Fourth quarter February 19, 2008 (1)
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- August Evans
- 10 years ago
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1 Fourth quarter February 19, 2008 (1)
2 Highlights Strong year for Hydro hit by lower aluminium prices in NOK and weaker downstream markets Solid operational performance Qatalum on track, 9% complete by end Proposed cash return to shareholders Dividend NOK 5 per share Buyback authorization NOK 4 billion (2)
3 (3) Market review & outlook
4 Strong aluminium price USD per tonne LME (3month avg.) 200 LME forward Primary aluminium LME average end Q3 average Q3 end Average Average USD/tonne Source: Reuters Ecowin / Bloomberg, forward curve as of February 15, 2008 (4)
5 Significant change in forward curve LME forward price, USD/tonne jan 03 jan 04 jan 05 jan 06 jan 07 feb 08 (5)
6 China striving for balance tonnes 500 Export tax on metal and low valueadded products Net import (100) Majority of export to Asian markets China expected to be balanced, medium to longterm (200) (300) Q1 06 Q2 06 Q Q1 07 Q2 07 Q Net export (400) (500) (600) (700) (800) Scrap Fabricated Semis Primary / alloyed Total Source: Hydro / Antaike (6)
7 2008 outlook Rapidly growing global demand for primary metal Driven by China and despite weakening development in the US economy Supply disturbances bolster the aluminium price Uncertain global economic outlook (7)
8 Restructuring Divestments Polymers Automotive Castings Meridian Technologies Magnesium remelters Nordisk Aviation Products Automotive Structures Worcester Turnaround in progress Automotive Structures U.S. extrusion U.S. remelt Closures Årdal Søderberg line U.S. Ellenville extrusion and casthouse Magnesium plant Bécancour, Canada (8)
9 Continuous improvement in operations Primary metal production increase mt, excluding closed capacity Q1 06 Q2 06 Q Q1 07 Q2 07 Q U.S. extrusion manning reductions Full time equivalents Annualized labor saving, USD Q1 06 Q2 06 Q Q1 07 Q2 07 Q Productivity improvements Extrusion in Europe Tonnes per employee (9)
10 (10) Financials & performance
11 Key financials Q3 Year Year Revenue Underlying EBITDA Underlying EBIT Underlying income from continuing operations Underlying EPS from continuing operations, NOK Reported EBIT (664) Reported income from continuing operations Reported EPS from continuing operations, NOK (11)
12 Reconciliation reported to underlying Q3 Year Year Reported EBIT (664) Unrealized effects power contracts Unrealized LME and other derivative effects (229) 81 Metal effect, Rolled Products (261) Significant rationalization charges and closure costs Impairment charges (Gains)/losses on divestments (5) 40 (641) Other 249 (211) 244 (211) Underlying EBIT Underlying income from continuing operations also excludes net foreign exchange gain/loss and special tax items (12)
13 Underlying EBIT per segment Aluminium Metal Aluminium Products Energy Corporate and eliminations (13)
14 Bauxite & Alumina Key figures operating results Alumina production, kmt Alunorte, 1) Other, (25) Q Production increase Realized alumina prices affected by lower LME prices Higher energy costs Underlying EBIT, ) Underlying share of net income Underlying EBIT Outlook Change partly to coal key element in reducing energy cost Third Alunorte expansion expected to start up on time and budget in (14)
15 Primary Aluminium Key figures operating results Q3 Production well maintained Lower realized prices in USD and NOK Primary production, kmt Realized LME price, USD/mt Realized LME price, NOK/mt Total casthouse production, kmt Underlying EBIT, Underlying EBIT Outlook % of Q1 production priced at USD per mt Strong LME price, weak USD Expected 9% consumption growth in 2008 (15)
16 Commercial Key figures operating results Remelted production, kmt Total metal products sales, kmt Underlying EBIT, Q Strong results in Europe Weak U.S. market Stable premiums Lower trading results Underlying EBIT Outlook Demand for casthouse products in Europe in line with Continued weak U.S. market (16)
17 Rolled Products Key figures operating results External sales volumes, kmt Underlying EBIT, 246 (30) Q Shipments down for high valueadded products Weakening USD versus EUR Increased cost, mainly energy and maintenance Underlying EBIT Outlook Firm demand in Europe Weak U.S. market could lead to increased competition in Europe (30) (17)
18 Extrusion Key figures operating results External sales volumes, kmt Underlying EBIT, Q High margins for Extrusion in Europe and Building Systems Volume decline for U.S. operations Strong operational performance Underlying EBIT Outlook Softer European markets Strong South American markets Continuing weak U.S. market (18)
