Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 1
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- Antony Hancock
- 7 years ago
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1 SurveyUSA clients in California After 1st Presidential Debate, Clinton Increases Lead in California; Sanchez Closes-In on Harris for Senate; Recreational Marijuana Proposition Clings to Narrow Advantage, 40 Days till Votes Are Counted, 11 Days Until Early Voting Begins: Hillary Clinton's lead in California has increased ever-so-slightly in the 3 days immediately following the first Presidential debate, according to a SurveyUSA pre-election tracking poll conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego, and KFSN-TV Fresno. Clinton today leads Trump by 26 points in California, 59% to 33%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 3% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 2%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 3 weeks ago, Clinton is up 2 points, Trump is up 1 point. Clinton today leads by 35 points among all women (up 5 points from 3 weeks ago), leads by 28 points among suburban moms (unchanged), and leads by 52 points among single moms (unchanged). Clinton leads by 14 points among white voters, by 4 points among Asian American voters, by 50 points among Latino voters, and by 71 points among African American voters.clinton leads by 39 points among 1st-generation Californians (those whose parents were born in another country). Clinton holds 96% of the Democratic base, Trump holds 81% of the Republican base. Independents break for Clinton by 7 points. Moderates break for Clinton by 34 points. Trump leads Clinton by 5 points among gun owners. Trump leads by 24 points in the Inland Empire. The candidates run even in Central CA, but Clinton leads 2:1 in Greater Los Angeles and 3:1 in the Bay Area. Clinton leads by 54 points among Catholics. Clinton leads by 34 points in union households. Of those voting for Trump, 64% do so enthusiastically. Of those voting for Clinton, 71% do so enthusiastically. Of those voting for Trump, 43% say they are voting "against Clinton." Of those voting for Clinton, 25% say they are voting "against Trump." In an election today for United States Senator from CA, to replace retiring Democrat Barbara Boxer, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Democrat Loretta Sanchez, 40% to 29%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 3 weeks ago, Harris is down 4 points, Sanchez is up 2 points, a 6-point swing towards Sanchez. Harris leads by 13 points among white voters, by 57 points among African American voters and by 19 points among Asian Americans. Sanchez leads by 6 points among California's Latinos. Sanchez leads by 10 points among Republicans (there is no Republican on the ballot for U.S. Senate in 2016), Harris leads by 23 points among Democrats. Sanchez leads among lower-income voters, among high-school educated voters, among rural voters, among voters who have lived in California less than 10 years, and among smokers. Those who voted for Carly Fiorina for Senate in 2010 back Sanchez by 8 points in Those who voted for Boxer in 2010 back Harris by 30 points. Ballot Measures: * Proposition 56, which would increase the tax on cigarettes to $2 per pack, is favored to pass 61% to 33%. * Proposition 62, which would end the death penalty in CA and replace it with life in prison, trails by 15 points today and is headed for defeat. * Proposition 63, which outlaws large-capacity magazines and requires background checks on ammo purchases, leads by more than 2:1 and will pass. * Proposition 64, which would legalize, regulate and tax recreational marijuana, is supported 52% to 41%. Caution advised. Statewide Favorability Ratings: * President Obama is viewed extremely favorably by 36% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 23%. * Trump is viewed extremely favorably by 14% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 51%. * Clinton is viewed extremely favorably by 24% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 31%. * Governor Jerry Brown is viewed extremely favorably by 14% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 18%. * Dianne Feinstein is viewed extremely favorably by 14% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 18%. * Boxer is viewed extremely favorably by 13% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 23%. Context 2016 SurveyUSA and Methodology: - Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 1
2 SurveyUSA clients in California 1 California will elect a President on Tuesday, November 8. Please listen to these 5 statements and tell me which ONE statement best describes you: One: I always vote in Presidential elections, and will definitely vote in this year's presidential election. Two: I always vote in Presidential elections, but this year, I do not like the candidates, so I will not vote in the presidential election this year. Three: I'm not sure yet whether I will or will not vote this year. Four: I rarely vote in Presidential elections, but this year I will go out of my way to vote. Five: I don't vote in Presidential elections, and I won't vote this year. 817 Registered Voters Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.5% Male Female White Black Hispani Asian / Always Do / Will This Year 84% 87% 81% 77% 87% 82% 94% 82% 87% 91% 90% 75% 82% Always Do / Not This Year 2% 2% 3% 6% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 3% 3% 4% Not Sure Yet 7% 5% 9% 10% 6% 10% 2% 8% 7% 5% 5% 13% 5% Rarely Do / Will This Year 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 3% 5% 5% 3% 2% 8% 8% Don't / Won't This Year 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 50% 50% 29% 30% 23% 17% 60% 40% 46% 6% 32% 16% 1 California will elect a President on Tuesday, November 8. Please listen to these 5 statements and tell me which ONE statement best describes you: One: I always vote in Presidential elections, and will definitely vote in this year's presidential election. Two: I always vote in Presidential elections, but this year, I do not like the candidates, so I will not vote in the presidential election