T. F. GREEN AIRPORT MASTER PLAN UPDATE December 2002 Prepared for: The Rhode Island Airport Corporation Prepared by: Landrum & Brown In association with: Edwards & Kelcey HNTB Leigh Fisher Associates URS Corporation Fitzgerald & Halliday, Inc.
TABLE OF CONTENTS ACRONYMS Page SOURCES OF INFORMATION EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ES.1 Master Planning Process... ES.2 Plan Pursued By RIAC... ES.3 Next Steps... ES-1 ES-3 ES-4 CHAPTER I - INVENTORY I.1 Background and History... I-1 I.2 Historic and Current Aviation Activity... I-7 I.3 Airspace and Air Traffic Control... I-12 I.4 Meteorological Conditions... I-15 I.5 Existing Airport Facilities... I-16 I.6 Current Capital Improvement Program (CIP) Funding... I-55 I.7 Airport Environmental Conditions... I-59 CHAPTER II - FORECASTS OF AVIATION DEMAND II.1 Introduction... II-1 II.2 Historical Review of Air Traffic and Economic Trends... II-11 II.3 Existing Role Forecasts... II-27 II.4 Augmented Market Share Scenario... II-74 II.5 Capacity Constrained Scenarios... II-86 II.6 Selected Planning Level... II-114 CHAPTER III - DEMAND/CAPACITY AND FACILITY REQUIREMENTS III.1 Airfield Facilities... III-2 III.2 Terminal Area Facilities... III-26 III.3 Surface Transportation Facilities... III-32 III.4 Air Cargo Facilities... III-46 III.5 General Aviation Facilities... III-56 III.6 Support Facilities... III-61 III.7 Summary of Facility Requirements... III-79 CHAPTER IV - ALTERNATIVES IV.1 Alternatives Process... IV-2 IV.2 Airfield... IV-3 IV.3 Passenger Terminal Area... IV-17 IV.4 Surface Transportation... IV-24 IV.5 Support Facilities... IV-36 IV.6 Master Plan Recommendations... IV-40 Table of Contents i December 2002
TABLE OF CONTENTS Page CHAPTER V - AIRPORT PLANS V.1 Airport Design Standards... V-1 V.2 Airport Layout Drawings... V-3 CHAPTER VI IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING VI.1 Financial Structure... VI-1 VI.2 Financing Capacity Analysis... VI-5 VI.3 Master Plan Projects Summary... VI-7 VI.4 Plan of Finance... VI-8 VI.5 Financial Implications... VI-15 VI.6 Conclusions... VI-18 APPENDICES APPENDIX A - SURVEY RESULTS APPENDIX B FORECAST ASSUMPTIONS APPENDIX C SEPTEMBER 11 FORECAST VALIDITY REVIEW APPENDIX D TERMINAL SPACE PROGRAM APPENDIX E CURBFRONT REQUIREMENTS APPENDIX F FULL RANGE OF AIRFIELD CONCEPTS APPENDIX G MASTER PLAN CHARRETTES APPENDIX H STUDY RESOURCE COMMITTEE MEETINGS CONTRIBUTORS Table of Contents ii December 2002
EXHIBITS Exhibit No. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ES.1-1 Existing Airport Facilities ES.2-1 Airfield Concept A7 ES.2-2 Airfield Concept A8 ES.2-3 Airfield Concept A9 CHAPTER I - INVENTORY I.1-1 Existing Property Boundaries I.1-2 Vicinity Map I.3-1 Airspace Classification I.5-1 Existing Airfield Facilities I.5-2 Existing Overnight Aircraft Parking Positions I.5-3 Terminal Area I.5-4 Existing Gate Facilities I.5-5 Existing Airport Parking Facilities I.5-6 Survey of Geographical Origins of Parked Autos at T. F. Green Airport I.5-7 Ground Transportation I.5-8 2000 Average Daily Traffic (ADT) I.5-9 Traffic Control at Study Area Traffic Intersections I.5-10 Support Facilities Airport Locations I.6-1 Estimated Historical Available Sources of Funds FY 1997-FY 2001 I.6-2 Historical Cost per Enplaned Passenger FY 1994-FY 2001 I.7-1 1998 Existing Noise Exposure Map I.7-2 Noise Complaints by Neighborhood Year 2000 I.7-3 Drainage Areas and Groundwater Characteristics I.7-4 Section 303(c) Resources I.7-5 Existing Wetlands and Water Cover I.7-6a Floodplains I.7-6b Floodplains Legend I.7-7 Prime Farmland and Statewide Important Soils I.7-8 Known Hazardous and Solid Waste Sites CHAPTER II FORECASTS OF AVIATION DEMAND II.1-1 T. F. Green Airport Forecast Scenarios II.2-1 Economic Growth in Rhode Island, New England and the United States II.2-2 Historical T. F. Green O&D Passenger Traffic Table of Contents iii December 2002
