CONTACT INFORMATION Banco de España C/ Alcalá 48. 28014 Madrid Spain Tel: (+34) 91 338 60 59 e-mail: fcastro@bde.es Temporary Contact details European Commission Phone: +32 2 298 02 53 e-mail: francisco.de-castro@ec.europa.eu PERSONAL BACKGROUND Birthdate: July 12, 1968 Citizenship: Spain Marital Status: Married, three children Curriculum Vitae Francisco de Castro Fernández EDUCATION Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Ph.D. in Economics, 2004. Thesis: Una Evaluación Macroeconométrica de la Política Fiscal en España (A macroeconometric evaluation of fiscal policy in Spain). Supervisors: Javier Andrés and José Manuel González-Páramo. Universidad Complutense de Madrid, B.A. in Economics: Monetary Economics and Public Sector, 1986-1991. Economic Analysis and Cuantitative Economics, 1992-1994 OTHER TRAINING COURSES Training course on economics, mathematics, statistics and econometrics for research assistants, Banco de España. 1991-1992. Central Bank strategies: by Alex Cukierman. Banco de España. International Economics: by Charles Wyplozs. Banco de España. Monetary theory and policy: by Carl E. Walsh. Banco de España. Economics of the Labour Market: by Tito Boeri. DG ECFIN, European Commission. Fiscal Policy and the Business Cycle: by Albert Marcet, Universitat Pompeu Fabra (July 2005). Using DSGE models for quantitative business cycle analysis: by Lawrence Christiano, 7th th Euro Area Business Cycle Network Training School, CEPR. Banco de España, Madrid (3 rd -7 th May 2007). 1
Solving, calibrating and evaluating structural models; Empirical time series methods for policy analyses: by Fabio Canova, Budapest School for Central Bank Studies (22-26 March 2010). LANGUAGES Spanish: Native English: Full professional proficiency. French: Advanced. AREAS OF INTEREST Applied macroeconomics Fiscal policy International economics Economics of the European Union PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE European Commission: Seconded National Expert, DG ECFIN, since 1/7/2011 Banco de España: Economist. Since May 1992. Divisions: Central Balance Sheet Office. 1992-1995 Economic Research. 1995-2005 Economic Analysis and Forecasting (Unit of Fiscal Policy Affairs. 2005-2011 Membership of international networks Working Group on Ageing and Sustainability (AWG), attached to the Economic Policy Committee. 2005-2011. Working Group on Public Finance (WGPF), attached to the Monetary Policy Committee. In 2007 and 2008 Member of several working teams dependent on the WGPF European Commission: Seconded National Expert, DG ECFIN, 1/2/2002 31/1/2005 Seconded National Expert, DG ECFIN, 1/07/2011 To present Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Department of Economic Analysis I: Associate Professor, 1995-2002. CONFERENCES Fiscal Sustainability. Banca d Italia, Perugia (Italy), January 2000. On the Sustainability of the Spanish Public Budget Performance 2
ASSET. November 2006. Lisbon (Portugal). The Economic Effects of Exogenous Fiscal Shocks in Spain: A SVAR Approach CEMLA. November 2007. Madrid (Spain). The Economic Effects of Exogenous Fiscal Shocks in Spain: A SVAR Approach WGPF workshop. December 2008. Frankfurt (Germany): Explaining government revenue windfalls and shortfalls: an analysis for selected EU countries WGPF workshop. July 2009. Paphos (Cyprus): The relationship between public and private saving in Spain: does Ricardian equivalence hold? XVII Encuentro de Economía Pública. February 2010. Murcia (Spain): The relationship between public and private saving in Spain: does Ricardian equivalence hold? XVII Encuentro de Economía Pública. February 2010. Murcia (Spain): Fiscal policy shocks in the euro area and the US: an empirical assessment XIII Encuentro de Economía Aplicada. June 2010. Sevilla (Spain): Is fiscal data reporting in Europe reliable? WGPF workshop. June 2010. Krakow (Poland): The effects of inflation on the general government accounts in euro area countries with Amela Hubic (Banque central du Luxembourg) XVIII Encuentro de Economía Pública. February 2011. Málaga (Spain): "Fiscal data revisions in Europe". 