAR ARASI GÜVENLİK İKİLEMLERİ Tuncay Kardaş ORTADOĞU DA SU GÜVENLİĞİ Tuğba Evrim Maden ARAP DÜNYASINDA SU GÜVENLİĞİ ALGISI Seyfi Kılıç Bölgesel Gelişmeler İnfografik IRAK ŞAM İSLAM DEVLETİ (IŞİD) KRO- NOLOJİSİ İnfografik IRAK ŞAM İSLAM DEVLETİ NİN HAZİ- RAN OPERASYONLARI IŞİD İN HAZİRAN OPERASYONLARİNİN IRAK TAKİ ETNİK VE DİNİ GRUPLAR ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ Bilgay Duman IŞİD: IRAK TA YERLİ SURİYE DE YABAN- CI Recep Tayyip Gürler & Ömer Behram Özdemir IRAK MECLİS SEÇİMLERİNDE TÜRK- MENLER KAZANDI MI? Ziya Abbas RUHANİ DÖNEMİNDE İRAN IN SURİYE SAVAŞI VE DİPLOMATİK ÇÖZÜM ARA- YIŞLARI Gülriz Şen İSRAİL CUMHURBAŞKANLIĞI SEÇİM- LERİ Ceyhun Çiçekçi ORTADOĞU DA YENİ-SÖMÜRGECİ PRA- TİKLER: ARKEOLOJİ, BİLGİ VE İKTİDAR Ali Balcı Kültür ORTADOĞU MİTOLOJİSİ VE İKTİDAR Burak Bilgehan Özpek Söyleşi Büyükelçi Mohamed El Fatah Naciri ile Söyleşi Etkinlik İzlenimleri Ortadoğu Türkmenleri Sempozyumu 2014 Seçimlerinden Sonra Irak Siyasetinin Geleceği Çalıştayı Binbir Paradigma, Binbir Dünya Susuz Ve Çaresiz: Ortadoğu da Su Sorununa Çözüm Arayışları Konferansı Kitap Tanıtım 64

65 ORTADOĞU ANALİZ 65

66 MIDDLE EAST ANALYSIS, MAY-June 2014, VOLUME 6, NUMBER 62 CONTENT Türkiye ve Ortadoğu TÜRKİYE VE UKRAYNA KRİZİ: SURİYE KRİZİNİN İZDÜŞÜMLERİ Şaban Kardaş TÜRKİYE MODELİ HALA GEÇERLİ Mİ? Mensur Akgün & Sabiha Senyücel Gündoğar KOMŞULUK, DIŞ MÜDAHALE VE TÜR- KİYE-SURİYE ÖRNEĞİ Ayşegül Sever TÜRKİYE NİN ORTADOĞU DA ZORLA- YICI OLMAYAN DIŞ POLİTİKA ARAÇ- LARI Talha Köse İRAN NÜKLEER ANLAŞMASI, ORTADOĞU DA GÜÇ DENGESİ VE TÜR- KİYE Bülent Aras & Ebru Turhan Dosya Konusu: Arap Baharı ARAP BAHARI: PROBLEMLER VE ÇÖ- ZÜM ÖNERİLERİ Hasan Muzafer Elarzo İHVAN MISIR I KAYBETTİ Mİ? Ramazan Yıldırım OCAK DEVRİMİ NİN İKİNCİ DALGASI MÜMKÜN MÜ? Muhammed S. Al-Zawawy SURİYE DE DENGE ARAYIŞLARI: ABD NİN SURİYE POLİTİKASINDA AYAR Oytun Orhan FEDERALİZM KAOSA ÇÖZÜM MÜ? Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar DÖRTTE DEVRE, BEŞTE BİTER Mİ? 17 NİSAN 2014 CEZAYİR CUMHURBAŞ- KANLIĞI SEÇİMLERİ Volkan İpek İnfografik LİBYA DA AŞİRETLER VE DOĞAL KAY- NAKLAR Kapak Dosyası: Arap Baharı nın Ekonomik Muhasebesi ARAP BAHARI SONRASI ORTADOĞU DA EKONOMİ Rüstem Yanar MISIR EKONOMİSİ ÇÖKÜŞE DOĞRU MU GİDİYOR? Semir Yorulmaz ORTADOĞU VE KUZEY AFRİKA DE- MOGRAFİSİNİN EKONOMİ POLİTİĞİ Harun Öztürkler TÜRKİYE-ORTADOĞU TİCARİ İLİŞKİLE- RİNİN POLİTİK EKONOMİSİ Mustafa Kutlay ARAP BAHARI VE GIDA GÜVENLİĞİ Tuğba Evrim Maden Bölgesel Gelişmeler IRAK MERKEZİ HÜKÜMETİ VE IKBY ÇEKİŞMESİ Bilgay Duman FİLİSTİN, İÇ BARIŞI İÇİN UZLAŞTI Z. Tuba Kor SINIRAŞAN SULARA İLİŞKİN 1997 SÖZ- LEŞMESİ VE TEAMÜL HUKUKU KÖRFEZDE DERİN ÇATLAK Seyfi Kılıç Ali Oğuz Diriöz İnfografik SUUDİ ARABİSTAN-KATAR İLİŞKİLERİ Edebiya ORTADOĞU DA ARADA KALMIŞLIK Burak Bilgehan Özpek Söyleşi TOBB Başkanı Rıfat Hisarcıklıoğlu ile Söyleşi Etkinlik İzlenimleri Üçüncü Yılında Suriye Krizi Ortadoğu da Değişen Dengeler ve Türkiye- Irak İlişkileri Suriyeli Mülteciler ve Komşu Ülkeler Bölgedeki Değişikliklerin İncelenmesi: Türkiye nin Bakışı Kitap Tanıtım Aşiret ve İktidar: Ortadoğu da Etnisite ve Milliyetçilik Serkan Balkan 66