this year. Three: I'm not sure yet whether I will or will not vote this year. Four: I rarely vote in Presidential elections, but this year I will go out of my way to vote. Five: I don't vote in Presidential elections, and I won't vote this year. 817 Registered Voters Party Affiliation Party Affiliation Ideology Military Househo Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.5% Strong Republi Indy Le Indepen Indy Le Democr Strong Republi Indepen Democr Very Co Somew Modera Somew Very Li Yes No Always Do / Will This Year 84% 95% 84% 77% 70% 84% 84% 96% 89% 77% 88% 89% 80% 81% 92% 92% 83% 85% Always Do / Not This Year 2% 0% 1% 3% 9% 3% 2% 0% 1% 5% 1% 4% 2% 4% 0% 1% 3% 2% Not Sure Yet 7% 2% 6% 13% 12% 8% 10% 0% 5% 11% 6% 3% 7% 10% 5% 5% 6% 8% Rarely Do / Will This Year 5% 3% 9% 7% 4% 5% 5% 3% 6% 6% 4% 5% 11% 3% 2% 3% 7% 4% Don't / Won't This Year 1% 0% 0% 0% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 11% 13% 12% 11% 9% 27% 15% 24% 32% 42% 15% 24% 29% 15% 13% 30% 69% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 2
3 SurveyUSA clients in California 1 California will elect a President on Tuesday, November 8. Please listen to these 5 statements and tell me which ONE statement best describes you: One: I always vote in Presidential elections, and will definitely vote in this year's presidential election. Two: I always vote in Presidential elections, but this year, I do not like the candidates, so I will not vote in the presidential election this year. Three: I'm not sure yet whether I will or will not vote this year. Four: I rarely vote in Presidential elections, but this year I will go out of my way to vote. Five: I don't vote in Presidential elections, and I won't vote this year. 817 Registered Voters Education Income Urbanity Union 2016 Vote 2012 Vote 2010 Vote Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.5% High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural Yes No Trump Clinton Obama Romne Boxer Fiorina Always Do / Will This Year 84% 76% 79% 90% 76% 84% 89% 86% 85% 84% 87% 84% 92% 96% 90% 89% 95% 92% Always Do / Not This Year 2% 5% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1% 2% 3% 1% 2% 3% - - 1% 1% 0% 2% Not Sure Yet 7% 11% 8% 6% 11% 8% 5% 5% 8% 7% 5% 8% - - 6% 4% 3% 2% Rarely Do / Will This Year 5% 6% 9% 2% 8% 5% 4% 5% 4% 7% 5% 5% 8% 4% 3% 6% 1% 5% Don't / Won't This Year 1% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% - - 0% 0% 0% 0% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 13% 36% 51% 25% 32% 43% 38% 44% 13% 26% 71% 33% 59% 61% 26% 45% 26% 1 California will elect a President on Tuesday, November 8. Please listen to these 5 statements and tell me which ONE statement best describes you: One: I always vote in Presidential elections, and will definitely vote in this year's presidential election. Two: I always vote in Presidential elections, but this year, I do not like the candidates, so I will not vote in the presidential election this year. Three: I'm not sure yet whether I will or will not vote this year. Four: I rarely vote in Presidential elections, but this year I will go out of my way to vote. Five: I don't vote in Presidential elections, and I won't vote this year. 817 Registered Voters Married? Evangelical Catholic Smoke? Vegetarian? Own a Gun? Own Motorcycle Kids Under 18 Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.5% Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Always Do / Will This Year 84% 88% 79% 88% 84% 84% 83% 90% 84% 89% 85% 85% 84% 86% 84% 85% 85% Always Do / Not This Year 2% 1% 4% 1% 3% 4% 2% 1% 3% 1% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% Not Sure Yet 7% 6% 9% 6% 7% 8% 8% 3% 8% 5% 8% 4% 9% 6% 8% 7% 8% Rarely Do / Will This Year 5% 4% 7% 5% 5% 3% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 4% 3% 5% 5% 5% Don't / Won't This Year 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 61% 39% 30% 65% 39% 61% 16% 84% 6% 93% 35% 62% 22% 77% 47% 53% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 3
4 SurveyUSA clients in California 1 California will elect a President on Tuesday, November 8. Please listen to these 5 statements and tell me which ONE statement best describes you: One: I always vote in Presidential elections, and will definitely vote in this year's presidential election. Two: I always vote in Presidential elections, but this year, I do not like the candidates, so I will not vote in the presidential election this year. Three: I'm not sure yet whether I will or will not vote this year. Four: I rarely vote in Presidential elections, but this year I will go out of my way to vote. Five: I don't vote in Presidential elections, and I won't vote this year. 817 Registered Voters Live in CA 1st Generation 2nd Generation Tattoo Parental Violenc Cell Phone / Lan Region Suburb Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.5% <10 Yrs 10 + Yr Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Cell Ph Landlin Central Greater Inland Bay Are Yes Always Do / Will This Year 84% 84% 85% 77% 89% 88% 90% 84% 85% 88% 86% 84% 84% 81% 85% 85% 86% 80% Always Do / Not This Year 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 4% 1% 6% Not Sure Yet 7% 7% 7% 12% 5% 5% 6% 8% 7% 2% 6% 8% 7% 11% 7% 7% 5% 10% Rarely Do / Will This Year 5% 7% 4% 7% 4% 5% 2% 4% 5% 5% 5% 3% 7% 6% 5% 4% 6% 4% Don't / Won't This Year 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 11% 89% 34% 66% 49% 51% 30% 70% 14% 81% 40% 60% 21% 39% 20% 21% 10% 1 California will elect a President on Tuesday, November 8. Please listen to these 5 statements and tell me which ONE statement best describes you: One: I always vote in Presidential elections, and will definitely vote in this year's presidential election. Two: I always vote in Presidential elections, but this year, I do not like the candidates, so I will not vote in the presidential election this year. Three: I'm not sure yet whether I will or will not vote this year. Four: I rarely vote in Presidential elections, but this year I will go out of my way to vote. Five: I don't vote in Presidential elections, and I won't vote this year. 817 Registered Voters Single Margin of Sampling Error: +/-2.5% Yes Always Do / Will This Year 84% 73% Always Do / Not This Year 2% 3% Not Sure Yet 7% 14% Rarely Do / Will This Year 5% 8% Don't / Won't This Year 1% 2% Total 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 7% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 4
