UK General Election Constituency Data Tables last updated Monday 7 th April 2015 The tables below list constituencies by alphabetical order. If you are unsure of your constituency, you can find out at http://www.theyworkforyou.com/. This information will be updated periodically: please check www.scotlandinunion.co.uk for the latest version. Aberdeen North 1 st Labour (Frank 44% No Info SNP 4/9 Doran) 2 nd SNP 22% No Info Labour(Richard Baker) 3 rd Lib Dems 19% No Info UKIP 100/1 4 th Conservative 12.4% No Info Cons and Lib-Dems 150/1 SNP Target #4 Aberdeen South 1 st Labour ( Anne 36.5% No Info SNP 8/11 Begg) 2 nd Lib Dems 28.40% No Info Labour( Anne Begg) 5/4 3 rd Conservatives 20.7% No Info Lib-Dems 50/1 4 th SNP 11.9% No Info Conservative 100/1 Lib Dem target #1 Page 1 of 20
Airdrie and Shotts 1 st Labour (Pamela 58.2% SNP 47% SNP 4/6 Nash) 2 nd SNP 23.5% Labour 39% Labour( Pamela Nash) 5/4 3 rd Conservatives 8.7% Conservatives 7% UKIP 125/1 4 th Lib-Dems 8.1% Conserv and Lib-Dems 125/1 Angus 1 st SNP (Mike Weir) 39.6% No Info SNP 1/100 2 nd Conservatives 30.9% No Info Conservatives(Derek 33/1 Wann) 3 rd Labour 17.2% No Info Labour 50/1 4 th Lib-Dems 10.8% No Info Green and UKIP 100/1 Conservative target #2 Argyll and Bute 1 st Lib Dems (Alan Reid 31.6% No Info SNP 1/12 ) 2 nd Conservatives 24% No Info Lib Dems(Alan Reid) 12/1 3 rd Labour 22.7% No Info Conserv and Labour 25/1 4 th SNP 18.9% No Info UKIP 200/1 Page 2 of 20
Ayr, Carrick and Cummock Result % Ashcroft, Feb % As at 1 st Labour(Sandra 47% SNP 42% SNP 4/6 Osborne) 2 nd Conservatives 25.5% Labour 31% Labour(Sandra 6/4 Osborne) 3 rd SNP 18% Conservatives 21% Conservatives 40/1 4 th Lib-Dems 9.3% Lib-Dems and UKIP 200/1 Banff and Buchan 1 st SNP (Eildh 43.3% No Info SNP 1/100 Whiteford) 2 nd Conservatives 30.8% No Info Conservatives 25/1 (Alex Johnstone) 3 rd Labour 14% No Info Labour/ UKIP 100/1 4 th Lib-Dems 11.3% No Info Largest swing recorded in Scotland (10.6 SNP to CON) Berwickshire, Roxburgh, and Selkirk 1 st Lib Dems(Michael 45.4% No Info Lib Dems(Michael 6/4 Moore) Moore) 2 nd Conservatives 33.8% No Info Conservatives 7/4 3 rd Labour 10.2% No Info SNP 11/4 4 th SNP 9.2% No Info UKIP, Labour 150/1 Page 3 of 20
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross 1 st LibDems(John 41.4% No Info SNP 8/15 Thurso) 2 nd Labour 24.6% No Info Lib Dems(John Thurso) 15/8 3 rd SNP 19.2% No Info Labour 33/1 4 th Conservative 13% No Info Conservatives 150/1 Central Ayrshire 1 st Labour(Brian 47.7% No Info Labour(Brian Donohoe) 8/11 Donohoe) 2 nd Conservatives 20.4% No Info SNP 5/4 3 rd SNP 19% No Info Conservatives 66/1 4 th Lib-Dems 11.9% No Info Lib-Dems, UKIP 125/1 Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill 1 st Labour(Tom 66.6% SNP 46% Labour( Tom Clarke) 8/11 Clarke) 2 nd SNP 16.9% Labour 43% SNP 6/5 3 rd Lib Dems 8.5% Conservatives 6% Greens, UKIP 150/1 4 th Conservative 8.1% Conserv, Lib-Dems 200/1 Page 4 of 20
Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East 1 st Labour(Gregg 57.2% SNP 52% SNP 1/3 McClymont) 2 nd SNP 23.8% Labour 34% Labour 5/2 (Gregg McClymont) 3 rd Lib-Dems 9.5% Conservatives 6% Conservatives, Greens 200/1 4 th Conservative 8.3% UKIP 200/1 Dumfries and Galloway Result % Ashcroft, Feb % As at 1 st Labour(Russell 45% SNP 34% Labour 5/4 Brown) ( Russell Brown) 2 nd Conservatives 31.6% Conservatives 30% SNP 6/4 3 rd SNP 12.3% Labour 28% Conservatives 9/2 4 th Lib-Dems 8.8% Green 100/1 Bookies in March and April disagree with Ashcroft in Feb. This is a close one to call, but it is interesting that the bookies odds have widened since March. Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale 1 st Conservatives(David 38% Conservatives 34% Conservatives 4/6 Mundell) (David Mundell) 2 nd Labour 28.9% SNP 34% SNP 7/4 3 rd Lib Dems 19.8% Labour 28% Labour 16/1 4 th SNP 10.8 Green 100/1 Conservative target #3 Polls and bookies close between SNP and Conservatives but consistent in showing both ahead of Labour. Page 5 of 20
Dundee East 1 st SNP(Stewart Hosie) 37.8% No Info SNP 1/100 2 nd Labour 33% No Info Labour( Lesley 20/1 Brennan) 3 rd Conservatives 15.2% No Info UKIP 100/1 4 th Lib-Dems 10.6% No Info Conserv and Lib-Dems 200/1 Labour target #1 Dundee West 1 st Labour( Jim 48% SNP 59% SNP 1/10 McGovern) 2 nd SNP 37.8% Labour 25% Labour( Jim McGovern) 7/1 3 rd Lib Dems 11.4% Conservatives 6% Conservatives 125/1 4 th Conservative 9.3% Lib-Dems 150/1 SNP target #2 Dunfermline and West Fife 1 st Labour(Thomas 46.3% No Info Labour 4/6 Docherty) (Thomas Docherty) 2 nd Lib Dems 35.1% No Info SNP 6/4 3 rd SNP 10.6% No Info Lib Dems, UKIP 100/1 4 th Conservative 6.8% No Info Conservative 200/1 Regained by Labour after by-election loss to Lib Dems Page 6 of 20
East Dunbartonshire 1 st Lib Dems(Jo 38.7% No Info SNP 4/6 Swinson) 2 nd Labour 34.1% No Info Lib Dems( Jo Swinson) 10/3 3 rd Conservatives 15.5% No Info Labour 4/1 4 th SNP 10.5% No Info Conservative 50/1 Labour target #3 East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow 1 st Labour(Michael 51.1% No Info SNP 4/6 McCann) 2 nd SNP 23% No Info Labour 11/8 (Michael McCann) 3 rd Conservatives 13% No Info Green, UKIP 100/1 4 th Lib-Dems 9.9% LIB-Dems 125/1 East Lothian 1 st Labour(Fiona 44.6% No Info Labour 8/15 O Donnell) (Fiona O Donnell) 2 nd Conservatives 19.7% No Info SNP 6/4 3 rd Lib Dems 16.9% No Info Conservatives, UKIP 100/1 4 th SNP 16% No Info Green 100/1 Page 7 of 20
East Renfrewshire Result % Ashcroft, Feb % As at 1 st Labour(Jim 50.8% Labour 34% Labour( Jim Murphy) 4/9 Murphy) 2 nd Conservatives 30.4% SNP 33% SNP 9/4 3 rd Lib Dems 9.2% Conservatives 26% Conservatives 22/1 4 th SNP 8.9% Lib-Dems, UKIP 125/1 Edinburgh East 1 st Labour(Sheila 43.4% No Info SNP 4/11 Gilmore) 2 nd SNP 20.4% No Info Labour(Sheila Gilmore) 5/2 3 rd Lib Dems 19.4% No Info Greens 66/1 4 th Conservative 10.9% No Info Lib-Dems 125/1 Edinburgh North and Leith 1 st Labour(Mark 37.5% No Info Labour 4/6 Lazarowicz) (Mark Lazarowicz) 2 nd Lib Dems 33.8% No Info SNP 11/8 3 rd Conservatives 14.9% No Info Lib Dems 50/1 4 th SNP 9.6% No Info Greens 66/1 Lib Dem target #2 Page 8 of 20
