Population Report, Aberdeen City and Shire

Transcription

1 Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report, Aberdeen City and Shire RESEARCH AND INFORMATION

2 Research and Information Briefing Paper 2015/02 (Published in May 2015) POPULATION REPORT, ABERDEEN CITY AND SHIRE This is one of a series of briefing papers produced by the Research and Information Team. Population estimates can be used for a variety of purposes including resource allocation and planning of services. They are also used for calculating rates and performance measures, informing local and national policy, weighting surveys and in modelling the economy. It is intended that these papers will be used by council services and, where appropriate, our Community Planning partners to assist policy development and service delivery. This briefing paper examines the 2014 population estimates for Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire that were published by National Records of Scotland (NRS) on 30 April As well as the total population of the two areas, the paper looks at the age structures of the population and trends back to Population projections for the period up to 2037 are also summarised and, for Aberdeen only, neighbourhood population estimates are presented. For more information on this paper, please contact: Kamrun Chowdhury Research Officer Research and Information Office of Chief Executive Aberdeen City Council Old Town House, Broad Street 1st Floor, Room 26/27 Aberdeen, AB10 1FY [email protected] Previous briefing papers have included the following topics: Population of Older People in Aberdeen Migrant Workers in Aberdeen City and Shire Migration Report, Aberdeen Household Projections for Aberdeen And Shire These papers, and other statistical reports, can be found in the Stats and Facts section of the Aberdeen City Council website: We value your comments/feedback and would appreciate if you could provide your comments on this paper by following the link: Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 1

3 POPULATION REPORT, ABERDEEN CITY AND SHIRE Summary The estimated population of Aberdeen City in mid-2014 was 228,990, 1,860 higher than the previous year and 21,170 higher than the mid-2004 figure. The estimated population of Aberdeenshire on 30 June 2014 was 260,500, 2,760 higher than the previous year and 25,810 higher than the mid-2004 figure. The estimated population of the combined Aberdeen City and Shire area on 30 June 2014 was 489,490, a rise of 4,620 on the previous year and a rise of 46,980 since mid The combined Aberdeen City and Shire area accounts for 9.2% of Scotland s total population. Three-quarters of the population gain in Aberdeen City and Shire in the year to 30 June 2014 was due to migration. In Aberdeen City there was a net migration gain of 1,414, while the gain in Aberdeenshire was 2,048. The other component of population change is the difference between births and deaths, i.e. the natural change. In the year to 30 June 2014, that accounted for 1,130 of the total population increase in Aberdeen City and Shire. Aberdeen City has a relatively small group of 0-15 years of age population. That age group accounts for 14.6% of the total population, compared with the Scottish average of 17.1%. The number of people in Aberdeen City and Shire who are aged 65 and over makes up 16.1% of the total population, while that age group accounts for 17.8% of Scotland s population. In the period up to 2037, the population of Aberdeen City is projected to rise to 288,788. The Aberdeenshire population is also projected to grow throughout the projection period, reaching 299,813 in The age structure of the Aberdeen City and Shire population is projected to change significantly between 2012 and It is forecast that the 65+ age group in Aberdeen City will increase by 55.4%, while in Aberdeenshire that age group will increase by 74.4%. The number of children (aged 0-15 years) is projected to increase significantly in Aberdeen City by 44.8%, compared to an increase of 13.8% in Aberdeenshire. Neighbourhood population estimates vary greatly, from 13,099 in the Braeside, Mannofield, Broomhill and Seafield neighbourhood to 1,940 in Heathryfold. Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 2

4 Population Report, Aberdeen City and Shire 1. Introduction 1.1 The first section of this paper contains information on the 2014 mid-year population estimates (MYEs), which were published by National Records of Scotland (NRS) on 30 April It presents population data for the Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire areas and the combined Aberdeen City and Shire area. 1.2 The second section of the paper examines changes in population that have occurred in the and periods. Historical data, going back to 1981, is also presented, together with population estimates for Aberdeen s 37 neighbourhoods. 1.3 The final section summarises the results of the sub-national population projections produced by NRS on 14 May These projections were based on the 2012 MYEs and cover the period to Population Estimates 2.1 The estimated population of the combined Aberdeen City and Shire area on 30 June 2014 was 489,490. Aberdeen City s estimated population was 228,990, while the Aberdeenshire total was 260,500. Aberdeen City and Shire accounts for 9.2% of the Scottish population see Table 1. Appendix 1 shows the 2014 population estimates for all Scottish Council areas. Table 1 Total Population, 2014 Male Female Total % of Scotland Aberdeen City 113, , , % Aberdeenshire 129, , , % Aberdeen City and Shire 242, , , % Scotland 2,596,384 2,751,216 5,347, A summary of the age structure of the Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire population is shown in Table 2. The percentage of the total population that is aged 65+ is 15.0% in Aberdeen City and 17.6% in Aberdeenshire. These rates are lower than the overall Scottish average of 18.1%. A relatively low percentage (14.7%) of Aberdeen City s population is under 16 years old compared with Aberdeenshire (18.7%) and Scotland (17.0%). Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 3