5 SurveyUSA clients in California 2 If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson or Green Party candidate Jill Stein? 732 Likely November Voters Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% Male Female White Black Hispani Asian / Donald Trump (R) 33% 38% 28% 25% 24% 47% 42% 25% 45% 39% 13% 21% 43% Hillary Clinton (D) 59% 56% 63% 59% 70% 49% 54% 65% 51% 53% 84% 71% 47% Gary Johnson (L) 3% 3% 3% 6% 2% 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% Jill Stein (G) 2% 1% 2% 4% 2% 0% 0% 3% 0% 1% 0% 2% 3% Undecided 3% 2% 4% 6% 2% 1% 2% 4% 1% 3% 1% 2% 4% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 51% 49% 27% 31% 23% 18% 59% 41% 48% 6% 30% 16% 2 If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson or Green Party candidate Jill Stein? 732 Likely November Voters Party Affiliation Party Affiliation Ideology Military Househo Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% Strong Republi Indy Le Indepen Indy Le Democr Strong Republi Indepen Democr Very Co Somew Modera Somew Very Li Yes No Donald Trump (R) 33% 84% 79% 76% 22% 4% 3% 0% 81% 37% 2% 67% 55% 28% 4% 3% 42% 29% Hillary Clinton (D) 59% 16% 16% 10% 48% 82% 95% 97% 16% 44% 96% 30% 35% 62% 90% 91% 50% 63% Gary Johnson (L) 3% 0% 3% 11% 9% 5% 1% 1% 2% 9% 1% 3% 5% 5% 1% 1% 4% 3% Jill Stein (G) 2% 0% 1% 1% 7% 6% 0% 1% 0% 4% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 6% 0% 2% Undecided 3% 0% 1% 1% 14% 4% 2% 0% 0% 6% 1% 0% 5% 4% 3% 0% 3% 2% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 12% 14% 11% 9% 9% 27% 17% 26% 29% 43% 16% 24% 28% 16% 14% 30% 68% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 5
6 SurveyUSA clients in California 2 If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson or Green Party candidate Jill Stein? 732 Likely November Voters Education Income Urbanity Union 2016 Vote 2012 Vote 2010 Vote Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural Yes No Trump Clinton Obama Romne Boxer Fiorina Donald Trump (R) 33% 30% 36% 31% 26% 36% 34% 27% 35% 48% 28% 35% 100% 0% 8% 87% 7% 73% Hillary Clinton (D) 59% 61% 55% 62% 64% 55% 60% 68% 55% 44% 62% 58% 0% 100% 87% 9% 89% 22% Gary Johnson (L) 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 2% 4% 5% 6% 2% 0% 0% 1% 3% 2% 4% Jill Stein (G) 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 4% 0% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% Undecided 3% 5% 3% 2% 5% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% 3% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 12% 36% 53% 23% 32% 44% 39% 43% 14% 27% 71% 33% 59% 62% 27% 47% 27% 2 If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson or Green Party candidate Jill Stein? 732 Likely November Voters Married? Evangelical Catholic Smoke? Vegetarian? Own a Gun? Own Motorcycle Kids Under 18 Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Donald Trump (R) 33% 38% 25% 49% 26% 20% 29% 32% 33% 20% 34% 48% 23% 38% 31% 28% 38% Hillary Clinton (D) 59% 56% 65% 45% 65% 74% 60% 64% 58% 66% 59% 43% 71% 51% 62% 63% 56% Gary Johnson (L) 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 1% 4% 1% 4% 6% 3% 6% 2% 4% 3% 3% 4% Jill Stein (G) 2% 1% 3% 0% 3% 0% 4% 2% 2% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% Undecided 3% 2% 4% 2% 3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 4% 3% 1% 3% 4% 2% 3% 2% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 63% 37% 31% 65% 39% 61% 17% 83% 6% 93% 36% 61% 22% 77% 47% 53% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 6
7 SurveyUSA clients in California 2 If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson or Green Party candidate Jill Stein? 732 Likely November Voters Live in CA 1st Generation 2nd Generation Tattoo Parental Violenc Cell Phone / Lan Region Suburb Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% <10 Yrs 10 + Yr Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Cell Ph Landlin Central Greater Inland Bay Are Yes Donald Trump (R) 33% 22% 34% 27% 36% 35% 37% 25% 37% 21% 34% 25% 38% 44% 32% 34% 23% 29% Hillary Clinton (D) 59% 67% 58% 66% 56% 57% 54% 66% 56% 66% 59% 63% 57% 45% 61% 58% 71% 57% Gary Johnson (L) 3% 5% 3% 3% 4% 2% 5% 3% 3% 9% 2% 4% 3% 6% 2% 3% 4% 4% Jill Stein (G) 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 4% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 0% 7% Undecided 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 5% 1% 2% 3% 4% 2% 4% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 11% 89% 32% 68% 49% 51% 30% 70% 15% 82% 39% 61% 20% 39% 20% 22% 9% 2 If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson or Green Party candidate Jill Stein? 732 Likely November Voters Single Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% Yes Donald Trump (R) 33% 15% Hillary Clinton (D) 59% 67% Gary Johnson (L) 3% 4% Jill Stein (G) 2% 7% Undecided 3% 6% Total 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 6% 3 Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? 240 Trump Voters Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Margin of Sampling Error: +/-6.4% Male Female White Black Hispani Asian / For Trump 56% 52% 61% 48% 57% 54% 64% 53% 58% 65% ** 25% 58% Against Clinton 43% 46% 39% 52% 43% 45% 34% 47% 40% 34% ** 73% 42% Not Sure 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 2% 1% ** 3% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Trump Voters 100% 59% 41% 20% 23% 33% 23% 44% 56% 57% 2% 19% 22% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 7
