Where Do Oregonians Stand?

Transcription

1 ü Minimum Wage ü Paid Sick Days ü Retirement Security Where Do Oregonians Stand? January 28, 2015 Andrea Paluso, Family Forward Oregon Michael Bocian, GBA Strategies David Mirmin, Lake Research Partners

2 Make It Work: NaLonal Findings from a survey of 800 likely 2016 voters January 12-14, 2015 David Mermin and Bri-any L. Stalsburg Washington, DC Berkeley, CA New York, NY LakeResearch.com

3 Methodology Live phone survey of 800 likely 2016 voters. Interviews were conducted by professional interviewers. The survey fielded January 12-14, The data were weighted slightly by gender, age, region, party idenlficalon, and race. Margin of error is +/- 3.5%. 2

4 Voters strongly support a variety of work/family proposals. Ensure that men and women receive equal pay for equal work Favor/oppose work and family proposals Oppose 5 86 Favor 93 Not sure/ DK 2 Ensure all workers earn paid sick days to care for themselves or family members Require employers to ensure all workers earn paid sick days to care for themselves or family members Make quality and affordable childcare oplons available nalonally, including before and aber school care Expand exislng tax credits to make caring for family members, from infancy to old age, affordable Make flexible vouchers available to help employees afford care for an infant, an elderly parent, or an injured spouse in a sefng they choose Now I will read you some proposals some people have made to change laws related to work and family. For each one, please tell me whether you favor or oppose the proposal. If you re not sure how you feel about a parlcular item, please say so. 3

5 Support spans across polilcal parles. Proposal % Total favor (% Strongly favor) Ensure that men and women receive equal pay for equal work Ensure all workers earn paid sick days to care for themselves or family members Require employers to ensure all workers earn paid sick days to care for themselves or family members Make quality and affordable childcare oplons available nalonally, including before and aber school care Expand exislng tax credits to make caring for family members, from infancy to old age, affordable Make flexible vouchers available to help employees afford care for an infant, an elderly parent, or an injured spouse in a sefng they choose Total Democrats Independents Republicans 93 (86) 98 (92) 94 (87) 87 (79) 88 (73) 95 (83) 96 (77) 74 (57) 79 (62) 96 (80) 76 (51) 61 (48) 75 () 91 (80) 75 (61) 56 (36) 78 () 92 (78) 72 (57) 68 (43) 74 (58) 86 (73) 81 (58) 58 (43) 4

6 A gender gap exists on all of the work/family proposals, but men show strong support for the work/family proposals as well. Proposal % Total favor (% Strongly favor) Ensure that men and women receive equal pay for equal work Ensure all workers earn paid sick days to care for themselves or family members Require employers to ensure all workers earn paid sick days to care for themselves or family members Make quality and affordable childcare oplons available nalonally, including before and aber school care Expand exislng tax credits to make caring for family members, from infancy to old age, affordable Make flexible vouchers available to help employees afford care for an infant, an elderly parent, or an injured spouse in a sefng they choose Total Women Men 93 (86) 97 (91) 89 (80) 88 (73) 88 (76) 87 (69) 79 (62) 88 (70) 69 (53) 75 () 82 (68) 68 (51) 78 () 80 (63) 75 (56) 74 (58) 78 (61) 70 (54) 5

7 Solid majoriles of voters agree with posilve value statements about work and family. Being able to take paid Lme off to care for yourself or sick family members should be something all employers earn Agree/disagree: Value statements Disagree 13 Agree Not sure/ DK 5 Having workplace rules that ensure equal pay for equal work, paid Lme off for sickness or to care for a family member, and affordable child care is good for our economy Having workplace rules that ensure equal pay for equal work, paid Lme off for sickness or to care for a family member, and affordable child care is good for our nalon Businesses should provide paid Lme off to their employees for illness orto care for a family member The government has a responsibility to ensure employers treat employees fairly, including paying wages that can sustain a family and providing paid Lme to care for family members when they are sick Our workplace laws are out of date with the changing roles of men and women at work and at home Our workplace laws are out of date with the changing realiles most American families face Now I will read you a few statements about work and family. For each one, please tell me whether you agree or disagree with that statement. If you re not sure about a parlcular item, please say so.

8 Voters across parles strongly agree with many of the posilve value statements. Value statement % Total favor (% Strongly favor) Total Democrats Independents Republicans Being able to take paid Lme off to care for yourself or sick family members should be something all employees earn 82 (65) 92 (77) 80 (62) 74 (55) Having workplace rules that ensure equal pay for equal work, paid Lme off for sickness or to care for a family member, and affordable child care is good for our economy Having workplace rules that ensure equal pay for equal work, paid Lme off for sickness or to care for a family member, and affordable child care is good for our na8on 82 (64) 93 (75) 80 (64) 71 (51) 81 (63) 94 (82) 80 (59) 65 (44) Businesses should provide paid Lme off to their employees for illness or to care for a family member 84 (58) 92 (68) 87 (58) 72 (47) The government has a responsibility to ensure employers treat employees fairly, including paying wages that can sustain a family and providing paid Lme to care for family members when they are sick 73 (57) 91 (73) 76 () 52 (39) Our workplace laws are out of date with the changing roles of men and women at work and at home 72 (50) 81 (59) 79 (58) 57 (33) Our workplace laws are out of date with the changing reali8es most American families face 68 (46) 81 (62) 72 (45) 53 (32) 7

