Developing Power Projects in Southern Africa. Annual General Meeting Presentation 20 th November 2015
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1 Developing Power Projects in Southern Africa Annual General Meeting Presentation 20 th November 2015
2 2015 Company Highlights AFR now participating in the development of three large-scale power projects in Botswana Completion of initial Sese investment by First Quantum Minerals Ltd (FQM) in January 2015 Progression of technical, commercial and permitting programs at Sese JV under FQM mgmt Re-alignment of Mmamabula West as a power project and allocation of appropriate funding for AFR to progress development of this project Binding terms agreed for sale of Mmamantswe project to South African developer for USD $20M Balance sheet strengthened through repayment of all debt, reduction in corporate costs and a healthy residual cash position (~AUD $8M) Continued on-market support from major shareholders in Top 20 Share buy-back announced in November 2015 * * Subject to shareholder approval at today s AGM 2
3 Regional Power Hub Positioning the Company to focus on regional power demand Surrounded by robust demand for power: every country in SADC is chronically short of reliable, affordable base-load power Regional hub: AFR s projects are centrally located within the SAPP transmission grid Easy access to core infrastructure: AFR s projects in close proximity to grid connection Stable business environment: Botswana provides the most secure/stable fiscal and political setting in southern Africa 3
4 AFR s Power Generation Development Portfolio Sese JV Mmamabula West Mmamantswe Advanced project Measured resource * Approved EIA for 300MW Water allocation approved Surface rights approved First Quantum Minerals earning up to 75% interest AFR s 25% interest loan carried to commercial operation of power station Indicated/inferred resource * Good quality thermal coal suitable for power generation and export EIA under amendment to include 300MW + 300MW Project being developed for submission in RSA coal-fired IPP procurement program AFR is the lead developer Export potential to RSA/Asia Advanced project Measured resource* Approved EIA for 2,000MW Water source registered Project consortium to submit bid into South Africa's coal-fired IPP procurement program AFR to sell project for $20M if project bid is shortlisted and taken to financial close * Refer to resource table in Appendix 1 4
5 The Sese JV: Summary First Quantum Minerals Limited will invest up to $20M in the Sese JV AUD $8M invested by FQM to take a 51% interest and management of the JV FQM sole funding the next AUD $12M to increase interest to 75% This funding is being used to investigate the development of a fully integrated coal mine and mine-mouth power station FQM are responsible for sourcing all additional funding beyond the initial $20M investment AFR s 25% share of additional funding will be loaned to it by FQM, and carried to commercial production Technical, permitting and commercial programs making good progress 5
6 The Sese JV: Project Development Plan Sese JV - project development tasks underway TECHNICAL Transmission study on existing Tx options between Botswana and Zambia Confirmation of critical power plant (boiler) technology, unit size and layout Drilling and test-work to finalise fuel specification PERMITTING Execute Land Lease Agreement (surface rights approval in place) Complete Water Supply Agreement (2.8 GL p.a. water allocation approved) Complete Coal Supply Agreement and submit ML application COMMERCIAL Prepare and submit Development Approval Order Confirm design and cost estimate for fully integrated power project 6
7 Mmamabula West: Power Development Opportunity Mmamabula provides an immediate development opportunity for power generation 2.47 billion tonnes in two main coal seams, each ~5m thick, m deep Geometry and coal quality provides multiple options for power generation and/or export of coal AFR re-aligning this project to bid into South Africa s IPP procurement program AFR evaluating potential for direct IPP supply to large-scale industrial users and mining houses Budget approved for immediate work program to reduce development risk of power generation at this project Surface rights being prepared, water supply options under study, EIA being amended, grid connection study 7
8 Mmamabula West: Fuel Specification Program Large diameter drilling cores from which a power station fuel specification will be derived 8
9 Mmamabula West: Indicative Development Plan Q Q Q Q Q Q Q TECHNICAL LDD drilling and finalisation of fuel specification Power station preliminary design Final drilling for reserves, geotech Mine DFS PERMITTING Amend ESIA/EMP to include 600MW power in addition to 4Mtpa ROM Secure Surface Rights and Lease Agreement Coal Supply Agreement + ML application Water Supply Agreement COMMERCIAL Prepare SA IPP bid submission Ongoing direct mine IPP power off-take negotiations Coal export off-take negotiations 9
10 Mmamantswe - $20M Sale Opportunity South Africa is seeking 600MW of cross-border, coal-fired baseload IPP Very few bids shortlisted for the domestic portion of the IPP program Cross-border IPP proposals thus likely to receive close attention Binding term sheet executed to sell Mmamantswe to an experienced SA developer who intends to submit a bid: Qualifying criteria and the documentation (RFP) for cross-border projects to be released late 2015/early 2016 Developer has formed a bid consortium and will sole fund bid preparation/submission AFR will sell the project company to the development consortium for USD $20M if the consortium wins the tender and is able to achieve financial close 10
