# PRINCIPAL COMPONENTS AND THE MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD METHODS AS TOOLS TO ANALYZE LARGE DATA WITH A PSYCHOLOGICAL TESTING EXAMPLE

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1 PRINCIPAL COMPONENTS AND THE MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD METHODS AS TOOLS TO ANALYZE LARGE DATA WITH A PSYCHOLOGICAL TESTING EXAMPLE Markela Muca Llukan Puka Klodiana Bani Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Natural Sciences, University of Tirana, Albania Edmira Shahu Department of Economy and Agrarian Policy, Faculty of Economy and Agribusiness, Agricultural University of Tirana. Abstract Basing on the study of correlations between large numbers of quantitative variables, the method factor analysis (FA) aims at finding structural anomalies of a communality composed of p-variables and a large number of data (large sample size). It reduces the number of original (observed) variables by calculating a smaller number of new variables, which are called factors (Hair, et al., 2010). This paper overviews the factor analysis and their application. Here, the method of principal components analysis (PCA) to calculate factors with Varimax rotation is applied. The method of maximum likelihood with Quartimax rotation is used for comparison purposes involving the statistic package SPSS. The results clearly report the usefulness of multivariate statistical analysis (factor analysis). The application is done by a set of data from psychological testing (Revelle, 2010). Keywords: Factorial analysis (FA), Principal components analysis (PCA), Maximum likelihood methods, orthogonal rotation 1. Introduction Factor analysis is a class of multivariate statistical methods whose primary purpose is data reduction and summarization. It addresses the problem of analyzing the interrelationship among a large number of variables 176

2 and then explaining these variables in terms of their common, underlying factors (Hair et al., 1979). This method is a summary to the principal component (PCA) method, since the results and the interpretations of methods are similar, but the mathematical models are different. The FA method relates to the correlations between a large numbers of quantitative variables. It reduces the number of primary variables by calculating a smaller number of new variables, which are called factors. This reduction is achieved by grouping variables into factors by which means each variable within each factor is closely correlated and variables which belong to different factors are less correlated (Hair et al., 2010). In the area of factors calculation, the principal components analysis (PCA), and the maximum likelihood method (ML), are two of the most applied techniques. If PCA is used, then the minimum average partial method can be used (Velicer, 1976) whereas if ML is used, then fit indices can be used as described by (Fabrigar et al. 1999, Browne & Cudeck 1992) For more comprehensive review of options we can see (Fabrigar et al and Zwick and Velicer 1986.) There are also other methods named in general as factor rotation, which make an orthogonal transformation of the loadings matrix, (Hair et al., 2010). Here, the loadings of variables of an extracted factor are maximized and the loadings of variables in the other factors are minimized. In this case, the variables are expected to be independent. Consequently, one of the orthogonal rotations is Varimax, which attempts to maximize the variance of squared loadings on a factor (Kim and Mueller, 1978). The scores of factors are calculated utilizing the regress technique. Their scores values are saved in new variables in the data file and can be used later for statistical analysis. In this way, each factor now embodies a linear combination of the primary variables. We calculate the numerical characteristics for these variables from which the new variables are standardized with mean 0 and variance 1. Achievable by means of correlation matrix, the new variables must be uncorrelated among them. The present paper overviews factor analysis and related factors extracting methods. In addition, it reports usefulness of factors analysis and, the new variables (factors) are exemplified. In this paper, use of PCA when calculating factors with Varimax rotation is reported. The maximum likelihood method with Quartimax rotation is applied for calculation purposes. Correlations matrix is applied and, the factors number is chosen by the eigenvalues which are greater than

4 Calculation of the Factor Scores The score for each individual chosen in connections with factors is of great importance for FA methods when applied for the calculation of factor loadings. Consequently, being of great importance, the new variables that correspond to the factors could be added to our selection. SPPS builds a column for each factor extracted and then places the scores of these factors for each subject inside this column. Once placed in the column, these scores can be used for statistical analysis or simply to identify groups of subjects. After the evaluation of dispersion errors, the model x μ = Γz + e can calculate scores (the factor values). The Statistical package SPSS contains three different methods of evaluation: Regression, Bartlett (Johnson and Wichern, 1982) and Anderson-Rubin. Data Application of Factorial Analysis (FA) with PCA method The set of data psychological testing helps report the usefulness of the aforementioned techniques. The set of data in psychological testing (Revelle, 2010) provides information for n=1000 individuals. It contains three dependent variables: Prelim, GPA and MA, and five predictor variables. The variables of the set are in Table 1 reported. Determining a smaller number of uncorrelated variables to describe the data is of great interest. Table 1 Description of the Variables in the Data Set. GREV GREQ GREA ACH ANX Prelim GPA MA GRE(Graduate Record Examinations ) VERBAL GRE QUANTITATIVE GRE ADVANCED ACHIEVEMENT ANXIETY RATED PERFORMANCE GRADUATE PERFORMANCE MASTERS PERFORMANCE Initially the PCA method was used to calculate factors with Varimax rotation method. Correlation matrix reports that the eigenvalues values are greater than 1, which is a means to address the choice of the number of factors. The Table 2 shows couples of variables (e.g. GREV, GREQ and GREA) which are better correlated with each-other. Regarding the Meyer- Olkin (KMO) statistical value which in this case is 0.657, see Table 3, we see the Kaiser- certain correlation of data (Hair et al., 2010) is reported. 179