19 Automotive Key figures operating results External sales volumes, kmt 29 Q Automotive Structures affected by startup costs Improved results in Precision Tubing Underlying EBIT, (75) (49) (66) Underlying EBIT Outlook (51) (67) 57 Focus on turnaround Long lead time for new businesses and improvements to be realized Demand growth in Asia and South America (49) (66) (72) (75) (19)
20 Aluminium Products outlook Underlying EBIT, Strong markets throughout Seasonal upturn in first half More demanding markets in (20)
21 Energy Key figures operating results Q3 Higher spot prices offset lower output Normalizing hydrological conditions Power production, GWh Net spot sales, GWh South Norway spot electricity price (NO1), NOK/MWh Underlying EBIT, Underlying EBIT Outlook Production and market prices driven by hydrological conditions Nordic power prices increasingly linked to European power prices Solar business development in progress (21)
22 (22) Capital allocation
23 Improved return on capital RoaCE Hydro Aluminium Metal Aluminium Products Energy 22.5% 23.0% 19.1% 18.0% 14.6% 10.7% 4.70% 0.70% Capital employed December 31, (NOK billion) (23)
24 Solid financial position 31 December Cash and cash equivalents Shortterm investments Shortterm debt (1 045) Strong cash generation in Cash flow from operations NOK 14.3 billion Investments NOK 4.9 billion Divestments NOK 4.5 billion Net NOK 13.9 billion Longterm debt Net cash/(debt) Net pension liability Expected tax benefit, 30% Operating lease commitments Interestbearing debt in equity accounted investments Net adjusted cash/(debt) (263) (5 785) (744) (3 283) Proceeds from Polymers sale received in February ~NOK 4.6 billion 1) Net pension liability reduced due to higher interest rates 1) Excluding Qatar Vinyl Company to be divested in a separate transaction (24)
25 Significant new investments NOK billion ~80% of investments upstream Qatalum: USD 2.8 billion Alunorte 3: USD 0.3 billion Aluminium Products Selective growth initiatives in Extrusion and Building Systems 5 Sustaining capex NOK 3 billion annually 2008E 2009E Debtfinanced investments in joint ventures (upstream) Investments (25)
26 Dividend and share buyback for Total Share buyback Extraordinary dividend Ordinary dividend ~ ~ Dividend Ordinary Extraordinary Total NOK 1.50 per share NOK 3.50 per share NOK 5.00 per share Share buyback authorization ~NOK 4 billion Maintain flexibility to pursue business opportunities in an uncertain financial environment Proposal to be considered by the Annual General Meeting on May 6 (26)
27 Qatalum on track 9% complete end07 Challenges: Cost pressure Ontime delivery for subcontractors Investment estimate (100%) ~USD 5.6 billion Satisfactory project economics at LME USD/tonne (27)
28 Hydro priorities 2008 Operational excellence Upstream growth opportunities Build on leading downstream positions Qatalum execution (28)
29 Cautionary note in relation to certain forwardlooking statements Certain statements contained in this announcement constitute forwardlooking information within the meaning of Section 27A of the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. In order to utilize the safe harbors within these provisions, we are providing the following cautionary statement. Certain statements included within this announcement contain (and oral communications made by us or on our behalf may contain) forwardlooking information, including, without limitation, those relating to (a) forecasts, projections and estimates, (b) statements of management s plans, objectives and strategies for Hydro, such as planned expansions, investments or other projects, (c) targeted production volumes and costs, capacities or rates, startup costs, cost reductions and profit objectives, (d) various expectations about future developments in Hydro s markets, particularly prices, supply and demand and competition, (e) results of operations, (f) margins, (g) growth rates, (h) risk management, as well as (i) statements preceded by expected, scheduled, targeted, planned, proposed, intended or similar statements. