IOWA POPULATION TRENDS. Population Topics. Iowa Population:

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1 IOWA POPULATION TRENDS August 2011 Gary Krob, State Data Center Coordinator State Library of Iowa Population Topics 2 Past state trend How population changes State population distribution Effects of age and race on population change County trends Future state trend 3 Iowa Population: Population in millions 2010 population: 3,046, consecutive years of population gain T Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census 1

2 4 Iowa Apportioned Representatives in Congress: Number of Seats Population Change: Increase 500% or more Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2010 Population Change: Increase 100% or more Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census

3 Population Change: Iowa growth: 36.5% Increase 50% or more Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2010 Population Change: U.S. growth = 9.7% +4.7% +7.8% +7.9% +6.0% -0.6% 06% +6.7% +4.1% +3.3% +6.6% +1.6% +6.1% +4.3% Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2010 How Population Changes 9 How population changes: Births Deaths Migration (International and domestic) 3

4 10 How Iowa Population Changed: population 2,926,324 Natural change 106,396 Net international migration 36,329 Net state-to-state migration 52,205 Residual change 8, population 3,007,856 Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009 Iowa Births and Deaths(Natural Change): Births and deaths in thousands Baby Boom Baby Boom Echo Birth Dearth Baby Bust Births Deaths Data Source: Iowa Department of Public Health, 2009 Iowa Net Migration: Net movers in and out of Iowa 48,938-60,661-15, , , , , s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s Data Sources: ISU Census Services U.S. Census Bureau 4

5 Iowa Migration Components: Net movers in and out of Iowa 5,594 4,951 4,001 3,703 3,538 3,619 3,267 3,090 3, ,540-3,901-5,543-1,872-1,155-2,135 International Domestic -13,262-13, Data Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009 Iowa Age Distribution: Age 80 to 84 Female Male 70 to to to to to to to 14 0 to Thousands Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1900 Iowa Age Distribution: Age 80 to 84 Male Female 70 to to to to to to to 14 0 to Thousands Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau,

6 Iowa Projected Age Distribution: Age 80 to 84 Male Female 70 to to to to to to to 14 0 to Thousands Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 Projections Population Age 65 and over: Iowa = 14.8% Iowa rank among states: 5 14% or more of total population is age 65 and over (13 states) Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009 Estimates Population Age 65 and over: Iowa = 22.4% Iowa rank among states: 12 14% or more of total population is age 65 and over (49 states) Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 Projections 6

7 Population under 5 years of age: Iowa = 6.8% Iowa rank among states: 25 Less than 6% of the total population is under 5 years of age (7 states) Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009 Estimates Population under 5 years of age: Iowa = 6.0% Iowa rank among states: 39 Less than 6% of the total population is under 5 years of age (10 states) Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 Projections Projected Age Groups in Iowa: Percent of total population Under 5 Under and over 85 and over Age groups Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 Projections 7

8 Minority* Population: Iowa minority population = 11.3% Iowa rank among states: 46 Less than 10% of total population is minority (4 states) *Minority includes all race groups except white non- Hispanic Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009 Estimates Iowa Minority* Age Distribution: Age Male Female 80 to to to to to to to to 14 0 to Thousands * Minority includes all race groups except white non-hispanic Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census Iowa Median Age by Race and Ethnicity: Median Age Total population White Black Asian Hispanic Data Source: US. Census Bureau, 2010 Census 8

9 Iowa Change in Race and Ethnicity: Percent change Total White Black Asian Hispanic Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census Iowa Population by Race and Ethnicity: 2010 and Percentage of total state population White Black American Indian Asian Hispanic Data Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 and Woods & Poole Economics, Inc., 2010 Iowa Birth Rates by Race: Births per 1,000 population All races White Black Asian Hispanic Data Source: Iowa Department of Public Health,

10 Population in Metropolitan and Micropolitan Areas: U.S. = 93.7% 71.3% 73.2% 87.8% 86.6% 92.3% 81.1% 73.8% 95.3% 94.4% 95.5% 85.8% 86.8% Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009 American Community Survey Metro/Non-Metro Population Change: Percent change in population Metro Non-metro U.S. Iowa -3.8 Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009 estimates Iowa Population Projections: State population in millions Woods & Poole U.S. Census Bureau Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 and 2010; Woods & Poole Economics, Inc.,

11 County Population Change: Counties gaining population (31 counties) Counties losing population (68 counties) Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census County Population Change: Counties gaining population (33 counties) Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census Iowa Metropolitan Counties: Metropolitan counties (20 counties) Data Source: Office of Management and Budget,

12 34 County Population Change: Counties projected to gain population (41 counties) Counties projected to lose population (47 counties) Data Source: Woods & Poole Economics, Inc Children and Older Iowans: Monona County has more people under 18 than age 65+ (98 counties) County has more people age 65+ than under 18 (1 county) Data Source: Woods & Poole Economics, Inc Children and Older Iowans: County has more people under 18 than age 65+ (39 counties) County has more people age 65+ than under 18 (60 counties) Data Source: Woods & Poole Economics, Inc

13 Minority* Population in Iowa Counties: Minority population in county is 10% or more (23) Minority population in county is less than 10% (76) *Minority includes all race groups except white non-hispanic Data Source: Census 2010 Minority* Population in Iowa Counties: Minority population in county is 10% or larger (45) Minority population in county is less than 10% (54) *Minority includes all race groups except white non-hispanic Data Source: Woods & Poole Economics, Inc Peak Population in Iowa Counties: Population peak Population peak Population peak Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau 13

14 40 Median Family Income with own children under 18: 2000 $44,640 $43,314 $57,563 $53,096 $52,665 U.S. Median =$48,196 $47,732 $48,621 $54,639 $49,792 $49,320 $48,834 $45,220 Iowa s median income is higher Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census 41 Median Family Income with own children under 18: 2009 $65,112 $56,619 $69,746 $61,516 $52,665 U.S. Median =$58,314 $58,511 $59,259 $63,762 $54,148 $54,984 $56,772 $53,242 Iowa s median income is higher Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009 American Community Survey 42 Median Household Income for Iowa Counties: 2000 U.S. Median Income = $41,994 Below U.S. Median Household Income Above U.S. Median Household Income Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census 14

15 43 Median Household Income for Iowa Counties: U.S. Median Income = $51,425 Below U.S. Median Household Income Above U.S. Median Household Income Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey Median Family Income with own children under 18 for Iowa Counties : U.S. Median = $48,196 Below U.S. Median Family Income Above U.S. Median Family Income Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census 45 Median Family Income with own children under 18 for Iowa Counties: U.S. Median Family Income = $60,074 Below U.S. Median Family Income Above U.S. Median Family Income Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 15

16 Iowa Median Household Income by Race 46 Median Household Income Total population White Black Asian Hispanic Data Source: US. Census Bureau, 2009 estimates Iowa Median Family Income by Race 47 Median Family Income Total population White Black Asian Hispanic Data Source: US. Census Bureau, 2009 estimates 48 State Data Center Web site 16

17 Contact us! 49 State Data Center Gary Krob (515) (800)

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