Edinburgh South 1 st Labour(Ian Murray) 34.7% No Info Labour(Ian Murray) 5/6 2 nd Lib Dems 34% No Info SNP 6/4 3 rd Conservatives 21.6% No Info Conservatives 16/1 4 th SNP 7.7% No Info Lib-Dems 50/1 Edinburgh South West Result % Ashcroft, Feb % As at 1 st Labour 42.8% SNP 40% SNP 4/7 (Alistair Darling) 2 nd Conservatives 24.3% Labour 27% Labour(Ricky 6/4 Henderson) 3 rd Lib Dems 18% Conservatives 19% Conservatives 33/1 4 th SNP 12.2% Greens 66/1 Edinburgh West 1 st Lib Dems 35.9% No Info SNP 4/5 (Michael Crockart) 2 nd Labour 27.7% No Info Labour( Cammy Day) 5/2 3 rd Conservatives 23.2% No Info Lib Dems(Michael 7/1 Crockart) 4 th SNP 13.2% No Info Conservative 16/1 Edinburgh West is currently uncertain, clear Lib-Dem winner in 2010. While bookies favour Labour, there may be a significant incumbent advantage for Mike Crockhart. One to watch. Page 9 of 20
Falkirk 1 st Labour 45.7% No Info SNP 2/5 (Eric Joyce) 2 nd SNP 30.3% No Info Labour) 4/1 (Karen Whitefield) 3 rd Conservatives 11.2% No Info UKIP,Green 100/1 4 th Lib-Dems 10.3% No Info Conservative, Lib-Dems 150/1 Glasgow Central 1 st Labour(Anas 52% SNP 45% SNP 1/2 Sarwar) 2 nd SNP 17.5% Labour 35% Labour(Anas Sarwar) 13/8 3 rd Lib Dems 16.4% Conservatives 5% Conservatives 100/1 4 th Conservative 7.1% Greens and Lib-Dems 125/1 Glasgow East 1 st Labour(Margaret 61% SNP 51% SNP 4/11 Curran) 2 nd SNP 24.7% Labour 37% Labour 9/4 (Margaret Curran) 3 rd Lib Dems 5% Conservatives 4% Conservatives, SSP 100/1 4 th Conservative 4.5% Greens 200/1 Page 10 of 20
Glasgow North 1 st Labour(Anne 44.5% SNP 45% SNP 4/11 McKechin) 2 nd Lib Dems 31.3% Labour 33% Labour 9/4 (Anne McKechin) 3 rd SNP 11.9% Conservatives 5% Lib Dems 100/1 4 th Conservative 7.1% Conserv, Green 200/1 Glasgow North East 1 st Labour(Willie Bain) 68.3% Labour 46% Labour( William Bain) 2/5 2 nd SNP 14.1% SNP 39% SNP 9/4 3 rd Lib Dems 7.7% Conservatives 4% Conservatives 100/1 4 th Conservative 5.3% Lib Dems 125/1 Glasgow North West 1 st Labour(John 54.1% SNP 44% SNP 4/6 Robertson) 2 nd Lib Dems 15.8% Labour 38% Labour 6/5 (John Robertson) 3 rd SNP 15.3% Conservatives 7% Lib Dems 150/1 4 th Conservatives 9.9% Conservatives, Greens 200/1 Page 11 of 20
Glasgow South 1 st Labour(Tom Harris) 51.7% SNP 48% SNP 2/5 2 nd SNP 20.1% Labour 33% Labour(Tom Harris) 9/4 3 rd Lib Dems 11.8% Conservatives 9% Conservatives, Lib 150/1 Dems 4 th Conservatives 11.5% Greens 200/1 Glasgow South West 1 st Labour(Ian 62.5% SNP 45% Labour(Ian Davidson) 8/11 Davidson 2 nd SNP 16.3% Labour 42% SNP 11/10 3 rd Lib Dems 9% Conservatives 4% Conservative 100/1 4 th Conservative 6.6% Green, Lib-Dems 200/1 Glenrothes 1 st Labour(Lindsay Roy) 62.3% No Info Labour( Melanie Ward) 5/6 2 nd SNP 21.7% No Info SNP 1/1 3 rd Lib Dems 7.7% No Info Conservative 150/1 4 th Conservatives 7.2% No Info UKIP, Lib-Dems 200/1 Page 12 of 20
