Rainfall Atlas 14: Replacement of Technical Paper 40
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1 Rainfall Atlas 14: Replacement of Technical Paper 40 City Engineer s Association of Minnesota Annual Conference Brooklyn Center, Minnesota January 30, 2013 Presentor: Steven M. Klein, PE, PH Vice President Barr Engineering Co. sklein@barr.com
2 funding and support for Minnesota s component of the study funding Minnesota Department of Transportation State Aid Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Legislative-Citizen Commission of Minnesota Resources letters of support City Engineer s Association of Minnesota American Public Works Association: Minnesota Chapter Minnesota Stormwater Steering Committee other states have their own contributors
3 TP-40/Atlas 14 comparisons for Minnesota, South Dakota, North Dakota, and Wisconsin some significant increases in each state most of Minnesota and Wisconsin, eastern North Dakota, and the Black Hills of South Dakota percent change in 24 hour/ 100 year depths: Minneapolis -6.0 to 7.9 inches (+32%) Ashland -5.3 to 7.3 inches (+38%) Fargo -5.3 to 6.3 inches (+19%) Rapid City -4.6 to 5.7 inches (+24%)
4 Atlas 14 variation in Minnesota, South Dakota, North Dakota, and Wisconsin some surprises (large changes over short distances) difference in 24 hour/ 100 year depths (inches): Minneapolis, MN to St. Cloud, MN: 7.9 to 6.1 (1.8 dif) Worthington, MN to Sioux Falls, SD: 7.8 to 5.9 (1.9 dif) McLeod, ND to Big Stone City, SD: 6.4 to 5.7 (0.7 dif) Duluth Airport, MN to Superior, WI: 6.7 to 6.1 (0.6 dif)
5 TP-40/Atlas 14 comparisons for Minnesota, South Dakota, North Dakota, and Wisconsin some decreases for certain storms central Minnesota, western North Dakota, most of South Dakota, and eastern Wisconsin degree of change increases as storm frequency decreases example: Minneapolis/St Paul Frequency % Change
6 Atlas 14 station locations: Minnesota
7 Atlas 14 station locations: North Dakota
8 Atlas 14 station locations: South Dakota
9 Atlas 14 station locations: Wisconsin
10 Albert Lea
11 Minneapolis/St. Paul
12 Duluth Airport
13 Grand Forks
14 Fargo
15 Sioux Falls Worthington
16 Moorhead Alexandria
17 Fullerton Watertown
18 McLeod Big Stone City
19 Eau Claire Minneapolis/St. Paul
20 Duluth Airport Duluth Harbor Superior
21 Atlas 14 technical review of results peer review comments submitted to NOAA: questions about methodologies observed anomalies localized effects degree of change over short distances
22 Atlas 14 technical review of results results of peer and NOAA reviews: NOAA dropped 14 stations around Minneapolis/St. Paul and at least 13 more elsewhere re-running statistics with stations removed addressing localized effects to smooth the rainfall depth lines (isopluvial) maybe excluding data where there was not at least 50 years of record still planning to publish in March
23 implications and issues for water planners, designers, and regulators design: future storm sewer infrastructure sizing detention ponds water quality treatment features tailing basin design and mine water management newly placed systems that may now appear to be undersized
24 implications and issues for water planners, designers, and regulators flood protection FEMA DFIRM mapping levee certifications modeling design storms ordinances, policies, and standards who (city, watershed org, state?) will decide which rainfall amounts will be used?
25 so stay tuned very complex and broad-reaching issues to be addressed in the future Thank You!
26 Questions?
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