67 ORTADOĞU ANALİZ 67

68 MIDDLE EAST ANALYSIS, March-APRIL 2014, VOLUME 6, NUMBER 61 CONTENT Türk Dış Politikası TÜRKİYE ve ORTADOĞU Şaban Kardaş 2014 YILINDA ABD-TÜRKİYE İLİŞKİLERİ Joshua W. Walker TÜRK DIŞ POLİTİKASINDA BARIŞ BORU HATTI VİZYONU Emre İşeri Değişen İç Dengeler ve Irak Seçimleri İnfografik: 2014 Irak Seçimlerine Katılacak Önemli Siyasi Oluşumlar SEÇİM ÖNCESİ IRAK TA SİYASET NERE- YE GİDİYOR? Bilgay Duman IRAK SEÇİMLERİNDE TÜRKMENLERİN ŞANSI Mahir Nakip 2014 IRAK SEÇİMLERİNİN ETKİLERİ Yaser Abdulhüseyin İran da Ruhani Dönemi: Zorluklar ve Fırsatlar RUHANİ HÜKÜMETİNİN İRAN DIŞ PO- LİTİKASINDA YARATTIĞI DEĞİŞİMİN İÇ SİYASETTEKİ YANSIMALARI Pınar Arıkan AHMEDİNECAD DAN RUHANİ YE İRAN DIŞ POLİTİKASINDA DEĞİŞİM: İTİDAL- Lİ DIŞ POLİTİKA Bayram Sinkaya Dosya Konusu: İnsani Boyutuyla Suriye Krizi İnfografikler: Suriye Krizi Suriye Krizi: Muhalefetin Gelişimi SURİYE İÇ SAVAŞI NIN İNSANİ MALİYE- Tİ: MÜLTECİ KRİZİ Oytun Orhan İNSANLIĞIN KAYBI: SURİYE Yavuz Güçtürk TÜRKİYE NİN SURİYELİ MÜLTECİLERE YÖNELİK POLİTİKASI Suna Gülfer Ihlamur-Öner SURİYELİ SIĞINMACILAR VE SINIR İLLERİNDEKİ YANSIMALARI Seyfi Kılıç SURİYELİ GÖÇMENLER VE KAMPLAR- DA YAŞANAN SU SORUNU Tuğba Evrim Maden CENEVRE II NEYİ DEĞİŞTİRDİ? Tayyar Arı Üçüncü Yılında Arap Baharı MISIR DAKİ DEVRİM SÜRECİNİ ANLA- MAK: AKTÖRLER, DÖNÜŞEN ROLLER VE DEĞİŞEN ÇIKARLAR İsmail Numan Telci MISIR DIŞ POLİTİKASININ TARİHİ AÇ- MAZLARI Mehmet Özkan MISIR DA DARBE ANAYASASI VE CUM- HURBAŞKANLIĞI SEÇİM SÜRECİ Can Acun ARAP BAHARI SONRASI MISIR SİNE- MASI: ZAFER, ŞÜPHE VE UMUTSUZLUK Burak Bilgehan Özpek UZLAŞARAK BAŞARMAK: TUNUS TA YENİ ANAYASA Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar SUUDİ ARABİSTAN IN DIŞ POLİTİKA- SINDA YENİ ROTA: FIRSATLAR VE ZOR- LUKLAR Abdullah Alshammri ARAP BAHARI, ÇİN RÜYASI Çağdaş Üngör RUSYA NIN ARAP BAHARI POLİTİKASI Emre Erşen ORTADOĞU NUN PROVA ODASI OLA- RAK LÜBNAN Ceren Kenar ÜRDÜN SİYASETİNİN DEĞİŞ(E)MEYEN YÜZÜ: SİYASAL İSTİKRAR MI, REFORM MU? Nur Köprülü İnceleme AFGANİSTAN DA BAŞKANLIK SEÇİM- LERİNE DOĞRU Salih Doğan YENİ ÇÖZÜM SÜRECİ: İSRAİL-FİLİS- TİN BARIŞINDA KAYGI SÜREKLİLİĞİN- DEN BEKLENTİ YÖNETİLEBİLİRLİĞİNE Mİ? Umut Koldaş Söyleşi AFAD Başkanı Dr. Fuat Oktay ile Söyleşi Etkinlik İzlenimleri Strategic Studies Network Zirvesi SAM-Selahaddin Üniversitesi Çalıştayı Kitap Tanıtım Kürtler ve Kürdistan Tarihi Berkan Öğür 68

69

70 Middle Eastern Studies Middle Eastern Studies is a semi-annual journal on international relations. As a scholarly and refereed journal, published in both Turkish and English, Middle Eastern Studies is composed of the contributions of academics who are experts in their field. has published 2 issues in 2014.

