2012 Report on Cancer Statistics in Alberta

Similar documents
Cancer in Ireland 2013: Annual report of the National Cancer Registry

Prostate cancer statistics

Section 8» Incidence, Mortality, Survival and Prevalence

Canadian Cancer Statistics

Statistics fact sheet

Canadian Cancer Statistics

Singapore Cancer Registry Annual Registry Report Trends in Cancer Incidence in Singapore National Registry of Diseases Office (NRDO)

H. RES. ll IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES RESOLUTION

Statistical Report on Health

The Health and Well-being of the Aboriginal Population in British Columbia

)HDWXULQJ &RORUHFWDO &DQFHU

bulletin 126 Healthy life expectancy in Australia: patterns and trends 1998 to 2012 Summary Bulletin 126 NOVEMBER 2014

Cancer Survival - How Long Do People Survive?

Measures of Prognosis. Sukon Kanchanaraksa, PhD Johns Hopkins University

Are Patients Diagnosed With Breast Cancer Before Age 50 Years Ever Cured? Hermann Brenner and Timo Hakulinen

Finnish Cancer Registry Institute for Statistical and Epidemiological Cancer Research. Survival ratios of cancer patients by area in Finland

Alaska Comprehensive Cancer Control Plan

Table 16a Multiple Myeloma Average Annual Number of Cancer Cases and Age-Adjusted Incidence Rates* for

Number. Source: Vital Records, M CDPH

Cancer in Northeastern Pennsylvania: Incidence and Mortality of Common Cancers

Sriplung H. Projection of Cancer Problems. Chapter IV CANCER PROBLEMS PROJECTION OF. CANCER IN THAILAND : Vol. IV. p. 79-Blue

Health Indicators. Issue 2-September 2011

Butler Memorial Hospital Community Health Needs Assessment 2013

Rheumatoid arthritis in England 1996 to Mortality trends

New Brunswick Breast Cancer Screening Services

CONTINUING MEDICAL EDUCATION

Living benefits. Oasis. A look at critical illness insurance claims

Independent Life Expectancy in New Zealand

Summary Measures (Ratio, Proportion, Rate) Marie Diener-West, PhD Johns Hopkins University

La sopravvivenza dei tumori maligni nei confronti internazionali: anticipazione della diagnosi o modifica del decorso naturale della malattia?

Skin Cancer: The Facts. Slide content provided by Loraine Marrett, Senior Epidemiologist, Division of Preventive Oncology, Cancer Care Ontario.

National Life Tables, United Kingdom:

inflammation of the pancreas and damage to the an increased risk of hypertension, stroke and Table 7.1: Classification of alcohol consumption

MESOTHELIOMA IN AUSTRALIA INCIDENCE 1982 TO 2009 MORTALITY 1997 TO 2011

Street Smart: Demographics and Trends in Motor Vehicle Accident Mortality In British Columbia, 1988 to 2000

The Evaluation of Cancer Control Interventions in Lung Cancer Using a Canadian Cancer Risk Management Model

Southern NSW Local Health District: Our Population s Health

Childhood cancer incidence and mortality in Canada

Data Analysis and Interpretation. Eleanor Howell, MS Manager, Data Dissemination Unit State Center for Health Statistics

The Injury Alberta Report, 2011

No. prev. doc.: 8770/08 SAN 64 Subject: EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL POLICY, HEALTH AND CONSUMER AFFAIRS COUNCIL MEETING ON 9 AND 10 JUNE 2008

Public Health Annual Report Statistical Compendium

How To Get Involved With The American Cancer Society

Table of Contents. I. Executive Summary A. Summary of our Findings II. Background III. Methodology IV. Key Data Sources...

Canada Pension Plan Retirement, Survivor and Disability Beneficiaries Mortality Study

Mesothelioma mortality in Great Britain Summary 2. Overall scale of disease including trends 3. Region 6. Occupation 7

9 Expenditure on breast cancer

Cancer in North Carolina 2013 Report

Mesothelioma in Australia: Incidence (1982 to 2013) and Mortality (1997 to 2012)

Life expectancy as a measure of population health:

JESSE HUANG ( 黄 建 始 ),MD,MHPE,MPH,MBA Professor of Epidemiology Assistant President

Completeness of Physician Billing Claims for Diabetes Prevalence Estimation

CHART 5-1 MORTALITY: LIFE EXPECTANCY - AT BIRTH SUMMARY OF FINDINGS:

Indicator 7: Mortality

Cancer in Primary Care: Prostate Cancer Screening. How and How often? Should we and in which patients?

