Fernando Reitich - CEO Raúl Gamonal - CFO



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Transcription:

Fernando Reitich - CEO Raúl Gamonal - CFO Santiago, October 2014

Agenda Agenda Company overview Global industry update Financial perfomance Projects Conclusions 1

Ownership structure Source: CAP, September 2014 2

Mining sites CAP Mining has three different areas of operation in the north of Chile, located around the cities of: El Laco Punta Totoralillo Port Cerro Negro Norte Desalination Plant Copiapó Magnetite Plant La Serena Vallenar Copiapó Cities Mines Guacolda II Port Pellets Plant Vallenar El Algarrobo Los Colorados Plants Ports El Tofo Cristales La Serena El Romeral Guayacán Port 3

Iron ore Cerro Negro El Norte Romeral Mine mine Cerro Negro Norte Mine 4

Iron ore Cerro Negro Los Colorados Norte Mine mine Cerro Negro Norte Mine 5

Iron ore Cerro Negro Magnetite El Norte Romeral Mine plant mine Cerro Negro Norte Mine 6

Iron ore Cerro Negro Norte Mine Cerro Negro Norte Mine 7

Mining property Ranking 2013 Hectares in exploration concessions - Chile N Company Hectares % 1 BHP Chile Inc 1.917.100 11,33 2 Compañía Contractual Minera Los Andes 841.100 4,97 3 CAP 677.700 4,01 4 Teck Exploraciones Mineras Chile Ltda 629.700 3,72 5 Antofagasta Minerals S.A. 514.500 3,04 6 Codelco 435.500 2,57 Ranking 2013 Hectares in exploitation concessions - Chile N Company Hectares % 1 Soquimich S.A. 2.861.157 20,06 2 Codelco 840.704 5,89 3 Minera Escondida Limitada 363.798 2,55 4 SCM Virginia 252.532 1,77 5 Enami 250.847 1,76 6 Antofagasta Minerals S.A. 231.392 1,62 7 CAP 205.788 1,44 Top 3 position in exploration concessions More than 700.000 meters drilled over the period 2008-2013 Source: SERNAGEOMIN 8

Resources and reserves of magnetic ore As a result of continued successful exploration campaigns, iron ore resources have increased progressively over the years, reaching 6,351 million tons in 2013 7000 Mineral resources (1) Mine/Deposits & Grade (% Fe) 6.351 Tofo 25,6% 2500 Reserves (2) 2.278 Mine/Deposits & Grade (% Fe) Tofo 26,1% 6000 5000 4000 3000 2.928 3.249 3.478 4.716 5.367 Pleito Cristales 32,8% Los Colorados Distrito 43,3% El Laco 49,2% El Algarrobo Distrito 33,5% El Algarrobo 45,8% 2000 1500 1000 1.415 1.403 1.364 2.039 2.040 El Laco 56,7% El Algarrobo Distrito 35,5% El Algarrobo 49,5% CNN 36,5% 2000 CNN 32,8% Candelaria 10,0% 1000 Candelaria 10,0% Romeral 28,3% 500 Romeral 30,6% 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Los Colorados 34,7% 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Los Colorados 36,5% (1) Resources: Minerals measured on a geological ore content feasible of being mined. (2) Reserves: Minerals measured on a geological content feasible of being mined economically. (3) CMP has the contract for processing the tailings of the Candelaria copper mine. Source: CAP Minería 9

Mining products BF and DR Pellets (Fe 67%+) Lumps (Fe 62%) Pellet Feed (Fe 67% - 68%) Fines (Fe 62%) 10

Main customers 11

Mining shipments and markets Shipments 10.146 10.213 11.469 12.246 12.086 6.472 5.892 6.579 6.576 7.099 3.674 4.321 4.890 5.670 4.987 5.467 1H14 Shipments by markets and products (June 2014) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 (E) Sinter feed 3% Lumps 3% Self - fluxing pellets 16% Pellet chips 0% Fines 5% Japan 4% Chile 9% Bahrein 9% Korea Malaysia 3% 2% USA 1% Pellet feed 73% China 72% 12

Focus on costs and expenses reduction Due to the magnitude of the price adjustment of iron ore in 2014, the company s focus has been on cost and expense reduction Within this effort, the company is rescheduling its ramp up production at CNN and the works at Romeral phase V Further changes to this program may be proactively effected in response to market conditions Iron ore production ramp-up (ThMT) 12.086 13.000 16.000 17.000 18.000 2013 2014 (E) 2015 (P) 2016 (P) 2017 (P) 13