Gordon 1 st Lib Dems(Malcolm 36% SNP 43% SNP 1/7 Bruce) 2 nd SNP 22.2% Lib Dems 26% Lib Dems 6/1 (Christine Jardine) 3 rd Labour 20.1% Labour 14% Labour 40/1 4 th Conservatives 18.7% Conservatives 60/1 Sir Malcolm Bruce is standing down. Inverclyde 1 st Labour(David 56% No Info SNP 8/13 Cairns) 2 nd Lib Dems 36% No Info Labour( Ian McKenzie) 26/19 3 rd SNP 17.5% No Info UKIP 125/1 4 th Conservatives 12% No Info Conserv, Lib-Dems 200/1 Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey 1 st LibDems(Danny 40.7% SNP 50% SNP 1/6 Alexander) 2 nd Labour 22.1% Lib Dems 21% Lib Dems( Danny 5/1 Alexander) 3 rd SNP 18.7% Labour 13% Labour 50/1 4 th Conservatives 13.3% Conservatives 125/1 Page 13 of 20
Kilmarnock and Loudoun 1 st Labour(Cathy 52.5% No Info SNP 2/5 Jamieson) 2 nd SNP 26% No Info Labour 2/1 (Cathy Jamieson) 3 rd Conservatives 14.2% No Info UKIP 125/1 4 th Lib-Dems 7.3% No Info Conserv, Lib-Dems 150/1 SNP Target #3 Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath Result % Ashcroft, Feb % As at 1 st Labour(Gordon 64.5% SNP 45% Labour(Kenny Selbie) 5/6 Brown) 2 nd SNP 14.3% Labour 39% SNP 1/1 3 rd Lib Dems 9.3% Conservatives 7% Conservatives 150/1 4th Conservatives 9.3% Lib-Dems,UKIP 200/1 Lanark and Hamilton East 1 st Labour 50% No Info SNP 8/11 (Jim Hood) 2 nd SNP 21% No Info Labour(Jim Hood) 6/5 3 rd Conservatives 15% No Info Greens 100/1 4 th Lib-Dems 11.3% Conserv,Lib-Dem, UKIP 150/1 Page 14 of 20
Linlithgow and East Falkirk 1 st Labour(Michael 49.8% No Info SNP 4/9 Connarty) 2 nd SNP 25.4% No Info Labour 2/1 (Michael Connarty) 3 rd Lib-Dems 12.8% No Info UKIP 125/1 4 th Conservatives 11.9% Conserv and Lib-Dems 150/1 Livingston 1 st Labour(Graham 48.5% No Info SNP 8/15 Morrice) 2 nd SNP 25.9% No Info Labour 6/4 (Graham Morrice) 3 rd Lib Dems 11.1% No Info UKIP 150/1 4 th Conservatives 10.8% No Info I Conserv, Lib-Dems 150/1 Midlothian 1 st Labour(David 47% No Info SNP 4/6 Hamilton) 2 nd SNP 20.6% No Info Labour(Kenny Young0 5/4 3 rd Lib Dems 17.1% No Info Greens 50/1 4 th Conservatives 11.9% No Info Conserv, Lib-Dems,UKIP 125/1 Page 15 of 20
Moray 1 st SNP(Angus 39.7% No Info SNP 1/100 Robertson) 2 nd Conservatives 26.1% No Info Conservatives 50/1 (Douglas Ross) 3 rd Labour 17.1% No Info Labour 50/1 4 th Lib-Dems 14.5% Green, UKIP 100/1 Motherwell & Wishaw 1 st Labour 61% SNP 50% SNP 1/2 (Frank Roy) 2 nd SNP 18.2% Labour 39% Labour 7/4 (Frank Roy) 3 rd Lib Dems 9.8% Conservatives 5% Conservatives, Lib 150/1 Dems 4 th Conservatives 9.4% Greens 150/1 Na h-eileanan an Iar 1 st SNP(Angus 45.7% No Info SNP 1/25 MacNeil) 2 nd Labour 32.9% No Info Labour(Alasdair 12/1 Morrison) 3 rd Independent 9.6% No Info Lib-Dems 150/1 4 th Lib-Dems 7.5% Conserv, UKIP 200/1 Page 16 of 20