Let s make a difference

Table of Contents. Acknowledgments. Executive Summary. Chapter 1: Introduction. Chapter 2: Cancer Incidence

MESOTHELIOMA IN AUSTRALIA INCIDENCE 1982 TO 2008 MORTALITY 1997 TO 2007

DELAYING THE ONSET OF ALZHEIMER'S DISEASE: PROJECTIONS AND ISSUES

Your Future by Design

in children less than one year old. It is commonly divided into two categories, neonatal

Populations of Color in Minnesota

Likelihood of Cancer

PEER REVIEW HISTORY ARTICLE DETAILS TITLE (PROVISIONAL)

Case-control studies. Alfredo Morabia

The Ontario Cancer Registry moves to the 21 st Century

Statistical Bulletin. National Life Tables, United Kingdom, Key Points. Summary. Introduction

Munich Cancer Registry

Lifetime Likelihood of Going to State or Federal Prison

Estimated New Cases of Leukemia, Lymphoma, Myeloma 2014

CANCER IN CALIFORNIA

Chapter 2: Health in Wales and the United Kingdom

Asbestos and Cancer in Ontario and The Occupational Cancer Research Centre

New Zealand mortality statistics: 1950 to 2010

Munich Cancer Registry

Prevent what is preventable, cure what is curable, provide palliative care for patients in need, and monitor and manage for results.

Prostate Cancer Incidence and Mortality Rates and Trends in the United States and Canada

1.17 Life expectancy at birth

Analysis of Population Cancer Risk Factors in National Information System SVOD

Susan G. Komen: A Promise Renewed Advancing the Fight Against Breast Cancer. Judith A. Salerno, M.D., M.S. President and Chief Executive Officer

The Price of Cancer The public price of registered cancer in New Zealand

Cancer in Wales. People living longer increases the number of new cancer cases

1 Introduction. Mortality over the twentieth century. Why take a century-long view?

Inequalities in Colon Cancer

PROPOSAL GRADUATE CERTIFICATE ADVANCED PRACTICE ONCOLOGY SCHOOL OF NURSING TO BE OFFERED AT PURDUE UNIVERSITY WEST LAFAYETTE CAMPUS

Secondary Cancer and Relapse Rates Following Radical Prostatectomy for Prostate-Confined Cancer

The current status of cancer care in Taiwan

The 2015 Cancer System Performance Report

MICHIGAN DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH & HUMAN SERVICES Division for Vital Records and Health Statistics Michigan Birth Defects Registry

4/8/13. Pre-test Audience Response. Prostate Cancer Screening and Treatment of Prostate Cancer: The 2013 Perspective

Culture and experience Health

Mid-year population estimates. Embargoed until: 20 July :30

Children in Egypt 2014 A STATISTICAL DIGEST

Cancer research in the Midland Region the prostate and bowel cancer projects

REFERENCE CODE GDHCER PUBLICAT ION DATE JULY 2015 MULTIPLE MYELOMA EPIDEMIOLOGY FORECAST TO 2023

(1) Comparison of studies with different follow-up periods

Attitudes and Beliefs about Social Determinants of Health. Halton Region Health Department

New Brunswick Health Indicators

Critical Illness Insurance. What is Critical Illness Insurance

Scottish Diabetes Survey

Transcription:

212 Report on Cancer Statistics in Alberta Bladder Cancer Surveillance & Reporting CancerControl AB February 215

Acknowledgements This report was made possible through Surveillance & Reporting, Cancer Measurement Outcomes Research and Evaluation (C-MORE), CancerControl AB, Alberta Health Services, and the many contributions of individuals across Alberta Health Services as well as external agencies and individuals. The authors wish to thank individuals working in the following AHS departments and partner agencies for their contributions to this report: Alberta Cancer Registry; Population, Public and Aboriginal Health; Alberta Health and Statistics Canada. Contributions included provision of information, analysis and interpretation, and assistance with consultation sessions and communication of the report. Report Editor: Dr. Lorraine Shack, Director, Surveillance & Reporting Project Coordinator: Bethany Kaposhi, Epidemiologist Analysis and Review: Dr. Zhenguo Qiu, Biostatistician Li Huang, Senior Surveillance Analyst Jingyu Bu, Senior Surveillance Analyst Anthony Karosas, Surveillance Analyst Andrew Min, Assistant Programmer Analyst Lee-Anne Weeks, Analyst Michael Taylor, Senior Analyst Shuang Lu, Senior Surveillance Analyst Ting Liu, Programmer Design Assistance: Kira Kulicki, Communications Coordinator, Alberta Cancer Clinical Trials Suggested Citation: Surveillance & Reporting:. Edmonton: CancerControl AB, Alberta Health Services, 215. For More Information: Visit our website: http://www.albertahealthservices.ca/173.asp 2

