Demographics in Texas: Changes in Household Characteristics and Changes in Family Structure of the Dallas Area

Transcription

1 Demographics in Texas: Changes in Household Characteristics and Changes in Family Structure of the Dallas Area Dallas Bar Association - Family Law Section February 9, 2012 Dallas, TX

2 Growing States, Population* 2010 Population* Numerical Change Percent Change United States 281,421, ,745,538 27,323, % Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293, % California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382, % Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818, % Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501, % North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486, % Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261, % 8.1% of U.S. Population 15.7% of numeric change in U.S. Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1, 2000 and April 1, Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census Counts. 2

3 Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, Year* Population Numerical Change** Percent Change Natural Increase Percent Change Due to Net Migration ,711, ,579,677 1,868, ,196,730 1,617, ,229,191 3,032, ,986,510 2,757, ,851,820 3,865, ,782,302 3,930, ,145,561 4,293, ,674, , All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2009 and 2011 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. ** Change is from previous decade/time period Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center. 3

4 Estimated Annual Net Migration to Texas, , ,000 International State-to-State 150, ,000 50, to to to to to to to to to 2009 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates.

5 Estimated Domestic Migration ( ) by County as a Percentage of 2000 Population Legend -20 to -45% -19 to -10% -9 to -5% -4 to 0% 1 to 5 % 6 to 20% 21 to 30% 31 to 65% Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, Map produced by the Texas State Data Center. 5

6 Estimated International Migration ( ) by County as a Percentage of 2000 Population Legend 0-1% 1-2.5% % 3.5-5% 5-10% Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, Map produced by the Texas State Data Center. 6

7 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 5% 23% 28% 44% Net domestic migration Percent of Migrants to Texas by Race and Ethnicity, % 8% 15% 50% 24% International migration (848,702 migrants ) (933,083 migrants) 52% of all migrants were international 12% 40% 33% Total 67% of all migrants Other Black Hispanic White Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international migrants between are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau.

8 Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and Hispanic or Latino 32% NH Other 4% NH Black 11% NH White 53% Hispanic or Latino 38% NH Other 6% NH White 45% NH Black 11% Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census Counts.

9 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Male White, Non-Hispanic Male Hispanic Male Black, Non-Hispanic Male Asian, Non-Hispanic Male Other, Non Hispanic Female White, Non-Hispanic Female Hispanic Female Black, Non-Hispanic Female Asian, Non-Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic 100 to 104 years 95 years 90 years 85 years 80 years 75 years 70 years 65 years 60 years 55 years 50 years 45 years 40 years 35 years 30 years 25 years 20 years 15 years 10 years 5 years Under 1 year 200, , ,000 50, , , , ,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Census Count.

10 Texas Population Pyramid by White (non-hispanic), 2010 Male White, Non-Hispanic Female White, Non-Hispanic 100 to 104 years 95 years 90 years 85 years 80 years 75 years 70 years 65 years 60 years 55 years 50 years 45 years 40 years 35 years 30 years 25 years 20 years 15 years 10 years 5 years Under 1 year 200, , ,000 50, , , , ,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Census Count. 10

11 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, to 104 years 95 years 90 years 85 years 80 years 75 years 70 years 65 years 60 years 55 years 50 years 45 years 40 years 35 years 30 years 25 years 20 years 15 years 10 years 5 years Under 1 year Male Hispanic Male Black, Non-Hispanic Male Asian, Non-Hispanic Male Other, Non Hispanic Female Hispanic Female Black, Non-Hispanic Female Asian, Non-Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic 200, , ,000 50, , , , ,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Census Count. 11

12 Population Texas White (non-hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, White (non-hispanic) Hispanic Source: U.S. Census Bureau Census Count. Age 12

13 Total Population by County, 2010 Total Population Population % Change, 2000 to counties lost population over the decade Number of People 82-9,999 10,000-24,999 25,000-99, , ,999 1,000,000-4,092,459 Percent Change -21% % -10% % 0% % 25% % 55% % Source: U.S. Census Bureau P.L Redistricting Data. Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer. 13

