Economic Development in Ethiopia

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Economic Development in Ethiopia Ethiopia has one of the world s fastest growing economies During the past four-year implementation period of the GTP Ethiopian economy has shown a 10.1 per cent growth on average Despite the economic growth, under-nutrition remains one of the main public health problems in Ethiopia. 7/24/2015 1

The Problem of Under-nutrition Major causes of malnutrition in Ethiopia are preventable. These are: Poor maternal nutrition, Poor infant and young child feeding, Childhood illness, Poor WASH practices Inadequate health care practices and Limited availability and access to diversified foods In addition, care givers illiteracy and inadequate maternal economic access and control are the basic causes 7/24/2015 2

Trends in Nutritional Status of Children under 5 in Ethiopia, 2000-2014 70 60 58 50 40 30 51 44 40 41 33 29 25 20 10 12 12 10 9 0 Stunting Wasting Underweight 2000 2005 2011 2013/4

In 2011, largest numbers of children with chronic (stunting) and acute (wasting) malnutrition found in the same four regions Stunted children <5 in 2011 Wasted children <5 1 million 500,000-999,999 100,000-499,999 50,000-99,999 0-49,999 200,000 100,000-199,999 50,000-99,999 25,000-49,999 0-24,999 4.6 million children 950,000 children Source: DHS (2011); Ethiopia Census Report (2007); World Population Prospects, The 2010 Revision, Volume II (2011)

Under-nutrition in Ethiopia (EDHS 2011) 70 60 50 40 44.4 49.2 42.4 37.5 38.4 39.7 44.3 30 21.8 29.2 22.9 27.4 20 10 0 2005 2011 2014 5

Under-nutrition in Ethiopia cont Malnutrition by Degree of Food Insecurity 7/24/2015 6

Total Poorest Poor Middle Wealthier Wealthies t Prevalence (%) Under-nutrition in Ethiopia cont 60 Prevalence of Stunting by Economic Status Moderate and Severe stunting Severe stunting 50 40 30 20 10 0 7/24/2015 7

The effect of child under nutrition to the individuals and to the public. Lower Productivity Higher labor absenteeism Increased demand to social services Social inclusion problems Lower Performance in Manual Labor Lower educational performance Higher mortality risk Higher morbidity risks: Acute and Chronic illnesses Cognitive and psychomotor underdevelopment Lower physical capacity Undernutrition

Effect of under-nutrition on productivity Studies indicates that when a child is stunted, this will impact them when they enter the labour force. On the whole, stunted workers are less productive than nonstunted workers, and are less able to contribute to the national economy. 7/24/2015 9

Total costs of Child under-nutrition to Ethiopia ETB 55.5 Billion/ USD 4.7 B 7/24/2015 10

ESTIMATED SAVINGS FOR EACH SCENARIO, 2009 Scenarios Description Baseline: The Cost of Inaction by 2025 Stunting = 46.4% Underweight = 31% Scenario #1: Halving the Prevalence of Child Under-nutrition by 2025 Stunting = 23.2% Underweight = 15.5% Scenario #2. The Goal Scenario: 10 and 5 by 2025 Stunting = 10% Underweight = 5%. Implications No increase or decrease but total number of stunted children and burden increases Reduce stunting of 1.5% points annually is required Reduction of 2.3% points annually is required Estimated Change in period Annual Average Savings Total cost increase of up to 39% for 2025 compared to the values in 2009 None Accumulated savings of 70.9 billion ETB for the period from 2009 to 2025 4.4 billion ETB (USD 376 million) Accumulated savings of 148 billion ETB for the period from 2009 to 2025 9.2 billion ETB (USD 784 million)

Decisive Government commitment and leadership 12

System Strengthening Improving access to Primary Health Care Health Extension Program 38,000 Health extension workers; Government salaried Throughout the country 2 per village Provision of promotive, preventative & basic curative services Improving access to Agriculture (services, technology) 60,000 Agriculture extension workers (3 per village) Technologies (fertilizers, improved seeds, etc) Improved access to Education Primary Schools: from a thousand to over 32,000 Enrolment (primary) increased from 36% to 83% last 5 years (23-80%)

Policies Agriculture: DRM: Control of the impact of emergencies (droughts, etc.) on children and women [CMAM sites hundreds to 14,000] Agriculture Growth Program; Productive safety net program, Livestock Education: School Health and Nutrition Strategy school feeding program, de-worming and nutrition education Industry: food fortification; private sector engagement MoLSA: Social Protection policy Dedicated nutrition unit/ focal person in the above sector offices

Overall and Specific Objectives for Mainstreaming Nutrition in AGP 2 SO 5: Build capacity of staff about nutrition/ to implement the NNP SO 4: Increase awareness about nutrition SO 1: Improved production and productivity of diverse foods SO 2: Improved post harvest handling and food preparation, processing and preservation Overall Objective: Improved Dietary Consumption SO 3: Improved income generating capacity of women SO 6: Support research and dissemination of improved production and post-harvest technologies

What the PIM anticipates.. 1. Nutrition sensitive interventions under all components 2. Nutrition sensitive interventions for PW clients and temporary direct support 3. Permanent direct support

Nutrition sensitive interventions planned under PSNP 4 (cont) PSNP 4 aims to improve caring and health seeking behavior through : Participation in monthly community nutrition BCC as a substitute to public works -for male and female PW clients Early transition of pregnant women (PLW) from public work to direct support, based on referral from the health sector (or proof of first ANC visit) Introduction of co-responsibilities or soft conditionality for PLW and caretakers of malnourished children - They will take up some core elements of the HEP in return for being exempt from public works Accountability: the design & results framework includes provisions for monitoring & evaluation nutrition sensitive interventions : PSNP s results framework provides a clear indication of PSNP s nutrition related objectives and respective indicators (see annex) Creation of a PSNP Nutrition Task force and recruitment of Social Development specialists at woreda level

Seqota Declaration A commitment to end child under-nutrition in Ethiopia by 2030

Zero stunting in children less than 2 years 100% access to adequate food all year round Transform smallholder productivity and income Zero loss of food Sustainable food systems Water, Sanitation and Hygiene Education Social protection

Implementation Innovation Phase - Learning by doing [2016 2018] Expansion to reach more vulnerable communities [2019 2020] National Scale up [2020 2030]

Main Challenges being addressed Equity and quality Limited (local) evidence in nutrition sensitive sectors; slow engagement Information systems accountability across sectors and administrative levels Resources Capacity to act at scale Tools: to guide professionals Emergence of overweight/ obesity