Basic Research Progress

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1 Mgt 540 Research Methods Sampling Issues 1 Basic Research Progress Explorative - Descriptive (Qualitative) 1. Framework / Domain extant knowledge for reference 2. Research Design 3. Data collection / presentation 4. Data analysis Emergent themes 5. Relationship to extant knowledge? Tie to lit review, other research 6. Findings? Possible hypothesis? Hypothesis Testing (Quantative) 1. Framework / Domain Foundation 2. Conceptual framework 3. Hypothesis presentation 4. Research Design 5. Data collection / presentation 6. Data analysis Confirm/disconfirm 7. Findings? Possible additional hypotheses? 2 1

2 Research Design Flowchart 3 FROM CHAPTER 11 Sampling Why sample? Budget restrictions Time constraints Inaccessibility of some population members Sufficient accuracy, reliability with good sample Larger sample required for more heterogeneous population Randomly chosen sample is fair in the sense that every member of the population has an equal chance of being chosen 4 2

3 Sampling issues (terms) Sampling Selection of sufficient number of items or elements so that the properties of the sample (statistic) could be generalized to the population (parameter) Population Frame Listing of population elements Population Entire group of interest to researcher (people, things, events) Sample Subgroup of the population Subject Single member of a sample Element Single member of the population 5 Sampling precision Precision Degree of sampling error Measured by the standard error of the estimate See page 286 and Statistical tables, beginning on page

4 Sampling = Sample Mean S = Std. Deviation µ= Population Mean σ = Std. Deviation 7 FIGURE 11.1 Questions for determining sample Relevant target population? Exact parameters of interest? Kind of sampling frame available? Sample size needed (for desired level of confidence)? Cost relating to sampling design? Time available to collect data from sample? 8 FIGURE

5 Sampling Frame The empirical representation of the theoretical universe of interest In theory may be the entire population But, for example Not all own telephones (for a telephone survey) Some may be homeless (for a mail survey) 9 Sampling Unit Compare to the desired unit of analysis Individuals Dyads Work groups, teams Companies Industries Markets 10 5

6 Sampling Issues 11 11B Probability & Non Probability Sampling 12 11C 6

7 Simple Random Sampling Most representative for most purposes Disadvantages Cumbersome and tedious Entire listing of all elements in the desired population are usually not available Very expensive Not the most efficient design 13 Complex probability sampling(s) 1. Systematic 2. Stratified random sampling 3. Cluster sampling 4. Area sampling 5. Double sampling 14 7

8 Systematic sampling Every nth element is sampled, starting from a randomly chosen element 15 11F Stratified random sampling Number of mutually exclusive sub-populations or strata e.g. university students divided into juniors, seniors, etc. Homogeneity within stratum and heterogeneity between strata Statistical efficiency greater in stratified samples Sub-groups can be analyzed Different methods of analysis can be used for different sub-groups 16 11G 8

9 Stratified random sample 17 11H Stratified random sample 18 TABLE

10 19 11I 20 11J 10

11 Non-Probability Sampling Convenience samples the researcher s convenience unrestricted Purposive samples Judgment sampling expert selection of respondents Quota sampling ensuring representation of certain groups, individuals Snowball sampling initially selected respondents (by probability or not) refer later ones K 11

12 23 11L Precision 24 11M 12

13 Sampling considerations What is the relevant population? What type of sample should be drawn? What sampling frame should be used? What are the parameters of interest? How much accuracy and precision are desired? What is the sample size needed? What are the sampling costs? 25 11N Sample size considerations 26 11O 13

14 Sampling Efficiency Using n = sample size, S = standard error Efficiency is achieved when: Keeping n constant, you achieve a smaller S Reduce n keep the same level of S 27 11P 28 FIGURE

15 Precision vs. Confidence More Precision Less Confidence More Confidence Less Precision 29 FIGURE 11.4 Pg TABLE

16 Relevance of sample size Refer back to diagram on page 175 Purpose of Research? Exploratory Discovery Hypothesis testing? Types of investigation? Differences? Correlations? Causality? Unit of analysis? Data Collection method? Qualitative? Quantitative? Measurement / Measures? 31 Sampling exercises What kinds of sampling designs for. A study to get a quick idea of the medical acceptability of a new aspirin substitute which cannot be dispensed over the counter without prescription. Purposive judgment sampling 32 16

17 Sampling exercises What kinds of sampling designs for. A study involving a sample of 325 students in a university where 2,000 students are enrolled. A systematic sampling design (using a university listing of students An investigation of the career salience of professionals in the fields of medicine, engineering, business, and law. A stratified random sampling with stratification along profession, gender, age, etc. 33 Sampling exercises What kinds of sampling designs for. The generalizability of the attitudes of blue collar workers from a sample of 184, to the total population of 350 blue collar workers in the entire factory of a particular company. Simple random sampling (because of the high importance attached to generalizability 34 17

18 Sampling exercise (problem) You want to estimate the production days that would be lost during the next three months by sampling the vacation intentions of a few employees. You randomly select 36 employees in the organization and find that the average number of days they intend taking off is 16 during the coming three Summer months, with a standard deviation of seven (7) days. Based on these sample statistics, you want to estimate at a 99 percent confidence level, the days that will be lost due to the entire population of workers taking vacation time during the next three months, so that the plant manager knows how much temporary help he should plan on hiring during the summer months in order for work to proceed smoothly. 35 Exercise calculation Solution: µ = ± z S S = S/ n = 7/6 = µ = 16 ± (2.576 x 1.167) = 16 ± 3.01 = to = Sample Mean µ = Population Mean S = Std. Deviation S = Standard Error 36 18

19 If there are 100 employees in the organization expected to take vacation during Summer, then, the most optimistic estimation of the days lost through vacation time during the summer would be (13 x 100 =) 1m300 days and the most pessimistic would be (19 x 100 =) 1900 days. This would mean that temporary help would be needed anywhere between 1,300 and 1,900 days worth of labor for production to proceed smoothly. To narrow the gap (increase precision) requires sacrificing confidence choose your risk

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