8 SurveyUSA clients in California 3 Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? 240 Trump Voters Party Affiliation Party Affiliation Ideology Military Househo Margin of Sampling Error: +/-6.4% Strong Republi Indy Le Indepen Indy Le Democr Strong Republi Indepen Democr Very Co Somew Modera Somew Very Li Yes No For Trump 56% 69% 53% 50% 36% ** ** ** 61% 47% ** 68% 50% 49% ** ** 48% 61% Against Clinton 43% 30% 46% 49% 64% ** ** ** 39% 53% ** 30% 49% 51% ** ** 50% 39% Not Sure 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% ** ** ** 1% 0% ** 2% 0% 0% ** ** 2% 0% Composition of Trump Voters 100% 30% 33% 26% 6% 1% 2% 0% 63% 33% 2% 32% 40% 24% 2% 1% 38% 61% 3 Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? 240 Trump Voters Education Income Urbanity Union 2016 Vote 2012 Vote 2010 Vote Margin of Sampling Error: +/-6.4% High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural Yes No Trump Clinton Obama Romne Boxer Fiorina For Trump 56% 62% 48% 61% 56% 57% 55% 53% 56% 60% 39% 61% 56% ** 52% 61% 53% 62% Against Clinton 43% 38% 51% 38% 43% 42% 45% 44% 44% 40% 60% 38% 43% ** 46% 39% 44% 37% Not Sure 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% ** 2% 1% 3% 1% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Trump Voters 100% 10% 39% 50% 19% 35% 46% 32% 46% 20% 23% 75% 100% 0% 14% 70% 10% 59% 3 Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? 240 Trump Voters Married? Evangelical Catholic Smoke? Vegetarian? Own a Gun? Own Motorcycle Kids Under 18 Margin of Sampling Error: +/-6.4% Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No For Trump 56% 55% 61% 61% 53% 47% 55% 61% 55% ** 56% 57% 56% 54% 56% 53% 57% Against Clinton 43% 44% 38% 38% 47% 53% 45% 36% 44% ** 43% 43% 42% 45% 43% 46% 42% Not Sure 1% 1% 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0% ** 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Trump Voters 100% 72% 28% 46% 52% 31% 69% 16% 84% 4% 95% 51% 42% 26% 74% 39% 61% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 8
9 SurveyUSA clients in California 3 Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? 240 Trump Voters Live in CA 1st Generation 2nd Generation Tattoo Parental Violenc Cell Phone / Lan Region Suburb Margin of Sampling Error: +/-6.4% <10 Yrs 10 + Yr Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Cell Ph Landlin Central Greater Inland Bay Are Yes For Trump 56% 71% 55% 54% 56% 51% 60% 47% 58% 47% 59% 56% 56% 45% 56% 62% 66% 55% Against Clinton 43% 29% 44% 45% 43% 48% 39% 53% 41% 53% 40% 44% 43% 53% 43% 38% 33% 45% Not Sure 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% Composition of Trump Voters 100% 7% 93% 26% 74% 48% 52% 23% 77% 10% 86% 30% 70% 27% 38% 20% 15% 8% 3 Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? 240 Trump Voters Single Margin of Sampling Error: +/-6.4% Yes For Trump 56% ** Against Clinton 43% ** Not Sure 1% ** Total 100% 100% Composition of Trump Voters 100% 3% 4 Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations? 240 Trump Voters Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Margin of Sampling Error: +/-6.2% Male Female White Black Hispani Asian / Enthusiastically 64% 60% 69% 60% 51% 67% 74% 56% 70% 68% ** 39% 73% With Reservations 33% 36% 28% 31% 46% 30% 24% 39% 28% 29% ** 52% 27% Not Sure 3% 4% 3% 8% 3% 2% 1% 5% 2% 3% ** 9% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Trump Voters 100% 59% 41% 20% 23% 33% 23% 44% 56% 57% 2% 19% 22% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 9
10 SurveyUSA clients in California 4 Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations? 240 Trump Voters Party Affiliation Party Affiliation Ideology Military Househo Margin of Sampling Error: +/-6.2% Strong Republi Indy Le Indepen Indy Le Democr Strong Republi Indepen Democr Very Co Somew Modera Somew Very Li Yes No Enthusiastically 64% 79% 56% 55% 59% ** ** ** 67% 57% ** 77% 55% 60% ** ** 58% 68% With Reservations 33% 18% 39% 42% 36% ** ** ** 29% 40% ** 22% 42% 33% ** ** 41% 28% Not Sure 3% 3% 5% 3% 4% ** ** ** 4% 3% ** 1% 3% 7% ** ** 1% 4% Composition of Trump Voters 100% 30% 33% 26% 6% 1% 2% 0% 63% 33% 2% 32% 40% 24% 2% 1% 38% 61% 4 Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations? 240 Trump Voters Education Income Urbanity Union 2016 Vote 2012 Vote 2010 Vote Margin of Sampling Error: +/-6.2% High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural Yes No Trump Clinton Obama Romne Boxer Fiorina Enthusiastically 64% 84% 58% 65% 65% 67% 61% 59% 61% 76% 62% 65% 64% ** 48% 67% 41% 66% With Reservations 33% 16% 37% 33% 30% 31% 35% 37% 34% 24% 30% 34% 33% ** 46% 31% 52% 31% Not Sure 3% 1% 6% 2% 5% 1% 4% 4% 5% 0% 8% 2% 3% ** 6% 2% 7% 3% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Trump Voters 100% 10% 39% 50% 19% 35% 46% 32% 46% 20% 23% 75% 100% 0% 14% 70% 10% 59% 4 Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations? 240 Trump Voters Married? Evangelical Catholic Smoke? Vegetarian? Own a Gun? Own Motorcycle Kids Under 18 Margin of Sampling Error: +/-6.2% Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Enthusiastically 64% 63% 67% 69% 58% 55% 61% 78% 61% ** 63% 63% 61% 69% 61% 59% 65% With Reservations 33% 33% 32% 29% 38% 39% 36% 17% 37% ** 34% 34% 36% 25% 37% 37% 33% Not Sure 3% 4% 1% 2% 4% 6% 3% 4% 3% ** 3% 3% 3% 6% 2% 5% 2% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Trump Voters 100% 72% 28% 46% 52% 31% 69% 16% 84% 4% 95% 51% 42% 26% 74% 39% 61% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 10
11 SurveyUSA clients in California 4 Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations? 240 Trump Voters Live in CA 1st Generation 2nd Generation Tattoo Parental Violenc Cell Phone / Lan Region Suburb Margin of Sampling Error: +/-6.2% <10 Yrs 10 + Yr Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Cell Ph Landlin Central Greater Inland Bay Are Yes Enthusiastically 64% 70% 62% 58% 64% 65% 64% 54% 65% 50% 64% 49% 70% 53% 58% 75% 82% 45% With Reservations 33% 25% 35% 42% 32% 32% 32% 39% 33% 45% 33% 48% 26% 40% 38% 25% 18% 48% Not Sure 3% 5% 3% 0% 4% 3% 4% 7% 2% 5% 3% 4% 3% 7% 4% 0% 0% 7% Composition of Trump Voters 100% 7% 93% 26% 74% 48% 52% 23% 77% 10% 86% 30% 70% 27% 38% 20% 15% 8% 4 Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations? 240 Trump Voters Single Margin of Sampling Error: +/-6.2% Yes Enthusiastically 64% ** With Reservations 33% ** Not Sure 3% ** Total 100% 100% Composition of Trump Voters 100% 3% 5 Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? 434 Clinton Voters Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.3% Male Female White Black Hispani Asian / For Clinton 73% 73% 73% 69% 68% 86% 74% 69% 80% 79% 69% 70% 65% Against Trump 25% 26% 25% 30% 30% 12% 23% 30% 17% 20% 27% 29% 32% Not Sure 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% 2% 4% 1% 3% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Clinton Voters 100% 49% 51% 27% 37% 19% 17% 64% 36% 43% 8% 36% 13% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 11