71 Siyaset ve Uluslararası İlişkiler Dergisi Journal of Politics and International Relations RTADOĞU ETÜTLERİ MIDDLE EASTERN STUDIES Cilt Volume 6 Sayı Number 1 Temmuz July 2014 The Tangent of the Syrian Uprising Raymond Hinnebush Russia and the Arab Spring: Adjusting to a New Political Vista Nikolay A. Kozhanov Refugees and Political Stability in Lebanon Benjamin MacQueen & Kyile Baxter Understanding Obama s Policies towards a Nuclear Iran Özden Zeynep Oktav Fragile Politics of the pro-sisi Alliance in Egypt: Nasserist State Legacy within Neoliberal Context Canan Şahin The Role of Labor Markets in the Arab Spring Harun Öztürkler Book Reviews The Arap Spring: The End of Postcolonialism, Hamid Dabashi Kübra Oğuz Soldiers, Spies and Statesmen: Egypt s Road to Revolt, Hazem Kandil İsmail Numan Telci

72 MIDDLE EASTERN STUDIES, July 2014, VOLUME 6, NUMBER 1 CONTENT The Tangent of the Syrian Uprising Raymond Hinnebusch Legacy within Neoliberal Context Canan Şahin Russia and the Arab Spring: Adjusting to a New Political Vista Nikolay A. Kozhanov The Role of Labor Markets in the Arab Spring Harun Öztürkler Refugees and Political Stability in Lebanon Benjamin MacQueen & Kylie Baxter Understanding Obama s Policies towards a Nuclear Iran Özden Zeynep Oktav Fragile Politics of the pro-sisi Alliance in Egypt: Nasserist State Book Review / Kitap İnceleme The Arab Spring: The End of Postcolonialism, Hamid Dabashi Kübra Oğuz Book Review / Kitap İnceleme Soldiers, Spies and Statesmen: Egypt s Road to Revolt, Hazem Kandil İsmail Numan Telci 72

73 ORTADOĞU ETÜTLERİ 73

74 MIDDLE EASTERN STUDIES, january 2014, VOLUME 5, NUMBER 2 CONTENT Saudi Women under the Context of the Arab Spring Alejandra Galindo Marines Rethinking State-Society Relations in Syria until 1970: What Does the Center-Periphery Model Tell Us? Nuri Salık Iranian Women: One Step Forward, Two Steps Back Marzieh Kouhi Esfahani Political Economy of Turkish-Iranian Relations: Three Asymmetries Serhan Ünal & Eyüp Ersoy Exploring the Causes of Revolutions in Tunisia and Egypt Maria Syed Hizballah in Syria: The Limits of the Democracy/Moderation Paradigm Dara Conduit Book Review The Arab Uprising: The Unfinished Revolutions of The New Middle East Marc Lynch, (Public Affairs, 2013), 273 p. By: Zeynep Sütalan 74

75

76 Foreign Policy Analysis Foreign Policy Analysis published on website daily, monitored and evaluated closely developments in the Middle East. has published 118 Foreign Policy Analysis in website in 2014.

77 FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS Foreign Policy Analysis Iran - The Hidden Riparian of the Euphrates and Tigris Basin Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden, Researcher, Water Program 30 December 2014 Tunisia Elect New President Nebahat Tanrıverdi Yaşar,, Research Assistant 25 December 2014 The Normalisation Formula Between Turkey and Egypt, and the Profit-value Balance Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, President 25 December 2014 Solution-Seeking for Flood Problems in Maritsa River Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden, Researcher, Water Program 24 December 2014 Federalism Debate of Iraqi Sunnis Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 23 December 2014 Water Management in Transboundary Basins as a Wicked Problem? Asst. Prof. Vakur Sümer, Advisor, Selçuk University 16 December 2014 What is happening in the Israeli Politics? Ceyhun Çiçekçi, Research Assistant, Çanakkale 18 Mart University 05 December 2014 Different Conditions and Similar Objections in Transboundary Waters Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden, Researcher, Water Program 05 December

78 FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS Strategy of USA in Syria against ISIS and Turkey Oytun Orhan, Researcher, 04 December 2014 Unjudgeable Crimes in Egypt and Mubarak s Trial Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar, Research Assistant, 04 December 2014 Decrese in Oil Prices and Its Impact on the Middle East Economies Asst. Prof. Rüstem Yanar, Gaziantep University 03 December 2014 The Geneva Consensus on Tigris Asst. Prof. Vakur Sümer, Advisor, Selçuk University 01 December 2014 Migrations due to Attacks in Sincar and Kobane, and Turkey s Humanitarian Aids Firuze Yağmur Gökler, Research Assistant, 01 December 2014 Civil War in Syria and Changing Water Security Conditions Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden, Researcher, Water Programme 27 November 2014 Outcome of Vienna Talks: Negotiations to Continue Asst. Prof. Bayram Sinkaya, Advisor, Yıldırım Beyazıt University 26 November 2014 Reflections on Ahmet Davutoğlu s Visit to Iraq Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 25 November 2014 Tunisia s (S)election Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar, Research Assistant, 24 November 2014 A New Period in Turkey-Iraq Relations: The Prime Minister s Visits to Baghdad and Erbil Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 19 November 2014 Turkey-Iraq Relations After Caferi s Visit: Towards Consensus and Cooperation Bilgay Duman, Araştırmacı, 08 November 2014 The Turkmen Rights Law in Iraq and the Future of Turkmens Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 06 November

79 FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS Political View of Syrian Opposition: A Retrospective Analysis Ömer Kuş, Researcher, 04 November 2014 Iran Faces Drinking Water Shortage Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden, Researcher, Water Programme 31 October 2014 Key to Success in Tunisia: Consensus Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar,, Research Assistant, 28 October 2014 Turkey-Tunisia Relations in the Eve of Tunisian Elections Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar, Research Assistant, 28 October 2014 Humanitarian Situation and Turkmens After ISIS Operations and Turkey s Humanitarian Aids to Iraq Firuze Yağmur Gökler, Research Assistant, 23 October 2014 Sincerity Test of the International Community under the Shadow of Debates on ISIS and Kobane Prof. Tayyar Arı, Uludag University, 21 October 2014 The Impact of Kobani on the Kurdish Internal Politics Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 18 October 2014 ISIS Using Water Resources as a Weapon Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden, Researcher, Water Programme 14 October 2014 A New Look to Turkey-Jordan Relations in the Context of Ongoing Transformation in the Middle East Asst. Prof. Nur Köprülü, Yakın Doğu University 14 October 2014 Notes from Kirkuk Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 13 October 2014 Ankara s ISIS Plan is Centered on Syria Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, President 13 October 2014 Making Sense of Help to Gaza Conference Ceyhun Çiçekçi, Research Assistant, Çanakkale 18 Mart University 13 October