5 Table 2 Age Structure of Population, (%) (%) (%) Aberdeen City 33,566 33,988 72,401 (14.7%) (14.8%) (31.6%). Aberdeenshire 48,681 (18.7%) 25,472 (9.8%) 65,598 (25.2%) (%) 54,774 (23.9%) 74,961 (28.8%) 65+ (%) 34,261 (15.0%) 45,788 (17.6%) Total (%) 228,990 (100%) 260,500 (100%) Aberdeen City and Shire 82,247 (16.8%) 59,460 (12.1%) 137,999 (28.2%) 129,735 (26.5%) 80,049 (16.4%) 489,490 (100%) 911, ,875 Scotland (17.0%) (11.6%) Due to rounding sums may not add up 1,375,464 (25.7%) 1,472,590 (27.5%) 968,389 (18.1%) 5,347,600 (100%) 2.3 More detailed age breakdowns for Aberdeen City, Aberdeenshire and the combined Aberdeen City and Shire area are shown in Appendices 2a, 2b and 2c. Figures 1a and 1b show the population pyramids for Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire. Figure 1a Aberdeen City Population, by age and sex, Figure 1a shows that the number of young adults in Aberdeen City grows considerably between the ages of 16 to 30 as students and other young people move into the city. The reverse trend is seen in Aberdeenshire, where there are increasingly fewer young adults aged between 16 and 34 years, after which numbers rise see Figure 1b. The population pyramid shows how the city attracts young people in the age groups, after which there is a net loss of people aged The latter trend may be due to young families moving to larger properties in Aberdeenshire, where more family housing available. Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 4

6 Figure 1b Aberdeenshire Population, by age and sex, Tables 3a and 3b give a statistical snapshot of the age/sex structure of the Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire populations in This population profile shows that the highest male to female ratio in Aberdeen City is in the year age group. In contrast, the highest male to female ratio in Aberdeenshire is in the year age group. There are more females than males in the oldest age group (65+) in both Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire. Table 3a Gender balance by age groups, 2014 Aberdeen City Age Total Male Female Sex ratio (M/F) ,566 17,135 16, ,988 16,249 17, ,401 37,637 34, ,774 27,615 27, ,261 14,838 19, Table 3b Gender balance by age groups, 2014 Aberdeenshire Age Total Male Female Sex ratio (M/F) ,681 25,051 23, ,472 13,554 11, ,598 32,423 33, ,961 37,134 37, ,788 21,316 24, Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 5

7 3. Population Change (a) Between 2013 and 2014, the population of Aberdeen City rose by 1,860 (0.8%), while there was a rise of 2,760 (1.1%) in Aberdeenshire. Aberdeen City had the fifth highest percentage increase (0.8%) of Scotland s 32 council areas, after Midlothian (+1.8%), Aberdeenshire (+1.1%), Edinburgh (+1.1%), and East Renfrewshire (+1.0%). In the combined Aberdeen City and Shire area, the population rose by 4,620 (+1.0%) see Table 4a. Table 4a Population Change, Change Change % Aberdeen City 227, ,990 +1, % Aberdeenshire 257, ,500 +2, % Aberdeen City and Shire 484, ,490 +4, % Scotland 5,327,700 5,347, , % 3.2 In both Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire, there were more births than deaths in the year to 30 June Table 4b shows the components of population change in Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire. The natural change in Aberdeen City was +532, while it was +598 in Aberdeenshire. Most of the population change in that period was due to net migration, which accounted for almost 75% of the population change in the combined City and Shire area. Table 4b Components of Population Change, Migration Births Deaths Total Other 2014 Total Aberdeen City 227,130 2,598 2,066 1, ,990 Aberdeenshire 257,740 2,803 2,205 2, ,500 Aberdeen City and Shire 484,870 5,401 4,271 3, ,490 Scotland 5,327,700 56,101 52,584 17,585-1,202 5,347, Between June 2013 and June 2014, it is estimated that 7,040 migrants moved to Aberdeen City from other areas of Scotland, while 8,174 moved in the opposite direction. This means that there was a net loss of 1,134 migrants from Aberdeen City to the rest of Scotland. Most of the migration gain in Aberdeen City was from overseas; in-migrants (4,200) exceeded out-migrants (2,236) by 1,964. These figures are shown in Tables 4c, 4d and 4e along with equivalent data for Aberdeenshire. Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 6

