The National Development Plan 2030: Implications for Project Managers 16 September 2013 Dr. Bridgette Gasa
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2030 Our future - make it work Implications of the NDP for Project Managers 2
National Planning Commission Background Apr President Zuma appoints the Commission Jun Nov Diagnostic Report published Draft National Development Plan released Public consultation Aug Sep Dec Handover to President and Nation Cabinet adopts the Plan ANC Conference adopts the Plan Focus on implementation 2010 2011 2011/12 2012 2013 onwards 3
The NPC The National Planning Commission is an advisory body that advises government and South Africa on long term planning issues 4
Policy making in a complex world 5 5
Population dynamics to 2030 Population projected to grow by 8.5 million to about 58.5 million in 2030 Urban population projected to rise by 11 million to 41 million People under 18 now less than 30% of population and percentage over 60 below 7% - the so-called demographic window HIV/Aids reduced life expectancy significantly up to 2005, this is now beginning to be reversed with anti-retroviral treatment ANC National Policy Conference 6 6
NDP Our Roadmap for the next 20 years The Plan has been adopted as a National Plan for the whole country. It is our roadmap for the next 20 years. All the work we do in government is now part of the comprehensive National Development Plan, including all operational plans be they social, economic or political. President Zuma, 3 February 2013 7
Key characteristics of the NDP Not just a vision - a long-term strategic plan that serves four broad objectives: Providing overarching goals to be achieved by 2030 Building consensus on the key obstacles and specific actions to be undertaken Providing a common framework for detailed planning Creating a basis for making choices about how best to use limited resources 8
The pillars of the NDP The Plan is founded on six pillars: Mobilisation of all South Africans Active engagement of citizens in their own development Expansion of the economy & making growth inclusive Building of key capabilities (human, physical & institutional) Building a capable and developmental state Fostering of strong leadership throughout society 9
The Plan aims to enable everyone to achieve a decent standard of living Many of the elements of a decent standard of living depend on provincial & local government 10
Cycle of development 11
Objectives and Targets of the Plan Eliminate poverty and reduce inequality Key Targets for 2030 - Reduce unemployment - Improve quality of education - Provide quality public services (water, sanitation, electricity, etc.) - Inclusive rural economy - Better built environment - Critical infrastructure - Effective & affordable public transport 12
Improve public services - Example: Produce sufficient energy at competitive prices Make high-speed broadband internet available & affordable Expand food production, including by smallscale farmers Entrench a comprehensive social security system Provide quality health care, promote health & well-being 13
KEY MESSAGES IN THE NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN 14
Economy and employment New growth path priorities Lowering the cost of living and improving the business environment Increasing infrastructure investment Focusing on sectors with strong domestic linkages NDP supports these priorities, calls for enhancement through Better coordination within government More explicit understanding that we need higher exports to finance higher investment Some reforms to improve the functioning of the labour market, reduce tension and ease access for young people 15
Education, skills and innovation Need clear accountability chain, including holding schools accountable for performance Expand pre-school education to 2 years and put in place a nutrition programme... But delivery mechanism missing Introduce performance agreements for principals and reduce union and political interference in appointments Improve quality of FET education while expanding the size of the sector The plan sets key targets for the entire sector 16
Some improvements in education The performance in Maths Grade 6 (ANA Results 2012) 17
Education - quality learning & teaching Support for teachers to develop better ways of delivering the curriculum and improve their own knowledge of the subjects they teach Improve school performance and management to optimise utilisation of time and available resources time on task Select and monitor a few indicators (e.g. learner attendance, curriculum coverage, ANA results) Principals should be accountable for the performance of their schools Principals should gradually be given more powers to administer schools
State capacity the engine room for implementation 19
Capable & developmental state We need a capable and developmental state that acts to resolve historical inequities through delivering better public services and facilitating investment Capable capacity to formulate and implement policies that serve the national interest Developmental focus on overcoming the root causes of poverty and inequality, and building the state s capacity to fulfil this role 20
Capable and developmental state We need a capable and developmental state that acts to resolve historical inequities through delivering better public services and facilitating investment Key failings in the state include the administrative political interface, long term skills planning, strengthening accountability and improved coordination for implementation Accountability is critical at all levels, starting with parliamentary oversight 21
NDP Implications for provincial and local government 22
Implications for provincial government (1) Improve the quality of public services Focus on core provincial responsibilities such as education and health, and supporting local govt Address governance weaknesses quality of decisions Pay greater attention to the quality of management within departments Address weaknesses in procurement systems to ensure a greater focus on value for money Address specific weaknesses in operations systems to improve the quality of service delivery Strengthen administrative relations between provincial departments and their national counterparts 23
Implications for provincial government (2) Use the provincial 5 year plan to focus attention on how to improve outcomes in core provincial functions Identify specific NDP proposals where implementation can start immediately consider pilots where we have more to learn Actively engage citizens in development programmes 24