12 SurveyUSA clients in California 5 Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? 434 Clinton Voters Party Affiliation Party Affiliation Ideology Military Househo Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.3% Strong Republi Indy Le Indepen Indy Le Democr Strong Republi Indepen Democr Very Co Somew Modera Somew Very Li Yes No For Clinton 73% ** ** ** 48% 44% 78% 84% 83% 46% 80% 84% 75% 66% 72% 81% 66% 75% Against Trump 25% ** ** ** 49% 53% 20% 15% 17% 51% 18% 13% 25% 31% 27% 19% 31% 24% Not Sure 2% ** ** ** 3% 3% 2% 0% 0% 3% 1% 3% 0% 3% 1% 0% 3% 1% Composition of Clinton Voters 100% 3% 4% 2% 7% 13% 42% 28% 7% 22% 70% 8% 14% 29% 24% 22% 25% 73% 5 Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? 434 Clinton Voters Education Income Urbanity Union 2016 Vote 2012 Vote 2010 Vote Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.3% High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural Yes No Trump Clinton Obama Romne Boxer Fiorina For Clinton 73% 81% 64% 76% 70% 73% 74% 81% 70% 60% 72% 74% ** 73% 76% ** 77% 68% Against Trump 25% 18% 32% 23% 26% 25% 26% 19% 29% 36% 27% 25% ** 25% 23% ** 22% 32% Not Sure 2% 1% 4% 0% 4% 2% 0% 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% ** 2% 1% ** 1% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Clinton Voters 100% 12% 33% 55% 25% 30% 45% 45% 40% 10% 28% 70% 0% 100% 92% 4% 70% 10% 5 Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? 434 Clinton Voters Married? Evangelical Catholic Smoke? Vegetarian? Own a Gun? Own Motorcycle Kids Under 18 Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.3% Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No For Clinton 73% 77% 66% 77% 71% 73% 70% 82% 70% 67% 73% 73% 72% 81% 70% 71% 73% Against Trump 25% 22% 31% 21% 28% 26% 29% 18% 28% 33% 26% 27% 27% 19% 29% 28% 26% Not Sure 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Clinton Voters 100% 59% 41% 23% 71% 44% 56% 19% 81% 7% 92% 26% 73% 19% 81% 50% 50% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 12
13 SurveyUSA clients in California 5 Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? 434 Clinton Voters Live in CA 1st Generation 2nd Generation Tattoo Parental Violenc Cell Phone / Lan Region Suburb Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.3% <10 Yrs 10 + Yr Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Cell Ph Landlin Central Greater Inland Bay Are Yes For Clinton 73% 80% 70% 65% 76% 76% 75% 64% 76% 82% 70% 70% 75% 65% 71% 80% 76% 69% Against Trump 25% 19% 28% 33% 23% 23% 24% 35% 23% 18% 29% 30% 22% 33% 27% 20% 22% 29% Not Sure 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 0% 2% 2% Composition of Clinton Voters 100% 12% 87% 36% 64% 51% 49% 33% 67% 16% 81% 42% 58% 15% 40% 19% 26% 9% 5 Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? 434 Clinton Voters Single Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.3% Yes For Clinton 73% 56% Against Trump 25% 40% Not Sure 2% 4% Total 100% 100% Composition of Clinton Voters 100% 7% 6 Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations? 434 Clinton Voters Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.4% Male Female White Black Hispani Asian / Enthusiastically 71% 75% 67% 64% 71% 77% 75% 68% 76% 72% 69% 79% 48% With Reservations 26% 25% 28% 30% 26% 23% 22% 28% 22% 27% 29% 18% 45% Not Sure 3% 1% 5% 6% 3% 0% 3% 4% 1% 2% 2% 4% 7% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Clinton Voters 100% 49% 51% 27% 37% 19% 17% 64% 36% 43% 8% 36% 13% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 13
14 SurveyUSA clients in California 6 Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations? 434 Clinton Voters Party Affiliation Party Affiliation Ideology Military Househo Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.4% Strong Republi Indy Le Indepen Indy Le Democr Strong Republi Indepen Democr Very Co Somew Modera Somew Very Li Yes No Enthusiastically 71% ** ** ** 41% 55% 74% 83% 80% 49% 78% 85% 79% 58% 68% 83% 70% 72% With Reservations 26% ** ** ** 50% 44% 23% 15% 19% 48% 20% 15% 20% 37% 31% 14% 28% 25% Not Sure 3% ** ** ** 9% 0% 3% 2% 1% 3% 2% 0% 1% 5% 1% 2% 2% 3% Composition of Clinton Voters 100% 3% 4% 2% 7% 13% 42% 28% 7% 22% 70% 8% 14% 29% 24% 22% 25% 73% 6 Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations? 434 Clinton Voters Education Income Urbanity Union 2016 Vote 2012 Vote 2010 Vote Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.4% High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural Yes No Trump Clinton Obama Romne Boxer Fiorina Enthusiastically 71% 77% 70% 70% 69% 67% 74% 74% 69% 65% 77% 69% ** 71% 73% ** 74% 63% With Reservations 26% 18% 25% 28% 23% 30% 25% 25% 28% 32% 22% 29% ** 26% 26% ** 24% 37% Not Sure 3% 5% 5% 2% 7% 3% 1% 1% 3% 3% 1% 2% ** 3% 1% ** 2% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Clinton Voters 100% 12% 33% 55% 25% 30% 45% 45% 40% 10% 28% 70% 0% 100% 92% 4% 70% 10% 6 Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations? 434 Clinton Voters Married? Evangelical Catholic Smoke? Vegetarian? Own a Gun? Own Motorcycle Kids Under 18 Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.4% Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Enthusiastically 71% 73% 68% 80% 67% 78% 60% 82% 68% 56% 71% 69% 72% 82% 69% 72% 71% With Reservations 26% 25% 28% 19% 30% 19% 37% 18% 29% 36% 26% 31% 24% 18% 28% 25% 27% Not Sure 3% 2% 4% 2% 3% 4% 3% 0% 3% 8% 2% 1% 3% 0% 3% 3% 2% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Clinton Voters 100% 59% 41% 23% 71% 44% 56% 19% 81% 7% 92% 26% 73% 19% 81% 50% 50% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 14