8 Aberdeenshire 7,226 2,053 1,065 10,344 Aberdeen City and Shire 14,266 5,014 5,265 24,545 Scotland - 49,242 33,200 82,442 Aberdeenshire 5,586 1, ,296 Aberdeen City and Shire 13,760 4,146 3,177 21,083 Scotland - 39,657 25,200 64,857 Table 4c Origin of In-Migrants, Within Rest of Overseas Total Scotland UK Aberdeen City 7,040 2,961 4,200 14,201 Table 4d Destination of Out-Migrants, Within Scotland Rest of UK Overseas Total Aberdeen City 8,174 2,377 2,236 12,787 Table 4e Net Migration, Within Scotland Rest of UK Overseas Total Aberdeen City ,964 1,414 Aberdeenshire 1, ,048 Aberdeen City and Shire ,088 3,462 Scotland - 9,585 8,000 17,585 NB: Detailed information on migration will be released by NRS later this year. The data for Aberdeen will be analysed and published in a Briefing Paper following the release. (b) Population change in last ten years, Between 2004 and 2014, the Aberdeen City population rose by 10.2% - up from 207,820 to 228,990. There was an increase of 11.0% in Aberdeenshire, where the population rose from 234,690 to 260,500 over the same period. In the combined Aberdeen City and Shire area, the population grew by 46,980 (10.6%) see Table 5a. Table 5a Population Change, Change Change % Aberdeen City 207, , , % Aberdeenshire 234, , , % Aberdeen City and Shire 442, , , % Scotland 5,084,300 5,347, , % Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 7

9 3.5 Table 5b shows the component of population change in the last ten years. Between 2004 and 2014, the number of births in Aberdeen City exceeded deaths by 3,732. However, the population increase between these two dates was mainly due to a net migration. In Aberdeenshire, the number of births exceeded deaths by 5,086 in the last ten years. Similar to Aberdeen City, most of the population change was due to net migration. Table 5b Components of Population Change, Migration Births Deaths Total Other 2014 Total Aberdeen City 207,820 24,593 20,861 20,655-3, ,990 Aberdeenshire 234,690 27,082 21,996 20, ,500 Aberdeen City and Shire 442,510 51,675 42,857 40,709-2, ,490 Scotland 5,084, , , ,578 13,029 5,347, Historical Data, The population of Aberdeen City was 212,490 in 1981, rising to 219,880 in 1995, before falling year-on-year until 2004, a total fall of 14,170. Examination of historical data from NRS suggests that contributing factors to this drop are likely to include higher deaths than births in the period as well as a negative net migration in the period. From 2005 onwards, there has been an increase in the city s population. The Aberdeenshire population has risen almost every year between 1981 and The only decreases were in 2000 and 2001, when the population fell by 220 and 80, respectively. 4.2 Figure 2 shows the population trends in Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire over the 1981 to 2014 period. Figure 2 Population trends, Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 8