North Ayrshire and Arran 1 st Labour 47% No Info SNP 3/10 (Katy Clark) 2 nd SNP 25.9% No Info Labour(Katy Clark) 7/2 3 rd Conservatives 15.6% No Info UKIP 100/1 4 th Lib-Dems 10% No Info Conservatives 125/1 North East Fife 1 st Lib Dems 44.3% No Info SNP 2/7 (Menzies Campbell) 2 nd Conservatives 21.8% No Info Lib Dems(Tim Brett) 11/4 3 rd Labour 17.1% No Info Conservatives 33/1 4 th SNP 14.2% No Info Labour, UKIP 100/1 Menzies Campbell's standing down, replaced by Tim Brett Ochil and South Perthshire 1 st Labour(Gordon 37.9% No Info SNP 1/7 Banks) 2 nd SNP 27.6% No Info Labour( Gordon Banks) 5/1 3 rd Conservatives 20.5% No Info Conservatives, Greens 100/1 4 th Lib-Dems 11.4% No Info Lib-Dems 150/1 SNP Target #1 Page 17 of 20
Orkney and Shetland 1 st Lib-Dems 62% No Info Lib Dems 1/6 (Alistair Carmichael) (Alistair Carmichael) 2 nd Labour 10.7% No Info SNP 9/2 3 rd SNP 10.6% No Info Conservatives 100/1 4 th Conservatives 10.5% Labour, UKIP 125/1 Paisley and Renfrewshire North 1 st Labour(Jim 54% No info 48% SNP 11/10 Sheriden) 2 nd SNP 19.1% No info Labour(Jim Sheriden) 11/10 3 rd Conservatives 14.6% No info Conservatives, UKIP 125/1 4 th Lib-Dems 10.5% No Info Lib-Dems 150/1 Paisley and Renfrewshire South 1 st Labour(Douglas 59.6% SNP 48% Labour 4/6 Alexander) (Douglas Alexander) 2 nd SNP 18.1% Labour 40% SNP 6/5 3 rd Conservatives 9.9% Conservatives 6% Conservatives, Lib 125/1 Dems 4th Lib-Dems 9.5% UKIP 125/1 Page 18 of 20
Perth and North Perthshire 1 st SNP(Pete Wishart) 39.6% No Info SNP 1/33 2 nd Conservatives 30.5% No Info Conservatives 16/1 (Alexander Stewart) 3 rd Labour 16.4% No Info Labour 25/1 4 th Lib-Dems 12.3% No Info UKIP 125/1 Conservative target #1 Ross, Skye and Lochaber Result % Ashcroft, Feb % As at 1 st Lib Dems 52% SNP 40% Lib Dems 8/11 (Charles Kennedy) (Charles Kennedy) 2 nd Labour 15.1% Lib Dems 35% SNP 5/4 3 rd SNP 15.1% Labour 9% Labour, Green 100/1 4 th Conservatives 12.2% UKIP 125/1 Charles Kennedy's seat Rutherglen and Hamilton West 1 st Labour(Tom 60.8% No Info Labour( Tom Greatrex) 8/15 Greatrex) 2 nd SNP 16.1% No Info SNP 8/5 3 rd Lib Dems 12% No Info UKIP 125/1 4 th Conservatives 9.7% No Info Conserv, Lib-Dems 200/1 Page 19 of 20
Stirling 1 st Labour(Anne 41.8% No Info SNP 4/6 McGuire) 2 nd Conservatives 23.9% No Info Labour(Johanna Boyd) 6/4 3 rd SNP 17.3% No Info Conservatives 66/1 4 th Lib-Dems 14.5% Lib-Dems, Green 125/1 Conservative target #4 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Result % Ashcroft, Feb % As at 1 st Lib-Dems 38.4% SNP 39% SNP 1/2 (Robert Smith) 2 nd Conservatives 30.3% Conservatives 25% Conservatives 9/2 3 rd SNP 15.7% Lib Dems 10% Lib Dems 9/2 (Robert Smith) 4 th Labour 13.6% Labour 125/1 Lib-Dems clear winner in 2010; more information needed. West Dunbartonshire 8/3/2015 1 st Labour( Gemma 61.3% SNP 47% SNP 8/5 Doyle) 2 nd SNP 20.1% Labour 38% Labour(Gemma Doyle) 13/8 3 rd Lib Dems 8.1% Conservatives 6% Greens,UKIP 100/1 4 th Conservatives 7.7% Lib-Dems 150/1 Page 20 of 20