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forwardlooking statements are reasonable, these forwardlooking statements are based on a number of assumptions and forecasts that, by their nature, involve risk and uncertainty. Various factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected in a forwardlooking statement or affect the extent to which a particular projection is realized. Factors that could cause these differences include, but are not limited to: our continued ability to reposition and restructure our upstream and downstream Aluminium business; changes in availability and cost of energy and raw materials; global supply and demand for aluminium and aluminium products; world economic growth, including rates of inflation and industrial production; changes in the relative value of currencies and the value of commodity contracts; trends in Hydro s key markets and competition; and legislative, regulatory and political factors. For a detailed description of factors that could cause our results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements, please refer to the risk factors specified under Risk review Risk factors on page 134 of our Annual Report (including Form 20F) and subsequent filings on Form 6K with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. No assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Hydro disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forwardlooking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. (29)
30 (30) Additional information
31 Underlying income Reported income Adjustments Underlying income Aluminium Metal Aluminium Products Energy Corporate and other (326) 376 (907) (35) (49) Total EBIT Financial income (expense), net 131 (74) 57 Income continuing operations before tax Income tax expense 1) Change in tax rate Germany (370) (50) (312) (50) Income from continuing operations Income from discontinued operations 3 3 Net income Net income attributable to minority interest Net income attributable to equity holders of the parent Earnings per share from continuing operations NOK 2) ) Estimated tax effect on income statement adjustments using the tax rate for the period 2) Calculated using income from continuing operations less net income attributable to minority interests (31)
32 Underlying income Q3 Reported income Adjustments Underlying income Aluminium Metal Aluminium Products Energy Corporate and other (247) 242 (154) (227) 535 (35) Total EBIT Financial income (expense), net (1 199) 345 Income continuing operations before tax Income tax expense 1) Change in tax rate Germany (765) (705) 144 (250) (621) (250) Income from continuing operations (811) Income from discontinued operations Net income (811) Net income attributable to minority interest Net income attributable to equity holders of the parent Earnings per share from continuing operations NOK 2) ) Estimated tax effect on income statement adjustments using the tax rate for the period 2) Calculated using income from continuing operations less net income attributable to minority interests (32)
33 Underlying income Reported income Adjustments Underlying income Aluminium Metal Aluminium Products Energy Corporate and other 899 (481) 415 (1 498) (121) (75) Total EBIT (664) Financial income (expense), net 296 (93) 203 Income continuing operations before tax Income tax expense 1) Change in tax rate Germany (368) (669) (500) (500) Income from continuing operations Income from discontinued operations Net income Net income attributable to minority interest Net income attributable to equity holders of the parent Earnings per share from continuing operations NOK 2) ) Estimated tax effect on income statement adjustments using the tax rate for the period 2) Calculated using income from continuing operations less net income attributable to minority interests (33)
34 Underlying EBIT per segment Bauxite & Alumina Q3 Year Year Primary Aluminium Commercial Other and eliminations 60 2 (60) 84 (65) Aluminium Metal Rolled Products (30) Extrusion Automotive (75) (49) (66) (67) (51) Other and eliminations Aluminium Products Energy Corporate and other (49) 67 (75) (648) (721) Total (34)
35 Reported and underlying results Hydro Reported EBIT Q Q Q (664) Q Q Q Year Year Underlying EBIT Income from continuing operations Underlying income from continuing operations Earnings per share from continuing operations 1) Underlying earnings per share from continuing operations 1) ) Calculated using income from continuing operations less net income attributable to minority interests (35)