Table of Contents Purpose of the Report... 4 Navigating the Report... 4 Data Notes... 4 Summary... 5 Probability of Developing or Dying from Bladder Cancer... 7 Potential Years of Life Lost... 9 Prevalence... 1 Bladder Cancer Incidence and Mortality... 11 Bladder Cancer Incidence... 15 Bladder Cancer Mortality... 19 Bladder Cancer Survival... 23 Further Information... 27 References... 28 Contact Information... 29 3

Purpose of the Report Surveillance & Reporting, a specialized team within Cancer Measurement Outcomes Research and Evaluation (C-MORE), Alberta Health Services, actively contributes to Changing our Future: Alberta s Cancer Plan to 23. As well, Surveillance & Reporting keenly contributes to the goal of making Alberta a place where most cancers are prevented, more cancers are cured, and suffering is reduced. This is accomplished in part by conducting cancer surveillance through the collection, integration, analysis, and dissemination of cancer-related data and information. The report is designed to provide comprehensive and detailed information regarding cancer in Alberta. It will help support health professionals, researchers, and policy makers in the planning, monitoring, and evaluation of cancer-related health programs and initiatives. It will also be a useful education tool for the general public and media. Navigating the Report This document provides information on bladder cancer (see Appendix for cancer site definitions) statistics in Alberta. Details about other individual cancer types are available within separate documents. The words highlighted in dark blue are terms described in detail in the Glossary within the Appendix document. Data Notes In this document, the term cancer refers to invasive cancers unless otherwise specified. It is important to note that this document contains both actual and estimated data; distinctions are made where applicable. The numbers published in this report should be considered provisional, as a few cases and deaths may be registered in subsequent years. The data in this report reflect the state of the Alberta Cancer Registry as of July 14, 214. For detailed descriptions about data sources and how they affect data presented in this report, please see the Appendix document. 4

Summary Bladder cancer (including both invasive and in situ) is more commonly diagnosed in males than females. 1 in 23 men and 1 in 81 women will be diagnosed with bladder cancer* within their lifetime. In 212, there were 738 new cases of bladder cancer in Alberta accounting for 5% of the cancers diagnosed in Alberta. There were 17 deaths accounting for 3% of the cancer deaths in Alberta. The five-year relative survival ratio for bladder cancer in Alberta is approximately 77% for those diagnosed between 21 and 212. This means that those diagnosed in 21 to 212 are about 77% as likely to be alive 5 years after their diagnoses as someone of the same age who has not been diagnosed with cancer. As of December 31, 212, approximately 6,7 Albertans were alive who had previously been diagnosed with bladder cancer. Between 1992 and 212, both male and female bladder cancer incidence and mortality rates have remained stable. Age-specific rates remain stable until about age 4, at which point rates begin to increase, with rates for males rising more quickly than for females. Looking into the future it is estimated that approximately 91 cases of bladder cancer are expected to be diagnosed in 217. Potential years of life lost (PYLL) is the number of years of life lost when a person dies prematurely from any cause, based on their life expectancy. In 212, 2,88 potential years of life were lost due to bladder cancer. * Including both invasive and in situ cases 5

Year range represents the period over which the most recent significant trend was observed. 6

Probability of Developing or Dying from Bladder Cancer The probability of developing or dying of cancer measures the risk of an individual in a given age range developing or dying of cancer, and is conditional upon the person being bladder cancer-free prior to the beginning of that age range. It is important to note that the probabilities of developing or dying of cancer represent all of Alberta s population on average and should be interpreted with caution at the individual level as the probabilities will be affected by the risk behaviours and exposures of the individual. In addition, someone diagnosed with cancer has a higher probability of developing another cancer in the future 1. Table 7-1: Probability of Developing Bladder Cancer by Age and Sex, Alberta, 28-212 Age Group Males Females Lifetime Risk (all ages) 1 in 23 1 in 81-2 Less than 1 in 1, Less than 1 in 1, 2-3 Less than 1 in 1, Less than 1 in 1,, 3-4 1 in 5,897 Less than 1 in 1, 4-5 1 in 1,22 1 in 3,657 5-6 1 in 324 1 in 895 6-7 1 in 16 1 in 377 7-8 1 in 55 1 in 225 8+ 1 in 34 1 in 15 Data Source: Alberta Cancer Registry, Alberta Health Services The probability of developing bladder cancer varies with age and sex (Table 7-1). Approximately 1 in 23 males and 1 in 81 females will develop bladder cancer in their lifetime. On a population basis, the probability of developing bladder cancer by the end of the age range for a bladder cancer-free individual at the beginning of the age range are shown in Table 7-1. For instance, a bladder cancer-free female at age 5 has a 1 in 895 chance of developing bladder cancer by the time she is 6. 7