Spatial settlement patterns Key priorities include: Planning adequately for urbanisation Finding an institutional location for spatial planning Resolving fragmentation in public planning Densifying cities which will require spatially efficient buildings Attracting investment into townships Finding different solutions to rural local government capacity 25
Economic infrastructure Need to raise public infrastructure spending to 10% of GDP Key priorities include Energy and water security Freight logistics Public transport Support to the mining value chain Urban reticulation systems ICT and broadband Plan sets out principles on financing, cushioning the poor, lessons on sequencing and prioritisation and institutional and regulatory matters 26
Facilities Management 1 SA economy is constrained by inadequate investment and ineffective operation and maintenance of existing infrastructure Resolve maintenance and refurbishment backlogs Poor investment decisions commandeer the state s financial resources and hinder other important investments, Current investment levels are insufficient and maintenance programmes are lagging. 27
Facilities Management 2 Municipal investments in infrastructure have been inadequate, with maintenance and refurbishment backlogs now exceeding R35 billion. Priority should be given to infrastructure programmes that contribute to regional integration: Inclusive of north-south corridor and sector-specific projects such as enhancing border facilities, improving energy access and information and communications technology (ICT) connectivity, and revising transport links. 28
Facilities Management 3 Healthcare: Building of hospitals and clinics; Education: The need for schools infrastructure keeps growing. 2200 schools across 16 African countries by 2014, scaled up to 600,000 schools by 2019. Energy: Essential to development and sustained growth. We need clean, affordable and accessible sources of energy. Much of rural Africa still lacks electricity. Distribution and generation methods including scaling up existing transmission infrastructures and harnessing hydropower. A commitment to electrify 11,000 households in the Democratic Republic of Congo and Lesotho. 29
Rural economy Focus on improving small scale and commercial agriculture High potential agricultural land in former homeland areas identified, needs to be developed Plan focuses on building links between small farmers and food consumers The plan provides an example of how land reform can be fast-tracked, but recognises that weaknesses at national and municipal level bedevil implementation. 30
Environmental sustainability & resilience Environmental sustainability covers all natural resources Scorecard approach proposed to assess impact on the environment Complementary offset proposal to balance developmental needs Introduce an economy-wide price on carbon Support for renewables, but concerns raised about institutional arrangements We need to transition to a more energy efficient and lower carbon economy at a pace that makes sense for us 31
Health and wellness Long term health determinants must be tackled through Exercise, nutrition and diet, curbing alcohol and substance abuse, changing sexual behaviour NHI support, though efforts need to focus on the building blocks HR capacity in the sector Improving the quality of public health care Lowering the costs of private health care Building a district health system complete with patient database 32
Community safety Social determinants of crime are covered in other parts of the plan Need to professionalise the police Skills, recruitment practices, training etc Build specialised units in complex crime areas Enhance capacity in detective services and improve crime scene analysis Improve capacity in prosecutorial services and lower courts Improve efficiency of civil justice system 33
Social protection Long term vision for comprehensive social security Social security reforms have to balance broadening coverage with rising employment Getting this sequencing wrong will result in job losses Need for alignment and rationalisation of institutions Short term reforms focusing on broadening coverage of existing social security benefits Longer term priorities include mandatory savings, risk benefits and health insurance 34
Corruption Three pronged strategy Enforcement Ensure that anti-corruption agencies have requisite resources and independence Prevention Focus on systems, institutional arrangements and accountability Education in society Understand social dimensions of corruption Procurement reforms Differential rules for different types of tenders Use technology and transparency to curb corruption Audit value for money in procurement contracts Clarify rules of business interests of public servants 35
South Africa in the region and the world Greater regional economic integration is necessary for long term development Many of our problems such as energy and food security can be solved taking a regional respective Obstacles include infrastructure, border post corruption, protectionism and weak regional institutions Plan also covers global linkages and need for break into fast growing markets 36
Social cohesion and nation building Social cohesion is necessary to transform the country while reducing poverty and enhancing opportunity for young people are critical to building social cohesion Despite diverging interests, success will depend on building partnerships across society Rallying people around the Constitution and its values Active citizenship through enhancing communication channels between government and society 37
Critical success factors: the plan Focused leadership over a long period of time This is a plan for all South Africans, and everyone in society has a role to play in implementing the plan Institutional reform required Mobilisation of resources and agreeing on trade-offs Clarity on responsibility in each area 38
Work of the Commission going forward Over the next two and half years, the Commission is: Mobilising support in society for the plan Conducting research on long term development priorities Advising government and the broader society on implementation of the plan Working with relevant bodies to report progress on the targets in the plan.
Priorities and sequencing Priority proposals: Improve quality of learning outcomes Create jobs and promote inclusive growth Build state capacity Sequencing should be informed by: Actions that unlock implementation of other proposals Availability of resources Capacity to implement 40
Website: www.npconline.co.za Email: comments@npconline.co.za Tel: 0123081791 Post: Union Buildings, Private Bag X1000, Pretoria, 0001 Fax: 086683 5479 Twitter: @npcsa/http.twitter.com/npcsa Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/npcsa YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/user/npcza