10 5. Neighbourhood Population Estimates (Aberdeen City only) 5.1 In addition to council area population estimates and projections, NRS produce small area population estimates. These are published at data zone level (using 2001 data zone levels); this is the small area geography that is used by the Scottish Government for statistical purposes. There are 267 data zones in Aberdeen, each with an average population of around 851. These were amalgamated to give best-fit approximations of Aberdeen s neighbourhoods. 5.2 NRS have not yet published their small area population estimates for Therefore, the data in this section relates to the 2013 estimates. Updated neighbourhood population estimates will be posted in the Stats and Facts section of the Aberdeen City Council website once the small area data is released later this year. 5.3 Neighbourhood population estimates vary greatly. The Braeside, Mannofield, Broomhill and Seafield neighbourhood has an estimated population of 13,099, while Heathryfold s population is 1,940. The largest proportional increase in the year to end-june 2013 was in Old Aberdeen, where the population rose by 7.2%. There were also increases in Tillydrone (3.5%), Stockethill (3.2%), City Centre (2.8%) and Cults, Bieldside & Miltimber (2.8%). The largest decrease was in Froghall, Powis & Sunnybank, where the estimated population fell by 9.6%, followed by George Street, with a decrease of 4.7% between 2012 and Appendix 3 shows the neighbourhood population estimates for 2013 and the age structure of the population. 6. Population Projections 6.1 In addition to the population estimates, National Records of Scotland (NRS) also produces a set of council area population projections every two years. The most recent set was the 2012-based projections, which cover the period to These figures were issued on 14 May The next population projection update will be published by NRS in November The 2012-based NRS projections show that the population of Aberdeen City will continue to grow, reaching 288,788 in In Aberdeenshire, the population is projected to grow throughout the projection period, reaching 299,813 in see Figure 3. The population of the combined Aberdeen City and Shire area is projected to reach 588,601 in Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 9

11 Figure 3 Population projections, The age structures of the Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire populations are projected to change significantly in the period to The number of children (aged 0-15 years) is projected to increase significantly in Aberdeen City by 44.8%, compared to an increase of 13.7% in Aberdeenshire. The number of working age people (16-64 years) is projected to increase in Aberdeen City by 19.3%, from 158,901 in 2012 to 189,617 in The 65+ age group is projected to increase by 55.4% over the same period see Table 6a. Table 6a Projected Age Structure Change, , Aberdeen City Age Group Change % Change ,903 47,640 14, % , ,617 30, % ,166 51,531 18, % All Ages 224, ,788 63, % 6.4 Changes to the age structure in Aberdeenshire are expected to be different to those in Aberdeen City. The number of working age people in Aberdeenshire is projected to increase by 3.5%, from 164,861 in 2012 to 170,641 in It is projected that only the age groups will experience a population loss. The main change is expected to be in the 65+ age group, which is projected to increase by 74.4% in the period to 2037 see Table 6b. Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 10

12 Table 6b Projected Age Structure Change, , Aberdeenshire Age Group Change % Change ,756 54,332 6, % , ,641 5, % ,923 74,840 31, % All Ages 255, ,813 44, % 6.5 A Briefing Paper on the 2012-based NRS population projections is available to download from the Stats and Facts page of the Aberdeen City Council website: 7. Population Density 7.1 Information on land areas and population densities for mid-2014 are shown in Table 7. The population density for Aberdeen City was 1,233 people per square kilometre and for Aberdeenshire was 41 people per square kilometre. The average population density for the Scotland at mid-2014 was 69 people per square kilometre. Land areas used for calculating population densities are based on the latest Standard Area Measurements produced by the Office for National Statistics. Table 7 Land Area and Population Density, Mid 2014 Population Mid 2014 Area (sq km) Density (persons/sq km) Aberdeen City 228, ,233 Aberdeenshire 260,500 6, Dundee 148, ,478 Edinburgh 492, ,871 Glasgow 599, ,433 Scotland 5,347,600 77, Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 11

13 8. Conclusions 8.1 The population of the Aberdeen City and Shire area has increased significantly since 2001, with most of that increase occurring in Aberdeenshire. However, in Aberdeen City the population has risen in each of the ten years since 2004, when the estimated population was 205, The total population of Aberdeen City is projected to increase over the next few years reaching 288,788 by During that time there will be significant changes in the age structure. The main population change will be in the age groups of 0-15 years and 65+ years; these age groups will grow by 44.8% and 55.4% respectively in the period to The 16-29, and age groups are also projected to rise. These changes in the city s age structure will affect the demand for children services, growing demand for housing for older people and demand for social care services. 8.3 The projected increase in the 65+ age group will be more pronounced in Aberdeenshire, with a growth of 74.4%. More modest increases are projected in the 0-15, and age groups; while the age group is projected to contract. 8.4 By 2037, it is projected that there will be 126,371 people in the combined Aberdeen City and Shire area in the 65+ age group, representing a quarter of the total population. This change, in particular, will have important consequences for the services delivered by the two councils and its community planning partners. Note on Methodology The estimated population of an area includes all those usually resident there, whatever their nationality. Students are treated as being resident at their term-time address. Members of UK and non-uk armed forces stationed in Scotland are included. Short-term international migrants are excluded. Population estimates are based on the 2011 Census and updated annually by 'ageing on' the population and applying information on births, deaths and migration. Births and deaths are estimated using data from the civil registration system, which is considered to be virtually complete. Migration is more difficult to estimate because there is no comprehensive registration system in the UK. Migration is derived from the National Health Service Central Register (NHSCR) and Community Health Index (CHI) for migration within the UK, and from the International Passenger Survey (IPS) for international migration. Further Information Details of the 2014 mid-year population estimates are available on the NRS website: Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 12

