LAS SOLUCIONES TECNOLOGICAS DE 3G WCDMA OSIPTEL, LIMA 18 de octubre de 2005, 10:00-12:00 Petri Reijonen Sales Director, 3G WCDMA & General Manager, MESO Latin America, Nokia Networks 1 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
Agenda 1. Global 3G WCDMA Market Situation (El mercado global 3G WCDMA) Commercial networks, terminals, subscribers Standards situation Service evolution 2. 3G WCDMA Technology Update (Actualizacion tecnológica 3G WCDMA) WCDMA call capacity, voice capacity and quality HSPA peak rates, capacity and latency Internet-HSPA 850 vs 1900 MHz Minimum bandwidth requirement 3. 3G WCDMA in Latin America (La situación de 3G WCDMA en América Latina) Market characteristics Terminal situation Spectrum situation 2 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
Global 3G WCDMA Market Situation 3 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
3G WCDMA Basics Reviewed 3G WCDMA/HSPA GSM/EDGE Carrier 5 MHz 200 khz + frequency hopping Frequency bands New and existing bands Existing bands Access Wide-Band Code Division Time Division Max downlink speed 14.4 Mbps HSDPA specs 3.6-7.2 Mbps HSDPA terminals 480 kbps specs 240 kbps terminals Max uplink speed 5.76 Mbps HSUPA specs 1.46-2.0 Mbps HSUPA terminals 480 kbps specs 120 kbps terminals Network optimization Antenna and site planning Frequency planning Radio network RAN = UTRAN = Node-B + RNC BSS = GERAN = BTS + BSC HW capacity 700 simultaneous calls/cabinet 120 simultaneous calls/cabinet New services Simultaneous voice and data Low delay IP services (VoIP) Dual Transfer Mode in 2006 Long delay IP services (PTT) Round trip delay <100 ms >200 ms 4 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
WCDMA Commercial Networks, Terminals, Subscribers 87 commercial WCDMA networks, 186 WCDMA phones, 32 M WCDMA subscribers 5 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
3G WCDMA Standards Situation 4G 3.9 G 3G WCDMA HSDPA HSPA HSUPA I-HSPA 2G GSM GPRS EDGE EDGE Evolution 1991 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 WiMAX (802.16e) WiMAX (802.16-2004) WCDMA is mature technology with significant downlink (HSDPA) and uplink (HSUPA) improvements steps emerging 6 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
WCDMA Service Evolution Voice SMS MMS WAP Download Presence Audio streaming Web browsing Mobile intranet access Video streaming Video sharing Video telephony Real time IP Real time games High speed mobile intranet Faster business connectivity Faster streaming Faster content download GSM 10-40 kbps GPRS 30-40 kbps EDGE 80-160 kbps WCDMA 128-384 kbps HSPA 1-1010 Mbps WCDMA enables real time connections, efficient business connectivity, close to WLAN bit rates and high efficiency 7 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
3G Services Uptake Japan South Korea Italy Hong Kong E-mail % % % % Content 97 26 Video calling 48 Content 58 Content 68 E-mail 8 Content 16 Video calling 42 Play music 16 Video mail 4 E-mail 10 E-mail 13 Play videos/ movies Video mail Video calling Read books/ comics 12 10 7 3 Live TV High speed data cards Home watch 2 2 1 Video mail Live TV High speed data cards 9 6 5 Video mail Live TV High speed data cards 9 7 1 Source: Nokia study June 2005, based on regular usage of several times a week. Note: Korea CDMA 8 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen Each market has 1 or 2 popular 3G services
3G Operators ARPU 70 60 50 Hutchison ARPU 50 56 Country average ARPU 42 52 40 30 36 30 30 34 27 20 19 10 0 Italy UK Austria Sweden & Denmark Australia Source: Hutchison, EMC database, Jun 05 3G WCDMA operators generate higher ARPU in voice and data 9 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
3G WCDMA Technology Update 10 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
High WCDMA Call Capacity 140 Users per sector per 5 MHz 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 AMR 12.2 kbps AMR 10.2 kbps AMR 7.95 kbps AMR 7.4 kbps AMR 5.9 kbps AMR 4.75 kbps Up to 130 simultaneous calls per sector 11 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
High WCDMA Voice Capacity 5000 4500 WCDMA 2+2+2 assumed 4000 Minutes/sub/month 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 5500 6000 6500 7000 Subscribers per site WCDMA enables >1000 minutes of usage 12 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