36 Special items Q1 Q2 Q3 Equity accounted units Monetary adjustments Alunorte Alumina & Bauxite (33) (64) (35) (35) (167) Equity accounted units unrealized (gains)/losses on LME contracts Alunorte Alumina & Bauxite (13) 40 (108) (82) (163) Closure costs Primary Aluminium Unrealized (gains)/losses on power contracts Primary Aluminium 127 (175) Equity accounted units unrealized (gains)/losses power contracts Søral Primary Aluminium 47 (25) (1) (2) 19 Embedded currency derivatives Qatar Primary Aluminium Impairment Ellenville 1) Unrealized (gains)/losses on LME contracts Correction of elimination of gain on inventory Total impact Metal effect Commercial Other and eliminations Other and eliminations Aluminium Metal Rolled Products (277) (132) (149) 144 (177) (191) 28 (183) (227) (527) 118 (324) 235 Rationalization costs Rolled Products Equity accounted units Change in tax rate Germany Rolled Products (47) (47) Rationalization costs US and UK Extrusion (Gains)/losses on divestments Extrusion (17) (17) (Gains)/losses on divestments Automotive (691) (624) Rationalization costs Automotive Unrealized (gains)/losses on LME contracts Total impact Unrealized (gains)/losses on power contracts Unrealized (gains)/losses on power contracts Other and Elim. Aluminium Products Energy Corporate and other 23 (817) (22) (27) (135) (35) (35) (119) 920 Correction of elimination of gain on inventory Corporate and other Total EBIT Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Income from continuing operations before tax Estimated income tax effect Germany, change in tax rate Hydro Hydro Hydro Hydro Hydro (764) (464) (1 227) 333 (213) (517) (730) (1 199) (705) 144 (250) (74) (370) (50) 905 (2 254) (1 349) 339 (300) Income from continuing operations Hydro (894) (499) (811) 899 (1 310) 1) Not included in EBITDA (36)
37 Special items Q1 Q2 Q3 Year Associates/JVs unrealized currency (gains)/losses Alunorte Alumina & Bauxite (66) 8 (6) (12) (76) Associates/JVs unrealized (gains)/losses on LME contracts Alunorte Alumina & Bauxite 24 3 (21) Closure costs Primary Aluminium Unrealized (gains)/losses on power contracts Primary Aluminium 191 (25) (163) Associates/JVs unrealized (gains)/losses power contracts Søral Primary Aluminium (84) 5 (52) Impairment Ellenville 1) Commercial Unrealized (gains)/losses on LME contracts Other and eliminations (439) 105 (35) 281 (88) Total impact Aluminium Metal (263) Inventory (gains)/losses Rolled Products (349) (149) (261) UK defined pension plan Rolled Products Impairment Malaysia 1) Rolled Products Impairment loss Extrusion Ellenville operations 1) Extrusion UK defined pension plan Extrusion Rationalization costs US and UK Extrusion Closure costs Magnesium Automotive UK defined pension plan Automotive Impairment losses 1) Automotive Rationalization costs Automotive Associates/JVs writedown Meridian Technologies Inc 1) Automotive Unrealized (gains)/losses on LME contracts Other and Elim. (150) (47) 102 Total impact Aluminium Products (119) Unrealized (gains)/losses on power contracts Energy 118 (49) 59 (121) 7 Reversal of insurance loss provision Corporate and other (211) (211) Unrealized (gains)/losses on power contracts Corporate and other (400) 175 (18) Elimination of demanning costs Magnesium operations Porsgrunn Corporate and other (65) (65) Elimination of UK defined pension plan Corporate and other (380) (380) Total impact Corporate and other (780) 110 (18) Total EBIT Hydro (655) Net foreign exchange (gain)/loss Hydro 4 (20) 257 (93) 148 Income from continuing operations before tax Hydro (651) Estimated income tax effect Hydro 209 (72) (235) (669) (767) Reversal of valuation allowance Canada Hydro (500) (500) Income from continuing operations Hydro (443) ) Not included in EBITDA (37)
38 Operating segment information Underlying EBIT Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Year Year Bauxite & Alumina Primary Aluminium Commercial Other and eliminations (9) 18 (13) (60) (37) (65) 84 Aluminium Metal Rolled Products (30) Extrusion Automotive (72) (66) 57 (49) (75) (51) (67) Other and eliminations Aluminium Products Energy Corporate and other (301) (129) (216) (75) (258) (349) 67 (49) (721) (648) Total (38)
39 Operating segment information Underlying EBITDA Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Year Year Bauxite & Alumina Primary Aluminium Commercial Other and eliminations (9) 18 (13) (60) (37) (65) 84 Aluminium Metal Rolled Products Extrusion Automotive (8) Other and eliminations Aluminium Products Energy Corporate and other (289) (127) (205) (70) (241) (333) 82 (33) (692) (533) Total (39)
