Investor presentation January 2011

Transcription

1 Investor presentation January 2011 E Nordic Mining ASA N-0250 Oslo Norway Tel Fax Org. no [email protected] 1

2 Disclaimer This presentation (the Presentation ) has been prepared solely for information purposes in connection with the contemplated issue of shares in Nordic Mining ASA ( NOM or the Company ) and is being furnished by NOM to a limited number of parties (the Recipients ) who have a potential interest in subscribing shares in the Company. The Presentation is strictly confidential and any disclosure, use, copying and circulation of this Presentation is prohibited without the consent from the Company. The information contained in this Presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer or invitation to subscribe for or purchase the securities discussed herein in any jurisdiction. Neither this Presentation nor any part of it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with any offer, or act as an inducement to enter into any contract or commitment whatsoever. No representation or warranty is given, express or implied, as to the accuracy of the information contained in the Presentation. This Presentation contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company and/or the industry in which it operates. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts. The forward-looking statements, contained in this Presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources are solely opinions and forecasts which are uncertain and subject to risks. A multitude of factors can cause actual events to differ significantly from any anticipated development. Neither the Company, Carnegie (the "Advisor") nor any of its parent or subsidiary undertakings or any such person s officers or employees guarantee that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors and omissions nor does any of them accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this Presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. The information contained herein has been prepared to assist the Recipients i in making their own evaluation on the Company and does not purport to contain all information that they may desire. In all cases, the Recipients should conduct their own investigation and analysis of the Company, its business, prospects, results of operations and financial condition as well as any other information the Recipients may deem relevant. The Advisor has not independently verified any of the information set forth herein, including any statements with respect to projections or prospects of the Company or the assumptions on which such statements are based, and does not undertake any obligation to do so. Neither the Company nor the Advisor makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of this Presentation or of the information contained herein and neither of such parties (including without limitation their directors, employees, representatives and advisors) shall have any liability for the information contained in, or any omissions from, this Presentation, nor for any of the written, electronic or oral communications transmitted to the Recipients i (including without t limitation it ti its directors, employees, representatives ti and advisors). Neither the receipt of this Presentation by any Recipients, nor any information contained herein or supplied herewith or subsequently communicated in written, electronic or oral form to any person in connection with the contemplated issue of shares in the Company constitutes, or shall be relied upon as constituting, the giving of investment advise by the Advisor or anyone else to any such person. Each person should make their own independent assessment of the merits of investing in the Company and should consult their own professional advisors. By receiving this Presentation you acknowledge and agree that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the market and the market position of the Company and that you will conduct your own analysis and be solely responsible for forming your own opinion of the potential future performance of the Company s business. The Presentation is at the date hereof. Neither the delivery of this Presentation nor any further discussions in relation to the Company or the contemplated issue of shares with any of the Recipients shall, under any circumstances, create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of the Company since the date of this Presentation.

3 Outline 1. Company background and overview 2. Engebø - Titanium project 3. Keliber - Lithium project 4. Gudvangen Stein - Anorthosite production 5. Summary 3

4 Strategic position in high-end minerals Company background and overview Ni, PGM Engebøfjellet (100%) Resource estimate Mineable ore estimate Lifetime Titanium Rutile/Garnet 383 mill. tons 250 mill. tons 50 years Will be Europe s largest producer of natural rutile (TiO 2 ) Si Mo Gudvangen Stein (100%) Resource estimate Mineable ore estimate Current production Anorthosite >500 mill. tons >400 mill. tons tpa Mine in operation upside potential in new applications Keliber Oy (68%) Resource estimate Mineable ore estimate Lifetime Lithium >3 mill. tons >1.8 mill. tons >10 years Will be Europe s first producer of lithium carbonate Aggregates, sand and gravel Coal Iron ore Industrial metals & minerals Low-end Industrial metals & minerals High-end Precious metals Diamonds Future projects; High-purity quartz deposit in western Norway being analyzed Molybdenum project at Kleivan/Vest-Agder Norway - Nickel, PGE project in Finnmark Norway

5 Company background and overview Why Nordic Mining? Global push in demand for strategic resources (minerals and metals) Norway and the Nordic region is underexplored and contain world class deposits Excellent logistics from the Nordic region to EU, Middle East and US east coast Long term cash flow potential ti through h attractive ti industrial i developments Mining exploration in Nordic countries 5