9 While both women and men show strong agreement with all of the posilve value statements, there is a gender gap with women more likely to strongly agree with the need for family leave, workplace rules, and government responsibility. Value statement % Total favor (% Strongly favor) Total Women Men Being able to take paid Lme off to care for yourself or sick family members should be something all employees earn 82 (65) 86 (70) 78 (59) Having workplace rules that ensure equal pay for equal work, paid Lme off for sickness or to care for a family member, and affordable child care is good for our economy Having workplace rules that ensure equal pay for equal work, paid Lme off for sickness or to care for a family member, and affordable child care is good for our na8on 82 (64) 85 (65) 79 (62) 81 (63) 87 (68) 74 (57) Businesses should provide paid Lme off to their employees for illness or to care for a family member 84 (58) 88 (63) 80 (52) The government has a responsibility to ensure employers treat employees fairly, including paying wages that can sustain a family and providing paid Lme to care for family members when they are sick 73 (57) 78 (62) 68 (52) Our workplace laws are out of date with the changing roles of men and women at work and at home 72 (50) 74 (53) 69 (46) Our workplace laws are out of date with the changing reali8es most American families face 68 (46) 71 (47) 65 (45) 8

10 By more than 2:1, voters favor state- level aclon on work/family policies if the federal government fails to act. Favor/oppose state achon Favor Oppose Both/neither/DK If the federal government fails to take aclon to address issues of equal pay, paid sick days, paid family leave, and affordable childcare, would you favor or oppose aclon on the state level? 9

11 Washington, DC Berkeley, CA New York, NY LakeResearch.com David Mermin Bri-any L. Stalsburg

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13 Oregon Survey Results

14 Survey Methodology Survey conducted December 3-8, likely 2016 voters 0 interviews statewide with oversamples in 3 regions 227 interviews North/Central Coast 225 interviews Southern Oregon 205 interviews Cascades/East Margin of error +/- 3.5 percentage points overall GBA Strategies 2014 Fair Shot Survey Results Figure 1

15 Majority Support for $15 Minimum Wage Would you favor or oppose a proposal to increase Oregon s minimum wage to $15.00 an hour, adjusting for inflation in future years? Strongly Favor Strongly Oppose Total Favor Total Oppose GBA Strategies 2014 Fair Shot Survey Results Figure 2

16 Unaffiliated Voters Support $15 Minimum Wage by 28 Percentage Points Democrat Non-Affiliated/Other Republican Strongly Favor Strongly Oppose Total Favor Total Oppose GBA Strategies 2014 Fair Shot Survey Results Figure 3

17 Voters More Likely to Support a Legislator Who Favors a Minimum Wage Increase If your state legislator voted in favor of raising the minimum wage, would you be more likely or less likely to support that legislator? More likely Less likely No difference 4 GBA Strategies 2014 Fair Shot Survey Results Figure 4

18 Oregon Voters Clearly Support Paid Sick Days Would you favor or oppose a proposal to require all employers in Oregon to provide 7 paid sick days to their employees? Strongly Favor Strongly Oppose Total Favor Total Oppose GBA Strategies 2014 Fair Shot Survey Results Figure 5

19 Support for Sick Days Crosses Partisan Lines Democrat Non-Affiliated/Other Republican Strongly Favor Strongly Oppose Total Favor Total Oppose GBA Strategies 2014 Fair Shot Survey Results Figure 6

20 Voters More Likely to Support a Legislator Who Favors Paid Sick Days If your state legislator voted in favor of requiring employers to provide paid sick days, would you be more likely or less likely to support that legislator? More likely Less likely No difference 6 GBA Strategies 2014 Fair Shot Survey Results Figure 7

21 Overwhelming Support for Retirement Security Proposal A proposal to create a voluntary retirement system for workers who do not have a pension or other employer-sponsored retirement account. Workers would choose the amount to be automatically deducted from their paycheck and professionally invested. The retirement account would be portable, so workers keep it if they change jobs. People could opt out of the system if they didn't want to participate. Do you favor or oppose this proposal? Strongly Yes Strongly No Total Yes Total No GBA Strategies 2014 Fair Shot Survey Results Figure 8

22 Retirement Security Proposal Garners Massive Support in Every Region of Oregon PDX West Suburbs South/Rural Suburbs Strongly Favor Strongly Oppose 16 North/Central Coast Corvallis/Eugene Southern OR Cascades/East Total Favor Total Oppose GBA Strategies 2014 Fair Shot Survey Results Figure 9