Automating the evaluation of flood damages
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1 (GSP) Management of Public Utilities / (IMFS) Mechanical Institute of Fluids and Solids Ecole Nationale de l Eau et de l Environnement de Strasbourg / Cemagref / CNRS / UdS Automating the evaluation of flood damages -Methodology and potential gains- ELEUTERIO J., MARTINEZ E. D.
2 2 Context Objectives Methods Results Perspectives ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains 2
3 3 Evaluation of flood damages Risk analyses: loss potential of flood events Risk management: benefits of flood alleviation projects Economic criteria in decision making process Method: Data acquisition Vulnerability assessment Hazard modelling Data processing Damages calculation Risk assessment Economic risk evaluation Results: reports, risk maps, consequence maps, models ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains 3
4 4 Thesis project What is the impact of the strategies used to model hazard and assess vulnerability in the results of economic flood risk evaluations? Different strategies Feasibility Data acquisition Vulnerability assessment Hazard modelling Data processing Risk assessment Damages calculation Economic risk evaluation Automate Results variability ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains 4
5 5 Develop a general methodology to automate the evaluation of flood damages Analyse the gains of the automation in terms of time and expertise needs ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains 5
6 6 Automate the evaluation of flood damages GIS platform : ArcGis 9.2 Programming language: VBA Measure the gains enhanced by the automation Develop a hypothetical example of flood damages evaluation ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains 6
7 7 INPUT DATA EVALUATION PROCESS OUTPUT DATA Flood hazard maps Assets vulnerability maps STAGE A Data combination Assets at risk Damage functions STAGE B Potential damages calculation Assets damages Floods frequency STAGE C Expected Annual Damages calculation Expected annual damage per asset at risk ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains 7
8 8 Flood hazard maps Assets vulnerability maps STAGE A Data combination Assets at risk INPUT COMBINATION OUTPUT Only one value (INPUT minimum, average or maximum) is attributed to the OUTPUT feature. A) Points B) Lines Hazard Layers combination 1 Layers combination 2 C) Polygons Vulnerability The different INPUT values are attributed to the OUTPUT feature. ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains 8
9 9 Damage functions STAGE B Potential damages calculation Assets damages ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains 9
10 10 Floods frequency STAGE C Expected Annual Damages calculation Expected annual damage per asset at risk ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains 10
11 11 Automate the evaluation of flood damages GIS platform : ArcGis 9.2 Programming language: VBA Measure the gains enhanced by the automation Hypothetical example ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains 11
12 12 Scenarios Approach Expertise level Scenario 1 Medium Semi-automatic Scenario 2 High Scenario 3 Automatic Irrelevant Semi-automatic approach: using simple functions of a GIS software Automatic approach: the analyst uses an existing tool to process the data in the GIS software Medium expertise level: the analyst is proficient in GIS software and knows exactly which functions and when to use them to achieve the loss evaluation High expertise level: the analyst have some knowledge of Visual Basic for Applications (VBA), he or she is proficient in the GIS software and knows exactly which tools and when to use them to achieve the loss evaluation ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains 12
13 13 General methodology Tool Analysis of gains ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains 13
14 14 After processing INPUT data according to the specifications of the Tool. ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains 14
15 15 General methodology Tool Analysis of gains enhanced by automation ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains 15
16 16 Scenarios Approaches Expertise level Evaluation Time Scenario 1 Medium ~ 94 min Semi-automatic Scenario 2 High ~ 41 min Scenario 3 Automatic Irrelevant ~ 1 min Relevance of gains in practical applications Sensitivity tests Analysis of uncertainty Comparison of management scenarios Reduction of human error occurrence Disadvantages: limits of automated processes ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains 16
17 17 Improve the tool Use the tool to test sensitivity of flood damages evaluation In the Thesis project In future: other scientific studies, public utilities? ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains 17
18 THANK YOU ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains
19 ELEUTERIO J. - Automating the evaluation of flood damages - Methodology and potential gains
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