Costs and expenses reduction and innovation efforts Action taken New bids and renegotiations on service contracts Effect Outsourcing expenses reduced by US$35 million in 2014 (e) Promote the railway as primary means for transporting iron ore Transport costs reduced by US$10 million in 2014 (e) Sales and administration expenses Reduction of US$10 million in 2014 (e) Conservative selection criteria for mining exploration and exploitation Exploration and exploitation costs reduced by US$5 million in 2014 (e) Innovation CAP Mining is currently applying an efficiency plan in the use of raw materials, that will reduce the cost related to this concept by US$10 million in 2015 Efficiency in maintenance of the mining operations is being improved, translating into a cost reduction estimated at US$12 million for the year 2015 14

Cash cost curve Global production cost CAP Mining is a low cost magnetite producer of high grade concentrate Mine depletion will lead to higher demand for high grade pellet feed Environmental and economic constraints support the increased need for magnetite concentrate Pellet feed global production cost Magnetic pellet feed global production cost Source: Wood Mackenzie Research 15

Projected cash cost by operation 2015 US$/dmt C1 cash cost of magnetic pellet feed producers (66% Fe equivalent) 160 140 120 100 Australia Brasil Canada China Otros 80 Huasco 45 MHA 46 Romeral Fase V Under revision 60 40 20 Proyecto CNN 53 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Mdmt 16

Projected global cash cost curve magnetite ore Cash cost C1 (US$/dmt) Cash cost C1 (66% Fe equivalent) 160 140 Australia Brasil 2014 2016 2017 2018 2019 2015 120 100 Canada China Otros 80 60 40 20 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Mdmt Source: CAP analysis, based on data provided by Wood Mackenzie Iron ore cost service 17

Steel 18

Steel focus on long products Th.MT US$/Ton Steel business reorganization to produce 700 kt/y, with one blast furnace Strong adjustment in its industrial processes and workforce Long products demand underpinned by domestic construction and mining sectors Shipments and prices CAP Acero 2.000 1.800 1.600 1.400 699 799 883 811 737 717 1.000 900 800 700 Talcahuano 1.200 600 1.000 500 800 400 600 400 200 0 1.113 1.124 922 859 671 354 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 300 200 100 0 1H14 Shipments Prices 19

Recovery of cash generation (EBITDA) Net Income and EBITDA evolution (USD million) 10 0-10 -7 1 2 6-10 -17-9 -12-20 -30-40 -50-60 -16-22 -14-31 -44 Impairment Net income EBITDA -56 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1H14 Due to the reorganization and adjustment in industrial processes, the steel company has managed to generate positive cash flow over the last fourth quarter EBITDA: Gross Margin S&AE + Depreciation and Amortization, over the last twelve months 20

Costs and expenses reduction and innovation efforts Action taken Effect Adjustments in CAP Steel s workforce made in 2013 are continuing in 2014 Labor costs reduced by US$10 million in 2014 (e) Personnel December 2012: 1,716 Personnel September 2014: 1,183 New bids on service contracts Outsourcing expenses reduced by US$7 million in 2014 (e) Operations undergoing energy efficiency plan Other adjustments Reduction of US$25 million in 2014 (e), due to improvements in the steel production process, efficient reuse of internal gases, and optimization of the plant Reduction of US$8 million in 2014 (e), in general expenses and in the use of operation and maintenance materials Innovation CAP Steel has developed the technology to produce grinding bars (raw material for grinding balls), capable to resist 60,000 impacts, increasing efficiency in the crushing process in mining Blending new Colombian coal with the traditional Canadian and/or Australian coal, the company has reduced coke production cost in US$5 per ton, maintaining its high quality and permitting the exportation of coke surplus generating revenues for US$ 13 million 21

Steel processing 22

Th. MT US$/Ton Steel processing Creates value-added solutions for the construction, industry and infrastructure sectors in Chile, Peru and Argentina Chile is LATAM s most intensive user of steel in construction Main flat steel importer of the Pacific coast of South America Transition to establish new and competitive supply sources of flat steel Shipments and prices Sales by Sector June 2014 600 500 400 300 200 1.059 274 1.199 297 1.252 370 1.167 1.119 1.028 400 412 185 1.400 1.200 1.000 800 600 400 Industrial 31% Other 10% 100 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 200 0 1H14 Infrastructure /Roads 2% Construction 57% Shipments Price 23

osts and expenses reduction and innovation efforts Action taken Effect Adjustments in CAP Steel Processing s workforce made in 2013 are continuing in 2014 Labor costs reduced by US$4.6 million in 2014 (e) Personnel June 2013: 753 Personnel September 2014: 601 Sales and administration costs Cost reduction of US$7 per ton (approx. US$2.2 million per year) Efficiency in operations and logistic costs Operation cost and logistic reductions of US$16 per ton and US$6 per ton, respectively (approx. US$6.9 million per year) Assets optimization Availability of 91,000 m 2 for lease or sale. Working capital adjustment for US$19.0 million in 2014 Innovation CAP Steel Processing has contributed during this year with new products such as steel photovoltaic structures, certified roadside defenses and Metalcon siding for the housing market. These products are expected to generate sales of US$26 million per year approximately The group is working on new architectural panels for industrial applications and acoustic panels for industrial and highway applications. These products are estimated to generate sales for US$ 9,5 million per year and will be launched next year 24