80 FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS The Syria Aspect of the War against ISIS and Turkey s Concerns Assoc. Prof. Ferhat Pirinççi, Research Coordinator 01 October 2014 The ISIS Operations and Turkey-Iraq Relations Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 30 September 2014 The Global Counter-Terrorism Forum and Its Function in the Light of Current Developments Assoc. Prof. Haldun Yalçınkaya, TOBB-ETU, Security Studies Program Coordinator 28 September 2014 Ayn al Arab (Kobane) Siege of ISIS and Implications for Turkey Oytun Orhan, Researcher, 26 September 2014 US Strategy Towards ISIS and Possible Repercussions to Iraq and Syria Assoc. Prof. Ferhat Pirinççi, Oytun Orhan, Bilgay Duman 23 September 2014 Containment Policy towards Muslim Brotherhood Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar, Research Assistant, 19 September 2014 Fights Against ISIS, Border Crossings and Turkey Oytun Orhan, Reseracher, 18 September 2014 New Government s Codes in Iraq Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 09 September 2014 AK Party, West and Liberals: Time for rethinking Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, President 08 September 2014 Independence Discourse of Iraqi Kurds and Changing Balances Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, President 05 September 2014 Is Turkey s Long Game in Iraq a Success? Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, President 4 September 2014 The Government Formation Process in Baghdad and Kurdistan Regional Government Dlawer Ala Aldeen, President, Middle East Research Institute 29 August

81 FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS Obama s Foreign Policy and Selective Humanitarian Concerns Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, President 28 August 2014 The Advance of the Islamic State and Syria Oytun Orhan, Researcher, 27 August 2014 Peshmerga s ISIS Challenge and Future of American Operations Assoc. Prof. Nihat Ali Özcan, TOBB ETU 22 August 2014 Nouri El Maliki s Resignation and New Government Formation Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 19 August 2014 Military and Humanitarian Support for the KRG as ISIS Advances in Iraq Christina Bache Fidan, University of Warwick, PhD Candidate 17 August 2014 Drought in Turkey and The Torrid Effects Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden, Water Research 07 August 2014 Can Maliki Be Prime Minister Again? Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 04 August 2014 Turkey s Foreign Policy From Realpolitics to Moral Politics and Palestine Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, President 27 July 2014 The Economic Impact of ISIS Advance for Turkey and the KRG Christina Bache Fidan, University of Warwick, PhD Candidate 26 July 2014 The New President and Political Balance in Iraq Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 25 July 2014 Water Scarcity and Its Impacts in Jordan Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden,, Hydropolitics Researcher 25 July 2014 The Future of Euphrates-Tigris Basin and ISIS Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden, Water Research 24 July

82 FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS Who is Behind the Islamic State Organization? Oytun Orhan, Researcher 23 July 2014 Demise of State and Regional Insecurity Spiral Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, President 22 July 2014 Syrians in Turkey and Our Responsibilities Oytun Orhan, Researcher 22 July 2014 Turkey and the KRG Relationship After the Fall of Mosul Serdar Aziz, Member of Gorran Strategic Research Chamber Al-Qaeda Threat in North Africa Nebahat Tanrıverdi, Assistant Researcher 16 July 2014 The Operations of ISIS and the Referendum Move of KRG Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 15 July 2014 Water Resources Becoming a Weapon in Conflicts and Wars Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden, Hydropolitics Researcher 14 July 2014 Kerry s Visit to Egypt Nebahat Tanrıverdi, Research Assistant Israel s Security? 22 July July 2014 Israel s Gaza Operations and Predictions Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, President 20 July 2014 The KRG President Masoud Barzani s Visit to Turkey Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 17 July 2014 Ceyhun Çiçekçi, Research Assistant, Çanakkale 18 Mart University 11 July 2014 Retaliatory Actions, Jewish Values and Intifada Ceyhun Çiçekçi, Research Assistant, Çanakkale 18 Mart University 07 July

83 FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS The Effect of The ISIS June Offensive on the Ethnic and Religious Groups in Iraq Bilgay Duman Araştırmacı, 28 June 2014 Transboundary Waters in Syria- Turkey Relations From Past to Present Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden, Water Research 25 June 2014 The Fall of Tal Afar and the Situation of Turkmens Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 18 June 2014 Mosul Operation of ISIS: the Future of Baghdad Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 16 June 2014 Iranian President Hassan Rouhani s Visit to Turkey and Its Aftermath Pınar Arıkan, Advisor 12 June 2014 The View From Iraq After Maliki s Victory Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 26 May 2014 Water Crisis in Iran is Getting Worse Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden, Water Research 26 May 2014 Election Results in Iraq and Preliminary Assessments Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 20 May 2014 Effects of the Palestinian Peace Talks on Israeli Politics Ceyhun Çiçekçi, Research Assistant, Çanakkale 18 Mart University 12 May 2014 Syrian Turkmen Assembly 2. General Assembly Results Oytun Orhan, Researcher, 12 May 2014 Final Status of Us-Egypt Relations Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar, Research Assistant, 09 May 2014 Observation of the KRG: Final Situation in Forming Government Oytun Orhan, Bilgay Duman Researchers, w 05 May