Exhibit No. EXHIBITS CHAPTER II FORECASTS OF AVIATION DEMAND () II.2-3 Nonstop Air Services at T. F. Green - 1990 II.2-4 Nonstop Air Services at T. F. Green - 1997 II.2-5 Nonstop Air Services at T. F. Green - 2001 II.2-6 2000 Top 15 O&D Markets Without Nonstop Service at T. F. Green II.2-7 Average Fares from Selected East Coast Airports II.2-8 Historical T. F. Green Airport Operations II.2-9 Historical T. F. Green Total Air Freight (Tons) II.3-1 Summary of Forecasting Methodology for Existing Role Scenario II.3-2 T. F. Green and National Yield Levels II.3-3 New England GRP Projections II.3-4 T. F. Green Yield Projections II.3-5 Low Fare Carrier Penetration Factor Projection II.3-6 O&D Passenger Forecasts II.5-1 Airport Demand/Capacity Summary CHAPTER III DEMAND/CAPACITY AND FACILITY REQUIREMENTS III-1 Summary of Requirements III.1-1 Existing Airfield III.1-2 Runway Operating Configurations III.1-3 Demand/Capacity III.1-4 Average Delay Per Aircraft III.1-5 Existing/Potential Markets Served Nonstop from T. F. Green III.1-6 Aircraft Takeoff Runway Length Requirements Current Markets within 800 Nautical Miles III.1-7 Aircraft Takeoff Runway Length Requirements Nonstop West Coast Markets III.1-8 Aircraft Takeoff Runway Length Requirements Regional Jets and Turboprops III.1-9 Aircraft Landing Runway Length Requirements III.1-10 Primary Taxi Flows Runway 5 Direction III.1-11 Primary Taxi Flows Runways 5 and 34 Direction III.1-12 Primary Taxi Flows Runway 23 Direction III.1-13 Primary Taxi Flows Runway 34 Direction III.1-14 Primary Taxi Flows Runway 16 Direction III.1-15 Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Design Standards III.1-16 Existing Overnight Aircraft Parking Positions III.2-1 Terminal Area Table of Contents iv December 2002
Exhibit No. EXHIBITS CHAPTER III DEMAND/CAPACITY AND FACILITY REQUIREMENTS () III.3-1 Enplanement Trip Distribution Plan III.3-2 Deplanement Trip Distribution Plan III.3-3 Existing Airport Parking Facilities III.4-1 Integrated Cargo Carrier Facilities III.4-2 Belly Cargo Facilities III.5-1 General Aviation Facilities III.6-1 Support Facilities III.7-1 Summary of Requirements CHAPTER IV ALTERNATIVES IV.1-1 Alternatives Process IV.2-1 Preliminary Airfield Concepts Concept A1 IV.2-2 Preliminary Airfield Concepts Concept A2 IV.2-3 Preliminary Airfield Concepts Concept A3 IV.2-4 Preliminary Airfield Concepts Concept A4 IV.2-5 Preliminary Airfield Concepts Concept A5 IV.2-6 Preliminary Airfield Concepts Concept A6 IV.2-7 Preliminary Airfield Concepts Concept A7 IV.2-8 Preliminary Airfield Concepts Concept A8 IV.2-9 Preliminary Airfield Concepts Concept A9 IV.2-10 Preliminary Airfield Concepts Concept A10 IV.2-11 Preliminary Airfield Concepts Concept A11 IV.2-12 Preliminary Airfield Concepts Concept A12 IV.2-13 Preliminary Airfield Concepts Concept B1 IV.2-14 Preliminary Airfield Concepts Concept B2 IV.2-15 Preliminary Airfield Concepts Concept B3 IV.2-16 Airfield Concept A7 IV.2-17 Airfield Concept A8 IV.2-18 Airfield Concept A9 IV.2-19 Taxiway Improvements IV.3-1 Alternative A IV.3-2 Alternative B IV.3-3 Alternative C IV.3-4 Alternative D IV.3-5 Alternative E IV.3-6 Alternative B/C IV.3-7 Alternative E Phase 1 (2010) IV.3-8 Alternative B/C Phase 1 (2010) IV.4-1 Proposed On-Property Roadway Improvements Table of Contents v December 2002
Exhibit No. EXHIBITS CHAPTER IV ALTERNATIVES () IV.4-2 Proposed Roadway Modifications Airport Road Relocation IV.4-3 Potential Auto Parking Sites IV.5-1 Potential Support Facility Development Sites IV.6-1 2020 Plan APPENDIX C SEPTEMBER 11 FORECAST VALIDITY REVIEW C-1 40-Year Historical Aviation Traffic APPENDIX F FULL RANGE OF AIRFIELD CONCEPTS F-1 Preliminary Airfield Concepts Minimal or No Development F-2 Preliminary Airfield Concepts 1,200 2,500 Separations (Varying Levels of Dependence) F-3 Preliminary Airfield Concepts 1,200 2,500 Separations (Varying Levels of Dependence) F-4 Preliminary Airfield Concepts 1,200 2,500 Separations (Varying Levels of Dependence) F-5 Preliminary Airfield Concepts 4,300 3,000 Separations (Minimum Separation for Independence) F-6 Preliminary Airfield Concepts 4,300 3,000 Separations (Minimum Separation for Independence) F-7 Preliminary Airfield Concepts 5,000 Separations (Independent Parallel Runways) Table of Contents vi December 2002