2011 CEUS Workshop on Monetary and Fiscal Policy Challenges in the Euro Area, WHU Otto Beisheim School of Management in Vallendar, Germany: "Fiscal data revisions in Europe". XIX Encuentro de Economía Pública. February 2012. Santiago de Compostela (Spain): The Effects of Fiscal Shocks on the Exchange Rate in the EMU and differences with the US 2012 CEUS Workshop on Monetary and Fiscal Policy Challenges in the Euro Area, WHU Otto Beisheim School of Management in Vallendar, Germany: " The Effects of Fiscal Shocks on the Exchange Rate in the EMU and differences with the US ". XV Encuentro de Economía Aplicada. June 2012. La Coruña (Spain): The Effects of Fiscal Shocks on the Exchange Rate in the EMU and differences with the US XXIV Villa Mondragone International Economic Seminar on Public Debt, Global Governance and Economic Dynamism. June 2012. Villa Mondragone, Roma (Italy): Multipliers and debt evolution XX Encuentro de Economía Pública. February 2013. Sevilla (Spain): Fiscal Multipliers and Public Debt Dynamics in Consolidations. XVI Encuentro de Economía Aplicada. June 2013. Granada (Spain): Fiscal Multipliers and Public Debt Dynamics in Consolidations XXII Jornadas de Política Financiera. June 2014. Cáceres (Spain): " Ajuste fiscal y proceso de consolidación en España". XXII Encuentro de Economía Pública. February 2015. Santander (Spain): The discretionary Fiscal Effort: an assessment of Fiscal Policy and its Output Effect. 3
SEMINARS The Joint Dynamics of Spot and Forward Exchange Rates, Banco de España. 1997 The Fulfilment of the External Borrowing Constraint: The Spanish Case, Banco de España. 1997 On the Sustainability of the Spanish Public Budget Performance, Banco de España. January 2000 On the Sustainability of the Spanish Public Budget Performance, Universidad Complutense de Madrid. December 2001 The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy in Spain, Banco de España. December 2002 The Economic Effects of Exogenous Fiscal Shocks in Spain: A SVAR Approach, Banco de España. October 2005 Una evaluación de los efectos sobre la carga impositiva de la propuesta de reforma del IRPF (An assessment of the effects on the tax burden of the proposed reform of the personal income tax in Spain), Banco de España, 2006 Fiscal policy shocks in the euro area: an empirical assessment. Fiscal Seminar WGPF. Frankfurt. October 2009. Fiscal policy shocks in the euro area: an empirical assessment. ECB seminar. Frankfurt. October 2009. Is fiscal data reporting in Europe reliable?. Banco de España. June 2010. Is fiscal data reporting in Europe reliable?. WGPF held in Krakow (Poland). June 2010. Effects of Fiscal Shocks on the Exchange Rate in the Spain, Banco de España. May 2011. "The discretionary Fiscal Effort: an assessment of Fiscal Policy and its Output Effect", European Commission, October 2014. PUBLICATIONS Research articles de Castro, F. and P. Hernández de Cos (2002), On the Sustainability of the Spanish Public Budget Performance, Hacienda Pública Española / Revista de Economía Pública 160-(1/2002), pp. 9-27. de Castro, F. (2003), Non-Keynesian Effects of Public Expenditure in Spain, Applied Economics Letters 10, August, pp. 651-655. de Castro, F., J.M. González-Páramo and P. Hernández de Cos (2004), Fiscal Consolidation in Spain: Dynamic Interdependence of Public Spending and Revenues, Investigaciones Económicas vol. XXVIII(1), pp. 193-207. de Castro, F. (2006), The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy in Spain, Applied Economics, 38, pp. 913-924. 4