15 SurveyUSA clients in California 6 Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations? 434 Clinton Voters Live in CA 1st Generation 2nd Generation Tattoo Parental Violenc Cell Phone / Lan Region Suburb Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.4% <10 Yrs 10 + Yr Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Cell Ph Landlin Central Greater Inland Bay Are Yes Enthusiastically 71% 79% 70% 68% 73% 78% 69% 70% 72% 73% 72% 60% 79% 73% 70% 74% 70% 56% With Reservations 26% 18% 27% 27% 25% 20% 30% 28% 25% 27% 26% 35% 19% 25% 28% 22% 27% 39% Not Sure 3% 3% 3% 5% 1% 2% 1% 3% 3% 0% 3% 5% 2% 3% 3% 4% 3% 5% Composition of Clinton Voters 100% 12% 87% 36% 64% 51% 49% 33% 67% 16% 81% 42% 58% 15% 40% 19% 26% 9% 6 Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations? 434 Clinton Voters Single Margin of Sampling Error: +/-4.4% Yes Enthusiastically 71% 55% With Reservations 26% 34% Not Sure 3% 12% Total 100% 100% Composition of Clinton Voters 100% 7% 7 Is yours more a vote FOR Gary Johnson? A vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Or a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? 24 Johnson Voters Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Margin of Sampling Error: +/-20.4% Male Female White Black Hispani Asian / For Johnson 41% 44% 37% 43% 53% 42% 12% 46% 30% 46% ** 41% 34% Against Trump 21% 24% 18% 13% 23% 21% 50% 15% 32% 20% ** 20% 16% Against Clinton 29% 29% 28% 32% 23% 37% 10% 30% 26% 26% ** 18% 51% Not Sure 9% 3% 16% 12% 0% 0% 28% 9% 11% 7% ** 20% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Johnson Voters 100% 49% 51% 48% 18% 21% 13% 66% 34% 50% 4% 28% 19% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 15
16 SurveyUSA clients in California 7 Is yours more a vote FOR Gary Johnson? A vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Or a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? 24 Johnson Voters Party Affiliation Party Affiliation Ideology Military Househo Margin of Sampling Error: +/-20.4% Strong Republi Indy Le Indepen Indy Le Democr Strong Republi Indepen Democr Very Co Somew Modera Somew Very Li Yes No For Johnson 41% ** 45% 43% 21% 66% 79% 0% 45% 40% 40% 41% 49% 36% ** ** 50% 35% Against Trump 21% ** 43% 11% 32% 26% 0% 0% 43% 21% 0% 20% 12% 32% ** ** 18% 23% Against Clinton 29% ** 12% 43% 37% 7% 21% 0% 12% 34% 11% 39% 39% 23% ** ** 23% 33% Not Sure 9% ** 0% 3% 10% 0% 0% 100% 0% 5% 49% 0% 0% 9% ** ** 9% 9% Total 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Johnson Voters 100% 0% 13% 38% 24% 14% 6% 6% 13% 76% 11% 13% 35% 39% 5% 3% 39% 61% 7 Is yours more a vote FOR Gary Johnson? A vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Or a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? 24 Johnson Voters Education Income Urbanity Union 2016 Vote 2012 Vote 2010 Vote Margin of Sampling Error: +/-20.4% High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural Yes No Trump Clinton Obama Romne Boxer Fiorina For Johnson 41% 27% 35% 50% 19% 52% 45% 31% 37% 70% 40% 39% ** ** 32% 64% 47% 43% Against Trump 21% 73% 15% 18% 36% 10% 20% 26% 18% 19% 15% 28% ** ** 28% 16% 19% 22% Against Clinton 29% 0% 34% 29% 21% 29% 33% 7% 43% 12% 37% 21% ** ** 30% 19% 22% 35% Not Sure 9% 0% 17% 3% 24% 9% 3% 36% 2% 0% 7% 12% ** ** 10% 0% 12% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 0% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Johnson Voters 100% 9% 48% 43% 23% 26% 50% 22% 54% 21% 51% 47% 0% 0% 32% 34% 28% 44% 7 Is yours more a vote FOR Gary Johnson? A vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Or a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? 24 Johnson Voters Married? Evangelical Catholic Smoke? Vegetarian? Own a Gun? Own Motorcycle Kids Under 18 Margin of Sampling Error: +/-20.4% Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No For Johnson 41% 45% 35% 35% 44% 19% 50% ** 42% 16% 47% 42% 50% 33% 48% 43% 38% Against Trump 21% 23% 19% 37% 13% 0% 16% ** 19% 33% 21% 16% 34% 24% 20% 15% 25% Against Clinton 29% 29% 29% 28% 30% 31% 29% ** 30% 51% 22% 28% 16% 42% 20% 22% 37% Not Sure 9% 4% 17% 0% 13% 50% 5% ** 8% 0% 10% 14% 0% 0% 12% 20% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Johnson Voters 100% 66% 34% 35% 63% 18% 82% 3% 97% 10% 84% 60% 30% 25% 70% 43% 57% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 16
17 SurveyUSA clients in California 7 Is yours more a vote FOR Gary Johnson? A vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Or a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? 24 Johnson Voters Live in CA 1st Generation 2nd Generation Tattoo Parental Violenc Cell Phone / Lan Region Suburb Margin of Sampling Error: +/-20.4% <10 Yrs 10 + Yr Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Cell Ph Landlin Central Greater Inland Bay Are Yes For Johnson 41% 32% 42% 54% 35% 14% 44% 10% 56% 42% 43% 49% 33% 48% 51% 50% 13% 41% Against Trump 21% 34% 18% 5% 26% 54% 14% 36% 16% 21% 23% 18% 24% 22% 9% 0% 45% 23% Against Clinton 29% 34% 30% 17% 35% 33% 36% 33% 24% 23% 29% 22% 35% 12% 40% 50% 32% 35% Not Sure 9% 0% 10% 23% 3% 0% 5% 21% 4% 15% 5% 11% 7% 18% 0% 0% 10% 0% Composition of Johnson Voters 100% 16% 84% 26% 74% 31% 69% 30% 70% 42% 58% 50% 50% 39% 20% 17% 24% 11% 7 Is yours more a vote FOR Gary Johnson? A vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Or a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? 24 Johnson Voters Single Margin of Sampling Error: +/-20.4% Yes For Johnson 41% 17% Against Trump 21% 0% Against Clinton 29% 13% Not Sure 9% 70% Total 100% 100% Composition of Johnson Voters 100% 8% 8 Is yours more a vote FOR Jill Stein? A vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? Or a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? 12 Stein Voters Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Margin of Sampling Error: +/-28.8% Male Female White Black Hispani Asian / For Stein 27% 52% 16% 32% 21% ** ** 28% ** 13% ** 36% 27% Against Clinton 45% 48% 43% 48% 44% ** ** 47% ** 54% ** 38% 47% Against Trump 24% 0% 34% 19% 35% ** ** 25% ** 17% ** 27% 27% Not Sure 5% 0% 7% 0% 0% ** ** 0% ** 17% ** 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 0% 100% 100% Composition of Stein Voters 100% 31% 69% 61% 35% 0% 5% 95% 5% 29% 0% 44% 27% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 17
