Current and Future World Markets for Motors and Motor Controls

Transcription

1 IHS TECHNOLOGY Presentation 19 th. NOV. 2015, CWIEME ISTANBUL ihs.com Current and Future World Markets for Motors and Motor Controls Wilmer Zhou, Senior Analyst,

2 Macro Economy IHS HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR DISCLOSURE BEYOND IHS COLLEAGUES WITH A NEED TO KNOW.

3 Q/Q % change, annual rate World Economic Outlook/ July 2015 World GDP growth will pick up from 2.6% in 2015 to 3.3% in 2016 Real GDP Source: IHS IHS Global 2015 Insight IHS 3

4 Percent change Emerging countries, BRIC countries performance World Economic Outlook/ July 2015 Real GDP India: Infrastructure demographic advantages: People below 60 from 58% to Technical talent 5 China slow down 0-5 Brazil Russia negative growth China India Brazil Russia Venezuela and Argentina are in recession Source: IHS 4

5 Manufacturing challenges and Industry 4.0 IHS HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR DISCLOSURE BEYOND IHS COLLEAGUES WITH A NEED TO KNOW.

6 Industry 4.0 is the Industrial Revolution Mechanical Electrical Mass Production Automation IT Technology Service Mass Customization Ford T Model Targets: Higher Quality Higher Efficiency Lower Cost Targets: Satisfy the needs Highly automatic Highly digitization Highly networked Stem Engine Assembly line Conveyors, Motors PLC, PC, CNC, Embedded, Robotics CPS, IOT,ICT IT & OT

7 Industrial Automation Performance IHS HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR DISCLOSURE BEYOND IHS COLLEAGUES WITH A NEED TO KNOW.

8 Revenue Growth Forecast Revenue Growth Forecast Discrete markets stable through the second half of 2015 Top Top Five Five Discrete Industries in Industrial in Automation Equipment 9.0% 9.0% 8.0% 8.0% 2.7% 3.3% 7.0% 7.0% 2.5% 6.0% 6.0% % of 2015 global machinery 5.0% 5.0% production 4.0% 4.0% 3.0% 3.0% $338bn 2.0% 2.0% $505bn $716bn Americas Europe Asia Pacific 1.0% 1.0% $400bn $587bn $823bn 0.0% 0.0% Machinery production seems to remain stable on a global scale, with a Food, Food, Beverage & Tobacco & Tobacco Machinery Materials Handling Handling Equipment slowdown but positive development still coming out of China. Packaging Machinery PV Manufacturing PV Equipment Robotics Robotics Overall Overall IAE IAE Source: Source: IHS IHS 2015 IHS

9 Automotive Cement & Glass Chemicals Food & Beverage Metal Processing Oil & Gas Pharmaceuticals Power Pulp & Paper Refining & Petrochemicals Water & Wastewater Revenue Growth Forecast Revenue Growth Forecast Process markets continue to pull down overall growth for industrial automation Top Five Discrete Industries in Industrial Automation Top Equipment Five Discrete Industries in Industrial Automation Equipment $20,000m 9.0% $18,000m $16,000m 8.0% $14,000m $12,000m 7.0% $10,000m $8,000m 6.0% $6,000m $4,000m 5.0% $2,000m $00m 4.0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 3.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% Capex spend Food, Beverage & on Tobacco automation Machinery Materials equipment Handling Food, Equipment Beverage & Tobacco is expected Machinery Materials to decline Handling Equipment3.2% in Packaging Machinery PV Manufacturing Packaging EquipmentMachinery PV Manufacturing Equipment 2015, pulling down overall growth of in the market. Robotics Overall IAE Robotics Overall IAE Source: IHS Source: IHS 9

10 Motors and Motor Controls Markets Data IHS HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR DISCLOSURE BEYOND IHS COLLEAGUES WITH A NEED TO KNOW.

11 LV Motors IHS HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR DISCLOSURE BEYOND IHS COLLEAGUES WITH A NEED TO KNOW.