Reorganization and assets availability Steel processing reorganization towards a lighter and lower cost structure Cintac S.A. 99.99% 99.99% 99.99% 100% Cintac S.A. Cintac SAIC Inmobiliaria Cintac S.A. Centroacero S.A. Steel Trading Company INC. 99.99% 89.48% Cintac SAIC Tupemesa S.A. 99.99% 99.97% 99.99% 99.99% 89.48% Instapanel S.A. Conjuntos Estructurales S.A. Tecnoacero S.A. Tecnoacero Uno S.A. Tupemesa S.A. The reorganization allowed the company to benefit of a goodwill of US$10 million Labor cost and general expenses reduction of US$1.2 million and US$0.4 million per year, respectively Assets availability for rental to third parties: Centroacero, 55,600 m 2, US$1.3 million yearly Varco Pruden, 36,000 m 2, US$0.8 million yearly 25

Agenda Agenda Company overview Global industry update Financial perfomance Projects Conclusions 26

Seaborne iron ore supply/demand projection Million tonnes Million tonnes 1.800 1.600 1.400 1.200 1.800 1.600 1.400 1.200 1.000 800 600 400 200 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E Australia Brazil RoW Seaborne demand 1.000 800 600 400 200 0 Price 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E Fines 62% Fe CFR China (US$/dmt) 81 145 168 130 135 107 80 82 85 80 Source: Goldman Sachs, September 2014 27

Iron ore inventories in Chinese ports Total iron ore stockpiles at China s major ports (Mt) Chinese iron ore stockpiles by origin (Mt) Share of iron ore imports into China Source: Morgan Stanley Iron Ore Chartbook, October 2014 28

Iron ore price evolution US$/dmt 1/2/13 1/23/13 2/13/13 3/6/13 3/27/13 4/17/13 5/8/13 5/29/13 6/19/13 7/10/13 7/31/13 8/21/13 9/11/13 10/2/13 10/23/13 11/13/13 12/4/13 12/25/13 1/15/14 2/5/14 2/26/14 3/19/14 4/9/14 4/30/14 5/21/14 6/11/14 7/2/14 7/23/14 8/13/14 9/3/14 9/24/14 Iron ore premium as percentage of the price 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% IODEX Index CFR China 62%Fe Iron ore premiun premium as as % % of IODEX of IODEX Platts Platts 62% 62% Source: Platts, October 2014 29

Differentiation in prices for iron ore grade Premium for higher grades... but most concentrate producers are struggling Source: Platts, October 2014 30

Iron ore premium for higher quality Platts IODEX and 1% diff vs Platts IO fines 65% Source: Platts, October 2014 31

Chinese supply adjustment and oversupply for 2015 Chinese iron ore production has decreased, following the iron ore price downward trend Source: Morgan Stanley Iron Ore Chartbook, October 2014 Iron ore oversupply projected for 2015 Source: Wood Mackenzie, September 2014 32

Cash cost curve Global production cost CAP Mining is a low cost magnetite producer of high grade concentrate Mine depletion will lead to higher demand for high grade pellet feed Environmental and economic constraints support the increased need for magnetite concentrate Pellet feed global production cost Magnetic pellet feed global production cost Source: Wood Mackenzie Research 33

Global iron ore project: Hematite v/s Magnetite According to projections, the market for high grade magnetite concentrate should continue to be in balance Growth in Capex (37 projects with announced capex) Source: Wood Mackenzie, September 2014 34

Global steel demand Global finished steel demand will grow from 1.5 bn tons in 2014 to 1.7 bn tons by 2018 (implied 3% CAGR) (1) Other Developing includes CIS, MENA, Sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America, India, and Other Asia SOURCE: WSA; McKinsey Steel Demand Model Oliver Ramsbottom, Partner, McKinsey & Company, February 2014 Source: Worldsteel, October 2014 35

China steel consumption Construction, machinery and automotive industries are relevant drivers for steel demand in China Source: Wood Mackenzie, September 2014 36