84 FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS Observations from Elections in Kirkuk Bilgay Duman, Oytun Orhan, Researcher, 01 May 2014 A Brief Overview to Women Issue in Iran on the occasion of Women s Day Pınar Arıkan, Advisor, ODTU 30 April 2014 A New Period For Syria s Military Opposition? Oytun Orhan, Researcher, 25 April 2014 Climate Change and Drought in the Middle East Dr. Tuğba Evrim MADEN, Water Research 21 April 2014 Effects Of The Al-Anbar Crisis On Iraq s Water Management Dr. Seyfi Kılıç, Water Research 17 April 2014 Elections in Iraq and Situation of Turkmens in Kirkuk before Elections Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 15 April 2014 Elections in Iraq and Uncertainty Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 15 April 2014 Nechervan Barzani s Visit to Turkey Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 13 April 2014 Toward Presidential Elections in Egypt Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar, Research Assistant, 11 April 2014 Change and Continuity in Turkish Foreign Policy As the Arab Spring Transforms Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, President 31 March 2014 Anbar Tension between Iraq and Saudi Arabia Firuze Yağmur Gökler, Researh Assistant, 29 March 2014 A Practice of Zionism: Ultra- Orthodox Tested with Compulsory Military Service Ceyhun Çiçekçi, Research Assistant, Çanakkale 18 Mart University 28 March

85 FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS Oil and Politics: Understanding the recent political rift in Libya Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar, Research Assistant, 26 March March 2014 world Water Day- Water and Energy Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden, Water Research 21 March 2014 The Military Balance in Northern Syria Oytun Orhan, Researcher, 21 March 2014 Arab Spring: Three Years Later Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, President 14 March 2014 Jordan King Abdullah s Visit to USA The Euphrates Tigris Basin and Water Problem in Iraq Discussed During the Sulaymaniyah Forum 2014 Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden, Hydropolitics Researcher,, 05 March 2014 The Water Problem is Deepening between Iraqi Central Government and Kurdish Regional Government Dr. Seyfi Kılıç, Water Research 28 February 2014 Third Anniversary of Libyan Revolution: Instability, Coup Attempts and Political Crisis Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar, Research Assistant, 25 February 2014 Political Situation in KRG and Future of Erbil-Baghdad Talks Assoc. Prof. Serhat Erkmen, Middle East Advisor Ahi Evran University Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 21 February 2014 Basra Marshes Revived Firuze Yağmur Gökler, Researh Assistant, 07 March 2014 Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden, Water Research 19 February

86 FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS Possibility of Being Provinces for Tuzhurmatu and Telafer and Its Implications Assoc. Prof. Serhat Erkmen, Middle East Advisor Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 14 February 2014 A New Constitution in Tunisia: From Tunisian Spring to Summer Nebahat Tanrıverdi O Yaşar, Research Assistant, 10 February 2014 A Crisis in Israeli EU Relations on Construction of Jewish Settlements Firuze Yağmur Gökler, Research Assistant, 04 February 2014 After the First Session of the Geneva II Conference Oytun Orhan, Researcher, The Behesht Abad Project in Iran and Its Impacts Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden, Hydropolitics Researcher, 29 January 2014 Cobanbey Resistance of Turkmens in Aleppo Oytun Orhan, Researcher, 29 January 2014 Cobanbey Resistance of Turkmens in Aleppo Oytun Orhan, Researcher, 29 January 2014 The Energy Triangle between Turkey Iraq s central government KRG Bilgay Duman, Researcher, 03 February 2014 Turkish PM Erdoğan s Visit to Tehran: A New Milestone in Relations Between Turkey and Iran Asst. Prof. Bayram Sinkaya, Yıldırım Beyazıt University IR 31 January January 2014 The Rise of Islamic Front in Syria Oytun Orhan, Researcher, 27 January

87 FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS The Israeli-Palestinian Peace Talks Mediated By Kerry, and Kerry s Visits To Jordan and Saudi Arabia Firuze Yağmur Gökler, Research Assistant, 27 January 2014 Iran Shelves the Caspian Sea Water Transfer Project Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden,, Hydropolitics Researcher 24 January 2014 Israeli-Palestinian Peace Talks and Israeli Presence along the Jordan River Valley Dr. Seyfi Kılıç,, Hydropolitics Researcher 24 January 2014 Linking the Congo River to the Nile as Egypt s Other Alternative Dr. Seyfi Kılıç,, Hydropolitics Researcher 22 January 2014 Does Climate Change Affect Water War Scenarios in the Middle East? Dr. Tuğba Evrim Maden,, Hydropolitics Researcher 22 January 2014 Turkey Could Solve Maliki s Sunni Dilemma Wladimir van Wilgenburg, Journalist 10 January 2014 DISTRIBUTION OF FOREING POLICY ANALYSIS Iraq Turkey Water Syria Iran Israel Palestine Egypt Tunisia Libya USA Other 87

88 INTERVIEWS ON REGIONAL AFFAIRS Interviews on Regional Affairs provide opportunities to reflect various views from the region and reach information from primary sources by publishing interviews with academics, politicians and decision-makers from the Middle East.