12 CRUDE OIL TRADING PATTERNS FOR PETORO / MARCH 2015 The world Market of Low Voltage Motors by Regions The market size is around 14 billions USD LV motors 50 million units shipped 12

13 The world Market of Low Voltage Motors by Applications 连 续 工 作 : 风 机 泵 压 缩 机 2/3 13

14 CRUDE OIL TRADING PATTERNS FOR PETORO / MARCH 2015 Low Voltage Motors Markets in MENA Countries 14

15 Medium Voltage Motors IHS HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR DISCLOSURE BEYOND IHS COLLEAGUES WITH A NEED TO KNOW.

16 PRESENTATION NAME / MONTH 2014 The World Market for Medium Voltage Motors by Regions Market size: 5.7 billions USD Unit shipments: 60,

17 CRUDE OIL TRADING PATTERNS FOR PETORO / MARCH 2015 The World Market for Medium Voltage Motors by Industries Figure 2.13 The World Market for Medium Voltage Motors Market Breakdown in by Revenues ($M) and Growth (%) 1,400 1,200 1, % 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% -8% -10% 2014 Revenues Growth 2015 Growth 2016 Source: IHS Jun-15 17

18 CRUDE OIL TRADING PATTERNS FOR PETORO / MARCH 2015 Medium Voltage Motors Markets in MENA Countries 18

19 CRUDE OIL TRADING PATTERNS FOR PETORO / MARCH 2015 Medium Voltage Motor Drives Markets in MENA Countries 19

20 Low Voltage Motor Drives IHS HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR DISCLOSURE BEYOND IHS COLLEAGUES WITH A NEED TO KNOW.

21 CRUDE OIL TRADING PATTERNS FOR PETORO / MARCH 2015 The World Market for Low Voltage Motor Drives by Product Types The EMEA Market for Low Voltage AC & DC Motor Drives by Product Type - Market Breakdown (2014) & Revenue Growth % (2015 & 2016) 21

22 CRUDE OIL TRADING PATTERNS FOR PETORO / MARCH 2015 Low Voltage Motor Drives Markets in MENA Countries 22

23 Motion Controls IHS HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR DISCLOSURE BEYOND IHS COLLEAGUES WITH A NEED TO KNOW.

24 The World Market for Motion Controls 40% 30% Fluctuated market: Rely on machinery production Rely on several precise machinery 20% 10% 0% -10% % -30% 运 Motion 动 控 制 GDP Industry 工 业 产 值 机 Machinery 械 产 值 controls production production

25 CRUDE OIL TRADING PATTERNS FOR PETORO / MARCH 2015 The EMEA Market for Motion Controls by Countries 25

26 Small Motors in Automotive IHS HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR DISCLOSURE BEYOND IHS COLLEAGUES WITH A NEED TO KNOW.

27 PRESENTATION NAME / MONTH 2014 The World Market for Motors in Automotive by Regions Average motors in 1 car, luxury car and E-car will have more motors 27

28 Motors and Motor Controls Markets Opportunity High Efficiency Motors IHS HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR DISCLOSURE BEYOND IHS COLLEAGUES WITH A NEED TO KNOW.

29 PRESENTATION NAME / MONTH 2014 Global high efficiency motors standards Low Efficiency High Efficiency 29

30 Current high efficiency motors situation in 2014

31 Motors and Motor Controls Markets Opportunity Downstream Industries IHS HIGHLY CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR DISCLOSURE BEYOND IHS COLLEAGUES WITH A NEED TO KNOW.

32 Y-o-Y Growth (%) Trends Affecting the Motor Controls Market Table of Contents GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK The World Market for Industrial Motor Controls vs. Market Indicators Annual Growth to % 7.0% Project markets: Capital expenditure 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% Motor controls products OEM markets: Consumer electronic High tech Robotics 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% -1.0% Motor Controls Index Capital Expenditure Machinery Production Real GDP Industrial Production Industrial Motor Controls Sourcebook November