Steel price evolution US$ per ton US$ per ton Jan 2007 Jan 2007 May 2007 May 2007 Sep 2007 Sep 2007 Jan 2008 Jan 2008 May 2008 May 2008 Sep 2008 Sep 2008 Jan 2009 Jan 2009 May 2009 May 2009 Sep 2009 Sep 2009 Jan 2010 Jan 2010 May 2010 Sep 2010 May 2010 Jan 2011 Sep 2010 May 2011 Jan 2011 Sep 2011 May 2011 Jan 2012 Sep 2011 May 2012 Jan 2012 Sep 2012 May 2012 Jan 2013 Sep 2012 May 2013 Jan 2013 Sep 2013 May 2013 Jan 2014 May 2014 Sep 2013 Sep 2014 Jan 2014 May 2014 Sep 2014 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 CRUspi North America CRUspi Europe CRUspi Asia 0 600 500 400 300 200 100 CRUspi Flats CRUspi Longs CRUmpi 0 Source: CRUspi, October 2014 37

volution of key raw materials Metallurgical Coal (US$/TM) 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Baltic Dry Index 4.500 4.000 3.500 3.000 2.500 2.000 1.500 1.000 500 0 Source: CAP and The Baltic Exchange, October 2014 38

Global economic scenario Real GDP growth expected at 2.1% in 2014 and 3.0% in 2015 Real GDP growth expected at 7.4% in 2014 and 7.2% in 2015 UK real GDP growth expected at 3.0% in 2014 and 2.6% in 2015, whilst Euro Zone GDP growth is expected at 0.8% in 2014 and 1.3% in 2015 Real GDP growth expected at 1.1% in 2014 and 1.2% in 2015 Real GDP growth expected at 0.3% in 2014 and 1.3% in 2015 Real GDP growth expected at 2.1% in 2014 and 3.3% in 2015 Source: Bloomberg, October 2014 39

Agenda Agenda Company overview Global industry update Financial perfomance Projects Conclusions 40

CAP Financial evolution USD Million 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1H14 L12M Sales 1.375 1.994 2.787 2.470 2.297 994 2.233 EBITDA 128 740 1.184 764 708 237 651 EBITDA Margin 9,3% 37,1% 42,5% 30,9% 30,8% 29,1% Net Income 25 590 442 234 184 46 148 Cash 393 981 883 711 309 414 414 Gross Financial debt 907 1.001 628 719 932 1.198 1.198 Net Financial debt 514 20-255 8 623 784 784 Net Financial Debt /EBITDA 4,01 0,03-0,22 0,01 0,88 1,20 Capex 142 207 282 777 975 301 770 (1) 41

Chile s tax reform As of September 30th, 2014, CAP s Financial Statements will reflect an effect in deferred taxes, at a rate of 27%, for approximately US$ 75 million The above mentioned US$75 million deferred taxes effect, is an accounting registration that will not have cash impact Tax Reform 2014 USD Million CAP Mining (58) CAP Steel (19) Steel processing - CAP Holding 2 Total (75) 42

EBITDA contribution by business 100% 97% 94% 94% 98% 94% 80% 77% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% 18% 5% 6% 6% 8% 4% 5% 0% 1% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 L12M -3% -2% -2% Iron Steel Steel Processing (1) EBITDA: Gross Margin S&AE + Depreciation and Amortization + Dividends received in cash, over the last twelve months 43

Agenda Agenda Company overview Global industry update Financial perfomance Projects Conclusions 44

Investment plan update With the start up of the Cerro Negro Norte mine in May, 2014, the current investment plan reached its final stage Considering the current situation of the iron ore market, the focus of the company will be on protecting the company s cash flow and maintaining a high level of liquidity Any further invesment will be subject to the above restrictions. The maintenance CAPEX of the CAP Group is US$100 million CAP is currently working in monetization structures that should allow for the development of its future projects 45

Mining future prospects Project Magnetite Plant Expansion Production Mt Est. Capex MUS$ 1 PF 110 El Laco Punta Totoralillo Port Cerro Negro Norte Desalination Plant Copiapó Magnetite Plant Tofo Alcaparra 6,5 PF 13,5 PF 6 PF 135 Kt Conc-Cu 1,700 2,900 1,600 300 Guacolda II Port Pellets Plant El Algarrobo Los Colorados Vallenar Alcaparra Productora Cristales Pajonales Cruz Grande Port Tofo North Sierra Tofo + Chupete La Serena El Romeral Guayacán Port 46