Table 7-2: Probability of Dying from Bladder Cancer by Age and Sex, Alberta, 28-212 Age Group Males Females Lifetime Risk (all ages) 1 in 89 1 in 296-2 Less than 1 in 1, Less than 1 in 1, 2-3 Less than 1 in 1, Less than 1 in 1,, 3-4 Less than 1 in 1, Less than 1 in 1, 4-5 Less than 1 in 1, Less than 1 in 1, 5-6 1 in 2,545 1 in 8,476 6-7 1 in 744 1 in 2,439 7-8 1 in 261 1 in 96 8+ 1 in 86 1 in 367 Data Source: Alberta Cancer Registry, Alberta Health Services The probability of dying from bladder cancer varies by age and sex (Table 7-2). Approximately 1 in 89 males and 1 in 296 females will die of bladder cancer. On a population basis, the probability of a cancer-free individual at the beginning of the age range dying from bladder cancer by the end of the age range are shown in Table 7-2. For example, a cancer-free female at age 5 has a 1 in 8,476 chance of dying from bladder cancer by the time she is 6. 8

Potential Years of Life Lost One frequently used measure of premature death is potential years of life lost (PYLL). PYLL due to cancer is an estimate of the number of years that people would have lived had they not died from cancer. PYLL due to cancer has been calculated by multiplying the number of deaths in each age group and the absolute difference between the mid-point age of an age group and the age-specific life expectancy. The age-specific life expectancy is calculated by determining the age to which an individual would have been expected to live had they not died from cancer. PYLL is one way to measure the impact, or burden, of a disease on a population. Figure 7-1: Potential Years of Life Lost (PYLL) from Bladder Cancer Compared with Lung, Colorectal, Breast and Prostate Cancers, Alberta, 212 Potential Years of Life Lost (PYLL) 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, Lung Colorectal Breast Prostate Bladder Cancer Type Male and Female Female only Data Source: Alberta Cancer Registry, Alberta Health Services In 212, 2,88 potential years of life were lost due to bladder cancer, which constitutes 2.3% of PYLL for all cancers (Figure 7-1). 9

Prevalence The prevalence of a disease is defined as the number of people alive who had been previously diagnosed with that disease. Limited-duration bladder cancer prevalence represents the number of people alive on a certain day who had previously been diagnosed with bladder cancer within a specified number of years (e.g. 2, 5, 1 or 2 years) while complete bladder cancer prevalence represents the proportion of people alive on a certain day who had previously been diagnosed with bladder cancer, regardless of how long ago the diagnosis was. 2 In this section of the report, both limited-duration and complete bladder cancer prevalence are presented; the latter describing the number of people alive as of December 31, 212 who had ever been diagnosed with bladder cancer. Prevalence is a useful indicator of the impact of cancer on individuals, the healthcare system, and the community as a whole. Although many cancer survivors lead healthy and productive lives, the experience can have a strong impact on the physical and emotional well-being of individuals and their families. The cancer experience can also result in the continued use of the healthcare system through rehabilitation or support services, as well as loss of work productivity, which can affect the whole community. As of December 31, 212, 6,7 Albertans were alive who had previously been diagnosed with bladder cancer (Table 7-3). In addition, there were 1,3 Albertans alive who had been diagnosed with bladder cancer within the previous two years. The two year time period is significant because most definitive cancer treatments will occur within two years of diagnosis. Table 7-3: Limited-Duration and Complete Prevalence for Bladder Cancer, Both Sexes, Alberta, 212 Duration Prevalence (#) 2-Year 1,3 5-Year 2,65 1-Year 4,2 2-Year 5,75 Complete (Ever Diagnosed) 6,7 Data Source: Alberta Cancer Registry, Alberta Health Services 1

