Airbus Commercial Update

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Transcription:

Airbus Commercial Update Deutsche Bank Investors, January 22 nd 2014 Presented by Francois Chazelle Senior Director Corporate & Investor Marketing

2013 in review a successful year for Airbus A320 10,000 th order A330 1,000 th delivery A350 XWB Successful first flight A380 10 operators, >100 in service

A year of new industry records 2013 result Previous records Airbus orders 1,619 gross 1,608 (Airbus 2011) 1,458 (Airbus 2007) 1,503 net 1,419 (Airbus 2011) 1,413 (Boeing 2007) Airbus year-end backlog 5,559 aircraft 4,682 (Airbus 2012) Airbus Deliveries 626 aircraft 648 (Boeing 2013)

2013 Airbus and Boeing world market share Net order share since 1995 100 80 60 Boeing 82% Airbus 53% 1,503 aircraft 40 20 Airbus 18% 0 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 Boeing 47% 1,355 aircraft To end 2013

2013 market share by category - net Single aisle 2,208 orders Widebody 596 orders VLA 54 orders A320 737 1,162 53% 1,046 47% 299 50% A330 A350 767 777 787 297 50% A380 747-8 12 22% 42 78% ACJ 1 25% BBJ 3 75% NEO 876 56% MAX 699 44% A350 230 56% 787 182 44% A380 pax 42 81% 747-8 pax 10 19% Data to end 2013

The airline industry enjoyed renewed growth in 2013 Three billion passengers Global economy climbing out of recession IATA forecast 5.4% average annual growth 2013-2017 December 2013 IATA forecast of 5.4% CAGR

A return to growth in 2013 8% 6% World real GDP and passenger traffic (year-over-year) December passenger traffic +7.4% 4% 2% 0% -2% Real GDP Passenger traffic (ASKs) -4% JQ1M Q2 M JQ3S Q4 N JQ1M Q2 M JQ3S Q4 N JQ1M Q2 M JQ3S Q4 N JQ1 MQ2 M JQ3S Q4 N JQ1 MQ2 M JQ3S Q4 N JQ1 MQ2 M JQ3S Q4 N JQ1 MQ2 M JQ3S Q4 N 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: IHS Global Insight (December 2013 data), OAG (ASKs data), Airbus

20-year demand for 29,230 new passenger freight aircraft (2013-2032) 20,242 single-aisle aircraft 7,273 twin-aisle aircraft 1,711 very large aircraft 29,226 new aircraft Passenger aircraft ( 100 seats) Jet freight aircraft (>10 tons) Market value of $4.4 trillion Source: Airbus 2013 GMF

Order backlogs Airbus A320ceo 1,688 A320neo 2,610 A330 267 A350 XWB 812 A380 182 5,559 Combined backlog of over 10,500 aircraft At end 2013

2013 Airbus order backlog by region North America 12% 20% Europe & CIS 18% 24% Middle East 10% 7% Asia Pacific 34% 38% Lessors 17% Latin America 7% 8% Africa 1% 3% Backlog end 2013 GMF (2032) Backlog of 5,559 aircraft Data to end of December 2013

A320 Family: 1,253 new A320 Family orders in 2013 876 A320neo, 377 A320ceo 10,193 firm orders 5,895 deliveries 4,298 backlog (1,688 ceo, 2,610 neo) 269 customers 323 operators A take-off or landing every 2.5 seconds, with 99.6% reliability Data to end December 2013

The best keeps getting better with Sharklets Flight test results show fuel-burn savings up to 4% Range increment and take-off performance enhancement A319, A320 and A321 all now certified and in service A320 Sharklet retrofit launched with JetBlue order

Airbus has a clear single-aisle strategy Efficiency Sharklets A320neo 15% fuel burn saving Up to 4% fuel burn saving 2011 2012 2015 Delivering more efficiency while maintaining commonality

Strong A320ceo & A320neo sales A320ceo Mix A320ceo/A320neo A320neo 294 aircraft 25 customers 2,315 aircraft* 27 customers 1,013 aircraft 20 customers Over 1,000 A320ceo orders since launch of A320neo Data to end December 2013, Source: Airbus Orders & Deliveries * Split in 718 A320ceo + 1597 A320neo Corporate jet customers not included A320neo launch 1 st December 2010

A320neo has 15% lower fuel burn, more range Sharklets New engines 95% airframe commonality with A320ceo

NEO leads the MAX in orders and customers A320neo 737 MAX 2,610 orders 1,736 orders 48 customers 60% 40% 22 customers + unannounced orders NEO is the preferred market option Data to end 2013, Source: Airbus Orders & Deliveries, Boeing.com

Increasing demand for A321s AEROSPACE INTERNATIONAL GROUP Almost 650 A321 orders and type conversions* in 2013 *From A319/A320 to A321. to end December 2013

Airbus widebody Family: matching market demand

Wide-body sales in 2013 Net passenger and freighter wide-body orders in 2013 500 400 300 200 230 182 100 0 69 42 47 66 2 12 A330 A350 A380 767 787 777 777X 747-8 341 Airbus vs. 309 Boeing widebody orders in 2013

Airbus leads Boeing in widebody sales Net passenger and freighter wide-body orders since 2008 Includes commitments from Dubai Airshow not yet firm orders 500 400 300 200 100 0 495 446 434 280 213 115 99 16 A330 A350 A380 767 787 777 777X 747-8 1,056 Airbus vs. 1,042 Boeing widebody orders since 2008

It s about serving a market Market Long Haul trunk routes Concentrated high passenger demand 42 aviation mega cities growing to 89 carrying 75% of long-haul traffic Long Haul developing routes Regional routes Thinner long-haul routes Develop new routes and grow existing Secondary markets Dense short-haul routes constrained by infrastructure Feeder routes