6 Company background and overview Solid team and shareholder structure Management team Ivar S. Fossum, CEO 20 years experience from management positions in Hydro, Yara and FMC Technologies Lars K. Grøndahl, CFO More than 20 years experience from industrial management positions, i.a. Aker Group, Scancem Group and Heidelberg Cement Largest shareholders Rank As per 15 December 2010 Name of shareholder Number of shares % 1 DAG DVERGSTEN AS ,7 % 2 SKAGEN VEKST ,3 % 3 HOLBERG NORGE ,7 % 4 FINNISH INDUSTRY INVESTMENT LTD ,8 % 5 JP MORGAN CHASE BANK NORDEA ,0 % 6 NORDNET BANK AB ,1 % Ottar Nakken, VP Commercial Former Vice President Hydro Agri North America and COO of Jebsen Management 7 DYBVAD CONSULTING ,8 % 8 MP PENSJON ,6% 9 GRØNDAHL LARS K ,0 % 10 SOLON AS ,8 % Paul I. Norkyn, VP Mining Operations Former R&D Manager in Titania (Kronos Group), 30 years experience from the Titania, Sydvaranger, Bleikvassli and Grong mining operations Mona Schanche, Exploration Manager Resource geologist from University in Trondheim, former project geologist in Titania (Kronos Group) 11 SNATI AS ,8 % 12 NORDEA BANK PLC FINL CLIENTS ,5 % 13 DNO INVEST AS ,4 % 14 DYBVAD AUDSTEIN ,4 % 15 VPF NORDEA SMB ,4 % Top 15 shareholders ,3 % Others ,7 % Total ,0 % Share price NOK 1.75 Market cap MNOK 220 6

7 Outline 1. Company background and overview 2. Engebø - Titanium project 3. Keliber - Lithium project 4. Gudvangen Stein - Anorthosite production 5. Summary 7

8 Engebø titanium project Engebø, a unique titanium rutile project Will be Europe s largest producer of natural rutile (Titanium dioxide d TiO 2 ) 50 years mine life NPV > USD 350 million Confirmed attractive deposit: International interest from industrial and financial companies incl. funding/ownership proposal KEY ADVANTAGES: High grade product (can deliver up to 97% titanium dioxide) Natural rutile is the preferred titanium feedstock over the different ilmenite sources Low on radioactive elements (high radioactive content is a problem with many of the other rutile deposits) Located next to deep sea port Short distance to large European market MoU signed with long term industrial partners on rutile and garnet 8

9 A well defined deposit Engebø titanium project Drilled Exploration and analysis 15,000 meters/50 holes 1,129 surface samples >50,000 sample analysis Block model ordinary kriging Resource class JORC Million tons TiO 2 3% cut-off Indicated Inferred Planned Proven resource, class upgrade by drilling 9

10 Efficient mine plan; first open pit, then underground Engebø titanium project Open pit: years Total mineable ore : 45 million tons Underground: 35 years Total mineable ore : 200 million tons Products: Rutile and garnet 50 years mine life Reduced visual impact Standard open pit/glory hole design Underground mining by Longwall stoping 10

11 Engebø titanium project Existing infrastructure, well known technology Proven process steps Crushing and grinding Milling Magnetic separation Gravity separation Flotation Dewatering and drying High intensity dry separation Production - Ore: 3 6 mill. ton/y - Rutile: ,000 ton/y - Garnet: ca. 100,000 ton/y Employees

12 Environmentally friendly products, expanding markets Engebø titanium project Rutile (Titanium dioxide/tio 2 ) Superior properties Broad range of application areas Garnet Advanced abrasive mineral Health legislation on silica drives demand Main markets: Health care Consumer/Pigments Aircraft Industry/Aerospace Green tech Main markets: Sandblasting Waterjet cutting Various filtration and abrasives Increasing price premium for natural rutile * Price range: USD/ton * Engebø garnet has tested favourably with existing top quality waterjet products Source: IBMA, Roskill, USGS 12

13 Long sea freights underpin new production in Europe Engebø titanium project Ilmenite Ilmenite + Rutile Rutile Major TiO 2 feedstock producers Ti feedstock producers Iluka QIT TiWest DuPont Ticor Namakwa Kronos Irshansk Volnogorsk Aus Can Aus US SA SA US Ucr Ucr 15 % Feedstock distribution Ti feedstocks 14 % 29 % Ilmenite Slag Synrutile Rutile 42 % Ukraine 5% Vietnam 5% USA 5% Norway Zimbabwe ay 8% 8% China 8% E 30 India 5% Other 3% Australia 19% Canada 22% South Africa 20% 13 Source: IndMin

14 Engebø titanium project European titanium majors are future customers Large pigment plants for high-grade feedstock: Huntsman Tioxide Greatham UK Kronos Inc. Ghent Belgium Leverkusen Germany Tronox Rotterdam Netherland Cristal Stallingborough UK Substantial commercial interest confirmed by pigment, metal and welding rod producers Several European customers can each take Engebø s annual production Simple logistics improves working capital, storage and planning 80% freight reduction, single shipments 10 vs. 50 USD/ton freight (current freight is 10% of feedstock price) Supply/demand pattern in Europe secures off-take of rutile 14