High Voice Quality with Wideband AMR 4.0 3.9 3.8 Quality [MOS] 140 120 Capacity [users/sector] 3.7 3.6 3.5 100 80 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.1 60 40 20 3.0 AMR 5.9 kbps AMR 12.2 kbps WB-AMR 8.85 kbps WB-AMR 12.65 kbps 0 AMR 5.9 kbps AMR 12.2 kbps WB-AMR 8.85 kbps WB-AMR 12.65 kbps = Current AMR with audio bandwidth 300-3400 Hz = Wideband-AMR with audio bandwidth 50-7000 Hz WB-AMR provides 20% better voice quality without much sacrificing voice capacity 13 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
High HSPA Peak Data Rates Downlink HSDPA Theoretical up to 14.4 Mbps Initial capability 1.8 3.6 Mbps Uplink HSUPA Theoretical up to 5.76 Mbps Initial capability 1.46 Mbps # of codes Modulation Max data rate 5 codes QPSK 1.8 Mbps 2 x SF4 # of codes TTI 2 ms 10 ms Max data rate 1.46 Mbps 5 codes 16-QAM 3.6 Mbps 2 x SF2 10 ms 2.0 Mbps 10 codes 16-QAM 7.2 Mbps 2 x SF2 2 ms 2.9 Mbps 15 codes 16-QAM 10.1 Mbps 15 codes 16-QAM 14.4 Mbps 2 x SF2 + 2 x SF4 2 ms 5.76 Mbps HSPA brings 10-20 x speed compared to EDGE 14 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
High HSDPA Data Capacity 3.5 HSDPA Data Capacity with 1+1+1 Configuration 3.0 GB/sub/month 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 100 200 300 400 Broadband data subscribers per site Even smallest HSDPA site enables 300 broadband wireless users, each downloading 1 GB data per month 15 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
Low HSPA Latency ms 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 WCDMA 2004 WCDMA 2005 HSDPA 2005 HSUPA WCDMA 120 ms, HSDPA 80 ms, HSUPA 50 ms delay 16 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
Internet-HSPA Standard terminals I-HSPA module RNC = Radio Network Controller SGSN = Serving GPRS Support Node ISN = Intelligent Service Node HA = Home Agent Standard Nokia BTS RNC SGSN GGSN/ISN ISN with HA Internet Nokia s I-HSPA innovation enables broadband wireless access business 17 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
WiMAX vs HSPA Cell Range WiMAX 5400 MHz 0.17 WiMAX 3400 MHz 0.98 WiMAX 2500 MHz 1.31 HSPA 1900 MHz 2.53 HSPA 850 MHz 4.34 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 Cell range [km] HSPA has substantially larger cell range than WiMAX 18 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
Internet- HSPA for Mass Data Traffic 5.0 Eur 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 GPRS EDGE WCDMA HSPA I-HSPA 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Served MB per user per month [MB/User/Month] Nokia s I-HSPA innovation lowers capital expenditure significantly 19 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
3G Impact to Base Station Backhaul BEFORE HSPA AFTER HSPA 1E1 2E1 4E1 8E1 16E1 32E1 63E1/ 2 x STM-1 Capacity STM-1 2-3 x backhaul transmission needs to be planned for high HSPA traffic 20 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
WCDMA Frequencies 2100 MHz Global 1900 MHz USA 1800 MHz Europe 1.7/2.1 GHz USA Operating Band UL Frequencies UE transmit, Node B receive DL frequencies UE receive, Node B transmit I 1920 1980 MHz 2110 2170 MHz II 1850 1910 MHz 1930 1990 MHz III 1710-1785 MHz 1805-1880 MHz IV 1710-1770MHz 2110-2170MHz V 824 849MHz 869-894MHz VI 830-840 MHz 875-885 MHz UMTS850 USA UMTS800 Japan Next: UMTS 900 Europe UMTS 1700 Japan UMTS 2600 Europe CEPT FDD UL 2500-2570 CEPT FDD DL or TDD 2570-2620 CEPT FDD DL 2620-2690 21 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
850 vs 1900 MHz Band WCDMA1900 Data WCDMA1900 Voice GSM1900 Voice WCDMA850 Data WCDMA850 Voice GSM850 Voice 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 Cell range [km] 1900 MHz requires 2-3 x more sites than 850 MHz 22 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
Minimum Bandwidth Requirement for WCDMA GSM Min 2.3 MHz Min 2.1 MHz GSM WCDMA (= 20 x GSM) 4.0 MHz = WCDMA = Non-BCCH GSM = BCCH or non-bcch GSM 2 x 4.0 MHz is sufficient for WCDMA if close to friendly GSM 23 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
