Natural Gas Futures Trading Markets
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1 Page 1 of 11 Gas Futures Trading Natural Gas Futures Trading Markets
2 Page 2 of 11 Gas Futures Trading: Forward Price Curve NYMEX Natural Gas Forward Price Curve $8 $6 $4 $2 Source: Derived from NYMEX data. 2/3/ /20/09 2/5/08 May-09 Sep-09 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-10 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-11 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-12 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-13 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14
3 Page 3 of 11 Natural Gas Trading: Futures Open Interest and Volume NYMEX Natural Gas Futures Month-End Open Interest and Total Monthly Volume Open Interest (Thousands of Contracts) 1,200 1, Range 2008 Volume (Thousands of Contracts) 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1, Range 2008 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: Derived from NYMEX data. Updated January 9,
4 Page 4 of 11 Natural Gas Trading: Futures Prompt Month Price $14 NYMEX Natural Gas Futures Prompt Month Daily Settlement Price and Price Range $13 $12 $11 High Price Low Price Last Price $9 $8 $7 $6 $5 $4 Jun-07 Jul-07 Source: Derived from NYMEX data. Aug-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec
5 Page 5 of 11 Natural Gas Trading: Physical and Futures Prices $18 Daily Physical Index Price and Daily Futures Settlement Price $15 $12 $9 $6 $3 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Source: Derived from Platts and Bloomberg data. Daily Futures Settlement Daily Physical Henry Hub Price Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec
6 Page 6 of 11 Gas Futures Trading: Physical and Futures Price Deviation Deviation Between Monthly Physical Index and Monthly Futures Expiration Price at Henry Hub Source: Derived from Platts and Bloomberg data. Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Feb
7 Page 7 of 11 Gas Futures Trading: Futures Strip and Spot/Bidweek Prices Natural Gas Winter Futures Strip and Daily Henry Hub Spot and Bidweek Prices $15 $5 Source: Derived from Platts and Nymex data Daily Winter Strip Price Daily Spot Price Bidw eek Price $15 $ Jan-03 May-03 Sep-03 Jan-04 May-04 Sep-04 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-05 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-06 Jan-07 May-07 Nov-08 Mar-09 $15 $5 Jan-02 May-02 Sep-02 Jan-03 May-03 Sep-03 Jan-04 May-04 Sep-04 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-05 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-06 Jan-07 May Daily Winter Strip Price Daily Spot Price Bidw eek Price $15 $5 Nov-07 Mar-08
8 Page 8 of 11 Gas Futures Trading: NYMEX Contract and ICE Look-alike Settlement NYMEX and ICE Contract Final Settlement Day NYMEX settlement period: 14:00-14:30 NYMEX intraday trading, Contract ICE intraday trading, Contract NYMEX Settlement Price: $4.476 Inside FERC's Gas Market Report Bidweek Physical Basis: $4.49 Price ($/mmbtu) :00 11:00 12:00 13:00 January 28, 2009 Trade Time 14:00 15:00 Source: Derived from Nymex and ICE data. Updated January 30,
9 Page 9 of 11 Gas Futures Trading: Physical Basis and Price Indices Use of Physical Basis in Natural Gas Price Indices at Major Trading Points, 2008 PG&E Citygate Monthly Index Price Not Influenced by Futures Trading Sumas Stanfield SoCal Gas Northwest Wyoming Pool PG&E South CIG Rocky Mts. Questar, Rocky Mts. Southern Star TX-OK-KS El Paso San Juan Basin Transwestern Permian Waha Monthly Index Price Influenced by Futures Trading Northern Ventura Northern Demarc. Houston Ship Channel Transco Z1 TETCO STX Panhandle TX-OK NGPL, Midcon ANR OK Centerpoint East Oneok OK Texas Gas Z1 El Paso Permian NGPL Texok Chicago Citygate Consumers Energy Citygate Dawn Niagara MichCon TETCO M-3 Citygate Dominion South Pt. Columbia Gas, App. Transco Z3 Florida Z3 SoNat LA Tenn. 500 Leg Tenn. Z6 Transco Z6 NY Transco Z6 non-ny Algonquin Monthly Index Price Heavily Influenced by Futures Trading Predominant (86-100%) Majority (51-85%) Little or Some (1-50%) None (0%) NGPL STX Tenn. Z0 1 Trunkline WLA 2 Transco Z2 3 Florida Z1 4 Columbia Gulf 5 Texas Gas SL 6 Tenn. 800 Leg 7 ANR LA 8 TETCO WLA 9 Florida Z2 10 Henry Hub 11 TETCO ELA 12 Trunkline ELA Source: Derived from Platts data for January through March 2008 indices. Updated May 6,
10 Page 10 of 11 Gas Futures Trading: US and UK Forward Price Curves NYMEX Henry Hub and ICE UK National Balancing Point Natural Gas Forward Price Curves NYMEX Henry Hub ICE UK National Balancing Point Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 Source: Derived from NYMEX and ICE data. 2170
11 Page 11 of 11 Gas Futures Trading: Gas Futures Prices Rise $16 US and UK Gas Futures Prices Future Prices in U.S. $/MMBtu $12 $8 $4 Jan-07 Mar-07 Prompt-month UK NBP Futures Settlements UK NBP Futures Strip Prompt-month Henry Hub Futures Settlements Henry Hub Futures Strip May-07 Jul-07 Nov-07 Mar-08 Jul-08 Nov-08 Mar-09 May-09 Jul-09 Sep-09 Nov-09 Jan-10 Source: Derived from NYMEX and ICE data. 2177
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