de Castro, F and P. Hernández de Cos (2008), The Economic Effects of Fiscal Policy: the Case of Spain, Journal of Macroeconomics, 30, September, pp. 1005-1028. doi: 10.1016/j-jmacro.2007.08.009. Burriel, P., F. de Castro, D. Garrote, E. Gordo, J. Paredes and J. Pérez (2010) Fiscal policy shocks in the euro area and the US: an empirical assessment, Fiscal Studies, 31 (2), pp. 251-285. de Castro, F., E. Gordo, and J.J. Pérez (2010), La política fiscal discrecional en tiempos de crisis, Presupuesto y gasto Público, 59, pp. 83-102. de Castro, F., J. Kremer and T. Warmedinger (2010), How to measure a fiscal stimulus, Presupuesto y Gasto Público, 59, pp 103-116. Burriel, P., F. de Castro, D. Garrote, E. Gordo, J. Paredes and J. Pérez (2010) Fiscal multipliers in the euro area, Revista de Economía y Estadística, Vol. XLVIII- N 2, pp. 7-27. de Castro, F., J. Pérez and Marta Rodríguez-Vives (2013) Fiscal data revisions in Europe, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 45, No. 6, pp. 1187-1209. de Castro, F and L. Fernández (2013). "The Effects of Fiscal Shocks on the Exchange Rate in Spain". The Economic and Social Review, 44(2), pp. 151-180. de Castro, F. and, J.L. Fernández (2013) The relationship between public and private saving in Spain: does Ricardian equivalence hold?, Journal of Applied Economics, Vol. XVI, No. 2, pp.251-274. de Castro, F. (2013) Los multiplicadores fiscales en España y la respuesta de la deuda pública a la consolidación fiscal, Presupuesto y Gasto Público, 73(4), pp 89-108. de Castro, F and D. Garrote (2015) The Effects of Fiscal Shocks on the Exchange Rate in the EMU and differences with the US, Empirical Economics, forthcoming. doi :10.1007/s00181-015-0925-z. Books Estrada, A., F. de Castro, I. Hernando and J. Vallés (1997), La Inversión en España. Estudios Económicos nº 61, Research Department, Banco de España. de Castro, F. (2005), Una Evaluación Macroeconométrica de la Política Fiscal en España. Estudios Económicos nº 76, Research Department, Banco de España. Chapters in books de Castro, F. and P. Hernández de Cos (2000), On the Sustainability of the Spanish Public Budget Performance, in Fiscal Sustainability, Banca d Italia. Burriel, P., F. de Castro, D. Garrote, E. Gordo, J. Paredes and J. Pérez (2010) Fiscal multipliers in the euro area, in Fiscal Policy: Lessons from the Crisis, Banca d Italia. Boussard, J., F. de Castro, M. Salto (2013), Fiscal Multipliers and Public Debt Dynamics in Consolidations, in Luigi Paganetto (Ed.), Public Debt, Global Governance and Economic Dynamism, pp. 167-213. 5
Working papers de Castro, F. and A. Novales (1997), The Joint Dynamics of Spot and Forward Exchange Rates, Research Department, Banco de España, Documento de Trabajo 9715. de Castro, F., J.M. González-Páramo and P. Hernández de Cos (2002), Evaluating The Dynamics of Fiscal Policy in Spain: Patterns of Interdependence and Consistency of Public Expenditure and Revenues, Research Department, Banco de España, Documento de Trabajo 0103. de Castro, F. (2003), The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy in Spain, Research Department, Banco de España, Documento de Trabajo 0311. Ayuso, J., F. de Castro, Ó. Gómez and C. Martínez (2005), Spain in EMU: A virtuous long-lasting cycle?, European Economy, Occasional Papers, nº 14, European Commission, February. Also published as España en la UEM: un ciclo virtuoso duradero?, Working papers, Servicio de Estudios Económicos, BBVA, November 2005. de Castro, F and P. Hernández de Cos (2006), The Economic Effects of Exogenous Fiscal Shocks in Spain: A SVAR Approach, Research Department, Banco de España, Documento de Trabajo 0604. Also published as European Central Bank, working paper 647, June. Argimón, I., F. De Castro and A.L. Gómez (2007), Una simulación de los efectos de la reforma del IRPF sobre la carga impositiva, Research Department, Banco de España, Documentos Ocasionales 0702. de Castro and J.M. González (2008), La composición de las finanzas públicas y el crecimiento a largo plazo: un enfoque macroeconómico, Research Department, Banco de España, Documentos Ocasionales, 0809. de Castro, F. and, J.L. Fernández (2009) The relationship between public and private saving in Spain: does Ricardian equivalence hold?, Research Department, Banco de España, Documentos de Trabajo, 0923. Morris, R., C.R. Braz, F. de Castro, S. Jonk, J. Kremer, S. Linehan, M.R. Marino, C. Schalck and O. Tkacevs (2009) Explaining government revenue windfalls and shortfalls: an analysis for selected EU