Bladder Cancer Incidence and Mortality Introduction Incidence counts are the number of new cancer cases diagnosed during a specific time period in a specific population. In this section of the report, incidence counts refer to the number of new bladder cancer diagnoses in Alberta residents in a calendar year. Incidence rates are the number of new cancer cases diagnosed per 1, in the population, in a specific time period. Mortality counts describe the number of deaths attributed to cancer during a specific period of time in a specific population. In this section of the report, mortality refers to the number of deaths due to bladder cancer in Alberta residents in a calendar year, regardless of date of diagnosis. Mortality rates are the number of deaths per 1, in the population, in a specific time period. In order to compare cancer incidence or cancer mortality over time, or between populations, agestandardized incidence rates (ASIRs) or age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) are presented. These are weighted averages of age-specific rates using a standard population. These rates are useful because they are adjusted for differences in age distributions in a population over time, which permit comparisons of cancer incidence or mortality among populations that differ in size, structure, and/or time period. ASIRs and ASMRs give the overall incidence and mortality rates that would have occurred if the population of Alberta had been the same as the standard population. In this report the Canadian 1991 standard population is used. Three-year moving averages are used to smooth out year-to-year fluctuations so that the underlying trend may be more easily observed. They are calculated based on aggregating three years of data. Agestandardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) are presented as three-year moving averages; therefore, information can only be presented for 1993-211. This smoothing of trends is especially important when the number of cancer cases per year is relatively small and where year-to-year variability can be quite large. Incidence and mortality can be affected by the implementation of public health prevention or screening strategies that either prevent disease or find cancer in its early stages when treatment is generally more successful. Incidence and mortality are also affected by the development of cancer treatment programs, which may impact chances of survival and research innovations. The following figures show incidence and mortality trends in Alberta. Separate analyses for both incidence and mortality are shown in subsequent sections. The statistical significance* of the trends was determined by using Joinpoint 3 and is described in the text accompanying each graph. Joinpoint models are based on yearly rates; hence, there may be slight differences in the rates presented in the text (from Joinpoint model) and the graphs (where ASIRs and ASMRs are shown as three-year moving averages). * Throughout this report, the use of the word significant refers to statistical significance at an alpha level of.5 (i.e. 95%CI). 11

Figure 7-2: Age-Standardized Incidence Rates (ASIRs) * and Mortality Rates (ASMRs) * with 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for Bladder Cancer, Both Sexes, Alberta, 1992-212 4 35 3 Rate per 1, 25 2 15 1 ASIR ASMR 5 1992 1994 1996 1998 2 22 24 26 28 21 212 * Three-year moving average. Standardized to 1991 Canadian population. Year Data Source: Alberta Cancer Registry, Alberta Health Services; Alberta Health Bladder cancer ASIRs have not changed significantly since 1992 (Figure 7-2). In 212, the ASIR for bladder cancer in both sexes was 18. per 1, in the population. Bladder cancer ASMRs have not changed significantly since 1992 (Figure 7-2). In 212, the ASMR for bladder cancer in both sexes was 4. per 1, in the population. 12

Figure 7-3: Age-Standardized Incidence Rates (ASIRs) * and Mortality Rates (ASMRs) * with 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for Bladder Cancer, Males, Alberta, 1992-212 4 35 3 Rate per 1, 25 2 15 1 ASIR ASMR 5 1992 1994 1996 1998 2 22 24 26 28 21 212 * Three-year moving average. Standardized to 1991 Canadian population. Year Data Source: Alberta Cancer Registry, Alberta Health Services; Alberta Health Male bladder cancer ASIRs have not changed significantly between 1992 and 212 (Figure 7-3). In 212, the ASIR for bladder cancer in males was 3.2 per 1, males in the population. Male bladder cancer ASMRs have not changed significantly between 1992 and 212 (Figure 7-3). In 212, the ASMR for bladder cancer in males was 7. per 1, males in the population. 13

Figure 7-4: Age-Standardized Incidence Rates (ASIRs) * and Mortality Rates (ASMRs) * with 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for Bladder Cancer, Females, Alberta, 1992-212 4 35 3 Rate per 1, 25 2 15 1 5 ASIR ASMR 1992 1994 1996 1998 2 22 24 26 28 21 212 Year * Three-year moving average. Standardized to 1991 Canadian population. Data Source: Alberta Cancer Registry, Alberta Health Services; Alberta Health Female bladder cancer ASIRs have not changed significantly between 1992 and 212 (Figure 7-4). In 212, the ASIR for bladder cancer in females was 7.5 per 1, females in the population. Female bladder cancer ASMRs have not changed significantly between 1992 and 212 (Figure 7-4). In 212, the ASMR for bladder cancer in females was 1.8 per 1, females in the population. 14