14 Appendix 1 Estimated population, 30 June 2014 Council Area Male Female Total % of Scotland Aberdeen City 113, , , % Aberdeenshire 129, , , % Angus 56,769 59, , % Argyll & Bute 43,421 44,239 87, % Clackmannanshire 25,119 26,071 51, % Dumfries & Galloway 72,814 77, , % Dundee City 71,362 76, , % East Ayrshire 59,163 62, , % East Dunbartonshire 51,693 55, , % East Lothian 48,839 53, , % East Renfrewshire 43,999 48,381 92, % Edinburgh, City of 239, , , % Eilean Siar 13,441 13,809 27, % Falkirk 77,022 80, , % Fife 177, , , % Glasgow City 290, , , % Highland 114, , , % Inverclyde 38,130 41,730 79, % Midlothian 41,531 44,679 86, % Moray 46,656 48,094 94, % North Ayrshire 64,863 71, , % North Lanarkshire 163, , , % Orkney Islands 10,734 10,856 21, % Perth & Kinross 72,729 76, , % Renfrewshire 83,769 90, , % Scottish Borders 55,316 58, , % Shetland Islands 11,799 11,431 23, % South Ayrshire 53,691 58, , % South Lanarkshire 151, , , % Stirling 43,977 47,603 91, % West Dunbartonshire 42,696 47,034 89, % West Lothian 86,756 90, , % SCOTLAND 2,596,384 2,751,216 5,347,600 - Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 13

15 2014 Mid-Year Population Estimate - Aberdeen City Total Population 228,990 Appendix 2a Age Male Female Total Age Male Female Total Age Male Female Total 0 1,315 1,248 2, ,130 1,976 4, ,308 1,156 2, ,252 1,210 2, ,149 2,028 4, ,206 1,120 2, ,293 1,249 2, ,013 1,892 3, ,167 1,137 2, ,251 1,192 2, ,999 1,774 3, ,136 1,119 2, ,206 1,143 2, ,869 1,715 3, ,134 1,083 2, ,317 6,042 12, ,160 9,385 19, ,951 5,615 11, ,170 1,097 2, ,833 1,532 3, ,163 1,188 2, ,089 1,123 2, ,583 1,441 3, ,115 1,151 2, ,029 1,026 2, ,557 1,320 2, ,229 1,303 2, , , ,519 1,400 2, , , ,483 1,344 2, , ,259 5,150 10, ,975 7,037 15, ,127 5,390 10, , ,439 1,291 2, , , ,542 1,398 2, , , ,464 1,490 2, , , ,547 1,471 3, , , ,346 1,422 2, , ,586 4,330 8, ,338 7,072 14, ,469 4,114 7, , ,484 1,434 2, , , ,502 1,392 2, , ,067 1,044 2, ,566 1,411 2, , ,284 1,418 2, ,401 1,511 2, , ,581 2,041 3, ,522 1,561 3, , ,894 6,336 12, ,475 7,309 14, ,810 3,775 6, ,716 2,082 3, ,451 1,549 3, , ,003 2,363 4, ,557 1,540 3, , ,426 2,708 5, ,536 1,522 3, , ,658 2,678 5, ,387 1,437 2, ,525 2,481 5, ,424 1,459 2, ,328 12,312 23, ,355 7,507 14, ,992 3,068 5, ,605 2,370 4, ,457 1,420 2, ,513 2,298 4, ,386 1,390 2, ,469 2,189 4, ,381 1,316 2, ,366 2,212 4, ,338 1,332 2, ,211 2,201 4, ,272 1,270 2, ,164 11,270 23, ,834 6,728 13, ,050 1,985 3, ,091 1,481 Age Group Summaries Male Female Total Source: Population Statistics Branch All Ages 113, , ,990 National Records of Scotland (NRS) 0-4 6,317 6,042 12,359 Ladywell House ,062 6,869 13,931 Ladywell Road ,756 3,520 7,276 EDINBURGH EH12 7TF ,249 17,739 33, ,637 34,764 72,401 Crown Copyright ,615 27,159 54,774 Reproduced with the permission of the Controller ,596 9,504 18,100 of HMSO and the Queen's Printer for Scotland 75 and over 6,242 9,919 16,161 Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 14