11 Summary Project Pipeline Sese JV FQM evaluating the development of an integrated mine and power station FQM earning-in, AFR loan carried to production from power station Mmamabula Multiple power project potential with future coal export potential AFR sole funding pre-development activities prior to introducing partner(s) Mmamantswe Binding terms agreed for a Share Sale to a South African developer Potential $20M short-term return, conditional upon SA IPP bid success 11
12 Corporate Summary ASX Code Shares on issue AFR 620 million Market Cap $0.055) AUD $34M Cash (30 Sep 2015) Debt AUD $7.9M Nil Major Shareholders The Sentient Group 23% First Quantum Minerals 11% Management 10% Top 20 62% 12
13 Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by and issued by African Energy Resources Limited ( African Energy ) to assist it in informing interested parties about the Company and its progress. It should not be considered as an offer or invitation to subscribe for or purchase any securities in the Company or as an inducement to make an offer or invitation with respect to those securities. No agreement to subscribe for securities in the Company will be entered into on the basis of this presentation. You should not act or refrain from acting in reliance on this presentation material. This overview of African Energy does not purport to be all inclusive or to contain all information which its recipients may require in order to make an informed assessment of the Company s prospects. You should conduct your own investigation and perform your own analysis in order to satisfy yourself as to the accuracy and completeness of the information, statements and opinions contained in this presentation and making any investment decision. The Company has not verified the accuracy or completeness of the information, statements and opinions contained in this presentation. Accordingly, to the maximum extent permitted by law, the Company makes no representation and give no assurance, guarantee or warranty, express or implied, as to, and takes no responsibility and assume no liability for, the authenticity, validity, accuracy, suitability or completeness of, or any errors in or omission, from any information, statement or opinion contained in this presentation. The contents of this presentation are confidential. This presentation includes certain Forward- Looking Statements. The words forecast, estimate, like, anticipate, project, opinion, should, could, may, target and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward looking statements. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, included herein, including without limitation, statements regarding forecast cash flows and potential mineralisation, resources and reserves, exploration results, future expansion plans and development objectives of African Energy Resources Limited are forward-looking statements that involve various risks and uncertainties. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate and actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. The Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves (the JORC Code ) sets out minimum standards, recommendations and guidelines for Public Reporting in Australasia of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves. The information contained in this announcement has been presented in accordance with the JORC Code and references to Measured Resources, Inferred Resources and Indicated Resources are to those terms as defined in the JORC Code. Information in this report relating to Exploration results, Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves is based on information compiled by Dr Frazer Tabeart (an employee of African Energy Resources Limited) who is a member of The Australian Institute of Geoscientists. Dr Tabeart has sufficient experience which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which he is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person under the 2012 Edition of the Australasian Code for reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves. Dr Tabeart consents to the inclusion of the data in the form and context in which it appears. 13
14 Appendix 1: Global AFR Coal Resource Table Global Coal Resources for AFR Limited Coal Projects in Botswana Sese Coal & Power Project: Resource Summary (Raw coal on an air dried basis), FQM 51%, AFR 49% Resource Zone In Situ Tonnes* CV (MJ/kg) CV (kcal/kg) Ash % IM% VM% FC% S % MEASURED (Block C) 333 Mt , MEASURED (Block B) 318 Mt , INDICATED 1,714 Mt , INFERRED 152 Mt , TOTAL 2,517 Mt Sese West Project: Resource Summary (Raw coal on an air dried basis) FQM 51%, AFR 49% Resource Zone In Situ Tonnes* CV (MJ/kg) CV (kcal/kg) Ash % IM% VM% FC% S % INFERRED 2,501Mt , TOTAL 2,501Mt Mmamabula West Project: Resource Summary (Raw coal on an air dried basis) AFR 100% Resource Zone In Situ Tonnes* CV (MJ/kg) CV (kcal/kg) Ash % IM% VM% FC% S % MEASURED N/A INDICATED 892 Mt , INFERRED 1,541 Mt , TOTAL 2,433 Mt Mmamantswe Project: Resource Summary (Raw coal on an air dried basis) AFR 100% Resource Zone In Situ Tonnes* CV (MJ/kg) CV (kcal/kg) Ash % IM% VM% FC% S % MEASURED 978 Mt 9.5 2, INDICATED 265 Mt 7.9 1, INFERRED N/A TOTAL 1,243 Mt * In Situ tonnes have been derived by removing volumes for modelled intrusions, burnt coal and weathered coal and then applying geological loss factors to the remaining Gross In Situ Tonnes 14
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