El Tofo Investment (E) : 1,700 2,900 MUS$ Greenfield Production: 6.5-13,5 Mt/y of pellet feed Stage: Conceptual engineering Geological Projection Resources Volume [Mt] Fe [%] Measured 946 25.5 Indicated 455 23.4 Inferred 190 22.5 Total 1,591 24.5 Pit Design Cross Section LEGEND Fe% 25 15 Fe%<25 10 Fe%<15 Fe%<10 Drill Hole 47

Alcaparra (iron/copper) Investment (E): 1,600 + 300 MUS$ Iron ore body Production: Stage: 6 Mt/y of pellet feed 135 kt/y of copper concentrate Advanced exploration Exploratory metallurgy Simbology Topography Drilling Fe% 45 Resources Volume [Mt] Fe/Cu [%] Iron 674 24.5 Copper 423 0.26 Pit Design Iron & Copper intersection 25 Fe% < 45 15 Fe% < 25 10 Fe% < 15 Núcleos Estéril Simbology Topography Drilling Cu% 0.6 0.3 Cu% < 0.6 0.1 Cu% < 0.3 0.05 Cu% < 0.1 Cu% < 0.05 48

CAP infrastructure Phase 3 under discussion with Pucobre: up to 130 l/s Caldera 50 lt/s Totoralillo Port Desalination Plant S/S Totoralillo CNN Aqueduct 120 lt/s S/S CNN CNN Photovoltaic Plant Amanecer Solar CAP CAP transmission line Copiapó Cardones node Tierra Amarilla Aqueduct Caserones 120 lt/s Magnetite Plant 80 lt/s 49

Desalination plant 50

Solar energy 100 MW Photovoltaic power plant fully committed to CAP (PPA) Located nearby CNN Mine CAP retains call option for up to 40% of the equity Compliance with NCRE law Connected to a 142 km long 220 kv transmission line owned by CAP General view of the Amanecer Solar CAP Plant site, as of March 2014 51

Ports Guayacan Port 52

Ports Total capacity CAP ports: 34.8 Mt/y Punta Totoralillo: 29 km north of Caldera Iron ore shipping 200,000 dwt Max capacity: 12 million t/y Effective utilization: 4.5 million t/y Guayacán: Herradura bay, Coquimbo Iron ore shipping 165,000 dwt Max capacity: 6 million t/y Effective utilization: 2.7 million t/y Guacolda II: Located in Huasco City Iron ore shipping 300,000 dwt Max capacity: 12 million t/y Effective utilization: 7.2 million t/y Huachipato: San Vicente bay Unloading coal, limestone an iron ore & finished steel shipping Max capacity: 2 million t/y Effective utilization: 1 million t/y Las Losas: Located in Huasco City Multi purpose port Max capacity: 2 million t/y Effective utilization: 0.4 million t/y Note: Weighted average of port utilization: 47% Guarello: Guarello island, south Limestone shipping 800 kt/y Max capacity: 0.8 million t/y Effective utilization: 0.5 million t/y 53

Agenda Agenda Company overview Global industry update Financial perfomance Projects Conclusions 54

Summary Under current market conditions, the protection of the company s cash flow and liquidity levels are of the utmost importance Cost reduction initiatives and productivity improvements are at the center of management efforts CAP Mining Ample portfolio of future prospects based on abundant reserves Projects under study are being analyzed considering current market conditions Global environmental and economic constraints support the growing need for magnetite concentrate CAP Steel Focus on long steel products that distinguishes from competitors through technology and/or logistics Cash neutrality attained, continuous cost cutting efforts geared towards profitability CAP Steel Processing Largest flat steel processor in the Pacific coast of South America Leader in innovative solutions for industrial and residential construction 55

This information material may include certain forward-looking statements and projections provided by CAP S.A. (the Company ) with respect to the financial condition, results of operations, cash flows, plans, objectives, future performance, and business of the Company. Any such statements and projections reflect various estimates and assumptions by the Company concerning anticipated results and are based on the Company s expectations and beliefs concerning future events and, therefore, involve risks and uncertainties. Such statements and projections are neither predictions nor guarantees of future events or circumstances, which may never occur, and actual results may differ materially from those contemplated (expressed or implied) by such forwardlooking statements and projections. No representations or warranties are made by the Company or any of its affiliates as to the accuracy of any such statements or projections. Whether or not any such forward looking-statements or projections are in fact achieved will depend upon future events, some of which are not within the control of the Company. Accordingly, the recipient of this material should not place undue reliance on such statements. Any such statements and projections speak only as of the date on which they are made, and the Company does not undertake any obligation, and expressly disclaims any obligation, to update or revise any such statements or projections as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise 56

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