Annual Meeting of the Austrian Statistical Society (ÖSG) 2014 September 10 th - 12 th, 2014 at the University of Innsbruck, Faculty of Economics and Statistics
With the kind support of: Bürgermeisterin der Stadt Innsbruck, Mag.a Christine Oppitz-Plörer Präsident des Tiroler Landtags, DDr. Herwig van Staa Dekanat der Fakultät für Volkswirtschaft und Statistik Forschungsplattform Empirical and Experimental Economics (eeecon) Universität Innsbruck
Program The name of the author giving the talk is underlined. Wednesday, September 10, 2014 09:00-10:00 Registration 10:00-10:15 Welcome address by the dean of the Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Hannelore Weck-Hannemann, and Stefan Lang Session: Environmental Modeling and Natural Hazards Chair: Janette Walde (University of Innsbruck) 10:15-10:55 Keynote: Reinhard Furrer Spatial Models for Global Change and Biodiversity Research 10:55-11:20 Thomas Mendlik, Ernst Stadlober, Andreas Gobiet Quantification of Climate Change Using Multilevel Regression Models 11:20-11:40 Coffee break 11:40-12:00 Nikolaus Umlauf Bayesian Structured Additive Regression for Identifying Tipping Points of Tropical Forests 12:00-12:20 Jakob Messner, Georg Mayr, Achim Zeileis Weather Forecasts and Censored Regression with Conditional Heteroscedasticity 12:20-12:40 Christian Pfeifer, Peter Höller Effects of New Fallen Snow and Temperature in Alpine Areas on Backcountry Avalanche Accidents Reported in Tyrol within 1987-2009 12:40-13:40 Lunch break Session: Econometrics I Chair: Achim Zeileis (University of Innsbruck) 13:40-14:20 Keynote: Marie Holzhausen, Christian Leschinski, Philipp Sibbertsen Testing for Spurious Multivariate Long Memory 14:20-14:45 Robert M. Kunst Forecasting Seasonal Data and Nonparametric Unit-root Tests 14:45-15:10 Stefan Mittnik, Nikolay Robinzonov, Martin Spindler Stock Market Volatility: Identifying Major Drivers and the Nature of Their Impact 15:10-15:30 Coffee break 1
Wednesday, September 10, 2014 Session: Econometrics II Chair: Philipp Sibbertsen (University of Hannover) 15:30-15:55 Marta Disegna, Fabrizio Durante, Enrico Foscolo A Copula-based Analysis of Tourists Spending Behavior 15:55-16:20 Tamara Geisberger, Thomas Glaser Decomposing the Gender Pay Gap in Austria 16:20-16:45 Johannes Klotz A Statistical Model for Annual Migration Counts of Rural Municipalities 16:45-17:05 Alexander Razen, Wolfgang Brunauer, Nadja Klein, Thomas Kneib, Stefan Lang, Nikolaus Umlauf Statistical Risk Analysis for Real Estate Collateral Valuation using Bayesian Distributional and Quantile Regression 17:05-17:30 Daniel Tillich, Dietmar Ferger Estimation in Discontinuous Binary Regression Models with Dependent Data and its Application in Credit Rating Systems 18:00 Reception at the City Hall (Maria-Theresien-Strasse 18, Plenary hall, 6th floor) Thursday, September 11, 2014 Session: Computational Statistics I Chair: Helga Wagner (JKU Linz) 09:00-09:25 F. Marta L. Di Lascio, Marta Disegna Food Consumption Patterns of European Countries: An Application of the CoClust Algorithm 09:25-09:50 Andreas Quatember A Bootstrap Method based on the Horvitz-Thompson Principle 09:50-10:15 Elisa Perrone Robustness Issues in the Optimal Design of Experiments for Copula Models 10:15-10:40 Markus Hainy, Werner Müller, Helga Wagner Simulation-based Likelihood-free Optimal Designs 10:40-11:00 Coffee break 2
Thursday, September 11, 2014 Session: Computational Statistics II Chair: Thomas Kneib (Georg-August-University Göttingen) 11:00-11:25 Sonja Greven, Sarah Brockhaus, Fabian Scheipl, Torsten Hothorn The Functional Linear Array Model 11:25-11:50 Fabian Scheipl Additive Mixed Models for Generalized Functional Data 11:50-12:10 Helene Roth Influence of the Inverse Gamma Hyperparameters on Bayesian Random Intercept Selection Quality 12:10-13:30 Lunch break Session: Flexible Modeling of Non-Standard Data I Chair: Sonja Greven (LMU Munich) 13:30-14:10 Keynote: Thomas Kneib Bayesian Structured Additive Distributional Regression 14:10-14:35 Nadja Klein Extensions of Bayesian Structured Additive Distributional Regression for Multivariate Responses 14:35-15:00 Andreas Futschik Multiscale Binomial Partitioning with Applications to DNA Segmentation 15:00-15:20 Judith Santer, Kenneth Harttgen, Stefan Lang Multilevel Modelling of Child Mortality in Africa 15:20-15:40 Coffee break 3
Thursday, September 11, 2014 Session: Flexible Modeling of Non-Standard Data II Chair: Stefan Lang (University of Innsbruck) 15:40-16:05 Hauke Rennies, Thomas Kneib Identifying Production Frontiers with Conditional Quantiles 16:05-16:30 Peter Scheibelhofer, Günter Hayderer, Ernst Stadlober Fault Detection and Diagnosis of Multiway Data Using a Kernel Approach 16:30-16:55 Daniela Pauger, Helga Wagner Bayesian Effect Fusion for Categorial Predictors 16:55-17:20 Johannes Klotz, Alexander Hanika, Monika Hackl, Nadine Zielonke Prognose von Krebsinzidenz und Krebsmortalität in Österreich bis 2030 17:20-17:45 Lisa Neuhofer, Simone Sauter, Doron Edlinger, Christoph Rinner, Gottfried Endel, Michael Wolzt, Wilfried Grossmann, Walter Gall Auswahl von statistischen Methoden für ein automatisiertes Tool 18:00-19:15 ÖSG board meeting ( Besprechungsraum at the Dep. of Statistics, east, 2nd floor) 19:30 Conference dinner at Fischerhäusl (Herrengasse 8) Friday, September 12, 2014 Session: The Challenges of Official Statistics in the International Environment Chair: Ulrike Oschischnig (Austrian Economic Chamber) 09:00-09:40 Keynote: Konrad Pesendorfer Challenges for the European Statistical System - Vision 2020 09:40-10:05 Alexandra Wegscheider-Pichler Umweltbetroffenheit und -verhalten von Personengruppen abhängig von Einkommen und Kaufkraft 10:05-10:30 Manuela Lenk biber - Bildungsbezogenes Erwerbskarrierenmonitoring 10:30-10:55 Coffee break 10:55-11:20 Patrick Thienel The New ECB Payments Statistics 11:20-11:45 Marcus Hudec, Thomas Burg Challenges for Official Statistics from a Quality Point of View 11:45-12:10 Ineke Stoop European users of statistics 4