89 INTERVIEWS ON REGIONAL AFFAIRS Sayyid: The conflict right now in the Middle East is between the post-western regional order and the status-quo. We talked to Bobby Salman Sayyid, Leeds University Department of Sociology Lecturer, on the Regional Order and Possibility of New Politics in the Middle East during the II. Middle Eastern Congress on Politics and Society. Karim: The future of Kirkuk, regardless of where it will end up politically, is that it has to have a special status. We talked to Kirkuk Governor Najmaldin Karim about Turkey- Iraq relations, the situation of new Iraqi government, Kurdish Regional Government dealing problem with ISIS and Kirkuk. 89

90 INTERVIEWS ON REGIONAL AFFAIRS Vendavi: %40 of Surrounding of Kirkuk was seized by ISIS We talked to head of the Centre for Continuing Education in Kirkuk and the Iraqi Turkmen Front Central Decision and Executive Board Member, Kahtan Vendavi about the activities run by the Centre for Continuing Education, the Turkmen education, the developments after ISIS threat in Iraq and Kirkuk as well as the situation of Turkmen migrant. Kodmani: Frustration and Despair Breed Radicalism We talked to co-founder of the Arab Reform Initiative Bassma Kodmani about international society s approach to Syrian civil war, current situation of Syrian opposition and expectations from international actors. 90

91 INTERVIEWS ON REGIONAL AFFAIRS Salihi: If Iraq experienced a fragmentation process, the most damaged group would be Turkmen We talked to chairman of ITF and deputy of Kirkuk, Erşat Salihi about the operations against ISIS in Iraq, the effects of these operations on Turkmen and the future of the Turkmen in Iraq after the 2014 elections. Turan: Protecting Kirkuk from ISIS threat and holding it is the most important issues in our agenda We talked to executive Vice President of ITF and deputy of Kirkuk, Hasan Turan about the operations against ISIS in Iraq, the effects of these operations on Turkmen and the future of the Turkmen in Iraq after the 2014 elections. 91

92 INTERVIEWS ON REGIONAL AFFAIRS Mehdi: ISIS had expanded from Telafer to Mosul and then to centre of Iraq We talked to executive board member of ITF and spokesman of ITF, Ali Mehdi about the operations against ISIS in Iraq, the effects of these operations on Turkmen and the future of the Turkmen in Iraq after the 2014 elections. Maruf: Nothing can be achieved in defiance of Turkmen existence in Kirkuk We talked to executive Committee member of ITF and Member of KRG Parliament Aydın Maruf, about the operations against ISIS in Iraq, the effects of these operations on Turkmen and the future of the Turkmen in Iraq after the 2014 elections. 92

93 INTERVIEWS ON REGIONAL AFFAIRS Naciri: The Future of the Region Depends on the Answers Given by Local Constituents to Changing Status Quo We talked to Ambassador Mohamed El Fatah Naciri, who served as the Head of Mission of the League of Arab States to Ankara since February, 2010, about the Middle East before and after Arab Spring; and the League of Arab States which is a international and regional actor. Devle: Most of the people living in Telafer left the city without taking anything We talked to head of Northern Telafer Bureau of ITF Hazım Devle about the operations against ISIS in Iraq, the effects of these operations on Turkmen and the future of the Turkmen in Iraq after the 2014 elections. 93

94 INTERVIEWS ON REGIONAL AFFAIRS Naciri: The Future of the Region Depends on the Answers Given by Local Constituents to Changing Status Quo We talked to Ambassador Mohamed El Fatah Naciri, who served as the Head of Mission of the League of Arab States to Ankara since February, 2010, about the Middle East before and after Arab Spring; and the League of Arab States which is a international and regional actor. Oktay: Turkey Owes Success to Its Experience, Systematic Work and Political Will We talked with the Predident of Prime Ministry s Disaster and Emergency Management Agency Dr. Fuat Oktay, on Turkey s successful performance about Syrian refugees, the factors behind this success, and adopted strategy. 94

95

96 FIELD RESEARCH has been conducting field research trips in order to closely follow local dynamics, as well as making accurate predictions and assesments. In 2014, 9 field trips were conducted.

97 FIELD RESEARCHES FIELD RESEARCH IN IRAQ December 2014 On December 2014, conducted a field research about the impact of Syrian crisis on the neighboring countries, respectively in the provinces of Iraq, Erbil, Sulaymaniyah and Dohuk. President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş, Advisor Assoc. Prof. Ferhat Pirinççi, researchers Oytun Orhan and Bilgay Duman took part in the field reserach team. During the field research, the team members made face-to-face interviews with politicians, parliamentary candidates, government officials, tribal leaders, NGO members and ordinary citizens. 97

98 FIELD RESEARCHES FIELD RESEARCH IN IRAQ 6-15 October 2014 On 6-15 October 2014, researcher Bilgay Duman conducted a field research in Erbil, Kirkuk, Sulaymaniyah and Salahuddin in order to investigate the situation of Turkmen after operations against ISIS. In the context of research, Duman visited flashpoints, Tuzhurmatu and Amirli; and studied the situation of Turkmen refugees and the security of Turkmen populated areas. During the field research, Duman made face-to-face interviews with politicians, parliamentary candidates, government officials, tribal leaders, NGO members and ordinary citizens. 98

99 FIELD RESEARCHES Field Research on Effects of the Syrian Refugees on Turkey June-September 2014 In the context of the project titled Effects of the Syrian Refugees on Turkey, four field researches were conducted in Adana, Osmaniye, Hatay, Kilis, Gaziantep, Şanlıurfa, and Kahramanmaraş between June September During the field research, face-to-face interviews were made with local figures, non-governmental organizations, community leaders, academics, industry and commerce chambers, as well as ordinary citizens, and Syrian refugees. Researcher Oytun Orhan, TESEV Foreign Policy Program Coordinator Sabiha Senyücel Gündoğar, Advisor Assoc. Prof. Ferhat Pirinççi, a research asssitant of Department of International Relations in Uludağ University Tunç Demirtaş, and PhD. Student in Bilkent University Department of International Relations Mustafa Aldı took part in research team. With the findings of field trips, an report titled Effects of the Syrian Refugees on Turkey was published. 99