40 Operating segment information EBIT Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Year Year Bauxite & Alumina Primary Aluminium Commercial Other and eliminations 430 (87) 22 (341) (115) Aluminium Metal Rolled Products (156) (313) Extrusion (156) Automotive 20 (49) (367) (487) 748 (15) (89) (105) (884) 539 Other and eliminations 153 (12) (286) 50 (21) (28) (440) (104) (94) (592) Aluminium Products (435) (481) (247) (326) (104) Energy Corporate and other 479 (239) (198) (1 498) (465) (214) (154) (907) (1 456) (1 741) Total (664) (40)
41 Operating segment information EBITDA Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Year Year Bauxite & Alumina Primary Aluminium Commercial Other and eliminations 430 (87) 22 (341) (115) Aluminium Metal Rolled Products (183) Extrusion (23) Automotive (187) (25) (38) Other and eliminations 153 (12) (286) 50 (21) (28) (440) (104) (94) (592) Aluminium Products (22) Energy Corporate and other 491 (237) (187) (1 493) (449) (198) (139) (892) (1 427) (1 678) Total (41)
42 Operating segment information Total revenue Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Year Year Bauxite & Alumina Primary Aluminium Commercial Other and eliminations (11 868) (12 136) (10 715) (11 976) (12 433) (12 199) (10 550) (9 464) (46 695) (44 646) Aluminium Metal Rolled Products Extrusion Automotive Other and eliminations (228) (194) (202) 361 (209) (226) (236) (184) (263) (855) Aluminium Products Energy Corporate and other (6 858) (7 198) (7 363) (8 985) (7 294) (5 996) (5 667) (6 185) (30 404) (25 143) Total (42)
43 Operating segment information External revenue Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Year Year Bauxite & Alumina Primary Aluminium Commercial Other and eliminations 356 (141) 36 (332) (182) (82) Aluminium Metal Rolled Products Extrusion Automotive Other and eliminations (25) 17 2 (62) (14) 51 (56) Aluminium Products Energy (27) 737 (823) (83) Corporate and other (165) Total (43)
44 Operating segment information Internal revenue Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Year Year Bauxite & Alumina Primary Aluminium Commercial Other and eliminations (12 224) (11 995) (10 750) (11 643) (12 470) (12 236) (10 658) (9 282) (46 613) (44 646) Aluminium Metal Rolled Products Extrusion (363) Automotive Other and eliminations (294) (204) (177) 361 (226) (228) (174) (170) (314) (798) Aluminium Products Energy Corporate and other (7 276) (7 569) (7 551) (8 820) (7 550) (6 250) (5 897) (6 822) (31 216) (26 519) Total (44)
45 Operating segment information Share of profit in equity accounted investments Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Year Year Bauxite & Alumina Primary Aluminium (90) (3) (28) Commercial (1) (2) Aluminium Metal (12) Rolled Products (4) 1 7 (6) 7 (7) (6) 42 (2) 36 Extrusion Automotive (235) 10 4 (1) (183) 2 Aluminium Products (224) 9 14 (8) (3) 43 (168) 46 Energy 5 2 (1) (8) (25) 22 (24) Corporate and other (1) Total (45)
46 Operating segment information Depreciation Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Year Year Bauxite & Alumina Primary Aluminium Commercial Aluminium Metal Rolled Products Extrusion Automotive Aluminium Products Energy Corporate and other Total (46)
47 Income statement Revenue Share of the profit in equity accounted investments Other income, net Total revenue and income Q Year Year Depreciation, amortization and impairment Other expenses Earnings before financial items and tax (EBIT) Financial income (expense), net (664) Income from continuing operations before tax Income tax expense Tax rate (12)% (765) 22% (368) % (3 075) 25% (1 952) 25% Income from continuing operations Income from discontinued operations Net income Net income attributable to minority interest Net income attributable to equity holders of the parent Earnings per share from continuing operations NOK 1) ) Calculated using income from continuing operations less net income attributable to minority interests (47)
48 Income statements Revenue Share of the profit in equity accounted investments Other income, net Total revenue and income Q Q Q Year Depreciation, amortization and impairment Other expenses Earnings before financial items and tax (EBIT) Financial income (expense), net Income from continuing operations before tax Income tax expense Tax rate (1 215) 27% (1 153) 31% (765) 22% (12)% (3 075) 25% Income from continuing operations Income from discontinued operations Net income Net income attributable to minority interest Net income attributable to equity holders of the parent Earnings per share from continuing operations NOK 1) ) Calculated using income from continuing operations less net income attributable to minority interests (48)