16 Appendix 2b 2014 Mid-Year Population Estimate - Aberdeenshire Total Population 260,500 Age Male Female Total Age Male Female Total Age Male Female Total 0 1,456 1,441 2, ,379 1,522 2, ,716 1,755 3, ,511 1,395 2, ,469 1,557 3, ,593 1,676 3, ,560 1,469 3, ,534 1,689 3, ,572 1,582 3, ,663 1,589 3, ,638 1,663 3, ,607 1,610 3, ,701 1,643 3, ,630 1,726 3, ,606 1,612 3, ,891 7,537 15, ,650 8,157 15, ,094 8,235 16, ,681 1,661 3, ,584 1,634 3, ,757 1,618 3, ,736 1,506 3, ,540 1,598 3, ,736 1,651 3, ,627 1,492 3, ,626 1,639 3, ,828 1,809 3, ,566 1,516 3, ,728 1,699 3, ,331 1,379 2, ,502 1,453 2, ,652 1,691 3, ,174 1,253 2, ,112 7,628 15, ,130 8,261 16, ,826 7,710 15, ,523 1,385 2, ,834 1,824 3, ,198 1,207 2, ,471 1,415 2, ,925 1,885 3, ,125 1,188 2, ,440 1,381 2, ,931 1,957 3, ,022 1,157 2, ,442 1,379 2, ,959 2,159 4, ,014 1, ,612 1,401 3, ,971 2,020 3, ,076 2, ,488 6,961 14, ,620 9,845 19, ,189 5,642 10, ,560 1,504 3, ,003 2,168 4, , ,596 1,479 3, ,963 2,023 3, , ,582 1,410 2, ,047 2,124 4, , ,496 1,267 2, ,999 2,132 4, , ,542 1,303 2, ,081 2,166 4, , ,776 6,963 14, ,093 10,613 20, ,970 4,374 8, ,580 1,336 2, ,079 2,123 4, , ,489 1,317 2, ,052 2,156 4, , ,355 1,308 2, ,986 1,981 3, , ,508 1,234 2, ,939 1,941 3, , ,406 1,264 2, ,856 1,821 3, ,338 6,459 13, ,912 10,022 19, ,467 3,324 5, ,393 1,222 2, ,792 1,853 3, ,397 1,375 2, ,921 1,793 3, ,389 1,398 2, ,798 1,799 3, ,382 1,431 2, ,799 1,793 3, ,462 1,486 2, ,725 1,719 3, ,023 6,912 13, ,035 8,957 17, ,260 2,138 3, ,284 1,888 Age Group Summaries Male Female Total Source: Population Statistics Branch All Ages 129, , ,500 National Records of Scotland (NRS) 0-4 7,891 7,537 15,428 Ladywell House ,106 10,428 21,534 Ladywell Road ,054 5,665 11,719 EDINBURGH EH12 7TF ,554 11,918 25, ,423 33,175 65,598 Crown Copyright ,134 37,827 74,961 Reproduced with the permission of the Controller ,015 13,352 26,367 of HMSO and the Queen's Printer for Scotland 75 and over 8,301 11,120 19,421 Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 15