100 FIELD RESEARCHES FIELD RESEARCH IN IRAQ 25 APRIL-05 May 2014 On 25 April-05 May 2014, a field research was conducted in Erbil, Kirkuk, and Sulaymaniyah in the context of Political Balance for Sunni Arabs and Kurds after Election in Iraq and Tendencies among Turkmens. Researchers Oytun Orhan and Bilgay Duman took place in research team. During the field research, face-to-face interviews were made with politicians, parliamentary candidates, government officials, tribal leaders, NGO members and ordinary citizens. 100

101 FIELD RESEARCHES FIELD RESEARCH IN IRAN APRIL 2014 A delegation of Turkish academics led by President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş paid a visit to Tehran on April Assoc. Prof. Mehmet Şahin, Asst. Prof. Bayram Sinkaya, Dr. İnanç Atılgan and Pınar Arıkan took part in the delegation of Turkish academics. The delegation of Turkish academics visited Allameh Tabataba i University, Tehran University Caucasus Studies Institute, Tehran University Department of History, Institute for Middle East Strategic Studies, Institute for Political and International Studies of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (IPIS), Institute for Iranian Contemporary Historical Studies, Tehran University World Studies Faculty and Institute of Iran and Eurasian Studies (IRAS). 101

102 FIELD RESEARCHES FIELD RESEARCH IN IRAQ 26 MARCH 2014 On 26 March 2014, a field research was conducted in Mosul, Iraq. In the context of this field research, Assoc. Prof. Mesut Özcan from Ministry of Foreign Affairs, President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş and researchers Bilgay Duman paid visits to Governor of Mosul Atheel al-nujaifi, Provincial Council Vice President Nurettin Kaplan, Rector of Mosul University, and Turkmens in Mosul Culture Centre. In addition, the delegation visited research centres and then met with Turkey s Consul General in Mosul Öztürk Yılmaz. 102

103 FIELD RESEARCHES FIELD RESEARCH IN JORDAN MARCH 2014 A field research was conducted in Jordan on March 2014 in the context of project titled The Situation of Syrian Refugees in the Neighboring Countries: Findings, Conclusions and Recommendations. The Syrian refugees, who have immigrated to neighboring countries after 15 March 2011, settled in Amman and north of Jordan. The field research team visited Zaatari and Emirates Refugee Camp; examined the situation of refugees in the camps; and made face-to-face interviews with officials from UNHCR, World Food Program, and Jordanian government institutions. In addition, face-to-face interviews with locals, refugees and officials in Marfaq that has hosted a significant number of Syrian refugees were carried out. In Amman, meetings with civil society organizations and governmental institutions were held about the situation and impacts of refugees together with policies and plans about refugees. 103

104 FIELD RESEARCHES FIELD RESEARCH IN LEBANON 5-10 FEBRUARY 2014 A field research was conducted in Beirut, Zahle and Tripoli, Lebanon on 5-10 February 2014 about the situation of Syrian refugees. Academic member of Uludağ University and Advisor Assoc. Prof. Ferhat Pirinççi, Researcher Oytun Orhan and Researcher of ORMER Sakarya University Ayşe Selcan Özdemirci took part in field research team. Field research team paid visits to refugee camps in Lebanon, Lebanese state institutions, universities, research centres and press; also made face-to-face interviews with representatives of institutions. 104

105 FIELD RESEARCHES FIELD RESEARCH IN IRAQ 22 JANUARY-04 FEBRUARY 2014 A field research was conducted city centres of Erbil, Kirkuk, and Sulaymaniyah; Mosul, Telafer and Salahuddin, Tuzhurmatu about the situation of Turkmens before elections as well as political situation in north of Baghdad. Assoc. Prof. Serhat Erkmen and Researcher Bilgay Duman took place in field research team. During the field research, face-to-face interviews with politicians, parliamentary candidates, government officials, tribal leaders, NGO members and ordinary citizens were made. 105

106 MINUTES OF MEETINGS has shared records of meetings, conferences and workshops as Minutes of Meetings. 3 Minutes of Meetings were published on website in 2014.

107 Minutes of the Meeting TUTANAKLARI No: 37, Kasım 2014 JApONyA - TüRKİyE ARASINDAKİ BAĞLAR ve KARŞILIKLI ETKİLEŞİMİN GELECEĞİ JApONyA - TüRKİyE ARASINDAKİ BAĞLAR ve KARŞILIKLI ETKİLEŞİMİN GELECEĞİ 日本とトルコのつながりと日土交流のこれから ORTADOĞU STRATEJİK ARAŞTIRMALAR MERKEZİ CENTER FOR MIDDLE EASTERN STRATEGIC STUDIES JAPONYA BÜYÜKELÇİLİĞİ Japonya ve Türkiye Arasındaki Diplomatik İlişkilerin 90. Yıldönümü Etkinlikleri 日トルコ外交関係樹立９０周年記念行事 Japonya Türkiye Ortak Sempozyumu: Japonya ve Türkiye Nereden Geldik, Nereye Gidiyoruz? 日トルコ合同シンポジウム 日本とトルコ どこから来てどこへ行くのか Süleyman Nazif Sokak No: 12-B Çankaya / Ankara Tel: 0 (312) Fax: 0 (312) [email protected] MInutes of the MeetIng No:37, november 2014 bonds between turkeyjapan and the future of mutual ınteractıon workshop KÜLTÜR SEMİNERİ 文化セミナー TUTANAKLARI No: 36, Ekim 2014 MInutes of the MeetIng No: 36, october 2014 The Future of Iraqı Polıtıcs After 2014 Electıons workshop 2014 SEÇİMLERİ SONRASI IRAK IN GELECEĞİ ÇALIŞTAYI ORTADOĞU STRATEJİK ARAŞTIRMALAR MERKEZİ CENTER FOR MIDDLE EASTERN STRATEGIC STUDIES TUTANAKLARI No: 35, Eylül 2014 OrtadOğu türkmenleri SempOzyumu OrtadOğu türkmenleri SempOzyumu 107 OrtadOğu StrateJİk araştirmalar merkezi Center FOr middle eastern StrateGIC StudIeS MInutes of the MeetIng No: 35, september 2014 Mıddle Eastern Turkmen workshop