18 SurveyUSA clients in California 8 Is yours more a vote FOR Jill Stein? A vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? Or a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? 12 Stein Voters Party Affiliation Party Affiliation Ideology Military Househo Margin of Sampling Error: +/-28.8% Strong Republi Indy Le Indepen Indy Le Democr Strong Republi Indepen Democr Very Co Somew Modera Somew Very Li Yes No For Stein 27% ** 0% 0% 75% 0% 0% 0% 0% 36% 0% ** 100% 0% 0% 34% 43% 25% Against Clinton 45% ** 100% 0% 25% 33% 100% 100% 100% 26% 100% ** 0% 100% 75% 26% 57% 43% Against Trump 24% ** 0% 100% 0% 53% 0% 0% 0% 32% 0% ** 0% 0% 25% 40% 0% 26% Not Sure 5% ** 0% 0% 0% 15% 0% 0% 0% 6% 0% ** 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% Total 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Stein Voters 100% 0% 6% 7% 36% 32% 6% 13% 6% 75% 19% 0% 7% 17% 20% 47% 8% 92% 8 Is yours more a vote FOR Jill Stein? A vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? Or a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? 12 Stein Voters Education Income Urbanity Union 2016 Vote 2012 Vote 2010 Vote Margin of Sampling Error: +/-28.8% High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural Yes No Trump Clinton Obama Romne Boxer Fiorina For Stein 27% 100% 0% 27% 18% 33% 0% 69% 20% 0% 19% 31% ** ** 35% 0% 0% 0% Against Clinton 45% 0% 59% 47% 22% 49% 57% 31% 43% 100% 51% 41% ** ** 37% 100% 84% 100% Against Trump 24% 0% 41% 15% 60% 17% 0% 0% 31% 0% 29% 21% ** ** 22% 0% 0% 0% Not Sure 5% 0% 0% 12% 0% 0% 43% 0% 6% 0% 0% 8% ** ** 6% 0% 16% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 0% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Stein Voters 100% 16% 44% 40% 20% 69% 11% 16% 78% 6% 37% 63% 0% 0% 85% 7% 33% 10% 8 Is yours more a vote FOR Jill Stein? A vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? Or a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? 12 Stein Voters Married? Evangelical Catholic Smoke? Vegetarian? Own a Gun? Own Motorcycle Kids Under 18 Margin of Sampling Error: +/-28.8% Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No For Stein 27% 0% 37% ** 28% 0% 28% 100% 13% 0% 32% 25% 28% 36% 23% 36% 0% Against Clinton 45% 38% 47% ** 42% 100% 41% 0% 53% 100% 33% 64% 30% 64% 36% 39% 59% Against Trump 24% 44% 16% ** 25% 0% 25% 0% 28% 0% 29% 11% 34% 0% 34% 24% 23% Not Sure 5% 17% 0% ** 5% 0% 5% 0% 6% 0% 6% 0% 8% 0% 7% 0% 18% Total 100% 100% 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Stein Voters 100% 27% 73% 0% 96% 6% 94% 16% 84% 17% 83% 43% 57% 30% 70% 74% 26% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 18
19 SurveyUSA clients in California 8 Is yours more a vote FOR Jill Stein? A vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? Or a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? 12 Stein Voters Live in CA 1st Generation 2nd Generation Tattoo Parental Violenc Cell Phone / Lan Region Suburb Margin of Sampling Error: +/-28.8% <10 Yrs 10 + Yr Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Cell Ph Landlin Central Greater Inland Bay Are Yes For Stein 27% 100% 13% 0% 46% 57% 21% 16% 51% 0% 34% 31% 19% 80% 13% 0% ** 0% Against Clinton 45% 0% 53% 55% 37% 43% 25% 50% 34% 65% 43% 51% 33% 0% 53% 100% ** 51% Against Trump 24% 0% 28% 45% 8% 0% 28% 35% 0% 35% 23% 17% 35% 20% 34% 0% ** 49% Not Sure 5% 0% 6% 0% 8% 0% 27% 0% 15% 0% 0% 0% 13% 0% 0% 0% ** 0% Composition of Stein Voters 100% 16% 84% 42% 58% 70% 30% 69% 31% 17% 78% 62% 38% 24% 55% 15% 5% 37% 8 Is yours more a vote FOR Jill Stein? A vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? Or a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? 12 Stein Voters Single Margin of Sampling Error: +/-28.8% Yes For Stein 27% 37% Against Clinton 45% 43% Against Trump 24% 20% Not Sure 5% 0% Total 100% 100% Composition of Stein Voters 100% 29% 9 In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle? 20 Protest Voters Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Margin of Sampling Error: +/-22.6% Male Female White Black Hispani Asian / Republican 7% 0% 12% 4% 0% 19% 28% 3% 23% 18% 0% 0% 9% Democrat 48% 40% 56% 60% 0% 29% 57% 50% 41% 49% 100% 72% 0% Split 35% 45% 27% 26% 100% 24% 15% 38% 20% 20% 0% 28% 67% Not Sure 10% 15% 5% 10% 0% 28% 0% 8% 16% 13% 0% 0% 24% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Protest Voters 100% 45% 55% 68% 14% 11% 7% 82% 18% 23% 8% 41% 29% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 19
20 SurveyUSA clients in California 9 In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle? 20 Protest Voters Party Affiliation Party Affiliation Ideology Military Househo Margin of Sampling Error: +/-22.6% Strong Republi Indy Le Indepen Indy Le Democr Strong Republi Indepen Democr Very Co Somew Modera Somew Very Li Yes No Republican 7% ** 0% 28% 0% 0% 0% ** 22% 6% 0% 9% 0% 9% ** ** 0% 10% Democrat 48% ** 64% 0% 26% 100% 100% ** 50% 33% 100% 50% 44% 39% ** ** 43% 53% Split 35% ** 36% 53% 58% 0% 0% ** 28% 46% 0% 41% 56% 32% ** ** 37% 31% Not Sure 10% ** 0% 18% 16% 0% 0% ** 0% 14% 0% 0% 0% 20% ** ** 20% 5% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Protest Voters 100% 2% 7% 16% 42% 13% 20% 0% 9% 70% 20% 22% 19% 49% 3% 4% 34% 63% 9 In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle? 20 Protest Voters Education Income Urbanity Union 2016 Vote 2012 Vote 2010 Vote Margin of Sampling Error: +/-22.6% High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural Yes No Trump Clinton Obama Romne Boxer Fiorina Republican 7% 7% 6% 7% 10% 7% 0% 12% 5% 0% 9% 6% - - 0% 0% 0% 0% Democrat 48% 43% 64% 32% 53% 39% 53% 33% 57% 100% 10% 61% % 0% 13% 38% Split 35% 50% 6% 61% 20% 44% 47% 25% 38% 0% 39% 33% % 100% 48% 62% Not Sure 10% 0% 24% 0% 17% 9% 0% 30% 0% 0% 42% 0% - - 0% 0% 39% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 0% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Protest Voters 100% 29% 41% 30% 41% 34% 26% 33% 53% 7% 23% 76% 49% 16% 13% 25% 9 In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle? 20 Protest Voters Married? Evangelical Catholic Smoke? Vegetarian? Own a Gun? Own Motorcycle Kids Under 18 Margin of Sampling Error: +/-22.6% Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Republican 7% 6% 7% 27% 3% 0% 6% 31% 5% ** 5% 0% 11% 0% 9% 4% 9% Democrat 48% 44% 51% 0% 59% 60% 54% 69% 47% ** 49% 40% 54% 48% 49% 55% 40% Split 35% 42% 31% 54% 28% 25% 40% 0% 38% ** 36% 43% 30% 23% 39% 35% 35% Not Sure 10% 8% 11% 19% 9% 15% 0% 0% 10% ** 10% 17% 5% 29% 4% 5% 16% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Protest Voters 100% 36% 64% 15% 74% 54% 46% 7% 93% 2% 98% 40% 60% 23% 77% 56% 44% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 20