Bladder Cancer Incidence The following three figures (Figures 7-5 to 7-7) provide information on bladder cancer incidence in Alberta. The number of new cancer cases in Alberta is affected not only by changes in the underlying risk of developing bladder cancer, but also by the changes in the age structure and growth of the population. In order to compare trends over time, age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) are provided. Furthermore, because coding for bladder cancer has changed over the study time period, we included both invasive and in situ bladder cancer cases in the analysis. In Figures 7-5 and 7-6 observed age standardized incidence rates are shown from 1992 to 211 (threeyear moving averages), projected rates from 212 to 217, and observed numbers of new bladder cancer cases are shown for the years 1992 to 212 and projected numbers for 213 to 217. The projected cancer numbers were calculated by applying the estimated age-specific cancer incidence rates to the projected age-specific population figures provided by Alberta Health. 4 These were observed up to 211 (due to the use of three-year moving averages) and estimated for 212 to 217. Caution should be exercised when comparing Canada 5 and Alberta rates as Canadian rates are yearly rates while Alberta rates are three-year moving averages. The estimated bladder cancer incidence rates were calculated by extrapolating the historical trends in age-specific rate based on data from 1987 to 211. 15

Figure 7-5: Actual and Projected Number of New Cases and Age-Standardized Incidence Rates (ASIRs) * for Bladder Cancer, Males, Alberta, 1992-217 Rate per 1, 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 381 387 43 395 295 35 311 338 351 357 363 33 618 558 565 527 533 486 51 459 439 611 73 678 655 633 1992 1994 1996 1998 2 22 24 26 28 21 212 214 216 12 11 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 New Cases Year Alberta New Cases Alberta 3-Year Moving Average ASIR Canada ASIR Alberta Projected New Cases Alberta Projected ASIR Canada Projected ASIR * Three-year moving average. Standardized to 1991 Canadian population. Data Source: Alberta Cancer Registry, Alberta Health Services; Alberta Health; Canadian Cancer Society In 212, 565 cases of male bladder cancer were diagnosed in Alberta (Figure 7-5). Overall, ASIRs for male bladder cancer in Alberta were higher than ASIRs in Canada. It is estimated that 7 cases of bladder cancer will be diagnosed in males in Alberta in 217. 16

Figure 7-6: Actual and Projected Number of New Cases and Age-Standardized Incidence Rates (ASIRs) * for Bladder Cancer, Females, Alberta, 1992-217 12 4 Rate per 1, 1 8 6 4 2 75 98 89 115 121 129 14 137 116 122 12 173 14 173 145 149 15 183 162 163 173 188 194 199 25 212 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 New Cases 1992 1994 1996 1998 2 22 24 26 28 21 212 214 216 Year Alberta New Cases Alberta 3-Year Moving Average ASIR Canada ASIR Alberta Projected New Cases Alberta Projected ASIR Canada Projected ASIR * Three-year moving average. Standardized to 1991 Canadian population. Data Source: Alberta Cancer Registry, Alberta Health Services; Alberta Health; Canadian Cancer Society In 212, 173 cases of female bladder cancer were diagnosed in Alberta (Figure 7-6). Overall, ASIRs for female bladder cancer in Alberta were generally higher than ASIRs in Canada. It is estimated that 21 cases of bladder cancer will be diagnosed in females in Alberta in 217. 17

Figure 7-7: Age-Specific Incidence Rates for Bladder Cancer by Sex, Alberta, 28-212 4 35 Rate per 1, 3 25 2 Male Female 15 1 5 2 4 6 8 1 Age (Years) Data Source: Alberta Cancer Registry, Alberta Health Services; Alberta Health Incidence rates of bladder cancer are similar for both males and females until about age 4 (Figure 7-7). After age 4, male rates rise much faster and further than female rates with the older age groups in both sexes having the highest rates of bladder cancer. 18

Bladder Cancer Mortality The following three figures (Figures 7-8 to 7-1) provide information on bladder cancer mortality in Alberta. The number of deaths in Alberta is affected not only by changes in the underlying risk of dying from bladder cancer, but also by the changes in the age structure and growth of the population. In order to compare trends over time, age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) are also provided. In Figures 7-8 and 7-9 observed age standardized mortality rates are shown for 1992 to 211 (three-year moving averages), projected rates for 212 to 217. Similarly, observed numbers of bladder cancer deaths are shown for the years 1992 to 212 and projected numbers for 213 to 217. The projected numbers of cancer deaths were calculated by applying the estimated age-specific cancer mortality rates to the age-specific population figures provided by Alberta Health. 4 These were observed up to 211 (due to the use of three-year moving averages) and estimated for 212 to 217. Caution should be exercised when comparing Canada 5 and Alberta rates as Canadian rates are yearly rates while Alberta rates are three-year moving averages. The estimated bladder cancer mortality rates were calculated by extrapolating the historical trends in agespecific rate based on data from 1987 to 211. 19