108 bulletin has published daily, weekly and monthly bulletins as Middle East Daily Bulletin, Middle East Bulletin, Iraqi Turkmens Bulletin and Water Bulletin in order to follow current developments.

109 BULLETIN Within the scope of Bulletins, Middle East Daily Bulletin has been prepared to be published on website. While it covers Iraq in more details, the developments in all Middle Eastern countries and South Asia (Afghanistan and Pakistan) have been addressed also. The current news on these countries is compiled from regional resources and leading new agencies. 167 Middle East Daily Bulletins were published in website in Within the scope of Bulletins, Middle East Summary has been prepared to be published on website. Monthly Middle East Summary covers news about the current developments in the Middle East countries and Turkish foreign policy towards the Middle East countries; and the bulletin is compiled from regional resources and leading new agencies. 12 Middle East Summary were published in website in ARALIK- 31 ARALIK 2014 Günce No:

110 BULLETIN Within the scope of Middle East Turkmen Programme, Turkmen Diary has been prepared in 15-day periods to be published on website. Turkmen Diary, which is prepared to create a collective memory and an archive, is compiled from local resources in Iraq and leading new agencies. 20 Turkmen Diaries were published in website in W ithin the scope of Water Research Programme, weekly Water Bulletin has been prepared to be published on website. Water Bulletin, which is a unique publication in terms of content and scope, covers news on water-related issues and developments and is compiled from regional resources and leading new agencies. 52 Water Bulletins were published in website in

111

112 EDUCATION PROGRAMS IN

113 EDUCATION PROGRAMS IN Young In Young, which aims to support youth interested and studying in the field of international relations, undergraduates, master and doctoral level students and junior researchers find opportunity to publish their analyses. 42 analysis were published in Young in Applied Education Program The mission of Applied Education Program is to improve the research abilities of young people interested in the Middle East and provide support in their career planning. organized 5 semesters of Applied Education Program with the participation of 33 students in

114 EDUCATION PROGRAMS IN Summer School Program Every year, organizes Summer School Program to bring together academics and researchers working on the Middle East; and young people who are interested in the region in order to contribute to a better understanding of the Middle East. Under this program, a quota allocated to the students having scholarship from Republic of Turkey, Presidency of Turks Abroad and Related Communities (YTB). In Summer School Program, students take courses on the Middle East with economic, social, political, military, cultural, religious and societal dimensions within one-week seminar program. In 2014, 4 Summer School Programs were organized in Trabzon, Ankara, Sakarya and Çanakkale. These programs were supported by YTB, Center for Strategic Research of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Turkey (SAM), and Office of Public Diplomacy of Prime Ministry. 114

115 EDUCATION PROGRAMS IN Summer School Lecture Program 1. Day Evolution of the Concept of Geopolitics Terrorism and Case Studies in the Middle East 13. Day- Film Screening Regional Transformation in the Middle East and Turkish Foreign Policy 2. Day Weapons of Mass Desruction Conflict Resolution Religion-Politics Relations in the Middle East The Middle East and Caucasus in the context of Turkey s Energy Policies 3. Day Iran s Foreign Policy towards Turkey and the Middle East The Current Issues in Iraq and Turkmens Domestic Dynamics in Syria and Lebanon and Their Foreign Policies Israeli-Palestinian Issue 4. Day Water Issue in the Middle East Islamic Movements and Sectarian Dynamics International Cooperation for Development and Turkey The Current Developments in Egypt and North Africa 5. Day The General Structures of Middle Eastern Economies Presentations of Career Opportunities in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs Democracy and Democratization in the Middle East Neo-Colonialism in the Middle East: A Critique of Power Relations 115

116 EDUCATION PROGRAMS IN Trabzon June 2014 In one week Summer School Program, organized in KTU campus, 20 different lecturers gave courses. 71 students participated to program. Sakarya JUNE 2014 In one week Summer School Program, organized in Sakarya university campus with support of ORMER, 20 different lecturers gave courses. 43 students participated to program. Ankara JUNE 2014 In one week Summer School Program, 20 different lecturers gave courses. 75 students participated to program. Çanakkale 30 JUNE-04 JULY 2014 In one week Summer School Program, 16 different lecturers gave courses. 56 students participated to program. 116

117 EDUCATION PROGRAMS IN RELIGION, POLITICS AND INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS IN THE MIDDLE EAST SEMINARS O RSAM in cooperation with Yıldırım Beyazıt University (YBU) organized Religion, Politics and International Relations in the Middle East Seminars. The four-week seminars targeted graduate and doctorate students; and at the end of the seminars the participants received participation certificates. 117

118 EDUCATION PROGRAMS IN Süleyman Nazif Sokak No: 12-B Çankaya / Ankara Tel: 0 (312) Fax: 0 (312) [email protected] 118