49 Income statements Revenue Share of the profit in equity accounted investments Other income, net Total revenue and income Q Q Q Year Depreciation, amortization and impairment Other expenses Earnings before financial items and tax (EBIT) (664) Financial income (expense), net Income from continuing operations before tax Income tax expense Tax rate (1 089) 32% (882) 31% (673) 32% (368) % (1 952) 25% Income from continuing operations Income from discontinued operations Net income Net income attributable to minority interest Net income attributable to equity holders of the parent (77) Earnings per share from continuing operations NOK 1) ) Calculated using income from continuing operations less net income attributable to minority interests (49)
50 Balance sheets Dec 31 Sep 30 Jun 30 Mar 31 Cash and cash equivalents Shortterm investments Receivables and other current assets Inventories Assets held for sale / Discontinued operations Property, plant and equipment Other noncurrent assets Total assets Bankloans and other shortterm interestbearing debt Other current liabilities Liabilities in disposal group / Discontinued operations Longterm interestbearing debt Other longterm liabilities Deferred tax liabilities Minority interest Equity attr. to equity holders of the parent Total liabilities and equity (50)
51 Balance sheets Cash and cash equivalents Shortterm investments Receivables and other current assets Inventories Dec Sep Jun Mar Jan Assets held for sale / Discontinued operations Property, plant and equipment Other noncurrent assets Total assets Bankloans and other shortterm interestbearing debt Other current liabilities Liabilities in disposal group / Discontinued operations Longterm interestbearing debt Other longterm liabilities Deferred tax liabilities Minority interest Equity attr. to equity holders of the parent Total liabilities and equity (51)
52 Pensions Projected benefit obligation Fair value of plan assets Termination benefits and other Net pension liability Unrecognized amount Net pension liability recognized in the balance sheet December 31, (20 584) (780) (5 785) (1 890) (7 675) December 31, (23 695) (881) (7 734) (453) (8 185) Benefits earned Interest cost Expected return on assets Amortizations Curtailments and Settlements Contribution plans Termination benefits and other Net periodic pension cost (872) 33 (8) (721) 32 (83) Weighted average assumptions used to determine pension obligation at end of year Discount rate Rate of compensation increase December 31, 5.0% 3.7% December 31, 4.5% 3.4% (52)
53 Capital employed upstream focus Automotive, 4% Extrusion, 9% Energy, 9% Bauxite & Alumina, 13% Bauxite & Alumina Primary Aluminium Commercial Other and eliminations December (52) Aluminium Metal Rolled Products, 19% Primary Aluminium, 40% Rolled Products Extrusion Automotive Other and eliminations Aluminium Products (190) Energy Commercial, 6% Corporate and other Total (1 663) ) Including NOK 1.7 billion in negative capital employed in Corporate and Other not shown in graph (53)
54 Price and currency sensitivities Income before tax Net income Change Aluminium price per tonne USD Aluminium price per tonne excl. strategic hedges USD Income before tax Net income Change USD before financial items NOK USD financial items (2 700) (1 900) 1 NOK USD Net income NOK Based on expected business volumes for 2008 and the following prices: Aluminium USD/tonne NOK/USD 5.50 LME sensitivity includes the effect of strategic hedges, but excludes and unrealized effects related to operational hedging USD sensitivity includes both USD revenues and USD costs Total USD sensitivity for financial items is based on actual financial positions December 31, (54)
55 Primary aluminium production tonnes Slovalco consolidated from Q (55)
56 Primary aluminium market USD per tonne Aluminium inventories (days of consumption) Aluminium price (LME 3 month) days (56)
57 Nordic power market forward curves NOK/MWh Jan 07 Jul 07 Jan 08 Jul 08 Jan 09 Jul 09 Jan 10 Jul 10 End End Q3 End (57)
58 Significant uncertainty in price and volume NOK/MWh Nordic System Price TWh Hydropower production ,3 10,7 11, ,4 7,5 8,0 8, (58)
59 Aluminium Metal operational data Volumes and prices 1) Q3 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q2 Q1 Realized premium above LME (USD/mt) Realized premium above LME (NOK/mt) Bauxite & Alumina: Alumina production (1 000 mt) Primary Aluminium: Primary production (1 000 mt) Total casthouse production LME realized (USD/mt) including hedges NOK/USD realized including hedges 1) LME realized (NOK/mt) including hedges LME realized (USD/mt) excluding hedges NOK/USD realized excluding hedges 1) LME realized (NOK/mt) excluding hedges ) Difference between realized exchange rate and spot rate at the transaction date is reported as currency gain/loss and not included in EBITDA (except currency hedges where hedge accounting is applied) (59)