Figure 7-8: Actual and Projected Number of Deaths and Age-Standardized Mortality Rates (ASMRs) * for Bladder Cancer, Males, Alberta, 1992-217 12 35 1 3 Rate per 1, 8 6 4 2 55 65 61 56 6 66 82 65 98 83 81 86 97 86 18 96 95 16 117 11 13 126 133 139 144 15 25 2 15 1 5 Deaths 1992 1994 1996 1998 2 22 24 26 28 21 212 214 216 Year Alberta Deaths Alberta 3-Year Moving Average ASMR Canada ASMR Alberta Projected Deaths Alberta Projected ASMR Canada Projected ASMR * Three-year moving average. Standardized to 1991 Canadian population. Data Source: Alberta Cancer Registry, Alberta Health Services; Alberta Health; Canadian Cancer Society In 212, 13 males died from bladder cancer in Alberta (Figure 7-8). ASMRs for male bladder cancer in Alberta were general lower than rates in Canada. It is estimated that 15 males will die from bladder cancer in Alberta in 217. 2

Figure 7-9: Actual and Projected Number of Deaths and Age-Standardized Mortality Rates (ASMRs) * for Bladder Cancer, Females, Alberta, 1992-217 3 2 Rate per 1, 2 2 1 15 1 Deaths 1 19 24 19 23 23 25 24 25 45 23 36 4 3 28 45 37 37 32 37 34 4 43 44 45 47 48 5 1992 1994 1996 1998 2 22 24 26 28 21 212 214 216 Year Alberta Deaths Alberta 3-Year Moving Average ASMR Canada ASMR Alberta Projected Deaths Alberta Projected ASMR Canada Projected ASMR * Three-year moving average. Standardized to 1991 Canadian population. Data Source: Alberta Cancer Registry, Alberta Health Services; Alberta Health; Canadian Cancer Society In 212, 4 females died from bladder cancer in Alberta (Figure 7-9). ASMRs for female bladder cancer in Alberta were generally lower than ASMRs in Canada. It is estimated that 5 females will die from bladder cancer in Alberta in 217. 21

Figure 7-1: Age-Specific Mortality Rates for Bladder Cancer by Sex, Alberta, 28-212 2 175 Rate per 1, 15 125 1 75 Male Female 5 25 2 4 6 8 1 Age (Years) Data Source: Alberta Cancer Registry, Alberta Health Services; Alberta Health Age-specific mortality rates for both sexes increase after approximately age 45 (Figure 7-1). Male and female bladder cancer mortality rates are similar until age 5, with female rates being lower than male rates after age 5. The highest bladder cancer mortality rates occur in the older age groups. 22

Bladder Cancer Survival Cancer survival ratios indicate the proportion of people who will be alive at a given time after they have been diagnosed with cancer. Survival is an important outcome measure and is used for evaluating the effectiveness of cancer control programs. Survival depends on several factors including the cancer type (most importantly site, stage, and morphology at diagnosis), sex, age at diagnosis, health status, and available treatments for that cancer. While relative survival ratios (RSRs) give a general expectation of survival over the whole province, these ratios may not apply to individual cases. Individual survival outcomes depend on the stage at diagnosis, treatment, and other individual circumstances. Relative survival ratios are estimated by comparing the survival of cancer patients with that expected in the general population of Albertans of the same age, sex, and in the same calendar year. 6 In this section of the report, RSRs are standardized by the age structure in the standard population (i.e. all persons who were diagnosed with that cancer in Canada between 1992 and 21) to permit RSRs to be compared over time, independent of differences in age distribution of cancer cases. RSRs are estimated by the cohort method 6 when complete follow-up data (e.g., at least five years of follow-up to estimate the five-year rate) after diagnosis are available. For recently diagnosed cases whose complete follow-up data are not available, the up-to-date estimates are computed using the period method 7. However, comparison between cohort and period RSRs should be interpreted with caution because of the two different methods used to derive the respective ratios. The relative survival ratio is usually expressed as a percentage (%) and the closer the value is to 1%, the more similar the survival pattern is to the general population. 23