countries, European Central Bank, working paper 1114, November. Burriel, P., F. de Castro, D. Garrote, E. Gordo, J. Paredes and J. Pérez (2009) Fiscal policy shocks in the euro area and the US: an empirical assessment, Research Department, Banco de España, Documentos de Trabajo, 0930. Also published as European Central Bank, working paper 1133, December. de Castro, F., J. Pérez and Marta Rodríguez-Vives (2011) Fiscal data revisions in Europe, Research Department, Banco de España, Documentos de Trabajo, 1106. Also published as European Central Bank, Working Paper 1342, May. de Castro, F and L. Fernández (2011). "The Effects of Fiscal Shocks on the Exchange Rate in Spain". Banco de España, Documentos de Trabajo No 1121. 6
de Castro, F and D. Garrote (2012) The Effects of Fiscal Shocks on the Exchange Rate in the EMU and differences with the US, Research Department, Banco de España, Documentos de Trabajo No 1224. Boussard, J., F. de Castro, M. Salto (2012), Fiscal Multipliers and Public Debt Dynamics in Consolidations, European Economy, Economic Papers 460, European Commission, July. Berti, K., F. de Castro, M. Salto (2013), Effects of fiscal consolidation envisaged in the 2013 Stability and Convergence Programmes on public debt dynamics in EU Member States, European Economy, Economic Papers 504, European Commission, September. F. de Castro, M. Salto, H. Steiner (2013), The gap between public and private wages: new evidence for the EU, European Economy, Economic Papers 508, European Commission, October. de Castro, F., F. Martí, A. Montesinos, J.J. Pérez and A.J. Sánchez Fuentes (2014) Fiscal policies in Spain: main stylized facts revisited, Research Department, Banco de España, Documentos de Trabajo No 1408. Carnot, N. and F. de Castro (2015) "The Discretionary Fiscal Effort: an Assessment of Fiscal Policy and its Output Effect", European Economy, Economic Papers 543, European Commission, February. Other publications Ayuso, J., F. de Castro and Ó. Gómez (2004), The Spanish inflation differential: a never-ending story, ECFIN Country Focus, Issue 12, European Commission. de Castro, F and P. Hernández de Cos (2006), Los efectos económicos de la política fiscal en España, Banco de España, Boletín Económico, March, pp 117-128. de Castro, F. and J.M. González (2008), La composición del gasto público en Europa y el crecimiento a largo plazo, Banco de España, Boletín Económico, March, pp. 91-118. Also appeared as The composition of public spending in Europe and long-term growth, Banco de España, Economic Bulletin, April, pp. 143-153. de Castro, F., A. Estrada, P. Hernández de Cos and F. Martí (2008), Una aproximación al componente transitorio del saldo público en España, Banco de España, Boletín Económico, June, pp. 71-81. de Castro, F., J. Pérez and Marta Rodríguez-Vives (2011), "Fiscal data revisions in Europe and the credibility of fiscal policies", VoxEU.org, Centre for Economic Policy Research, 12 November. http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/7264 Other non-published papers de Castro, F. (1997), The Fulfilment of the External Borrowing Constraint: The Spanish Case, mimeo. de Castro, F. and R. Peruga (1999), A General Result On Deficit Processes and Debt Sustainability, mimeo. 7
de Castro, F. and R. Peruga (1999), Weak Conditions for Déficit and Debt Sustainability, mimeo. de Castro, F. (2006), The Macroeconomic Effects of Public Expenditure in Portugal, mimeo. Research in progress Ramajo Hernández, J., A. Ricci Risquete, F. de Castro (2014) "Fiscal Regimes in Spain: a Markov-Switching approach", mimeo REFEREE REPORTS Applied Economics, Economic Inquiry, Empirical Economics, Hacienda Pública Española/Revista de Economía Pública, International Review of Applied Economics, Investigaciones Económicas, Journal of Macroeconomics, Journal of Applied Economics, Moneda y Crédito, Portuguese Economic Journal, Presupuesto y Gasto Público, Public Budgeting and Finance. MEMBER OF SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEES XIV Conference on International Economics (2013) 8