15 Engebø titanium project Commercial partnerships established on all products Rutile (titanium dioxyde) MoU signed with major pigment producer Cristal Global, product development and off-take Sep 2010 Garnet MoU signed with international player in industrial minerals, development, distribution ib ti and off-take Feb 2010 Host minerals MoU signed with ARCADIS, on soil improvement MoU signed with concrete producer on product trials and off-take 2009/

16 Engebø titanium project MoU signed with global pigment major, Cristal Global Key facts Cristal Global Owned by TASNEE, a private listed company in Saudi Arabia No two in the world in titanium pigments 8 production facilities in 6 countries on 5 continents Appr. 4,000 employees 16

17 Engebø titanium project Good profitability with significant potential Key figures CAPEX: MUSD 210 Annual revenue: MUSD EBITDA-margin: >50% 10% WACC: >MUSD 350 Payback ac time: <5 5years Mine life: 50 years Large return on equity with typical 60+% loan financing Significant upside in price of rutile Revenue $160 $140 $120 $32 $33 $35 $37 $39 $42 $44 $46 $100 $80 $60 $40 $15 $68 $70 $72 $74 $77 $79 $81 $84 $20 $33 $ E 2015 E 2016 E 2017 E 2018 E 2019 E 2020 E 2021 E 2022 E TiO2 revenues (mill.) Garnet revenues (mill.) Aggregates revenue Large upside in increased recovery NPV, MUSD Base case % 7% 9% Annual rutile price increase Based on 55% recovery NPV MUSD Base case Further upside potential - Further growth in markets for garnet (currently assuming selling only 20% of output) - Off-take of waste rock and tailing material, e.g. for construction fundament and filling Realistic Target % 60 % 65 % % Recovery Based on 5% annual rutile price increase 17

18 Engebø titanium project Significant work completed, near term milestones Over 40 MNOK invested in pre-studies, analysis and verification Most comprehensive Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) in Norwegian mining industry: 34 different special reports, 12 research institutions Two rounds of public hearing completed Local/regional politicians in favour of project Due for final permits: - Industrial area permit (Municipality) - Waste disposal permit (State) Official permits Resource model and classification Pilot plant production Pre-feasibility study Bankable feasibility study Construction and commissioning /

19 Permitting process moving forward Engebø titanium project EIA program resolved by municipality Nov 07 EIA analysis and Industrial area plan development 08/09 Finalisation of Industrial area plan and EIA June 09 Second hearing of industrial area plan completed. Remark received from Directorate of Fisheries Positive resolution from Sogn og Fjordane County Discussion and resolution by technical committee Sep 10 Sep 10 Sep 10 Jan 11 Discussion/resolvement by the county governor Feb 11 Resolution by Discussion i and the Naustdal resolution by Municipality board Ministry of Environment Grant of waste disposal permit from the Norwegian Climate and Pollution Agency 19

20 Engebø titanium project Criteria established for deep sea tailings disposal Resource group: SINTEF NIVA Norges Naturvernforbund Havforskningsinstituttet Bellona Klif NGU DNV Multiconsult AS NTNU Engebø fulfils all criteria outlined in the report 20

21 Good dialogue with governmental politicians Engebø titanium project Firda, January

22 Outline 1. Company background and overview 2. Engebø - Titanium project 3. Keliber - Lithium project 4. Gudvangen Stein - Anorthosite production 5. Summary 22

23 Keliber lithium project Keliber, prosperous opportunities in high-grade lithium Finland Kaustinen First producer of lithium carbonate in Europe Li - key element in mobile power and energy storage Positive project NPV with existing resource base Ongoing exploration is evidencing significant upside potential based on additional deposits Discussions with industrial partners for highend battery materials and other advanced applications ongoing KEY ADVANTAGES: High +99.9% 9% purity Li-product poduct Excellent quality to be used for battery applications, the fastest growing lithium segment Processing plant with potential for further refining directly to battery chemicals Strong lithium/battery/electric vehicle (EV) focus in Finland Attractive independent supply alternative 23

24 Large growth market driven by automotive demand Keliber lithium project Consumption of Lithium Price of Lithium carbonate r Tonnes per yea Minimum demand Maximum demand Expected supply USD / kg Jan. 04 Jan. 05 Jan. 06 Jan. 07 Jan. 08 Jan. 09 Market price standard lithium carbonate Battery grade lithium carbonate premium, company estimate Lithium carbonate consumption Electrification of transport sector Pharmaceuticals, 1% Continuous Other, 1% casting, 6% Glass-ceramics, 6% Glass, 14% Batteries, 37% Ceramics, 16% Aluminium, 18% Lithium is core material and brings unique properties to batteries Li-battery market forecasted to grow 15% p.y. Sources: MiR, NREL, IndMin, Roskill, Mark Lines, J.P.Morgan 24