Figure 7-11: Crude One, Three and Five-Year Relative Survival Ratios with 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for Bladder Cancer, Both Sexes, Alberta, 1992-1994^, 1998-2^ and 24-26^, 21-212* 1 Relative Survival (%) 8 6 4 1992-1994 1998-2 24-26 21-212 2 1 year 3 year 5 year Years After Diagnosis ^ Ratios calculated by cohort method, where complete follow-up data are available. * Ratios calculated by period method, where complete follow-up data are not available. Data Source: Alberta Cancer Registry, Alberta Health Services; Statistics Canada The five-year relative survival ratio for individuals diagnosed with bladder cancer in the period of 21-212 is estimated to be 77%. The five-year relative survival ratio for individuals diagnosed with bladder cancer in Alberta has not changed from 21-212 compared to those diagnosed in the 1992-1994 cohort years (Figure 7-11). 24

Figure 7-12: Crude One, Three and Five-Year Relative Survival Ratios with 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for Bladder Cancer, Males, Alberta, 1992-1994^, 1998-2^ and 24-26^, 21-212* 1 Relative Survival (%) 8 6 4 1992-1994 1998-2 24-26 21-212 2 1 year 3 year 5 year Years After Diagnosis ^ Ratios calculated by cohort method, where complete follow-up data are available. * Ratios calculated by period method, where complete follow-up data are not available. Data Source: Alberta Cancer Registry, Alberta Health Services; Statistics Canada The five-year relative survival ratio for males diagnosed with bladder cancer in the period of 21 to 212 is estimated to be 77%. The five-year relative survival ratio for males diagnosed with bladder cancer in Alberta has not changed from 21-212 compared to those diagnosed in the 1992-1994 cohort years (Figure 7-12). 25

Figure 7-13: Crude One, Three and Five-Year Relative Survival Ratios with 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for Bladder Cancer, Females, Alberta, 1992-1994^, 1998-2^ and 24-26^, 21-212* 1 Relative Survival (%) 8 6 4 1992-1994 1998-2 24-26 21-212 2 1 year 3 year 5 year Years After Diagnosis ^ Ratios calculated by cohort method, where complete follow-up data are available. * Ratios calculated by period method, where complete follow-up data are not available. Data Source: Alberta Cancer Registry, Alberta Health Services; Statistics Canada The five-year relative survival ratio for females diagnosed with bladder cancer in the period of 21 to 212 is estimated to be 79%. The five-year relative survival ratio for females diagnosed with bladder cancer in Alberta has not changed from 21-212 compared to those diagnosed in the 1992-1994 cohort years (Figure 7-13). 26

Further Information Further information is available on a separate document, the Appendix: Appendix 1: Glossary of Terms Appendix 2: Cancer Definitions Appendix 3: Data Notes 27

References 1. Okamoto N, Morio S, Inoue R and Akiyama K. The risk of a second primary cancer occurring in five-year survivors of an initial cancer. Jpn. J Clin Oncol, 1987; 17(3):25-213. 2. National Cancer Institute - Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results [Internet]. USA. National Institutes of Health; Cancer Prevalence Statistics Overview; 214 Apr 1 [cited 214 Nov 6]; Available from: http://surveillance.cancer.gov/prevalence/] 3. Kim H-J, Fay M and Feuer E. Permutation tests for JoinPoint regression with applications to cancer rates. Stat Med, 2; 19:335-351. 4. 212 Alberta Population Data [Excel Spreadsheet]. Edmonton (Alberta): Alberta Health; 214. 5. Canadian Cancer Society s Steering Committee: Canadian Cancer Statistics 214. Toronto: Canadian Cancer Society, 214. 6. Ederer F, Axtell LM and Cutler SJ. The relative survival rate: a statistical methodology. Natl Cancer Inst Monogr, 1961; 6: 11-121. 7. Brennera H, Gefellerb O and Hakulinen T. Period analysis for up-to-date cancer survival data: theory, empirical evaluation, computational realisation and applications. European Journal of Cancer, 24; 4: 326-335. 28

Contact Information If further information is required, please contact Surveillance & Reporting, C-MORE, Alberta Health Services as follows: Mailing Address: Alberta Health Services Surveillance & Reporting C-MORE 14-1123-99 Street Edmonton, AB, Canada T5J 3H1 Phone: 78-643-4347 Fax: 78-643-438 Email: ACB.cancerdata@albertahealthservices.ca 29