60 Aluminium Metal operational data Volumes and prices Q3 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q2 Q1 Commercial: Remelt production (1 000 mt) Sale of metal products from own production (1 000 mt) Sale of thirdparty metal products (1 000 mt) Total metal products sales excluding ingot trading (1 000 mt) Hereof external sales (1 000 mt) External sales revenue () Strategic hedges, Primary Aluminium Volume, mt LME price USD/mt (60)
61 Aluminium Products operational data Q3 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q2 Q1 Rolled Products external shipments (1 000 tonnes) Extrusion external shipments (1 000 tonnes) Automotive external shipments (1 000 tonnes) Rolled Products EBIT per tonne, NOK 1) (122) Extrusion EBIT per tonne, NOK 1) ) Underlying EBIT (61)
62 Energy operational data Volumes and prices Q3 Q2 Q1 Q3 Q2 Q Power production, GWh Net spot sales, GWh Nordic spot electricity price, NOK/MWh South Norway spot electricity price (NO1), NOK/MWh (62)
63 Variance analysis Hydro Year (664) Variance EBIT Price and currency Margin Variable costs Volume Strategic hedges Derivatives Associates and JCE Other operational costs, net Depreciation Portfolio Variance underlying EBIT Items excluded from underlying EBIT Variance EBIT (330) (647) (96) 190 (340) (1 303) (914) (174) (272) (539) (23) 238 (307) (63)
64 Variance analysis Aluminium Metal Year Variance EBIT Price and currency Margin Variable costs Volume Strategic hedges Derivatives Associates and JCE Other operational costs, net Depreciation Portfolio Variance underlying EBIT Items excluded from underlying EBIT Variance EBIT (647) (231) (96) 194 (252) (16) (139) (914) (95) (216) (133) (392) (64)
65 Variance analysis Bauxite & Alumina Year Variance EBIT Margin Associates and JCE Other operational costs, net (22) (167) (27) (49) (151) (16) Variance underlying EBIT Items excluded from underlying EBIT Variance EBIT (216) (217) (65)
66 Variance analysis Primary Aluminium Year Variance EBIT Price and currency Margin Variable costs Volume Strategic hedges Derivatives Associates and JCE Other operational costs, net Depreciation Variance underlying EBIT Items excluded from underlying EBIT Variance EBIT (647) (192) (96) (86) (247) (17) (98) (914) (76) 164 (298) (64) (210) (66)
67 Variance analysis Commercial Year Variance EBIT 2 (18) Margin Volume Derivatives Associates and JCE Other operational costs, net Depreciation Portfolio (440) (39) (19) 11 (259) (17) 40 Variance underlying EBIT Items excluded from underlying EBIT Variance EBIT 79 (77) 2 (85) 67 (18) (67)
68 Variance analysis Aluminium Products Year (104) (326) (481) Variance EBIT Margin Volume Derivatives Associates and JCE Other operational costs, net Depreciation Portfolio (21) (18) (96) (390) (1) 208 (78) 198 Variance underlying EBIT Items excluded from underlying EBIT Variance EBIT (157) (236) 155 (68)
69 Variance analysis Rolled Products Year (313) (156) Variance EBIT (271) (157) Margin Volume Derivatives Associates and JCE Other operational costs, net Depreciation Portfolio (8) (516) 61 (45) (56) (122) 24 (26) Variance underlying EBIT Items excluded from underlying EBIT Variance EBIT 49 (321) (271) (173) 16 (158) (69)
70 Variance analysis Extrusion Year Variance EBIT Margin Volume Associates and JCE Other operational costs, net Depreciation Portfolio (216) (288) (10) (163) (108) (2) 320 (110) 16 Variance underlying EBIT Items excluded from underlying EBIT Variance EBIT (46) (70)
71 Variance analysis Automotive Year 539 (884) (105) (487) Variance EBIT Margin Volume Derivatives Associates and JCE Other operational costs, net Depreciation Portfolio (148) (150) (54) (7) Variance underlying EBIT Items excluded from underlying EBIT Variance EBIT (71)
72 Variance analysis Energy Year Variance EBIT (155) (39) Margin Volume Derivatives Associates and JCE Other operational costs, net Depreciation (1 100) (11) (45) (201) 23 (14) 179 (16) (41) (51) (9) Variance underlying EBIT Items excluded from underlying EBIT Variance EBIT (281) 126 (155) 48 (87) (39) (72)
73 Investor Relations in Hydro Stefan Solberg Head of Investor Relations t: m: e: Stian Hasle Investor Relations Officer t: m: e: Irene Raposo Investor Relations Assistant t: m: e: For more information see: (73) 02/2008
74
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