Passenger preferences vary Complex product offering Market Demanded level of service Cabin classes Comfort Schedule Price Reliability Basic product offering Long Haul trunk routes Long Haul developing routes Regional routes Concentrated high passenger demand 42 aviation mega cities growing to 89 carrying 75% of long-haul traffic Thinner long-haul routes Develop new routes and grow existing Secondary markets Dense short-haul routes constrained by infrastructure Feeder routes Passenger preferences and expectations move with the market

Match the right product to the market Complex product offering Market Optimised wide-body solution Demanded level of service Cabin classes Comfort Schedule Price Reliability Long Haul trunk routes Long Haul developing routes Regional routes Basic product offering Airbus wide-body family matches market demands

Airbus serving the market Complex product offering Market ~600 Demanded level of service Cabin classes Comfort Schedule Price Reliability Long Haul trunk routes Long Haul developing routes Regional routes S E A T C A P A C I T Y Basic product offering The Airbus wide-body family offers market matched capacities ~200

Seat width makes a difference: long haul 18 standard

A330 Family over 1,300 sales 1,313 firm orders 1,046 deliveries 267 backlog 97 customers 103 operators A take-off or landing every 25 seconds, with 99.0% reliability Data to end December 2013

Continued market momentum during 2013 Turkish Airlines Sri Lankan Delta Air China China Eastern 5 x A330-300 6 x A330-300 10 x A330-300 6 x A330-300 7 x A330-200 1 x A330-300 China Southern Hainan Airlines Scandinavian Etihad Qatar Airways 1 x A330-300 1 x A330-200 1 x A330-300 4 x A330-300 1 x A330-200F 5 x (+8) A330-200F 88 orders & commitments from 13 operators Undisclosed 4 x A330-200 Air Asia X 25 x A330-300 Air Algerie 3 x A330-200 (MOU) Data to end December 2013

840 A330s sold since 787 launch A330 market continues to grow As end of December 2013

A330 has over 100 operators A330 Operator base evolution 2003-2013 A330-200 A330-300 A330 41 30 47 52 55 63 67 73 82 89 91 99 103 777-71 787-60 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Operators by end December 2013. Includes non-commercial operators. 777 & 787 figures reflect publically announced operators with aircraft in-service & on order.

The A330 is the regional widebody % of frequencies 60% City pairs <2,000nm Data: OAG

A330 Regional optimised for regional operations Optimized thrust engine 64~68k Lower operational weights MTOW 199t other weights offered Cockpit optimized for high cycle operations ROPS, HUD & RNP Up-to-date cabin tailored for shorter ranges Lighter seats & 9-abreast Y More passengers, lower weight, and lower thrust = Lower unit cost

The A330 serves the long-haul market % of frequencies 40% 60% City pairs <2,000nm City pairs >2,000nm Data: OAG

A330-300 242t offers additional capability Delta orders 10 A330-300 Deliveries from 2015 242t MTOW with >6,000nm range 293 seat 2-class configuration Order placed 4 th September, 2013, which also included 30 A321.

A330 & A350 Families are complementary A350XWB: Primarily long-haul aircraft replacement A330: Continued medium-haul & regional operations Complete fleet solutions - matching network requirements today and tomorrow

A350 XWB Shaping Efficiency 812 firm orders 39 customers Flight test is on track: over 800 total cumulated flight hours

JAL orders 31 firm A350 XWB and 25 options

Strong customer commitment to A350 in 2013 Over 240 firm net orders and commitments in 2013 As at end December, 2013

Unrivalled A350-1000 efficiency 25% lower fuel burn HKG LAX + 40T MTOW 777-300ER requires +40t higher MTOW (+20 t. Fuel burnt + 20 t. Structure) The A350-1000 provides a step change in efficiency 6,500 nm mission, 350 passengers

777-9X is heavier than 777-300ER 777-9X OWE +15 t* 777-300ER 4-frame stretch Frame sculpting Bigger wing featuring FWT** Engine upsize 5 th derivative -20 t A350-1000 Clean sheet design 777-9X OWE is up to 35t heavier than A350-1000 (*) Airbus estimate (**) Folding Wing Tips

777X is not enough to beat the A350-1000 Relative fuel burn per seat 20% 15% 777-8X* A350-800 A350-900 10% 5% 777-9X* Comparable efficiencies 2.9l/pax/100km A350-1000 0% Relative fuel burn per trip -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% A350-900 offers unmatched fuel efficiency today, A350-1000 will be one step further Typical airline rules. A350-900 at 315 seats, A350-1000 at 369 seats, 777-9X at 405 seats (10 abreast), 777-8X at 342 seats (10abreast). (*) Airbus estimate

A380: the answer to market growth 304 firm orders 19 customers 10 operators 182 backlog 50 new A380 orders in 2013

122 A380 s delivered to date 44 8 19 6 12 5 10 6 9 3 10 operators, a fleet that keeps growing Data to end December 2013

A380 connects more than 70% of todays mega-cities Handling more than 10,000 long haul passengers per day >50 000 daily long-haul passengers >20 000 daily long-haul passengers >10 000 daily long-haul passengers OAG Dec 2013 At the heart of global air transport

A380 operator base keeps growing Qatar, Asiana, Skymark and Etihad to take delivery of their first A380s in 2014

The Airbus Family The VLA market leader 122 delivered to 10 operators Flight test program well underway Strong market momentum & recognition Demand-driven production at rate 10. Continual improvements to match market needs Over 10,000 sales Continued CEO demand At end December, 2013

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