14 Percent Change in Population by County, 2000 to 2010 Non-Hispanic White Percent Change Hispanic Percent Change -51.4% % -29.4% % -10% % 0% % 0% % 25% % 55% % Less than 100 population 25% % 55% % 100% % Less than 100 population Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 P.L Redistricting Data. Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer. 14

15 Percent Change in Population by County, 2000 to 2010 Non-Hispanic Black Non-Hispanic Asian Percent Change -49% % Percent Change -10% % -27.9% % 0% % -10% % 25% % 0% % 75% % 25% % Less than 100 population 55% - 697% less than 100 population Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 P.L Redistricting Data. Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer. 15

16 Projected Population Growth in Texas, Source: Texas State Data Center Population Projections. Year 16

17 Projected Racial and Ethnic Population Percentages for Texas, % 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Anglo Black Hispanic Other 0% Source: Texas State Data Center Population Projections, Migration Scenario. 17

18 Percent Population Change for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington Metro Area Counties, Collin Dallas Delta Denton Ellis Hunt Johnson Kaufman Parker Rockwall Tarrant Wise Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1. Source: U.S. Census Bureau Census Counts. 18

19 County Components of Change for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington MSA, 2000 to 2009 Population Births- Migration Change Deaths Foreign Domestic Collin 491, , ,956 74,478 26, ,084 Dallas County 2,218,899 2,451, , , , ,188 Delta County 5,327 5, Denton County 432, , ,640 63,268 15, ,388 Ellis County 111, ,737 40,377 10,632 2,895 27,189 Hunt County 76,596 82,831 6,235 3,282 1,604 1,843 Johnson County 126, ,997 30,186 8,773 2,041 19,912 Kaufman County 71, ,038 31,725 5,675 1,550 24,166 Parker County 88, ,919 26,424 4, ,740 Rockwall County 43,080 81,391 38,311 5, ,444 Tarrant County 1,446,219 1,789, , ,565 72, ,035 Wise County 48,793 59,415 10,622 2, ,269 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Census Counts Population Estimates.

20 Median Age and Change in Median Age, in Select Metroplex Counties County Median Age 2000 Median Age 2010 Change in Median Age Collin Dallas Denton Ellis Grayson Hunt Johnson Kaufman Parker Rockwall Tarrant Wise Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census Counts. 20

21 Average Family Size in North Texas Counties, 2010 Wilbarger Wichita Clay Baylor Archer Montague Cooke Grayson Fannin Lamar Red River Delta Population 2010 Sheet1$.avgfamsz Throckmorton Shackelford Callahan Coleman Brown Stephens Eastland Young Comanche Palo Pinto Jack Erath Hamilton Wise Parker Hood Somervell Bosque Denton Tarrant Johnson Hill Dallas Ellis Collin Rockwall Navarro Kaufman Hunt Freestone Rains Van Zandt Henderson Hopkins Anderson Wood Franklin Smith Titus Morris Camp Upshur Gregg Rusk Cherokee Nacogdoches McCulloch San Saba Mills Lampasas Coryell Bell McLennan Falls Limestone Robertson Leon Madison Houston Trinity Angelina Mason Llano Burnet Williamson Milam Burleson Brazos Grimes Walker San Jacinto Polk Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Census, SF1. Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer. 21

22 Average Family Size in Select Metroplex Counties, County Average Family Size 2000 Average Family Size 2010 Change in Average Family Size Collin Dallas Denton Ellis Grayson Hunt Johnson Kaufman Parker Rockwall Tarrant Wise Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1. 22