21 SurveyUSA clients in California 9 In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle? 20 Protest Voters Live in CA 1st Generation 2nd Generation Tattoo Parental Violenc Cell Phone / Lan Region Suburb Margin of Sampling Error: +/-22.6% <10 Yrs 10 + Yr Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Cell Ph Landlin Central Greater Inland Bay Are Yes Republican 7% 0% 7% 6% 8% 7% 13% 12% 4% 10% 6% 4% 10% 13% 11% 0% 0% 10% Democrat 48% 100% 44% 39% 49% 52% 21% 66% 32% 34% 47% 48% 50% 87% 55% 10% 89% 58% Split 35% 0% 39% 55% 24% 30% 24% 13% 52% 56% 33% 37% 33% 0% 34% 62% 11% 32% Not Sure 10% 0% 11% 0% 19% 10% 42% 9% 12% 0% 14% 12% 7% 0% 0% 28% 0% 0% Composition of Protest Voters 100% 9% 91% 44% 56% 63% 37% 37% 63% 22% 78% 59% 41% 19% 36% 35% 10% 24% 9 In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle? 20 Protest Voters Single Margin of Sampling Error: +/-22.6% Yes Republican 7% 27% Democrat 48% 73% Split 35% 0% Not Sure 10% 0% Total 100% 100% Composition of Protest Voters 100% 9% 10 In the election for United States Senator from California, if you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Democrat Kamala Harris? Or Democrat Loretta Sanchez? Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% Male Female White Black Hispani Asian / Harris 40% 37% 43% 29% 44% 47% 41% 37% 45% 41% 68% 35% 36% Sanchez 29% 33% 25% 34% 29% 25% 27% 32% 26% 28% 11% 41% 17% Undecided 31% 29% 33% 38% 27% 28% 32% 32% 30% 31% 21% 24% 47% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely Voters 100% 51% 49% 28% 31% 23% 18% 59% 41% 47% 6% 30% 17% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 21
22 SurveyUSA clients in California 10 In the election for United States Senator from California, if you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Democrat Kamala Harris? Or Democrat Loretta Sanchez? Party Affiliation Party Affiliation Ideology Military Househo Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% Strong Republi Indy Le Indepen Indy Le Democr Strong Republi Indepen Democr Very Co Somew Modera Somew Very Li Yes No Harris 40% 19% 24% 24% 33% 51% 48% 66% 22% 35% 55% 23% 30% 37% 59% 61% 36% 42% Sanchez 29% 32% 32% 18% 24% 30% 36% 26% 32% 24% 32% 33% 29% 30% 24% 30% 34% 28% Undecided 31% 49% 44% 59% 43% 19% 16% 8% 47% 41% 13% 44% 41% 32% 17% 9% 30% 30% Composition of Likely Voters 100% 12% 14% 11% 10% 9% 26% 17% 25% 30% 43% 16% 24% 28% 16% 14% 30% 68% 10 In the election for United States Senator from California, if you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Democrat Kamala Harris? Or Democrat Loretta Sanchez? Education Income Urbanity Union 2016 Vote 2012 Vote 2010 Vote Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urban Suburb Rural Yes No Trump Clinton Obama Romne Boxer Fiorina Harris 40% 32% 40% 42% 31% 41% 44% 45% 41% 23% 39% 41% 19% 53% 53% 19% 59% 21% Sanchez 29% 48% 25% 28% 35% 28% 27% 33% 26% 30% 33% 29% 26% 33% 32% 27% 29% 29% Undecided 31% 21% 36% 30% 34% 31% 29% 22% 33% 47% 28% 30% 55% 14% 16% 54% 11% 50% Composition of Likely Voters 100% 12% 36% 52% 24% 32% 44% 39% 44% 14% 27% 71% 33% 59% 62% 27% 47% 27% 10 In the election for United States Senator from California, if you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Democrat Kamala Harris? Or Democrat Loretta Sanchez? Married? Evangelical Catholic Smoke? Vegetarian? Own a Gun? Own Motorcycle Kids Under 18 Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Harris 40% 39% 41% 30% 45% 44% 44% 35% 41% 44% 40% 34% 44% 33% 41% 35% 43% Sanchez 29% 29% 30% 34% 27% 35% 23% 44% 26% 28% 30% 32% 28% 36% 28% 33% 27% Undecided 31% 32% 29% 36% 28% 21% 33% 21% 33% 29% 31% 34% 28% 31% 30% 32% 30% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely Voters 100% 62% 38% 30% 65% 39% 61% 17% 83% 6% 93% 36% 61% 22% 77% 47% 53% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 22
23 SurveyUSA clients in California 10 In the election for United States Senator from California, if you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Democrat Kamala Harris? Or Democrat Loretta Sanchez? Live in CA 1st Generation 2nd Generation Tattoo Parental Violenc Cell Phone / Lan Region Suburb Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% <10 Yrs 10 + Yr Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Cell Ph Landlin Central Greater Inland Bay Are Yes Harris 40% 30% 41% 41% 39% 34% 43% 41% 39% 31% 41% 39% 40% 34% 39% 39% 48% 38% Sanchez 29% 40% 29% 34% 28% 34% 22% 35% 28% 43% 28% 27% 31% 24% 33% 33% 22% 23% Undecided 31% 30% 31% 25% 33% 32% 35% 23% 34% 26% 31% 34% 29% 42% 28% 29% 29% 39% Composition of Likely Voters 100% 11% 89% 32% 68% 50% 50% 30% 70% 15% 82% 40% 60% 20% 39% 20% 21% 9% 10 In the election for United States Senator from California, if you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Democrat Kamala Harris? Or Democrat Loretta Sanchez? Single Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% Yes Harris 40% 35% Sanchez 29% 35% Undecided 31% 30% Total 100% 100% Composition of Likely Voters 100% 7% 11 There are 18 propositions on the California ballot this year. We are going to ask about 4 of them. First... On Proposition 56, will you vote YES, to increase the tax on cigarettes to $2 per pack? Or will you vote NO, to leave the tax on cigarettes unchanged? Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Margin of Sampling Error: +/-3.6% Male Female White Black Hispani Asian / Yes On 56 61% 56% 65% 66% 64% 56% 53% 65% 54% 58% 60% 61% 68% No On 56 33% 38% 28% 25% 29% 40% 44% 27% 42% 35% 35% 33% 27% Undecided 5% 5% 5% 7% 6% 4% 3% 6% 3% 6% 5% 5% 4% Will Not Vote 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely Voters 100% 51% 49% 28% 31% 23% 18% 59% 41% 47% 6% 30% 17% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll # Page 23
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