Education and Training Classification System for the Projections

Transcription

1 Education and Training Classification System for the Projections Teri Morisi 2012 National LMI Conference May 24, 2012

2 Education and training and projections For both career exploration and policy decisions, users want to know: What is the demand for workers with a college degree (or some other level of education)? What training or experience is needed in different careers, in addition to formal education? 2

3 Educational attainment by occupation Percent distribution of workers 25 years and older by educational attainment, by detailed occupation, 2009 Less than high school diploma High school diploma or equivalent Some college, no degree Associate's degree Bachelor's degree Master's degree Doctoral or professional degree Occupation Architectural and engineering managers Lawyers Paralegals and legal Assistants Career/technical education teachers, middle school Waiters and waitresses Speech language pathologists Electricians Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, year file. 3

4 New education and training classification Three categories of information for each occupation: Typical education needed for entry Work experience in a related occupation Typical on-the-job training needed to attain competency in the occupation The categories make up a typical path to entry and competency 4

5 Education and training classification Typical entry level education Work experience in a related occupation Typical OJT needed to attain competency Doctoral or professional degree More than 5 years Internship/residency Master's degree 1 5 years Apprenticeship Bachelor's degree Associate's degree Postsecondary non degree award Some college, no degree High school diploma or equivalent Less than high school Less than 1 year None Long term OJT (more than 1 year) Moderate term OJT (1 to 12 months) Short term OJT (less than 1 month) None 5

6 Education and training classification Allows analysis of projections for occupations assigned to each category Data summed for occupations found in each category E.g., projected new jobs in occupations assigned bachelor s degree as typical entrylevel education Allows analysis at the intersections of typical entry-level education, work experience, and OJT the path 6

7 Replaces previous education and training system Old system combined different dimensions of education and training into 11 possible assignments No education assignments below postsecondary level Could not assign both education and training and/or work experience Most significant source was not defined 7

8 Revision work Education and training system is the result of several years of work Federal Register Notices were posted in 2008 and 2010, and the latter included an experimental dataset We received helpful comments and made changes based on the feedback 8

9 Typical education What best describes the typical level that most workers need to enter Doctoral or professional degree Master s degree Bachelor s degree Associate s degree Postsecondary non-degree award Some college, no degree High school diploma or equivalent Less than high school 9

10 Work experience in a related occupation Primarily needed for first-line supervisors or managers of service, sales, or production occupations Intended to capture occupation-specific experience commonly considered necessary by employers or can be substituted for more formal types of training or education 10

11 Typical on-the-job training Needed to attain competency in the occupation Occupation-specific, not job-specific Training can be transferred to another job in the same occupation A school bus driver receives training on how to drive a bus An electrician receives training through an apprenticeship A podiatrist completes a hospital-based residency program A retail salesperson receives training on how to operate a cash register 11

12 Typical on-the-job training Internship/residency Preparation in field such as medicine or teaching, generally under supervision in a professional setting like a hospital or classroom Excludes internships that are suggested to improve job prospects These occupations are normally licensed 12

13 Typical on-the-job training Apprenticeship Formal relationship between worker and sponsor Combination of OJT and related occupation-specific technical instruction Typical program lasts 3-5 years Included in long-term OJT before 13

14 Education and training classification Occupation Architectural and engineering managers BLS education and training assignments Typical entry level education Work experience in a related occupation Typical OJT needed to attain competency Bachelor s degree More than 5 years None Doctoral or professional degree None None Lawyers Paralegals and legal assistants Associate's degree None None Career/technical education Internship teachers, middle school Bachelor s degree 1 5 years /residency Less than high school Short term Waiters and waitresses diploma None OJT Speech language pathologists Master s degree None None Apprenticeship Electricians High school diploma None 14

15 Employment by typical entry-level education category: 2010 Doctoral or professional degree Master's degree Bachelor's degree Associate's degree Postsecondary non-degree award Some college, no degree Thousands of jobs 4, , , , , Median annual Wages, May 2010 $87,500 $60,240 $63,430 $61,590 $34,220 $44,350 High school diploma or equivalent Less than high school 37, ,089.6 $34,180 $20,070 15

16 Percent change in employment by typical entry-level education category Doctoral or professional degree Percent change, projected Master's degree Average, all occupations = 14.3% 19.9% 21.7% Bachelor's degree 16.5% Associate's degree Postsecondary non-degree award Some college, no degree High school diploma or equivalent Less than high school 18.0% 16.9% 17.5% 12.2% 14.1% 16

17 Employment change by typical entry-level education category Thousands of jobs, projected Doctoral or professional degree Master's degree Bachelor's degree 3,651.6 Associate's degree 1,440.0 Postsecondary non-degree award 1,100.9 Some college, no degree High school diploma or equivalent 7,576.1 Less than high school 5,

18 Percent change in employment by typical on-the-job training category Percent change, projected Internship/residency Average, all occupations = 14.3% 16.7% Apprenticeship 22.5% Long-term (more than 12 months) Moderate-term (1-12 months) Short-term(less than 1 month) 12.5% 12.9% 13.5% None 15.6% 18

19 Percent growth in employment for selected paths Education, work experience, OJT Percent change, projected Associate's/None/None Doctoralprofessional/None/Internship- Master's/None/None High school/none/apprenticeship High school/1-5 years/short-term OJT Postsecondary non-degree award/none/none Doctoral-professional/None/None Bachelor's/None/None Less than high school/none/moderate-term OJT 23.7% 23.4% 22.6% 22.5% 20.4% 19.2% 18.9% 18.5% 18.2% Bachelor's/1-5 years/none 16.6% 19

20 Projected number of new jobs (in thousands) in bachelor s degree occupations, by path Work experience, OJT More than 5 years, None 1-5 years, Internship/residency 1-5 years, Long-term OJT 1-5 years, Moderate-term OJT 1-5 years, Short-term OJT 1-5 years, None Less than 1 year, None None, Internship/residency None, Long-term OJT None, Moderate-term OJT 17.1 None, Short-term OJT None, None 20

21 Contact Information Teri Morisi Branch chief for Occupational Outlook Studies, Division of Occupational Outlook Employment Projections Program