25 Keliber lithium project Abundant resource base for long-term production First phase production from proven deposit at Länttä Mining concession and permits for processing and environment in place Approx. 50 drill holes of a total of 5,500 meters Exploration work by Keliber and GTK (Geological Survey of Finland) Current resource estimate is in process of being revised according to JORC code Probable direction of the revision: - Verification of mineable ore in open pit - Upgrade of volume in Measured and Indicated categories (JORC code) - Increased mill feed grade (Li 2 O-%) Expansion possibilities in regional lithium resources Several identified prosperous deposits within 20 km range from processing site Promising exploration results and new discoveries in 2010 field season Drilling program ongoing; well-defined additional deposits identified and expansion of resource estimation ongoing g Good probability for significant (min. 3 5x) increase of minable ore volume in low cost open pit resources Länttä deposit Process plant 25

26 Advanced and awarded processing method Keliber lithium project Ore mining, crushing, milling and flotation Spodumene concentration and conversion Chemical plant; Li-carbonate production Capacity: 4,000 tpy battery grade lithium carbonate By-products: Tantalum concentrate, quartz/feldspar concentrates, crushed rock aggregates Production: months from construction start-up Processing method developed in cooperation with Outotec; process guarantees Keliber awarded Finnish innovation prize for processing method and environmentally friendly profile New test batch in process Award winning processing method based on proven technology - potential for refining directly into higher margin battery chemicals 26

27 Keliber lithium project Profitable base case significant upside potential Key figures Revenue CAPEX: MEUR Annual revenue: MEUR EBITDA-margin: 40-55% Payback time: 3-4 years Ownership 68% EUR Upside potential Increased lithium recovery Increased price for lithium carbonate Increased price for by-products Expansion/extension based on new deposits MEUR Vertical integration in battery chemicals NPV at realistic 2x resource volume Price per kg Li2CO3 27

28 Outline 1. Company background and overview 2. Engebø - Titanium project 3. Keliber - Lithium project 4. Gudvangen Stein - Anorthosite production 5. Summary 28

29 Gudvangen Stein anorthosite Enhanced value opportunity in vast anorthosite resource Gudvangen Stein Anorthosite 29 % Al 2 O 3 48 % SiO 3 14 % CaO Gudvangen is one of Europe s largest anorthosite massifs estimated to more than 500 mill. tons Current production of approximately 200,000 tons per year Reserves for years at current production level Main applications: Asphalt aggregates (unique white properties) Mineral wool insulation 29

30 Gudvangen Stein anorthosite Significant opportunities in product development Glass related industries Ceramics Filler (paint) Abrasives Aluminium feedstock New products by simple processing Same plant used for several products Sales New small scale plant for high value products MNOK CAPEX processing plant 5 7 MUSD Product price range USD/ton Up to approx ton/y Long term energy advantage 2 year paydown on plant Trial and testing campaigns ongoing with international industrial partners 30

31 Ongoing research program with IFE/Gassnova, mineral enhancement and CO2 binding Gudvangen Stein anorthosite Natural gas CO mill. tpa Carbonatisation process Anorthosite 5 mill. tpa 29 % Al 2 O 3 48 % SiO 3 14 % CaO Silica 2.45 mill. tpa Alumina 1.5 mill. tpa Calcium carbonate Tailings X mill. tpa 0.7 mill. tpa 800 tpa Al met. 31

32 High purity quartz in Western Norway Hydrothermal quartz deposit Low in critical elements such as Ti, Al, Fe, P, Na, K, Li and B Under exploration

33 Mineral resources at seafloor Norway has front-end exploration technology Norway is world leader on deep sea operations Nordic Mining aim to be a long term pioneer in exploration for minerals on the Norwegian continental shelf

34 Summary and discussion Financing strategy for large projects Nordic Mining ASA Projects Financing strategy well anchored with large shareholders Step-wise approach based on company/ project milestone achievements Flexibility for financing at top level or directly in projects/subsidiaries Priority to expand institutional/industrial shareholding Financing based on commercial solutions (off-take agreement, industrial partnership or similar) Forward sales? Loans from banks and other credit institutions Supplier credits and equipment leasing Equity, tentatively estimated in the range of 40% 34

35 Summary and discussion Summary Large resources of high-end forward looking strategic minerals: Titanium, lithium and anorthosite Stable price development compared to commodity metals and minerals European deficit and demand for strategic minerals Potential ti triggers going forward Political approval for Engebø development Upgrade of lithium mineral resources Industrial cooperation agreement for Keliber (lithium) Successful industrial testing of new anorthosite concentrates Industrial market agreements for anorthosite concentrates Large value potential compared to current company value 35