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1 Around The Globe Weekly Report 11 April 216 Index Price % weekly Currency Price % weekly Country 1 yr bond yield S&P 5 2, % EUR/USD % US 1.72 % Dow % USD/JPY % UK % Nasdaq % GBP/USD % Japan -.76 % Nikkei % USD/CHF % Germany.93 % DAX % USD/CAD % France.436 % CAC % EUR/JPY % China % FTSE % AUD/USD % Australia % CSI % US Dollar Index % Canada 1.22 % Gold 2.87 % Silver 3.62 % Copper % WTI Crude % LME Official Prices, US$ per tonne Contract Cash Buyer Cash Seller & Settlement 3-months Buyer 3-months Seller Aluminium Copper Lead Nickel Zinc associate of Doha Bank commodity@dbfsindia.com
2 LME Official stocks in tonnes Aluminium Copper Lead Zinc Nickel associate of Doha Bank 1
3 London copper edged up on Friday but was still set for its largest weekly loss in three months as investors took profits on concerns that prices had overshot still fragile fundamentals given near record stocks in China. Fuelling concerns China will ramp up exports to global markets given a domestic oversupply, copper shipments into Singapore jumped 4,8 tonnes, the latest LME data showed. China consumes almost half of the world s copper production and recent data has shown the world s No. 2 economy is importing record volumes. A large chunk of copper imports goes straight into warehouses controlled by the Shanghai Futures Exchange, where inventory is currently at a high. Data shows that stocks in Shanghai have risen as they have fallen in warehouses controlled by the London Metal Exchange. That s because Chinese traders were buying up cheaper LME stocks and moving it to Shanghai, where it was more expensive. China s refined copper output reached 7.38 million tonnes in 215, up 7.7% on an annual basis, in which 5.6 million tonnes (76%) were from mine supply and only 1.78 million tonnes (24%) were from scrap, according to data provided by metals information provider Antaike. Price concerns, policy barriers and competition by substituting concentrate or cathode at times were all challenges faced by China s scrap sector. Three years ago, the proportion of China s raw material consumption for refined copper production was 7% from concentrate and 3% from scrap, which was believed to be a normal level. associate of Doha Bank 2
4 Aluminum smelters in China, which supply more than half the world s metal, are restarting idled plants after a price rally, according to the industry group that brokered an agreement in December to curb capacity. Prices of the metal used to make everything from window frames to aircraft have climbed more than 2 percent from a low in November on the Shanghai Futures Exchange as Chinese policy makers signaled their willingness to bolster growth. Gold held near a two-week high on Friday and was set to post its strongest week in five as the Federal Reserve's caution over raising U.S. interest rates and weakness in the dollar burnished the metal's appeal. Minutes from the Fed's March policy meeting released on Wednesday showed policymakers debated whether an interest rate hike would be needed in April, although a consensus emerged that risks from a global economic slowdown warranted a cautious approach. Gold rose 16 percent in the first quarter of the year, its best quarterly performance in nearly 3 years, on speculation the Fed may delay hiking rates. China's gold reserves stood at million fine troy ounces at the end of March, up from 57.5 million at the end of February, the central bank said on Thursday. Oil is poised for a weekly gain as U.S. crude output continues to drop before a meeting between suppliers to discuss freezing production. U.S. output slid for the 1th time in 11 weeks through April 1 as crude stockpiles fell, according to data from the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday. Major producers from Saudi Arabia to Russia will meet in Doha on April 17 to discuss a freeze in a bid to stabilize prices. U.S. crude production slid by 14, barrels a day to 9.1 million a day, according to EIA data. Refinery utilization rates rose ahead of the summer driving season by 1 percentage point for a second weekly gain to 91.4 percent of total capacity. Imports fell to the lowest level in two months. Drillers cut 8 oil rigs in the week to April 8, bringing the total rig count down to 354, Baker Hughes said in its closely followed report MCX weekly % change -5 Gold Silver Copper Aluminium Zinc Lead Nickel Crude Natural gas associate of Doha Bank 3
5 Disclaimer This research report provides general information only. Recommendations, opinions or suggestions are given with the understanding that readers acting on this information assume all risks involved. The information provided herein is not, and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instrument or any derivative related to such securities or instruments. This report is not intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in financial instruments and implementing investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. Any decision to purchase or subscribe for securities in any offering must be based solely on existing public information on such security or the information in the prospectus or other offering document issued in connection with such offering, and not on this report. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. All such information and opinions are subject to change without notice. This document has been produced independently of any company or companies mentioned herein, and forward looking statements; opinions and expectations contained herein are subject to change without notice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Doha Brokerage and Financial Services Limited (DBFS), its associate and group companies its directors or employees do not take any responsibility or liability, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this document, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of the shares and bonds, reduction in the dividend or income, etc. This document is not directed to or intended for display, downloading, printing, reproducing or for distribution to or use by any person or entity who is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, reproduction, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or would subject DBFS or its associates or group companies to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. If this document is inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of the sender. This document may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose without prior written approval of DBFS. Before acting on any advice or recommendation in this document, a customer should consider whether it is suitable given the customer s particular circumstances and, if necessary, seek professional advice. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options, and high yield securities, give rise to substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. associate of Doha Bank 4
6 DBFS, its associates or group companies do not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any of the information or content of the document and reliance upon it is at your own risk. DBFS, its associates or group companies, expressly disclaims any and all warranties, express or implied, including without limitation warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose with respect to the document and any information in it. DBFS, its associates or group companies, shall not be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, punitive or consequential damages of any kind with respect to the document. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, on any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of DBFS. Special Disclosure In accordance with the SEBI (Foreign Institutional Investors) Regulations and with guidelines issued by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), foreign investors (individuals as well as institutional) that wish to transact securities in Indian bourses must have applied to, and have been approved by SEBI and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Each investor who transacts securities in Indian bourses will be required to certify approval as a foreign institutional investor or as a sub-account of a foreign institutional investor by SEBI and RBI. General Investment Related Disclosure Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. DBFS is also a Portfolio Manager. Portfolio Management Team (PMS) takes its investment decisions independent of the Equity research and accordingly PMS may have positions contrary to the client group research recommendation. DOHA BROKERAGE & FINANCIAL SERVICES LIMITED Smart Centre, Civil Lane Road, Vazhakkala, Kochi, Kerala, India SEBI Regn. No. PMS:INP332 research@dbfsindia.com /278 associate of Doha Bank 5
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