23 Percent of Households that are Married Couple Families in North Texas Counties, Wichita Clay Archer Montague Cooke Grayson Fannin Lamar Red River Delta Population 2010 Sheet1$.PctMCFam10 Young Jack Wise Denton Collin Hunt Hopkins Franklin Rockwall Rains Stephens Palo Pinto Parker Tarrant Dallas Kaufman Van Zandt Wood Eastland Hood Johnson Ellis Smith Erath Somervell Henderson Hill Navarro Comanche Bosque Cherokee Anderson Brown Hamilton Freestone Mills Lampasas Coryell McLennan Falls Limestone Leon Houston Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1. Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer. 23

24 Change in Percent of Households that are Married Couple Families in North Texas Counties, Wichita Clay Archer Montague Cooke Grayson Fannin Lamar Red River Population 2010 Young Sheet1$.ChgpctMCfam00_10-5 to -4.2 Jack Wise Denton Collin Hunt Delta Hopkins Franklin to -3.0 Rockwall Rains -2.9 to -2.0 Palo Pinto Parker Tarrant Dallas Wood -1.9 to to 1.0 Stephens Eastland Hood Johnson Ellis Kaufman Van Zandt Smith Erath Somervell Henderson Hill Navarro Comanche Bosque Anderson Cherokee Brown Hamilton Freestone Mills Lampasas Coryell McLennan Falls Limestone Leon Houston Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1. Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer. 24

25 Percent and Change of Households that are Married Couple Families in Select Metroplex Counties, County Percent of Families with Married Couple 2000 Percent of Families with Married Couple 2010 Change in the Percent of Married-Couple Families Collin Dallas Denton Ellis Grayson Hunt Johnson Kaufman Parker Rockwall Tarrant Wise Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1. 25

26 Percent of Households Headed by a Single Female* in North Texas Counties, 2010 Wichita Archer Clay Montague Cooke Grayson Fannin Lamar Red River Population 2010 Sheet1$.pctfemhhh10 Young Jack Wise Denton Collin Hunt Delta Hopkins Titus Franklin Rockwall Rains Camp Stephens Eastland Palo Pinto Erath Parker Hood Somervell Tarrant Johnson Dallas Ellis Kaufman Henderson Van Zandt Wood Smith Upshur Hill Navarro Bosque Comanche Anderson Cherokee Hamilton Freestone McLennan Limestone Mills Lampasas Coryell Falls Leon Houston San Saba *Note: No spouse present. Source: U.S. Census Bureau Decennial Census, SF1. Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer. Bell Robertson Trinity 26

27 Change in Percent of Households Headed by a Single Female* in North Texas Counties, Wichita Clay Population 2010 Archer Sheet1$.Chgpctfemhhh00_ Young Jack Montague Wise Cooke Denton Grayson Collin Fannin Hunt Delta Lamar Hopkins Red River Franklin Stephens Palo Pinto Parker Tarrant Dallas Rockwall Kaufman Rains Van Zandt Wood Eastland Hood Johnson Ellis Smith Erath Somervell Henderson Hill Navarro Comanche Bosque Cherokee Anderson *Note: No spouse present. Brown Hamilton McLennan Mills Coryell Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1. Lampasas Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer. Falls Limestone Freestone Leon Houston 27

28 Percent of Households Headed by Single Females* in Select Metroplex Counties, County Percent of Family Households that are Female Headed, 2000 Percent of Family Households that are Female Headed, 2010 Change in Percent of Family Households that are Female Headed Collin Dallas Denton Ellis Grayson Hunt Johnson Kaufman Parker Rockwall Tarrant Wise *Note: No spouse present. Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Decennial Census, SF1. 28

29 Demographics and Destiny 29

30 Texas and DFW Demographics Growing more and faster than all states, DFW is grower faster than most (if not all) metro-areas Growth driven by natural increase and migration variable across the metro-area Increasing diversity driven by growth of Hispanic population Declines in percentage of traditional nuclear family households Increases in family size and families headed by single females 30

31 Contact Lloyd Potter, Ph.D. Office: (512) or (210) Internet: 31