5 Correlation Sig. (1-tailed) Table 2 Correlation Matrix of Variables Variables GREV GREQ GREA Ach Anx GREV GREQ GREA Ach Anx GREV GREQ.000 GREA Ach Anx a) Determinant =.104 Table 3 KMO and Bartlett s test Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin Measure of Sampling Adequacy..657 Bartlett's Test of Sphericity Approx. Chi-Square Df 10 Sig..000 Component Table 4 shows the proportion of variability which is firstly explained with all factors together and then only with the factors before and after rotation. The result shows the two first common factors, which explain 81% of the total variance, a quite good percentage. After rotation method, this percentage does not change, but it changes the percentage that explains each factor. Specifically, these percentages are transformed in order to reduce the differences between them after rotation. Table 4 Total Variance Explained by Components before and after Rotation Method Total Initial Eigenvalues % of Varianc e Cumulativ e % Total Variance Explained Extraction Sums of Squared Loadings Total % of Cumulativ Variance e % Rotation Sums of Squared Loadings Total % of Cumulativ Varianc e % e Another analysis (scree plot, fig 1) confirms the conclusions: the graphic representation of couples is in the same order as reported in the Table 4. Separation processes of the two eigenvalues greater than 1 in conjunction with those remaining. 180

6 Fig. 1 Scree Plot of the Principal Components Analysis Table 5 Component Analysis Factor Matrix Before and After Rotation Method PCA Components 1 2 GREV GREQ GREA Ach Anx a) b) Reporting correlation with the variables and the role they play when interpreting a variable, the factors loadings before and after rotation is in table 5 shown. Table 5 a) reports the first factor having the highest loadings for variables {GREV, GREQ, and GREA}. Table 5 b) reports the situation after rotation. The linkage process of variables with the first factor, but with higher loadings is clear. Table 2 (Table of correlation) reports that in general groups of variables found in this way are reasonable as correlations between groups are important. Table 6 Component Analysis Factor MatrixCommunalistic (PCA) Component Matrix PCA PCA Initial Extraction GREV * GREQ GREA Ach Anx a) b) PCA Components (VARIMAX) 1 2 GREV.923* GREQ.907* GREA.767*.517 Ach Anx PCA Component 1 2 GREV.794*.472* GREQ GREA Ach Anx

8 Conclusion Based on the study of correlations between large numbers of quantitative variables, the factor analysis (FA) method aims at finding structural anomalies of a communality composed of p-variables and a large number of data (large sample size). It reduces the number of original (observed) variables by calculating a smaller number of new variables, which are called factors. In PCA the original variables are transformed into the smaller set of linear combination, with all of the variance in the variables being used. In FA (ML), however, factors are estimated using mathematical model, where only the shared variance is analyzed. However, principal components analysis is often preferred as a method for data reduction, while principal factors analysis is often preferred when the goal of the analysis is to detect structure. Varimax and Quartimax are the two orthogonal approaches, which are used to report on FA method. The most commonly used orthogonal approach is the Varimax method, which aims to minimize the number of variables that have high weights on each factor. Results are described via a database from a psychological testing. A possible database with information from Albania for similar analysis of practical interest as a future task is being considered. References: Browne, M. W. and Cudeck R Alternative ways of assessing model fit. Sociological Methods and Research. Cattell Raymond Bernard, The scree test for the number of factors. Multivariate Behavioral Research. Fabrigar, L.R... Wegener, D.T. MacCallum, R.C and Strahan, E.J Evaluating the use of explanatory factor analysis in psychological Assessment. Johnson R, Wichern D Applied Multivariate Statistical Analysis, Prentice Hall, New Jersey, and 6th ed. JR Hair JF, Black WC, Babin BJ, Anderson RE Multivariate data analysis, 7 th ed. Macmillan, New York. Joseph F. Hair, Jr., Rolph E Anderson, Roland L. Tatham and Bernie J. Grablowsky, Multivariate Data Analysis, Petroleum Publishing Company, ISBN Kaiser, H. F., The varimax methods of factor analysis. Unpublished doctoral dissertation, University of California, Berkeley. Kaiser, H.F The application of electronic computers to factor analysis. Educational and Psychological Measurement. 183

9 Kim, J.O. and Mueller, C. W., Factor analysis: Statistic methods and practical issues. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage. Velicer, W.F Determining the number of components from the matrix of partial correlations. Psychometrical. William R txt Zwick, W.R. and Velicer W.F Comparison if five rules for determining the number of components to retain. Psychological Bulletin. 184

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