17 2014 Mid-Year Population Estimate - Aberdeen City and Shire Total Population 489,490 Appendix 2c Age Male Female Total Age Male Female Total Age Male Female Total 0 2,771 2,689 5, ,509 3,498 7, ,024 2,911 5, ,763 2,605 5, ,618 3,585 7, ,799 2,796 5, ,853 2,718 5, ,547 3,581 7, ,739 2,719 5, ,914 2,781 5, ,637 3,437 7, ,743 2,729 5, ,907 2,786 5, ,499 3,441 6, ,740 2,695 5, ,208 13,579 27, ,810 17,542 35, ,045 13,850 27, ,851 2,758 5, ,417 3,166 6, ,920 2,806 5, ,825 2,629 5, ,123 3,039 6, ,851 2,802 5, ,656 2,518 5, ,183 2,959 6, ,057 3,112 6, ,574 2,485 5, ,247 3,099 6, ,242 2,318 4, ,465 2,388 4, ,135 3,035 6, ,883 2,062 3, ,371 12,778 26, ,105 15,298 31, ,953 13,100 26, ,421 2,252 4, ,273 3,115 6, ,943 2,039 3, ,376 2,267 4, ,467 3,283 6, ,879 2,046 3, ,343 2,218 4, ,395 3,447 6, ,734 2,009 3, ,350 2,245 4, ,506 3,630 7, ,526 1,786 3, ,584 2,309 4, ,317 3,442 6, ,576 1,876 3, ,074 11,291 23, ,958 16,917 33, ,658 9,756 18, ,533 2,413 4, ,487 3,602 7, ,485 1,784 3, ,585 2,403 4, ,465 3,415 6, ,471 1,667 3, ,649 2,454 5, ,613 3,535 7, ,328 1,643 2, ,780 2,685 5, ,400 3,643 7, ,306 1,594 2, ,123 3,344 6, ,603 3,727 7, ,190 1,461 2, ,670 13,299 26, ,568 17,922 35, ,780 8,149 14, ,296 3,418 6, ,530 3,672 7, ,064 1,425 2, ,492 3,680 7, ,609 3,696 7, ,318 2, ,781 4,016 7, ,522 3,503 7, ,331 2, ,166 3,912 8, ,326 3,378 6, ,182 1, ,931 3,745 7, ,280 3,280 6, ,136 1, ,666 18,771 37, ,267 17,529 34, ,459 6,392 10, ,998 3,592 7, ,249 3,273 6, , ,910 3,673 7, ,307 3,183 6, ,858 3,587 7, ,179 3,115 6, ,748 3,643 7, ,137 3,125 6, ,673 3,687 7, ,997 2,989 5, ,187 18,182 37, ,869 15,685 31, ,310 4,123 6, ,375 3,369 Age Group Summaries Male Female Total Source: Population Statistics Branch All Ages 242, , ,490 National Records of Scotland (NRS) ,208 13,579 27,787 Ladywell House ,168 17,297 35,465 Ladywell Road ,810 9,185 18,995 EDINBURGH EH12 7TF ,803 29,657 59, ,060 67, ,999 Crown Copyright ,749 64, ,735 Reproduced with the permission of the Controller ,611 22,856 44,467 of HMSO and the Queen's Printer for Scotland 75 and over 14,543 21,039 35,582 Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 16

18 Appendix 3 Aberdeen Neighbourhoods - Population Estimates, 2013 Neighbourhood All Ages Ashgrove 2, , Balgownie & Donmouth 6, ,421 1, Braeside, Mannofield, Broomhill & Seafield 13, ,146 1,183 3,892 3,383 1,248 1,558 Bucksburn 8, ,384 2, City Centre 6, ,503 2, Cove 7, ,113 2, Culter 5, ,266 1, Cults, Bieldside & Milltimber 10, ,618 1,163 2,118 3, Cummings Park 2, Danestone 4, ,290 1, Denmore 3, Dyce 6, ,447 1, Ferryhill 10, ,403 4,375 2, Froghall, Powis & Sunnybank 5, ,728 1, Garthdee 5, ,525 1, George Street 6, ,050 2, Hanover 7, ,417 2, Hazlehead 5, ,157 1, Heathryfold 1, Hilton 7, ,026 2,281 1, Kincorth, Leggart & Nigg 8, ,356 2, Kingswells 5, ,559 1, Mastrick 7, ,039 2, Middlefield 2, Midstocket 4, ,205 1, Northfield 5, ,552 1, Old Aberdeen 3, , Oldmachar 9, ,065 2,449 2, Rosemount 7, ,454 3,341 1, Seaton 6, ,656 1,917 1, Sheddocksley 4, , Stockethill 4, , Summerhill 3, , Tillydrone 4, , Torry 10, ,101 1,380 3,664 2, West End 10, ,216 3,954 2, Woodside 5, ,858 1, Aberdeen City 227,129 12,300 20,869 34,586 70,777 54,885 17,573 16,140 Neighbourhood populations are based on datazone population estimates produced by the National Records of Scotland Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 17

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