Bangladesh Earthquake Risk Mitigation Program May 23, 2012

Transcription

1 Bangladesh Earthquake Risk Mitigation Program May 23, 2012 Volkan Sevilgen & Ross Stein USGS 1

2 Volkan Sevilgen & Ross Stein USGS Date of great quake Plate motion Earthquakes from Roger Bilham (Science, 2006) Population from Landscan (Oak Ridge Nat. Lab., 2004) 2

3 High Seismic Exposure Bangladesh is seismically active Dhaka is ranked among the 20 cities most vulnerable to earthquakes across the world No major earthquakes recently, but 3 events in the past year Major fault is less than 60 km from Dhaka 5 3

4 7 High Vulnerability to Seismic Events Population of Dhaka: 15 million and one of the fastest growing cities in the world Widespread poverty 28% below the poverty line 3.4 million citizens live in slums 30% lack access to sanitation services Challenges of rapid urbanization Uncontrolled rural to urban migration Lack of land-use planning Dearth of government regulations and building standards Complex governance structures Overlapping authority in urban planning Political conflict leads to lack of decision-making 8 4

5 Earthquake Risk Mitigation Program The program will engage stakeholders in a three-year process to increase collective understanding of risk, identify major disincentives for resilient development, support planning for prevention, and gradually shift toward a more proactive approach to resilient development. 1. Build consensus among stakeholders supporting seismic risk reduction 2. Create hazard and vulnerability data platform as a tool for planners, developers, and policymakers 3. Generate widespread understanding of seismic hazards and ways in which risks can be reduced 4. Develop a seismic engineering certification program and mason and barbender training program to promote seismic resilient construction 9 Phased Approach to National Earthquake Risk Management Strategy and Action Plan Establishment of Institutional Framework, Data, Communication and Capacity Building Platform for Multi-stakeholder Engagement Platforms for Multistakeholder Engagement Information and Communication Technology Education, Communication and Outreach Training and Capacity Building Preliminary Elements for Dhaka City Strategy Hazard, Vulnerability and Risk Analysis Legal and Institutional Arrangements Land Use Planning Final Elements for Dhaka City Strategy Hazard, Vulnerability and Risk Analysis Legal and Institutional Arrangements Land Use Planning Development of Dhaka and National Strategy Development of Resiliency Indicators Dhaka Earthquake Risk Management Plan Disaster Management Systems Resiliency of Slums and Shelters Resiliency of Water & Sewage Systems Capacity Building for Engineers and Builders Building Code Enforcement and Implementation Certification of Engineers and Architects Scaling, Testing and Validating National Earthquake Risk Management Strategy Training of Masons and Bar Benders Year 1 Year 2 Year

6 Phase 1: Build the Foundation Development of an institutional structure and capacity building platform for multi-stakeholder engagement Ministry of Housing and Public Works (MoHPW) Ministry of Food and Disaster Management (MoFDM) Ministry of Local Government, Rural Development, and Cooperatives (MoLGRD) Information and Communication Technology and education campaign Build the knowledge base for an informed constituency Encourage decision making based on rigorous scientific evaluation and consensus building exercises. Technical review and analysis Earthquake hazard, vulnerability and risk data gathering and gap analysis Evaluate legal and institutional arrangements to create the enabling environment for developing an Earthquake Risk Management Strategy 11 Phases 1-3: Training and Capacity Building Building Code Formulation, Enforcement and Implementation Earthquake Resilient Engineering Training and Certification Program Earthquake Resilient Training of Masons and Bar Benders Pilot Structure Construction with Resiliency to Earthquakes 12 6

7 Phase 2: Finalize Elements of the Strategy Earthquake Hazard, Vulnerability and Risk Analysis Technical review of studies already completed by other agencies Data to provide comprehensive scientific information to relevant decision-makers Legal and Institutional Arrangements Technical review of acts and policies related to disaster risk management Establish clear understanding of institutional linkages and reporting mechanisms Land Use Planning Integrate hazard, vulnerability and risk parameters in existing plans and mechanisms Develop guidelines and systems for risk-sensitive land use planning in Dhaka Disaster/Emergency Management System Review of current emergency/disaster management system and identification of gaps Conceptualize a local Emergency Operations Plan to include Emergency Support Function System and Incident Response System Earthquake Risk Resiliency of Slums, Shelters and Water Systems Assess the resiliency of the delivery of critical services and infrastructure and develop concrete plans for improvement 13 Phase 3: Scaling to the National Level Dhaka Earthquake Risk Management Plan Priority action items that can be implemented in a relatively short term (3-4 years) Develop an implementation of immediate and short term investments National Earthquake Risk Management Strategy and Action Plan National earthquake strategy will build on policies and programs in place Establish priorities for investments and to tailor approaches based on the level of hazard and risk in various regions Resiliency Indicators Participatory workshops with stakeholders for ranking and scoring of indicators Rationalize selection of draft indicators and the provisions for implementation Adoption and use of such indicators by stakeholders will be used as an evaluation and monitoring tool 14 7

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