Nokia WCDMA Technology Milestones WCDMA Commercial WCDMA network deliveries since September 2001 More than 50 WCDMA trials conducted 2001-2002 First dual mode GSM/WCDMA and triple mode GSM/EDGE/WCDMA terminals Supplier for approximately half of the 86 commercially opened WCDMA networks 51 WCDMA network deals WCDMA-GSM Intersystem handovers available first in the market First commercial end-to-end 3GPP IP Multimedia Subsystem used in 3G Market leader in R4 core networks globally and in Latin America HSPA Six public and 15 non-public HSDPA network deals Nokia will deliver approximately 10 HSDPA trials during 2005 First to demonstrate HSUPA, in 3GSM Cannes February 2005 Launched Internet-HSPA, an HSPA innovation, in March 2005 Nokia is technology leader in 3G WCDMA & HSPA 24 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
3G WCDMA in Latin America 25 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
Latin America Market Characteristics re 3G WCDMA Consolidated market High growth potential Operators seek differentiation Urbanized population Mainly US frequencies 850 & 1900 WCDMA wave after operators start seeking new revenues streams and differentiation 26 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
Latin America Service Revenues Billion EUR 40 35 30 25 20 15 Other SMS Voice 10 5 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2G enabled services (voice & SMS) dominate operator revenue streams. Other services largely possibly with EDGE Source: Nokia Mobile Services Forecast - March 2005 27 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
Latin America Post vs Prepaid Subscribers Million 300 250 200 150 Postpaid Prepaid 100 50 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Postpaid segment is natural for WCDMA. Postpaid is >15% of total customer base with >35 USD ARPU compared with prepaid <10 USD ARPU Source: Pyramid Latin America Mobile Demand 1Q2005 28 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
WCDMA Capability in New Phones 100% 75% 50% Post-paid Pre-paid 25% 0% Dec-06 Jun-07 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Source: Nokia WCDMA will be built-in functionality in most mid to high end phones 29 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
WCDMA for Urban Latin America Million 25 20 15 10 5 0 Mexico City Sao Paulo Buenos Aires Rio de Janeiro Lima Bogota Belo Horizonte Santiago Caracas Guadalajara Porto Alegre Monterrey Recife Salvador Brasília Source: www.citypopulation.de Latin America is 75% urbanized, therefore an ideal WCDMA environment 30 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
Latin America Spectrum Situation MHz 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 TF Argentina TF Chile TIM Brazil Entel Chile TIM Argentina AMX Brazil (Claro) TF Peru AMX Mexico (Telcel) AMX Argentina (CTI) AMX Colombia TF Colombia Telemar Brazil Brazil Telecom Digitel Venezuela TF Mexico TIM Peru TF Brazil (Vivo) AMX Ecuador TF Ecuador Ola Colombia Source: Nokia Current 2G spectrum is sufficient for 3G in most countries 31 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen 1900 1800 900 850
Summary 32 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
Summary Global 3G WCDMA Market Situation 87 commercial networks, 186 terminals, 32 million subscribers 3G WCDMA is welcomed evolution to 2G and has established itself globally HSDPA and HSUPA are key enhancements to WCDMA available shortly Dramatic expansion of new services to end-users (video call, fast downloads) 3G WCDMA Technology Update WCDMA is lowest cost cellular network technology for voice and data WCDMA enables >1000 minute voice packages WCDMA enables 20% better voice quality Nokia s I-HSPA enables broadband wireless access business 2 x 4.0 MHz is sufficient for WCDMA if close to friendly GSM 3G WCDMA in Latin America Postpaid segment is natural for WCDMA Most mid to high end phones will have build-in WCDMA/HSPA functionality in 2007 Notebooks will have integrated HSDPA capability starting 2006 Huge urban agglomerations are ideal environment for WCDMA Current 2G spectrum sufficient for 3G in most countries initially New spectrum1700/2100 or 2100 and 2600 needs to be reserved for future 3G 33 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen
34 (34) Nokia 3G WCDMA Perú Oct 2005.ppt / Petri Reijonen Muchas gracias!