TABLES Table CHAPTER I - INVENTORY I.1-1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (in millions) I.2-1 Air Traffic Activity Summary I.2-2 Historic Operations Summary by Category I.2-3 Airlines and Destinations I.4-1 Runway Wind Coverage I.4-2 Annual Occurrence of Weather Categories I.5-1 Lighting Aids I.5-2 Navigational Aids I.5-3 Runway Data I.5-4 RIAC Public Parking Facilities I.5-5 Privately-Owned, Public Parking Facilities I.5-6 Northeast and Northwest Ramp Facilities I.5-7 Buried Utilities I.6-1 Estimated Historical Available Sources of Funds (FY 1997-FY 2001) I.7-1 Noise Incompatibility 1998 Noise Exposure Map CHAPTER II - FORECASTS OF AVIATION DEMAND II.1-1 Existing Role Forecast Summary Medium Case II.1-2 Existing Role Forecast Summary High Case II.1-3 Existing Role Forecast Summary Low Case II.1-4 Augmented Market Share Scenario Summary II.2-1 Census 2000 Catchment Area Population Data by County II.2-2 New England Employment and Unemployment Levels II.2-3 Personal Income Levels by County II.2-4 Major Rhode Island and Bristol County Employers II.2-5 Recent T. F. Green Traffic Activity by Airline II.2-6 Historical Passenger Traffic II.2-7 Historical O&D and Connecting Passengers II.2-8 Historical Aircraft Operations II.2-9 Historical Cargo Volumes II.3-1 Forecasts of Comparative Growth, U.S. and New England (Compounded Annual Growth) II.3-2 Hypothetical Timing of New Low Fare Destinations II.3-3 Regression Results Final Demand Model II.3-4 Regression Results Preliminary Demand Model II.3-5 Correlation Coefficient Between New England Gross Product and Other Relevant Economic Variables II.3-6 Other Model Specifications II.3-7 O&D Passenger Forecast Growth Rates II.3-8 Domestic Passenger Forecast Table of Contents vii December 2002
Table TABLES CHAPTER II FORECASTS OF AVIATION DEMAND () II.3-9 International Charter Forecast Assumptions II.3-10 International Charter Forecasts II.3-11 Scheduled International Forecasts II.3-12 Total Passenger Forecasts II.3-13 Average Belly Cargo Load by Aircraft Type II.3-14 Air-Cargo Volume Forecast (in U.S. Tons) II.3-15 Air Carrier and Commuter Aircraft Operations Forecasts II.3-16 Average Cargo Loads II.3-17 Cargo Aircraft Operations Forecasts II.3-18 General Aviation and Military Operations Forecast II.3-19 General Aviation and Military Aircraft Fleet Mix Forecast II.3-20 Fleet Mix Forecasts II.3-21 Total Aircraft Operations Forecast II.3-22 PMAD Forecast Passengers II.3-23 Peak Hour Shares of PMAD Activity II.3-24 Peak Hour Forecasts II.3-25 Comparison of Medium Case Master Plan Forecasts and FAA TAF Forecasts II.4-1 Development of T. F. Green Market Share Target II.4-2 Annual Domestic Forecasts II.4-3 Annual International Charter Passengers at Boston Logan International Airport II.4-4 Annual International Forecasts II.4-5 Summary of Annual Forecasts II.4-6 PMAD Forecasts II.4-7 Peak Hour Forecasts II.5-1 Existing Facility Utilization II.5-2 Runway Capacity II.5-3 Runway Wind Coverage for Runway 5R-23L II.5-4 Annual Cancellations with Shortened Runway 16-34 II.5-5 2020 Runway 16-34 Scenario Forecast Activity II.5-6 2020 Runway 5L-23R Scenario Forecast Activity II.5-7 2020 No New Airfield Facilities Scenario Forecast Activity II.5-8 T. F. Green Airport Passengers Per Gate II.5-9 Passengers Per Gate Comparison II.5-10 2020 No New Terminal Facilities Scenario Forecast Activity II.5-11 Intersection LOS Criteria II.5-12 2020 Roadway Intersection Delays with Greater than LOS F II.5-13 Number of Signalized Intersections at LOS F II.5-14 2020 No New Landside Facilities Scenario Forecast Activity II.5-15 Summary of Capacity Constrained Scenarios Table of Contents viii December 2002
Table TABLES CHAPTER III DEMAND/CAPACITY AND FACILITY REQUIREMENTS III-1 Summary of Trigger Points III.1-1 Operations Forecast Summary III.1-2 Aircraft Fleet Mix By Aircraft Category III.1-3 Capacity and Delay III.1-4 Percent of Aircraft Capable of Serving West Coast III.1-5 Worst Case Payload Penalties for West Coast Service III.1-6 Annual Occurrence of Weather Categories III.2-1 Narrow Body Equivalent Gate (NBEG) Index III.2-2 2000 Gate Configuration and Utilization III.2-3 Annual Departures Per Gate Method 2020 Gate Requirement III.2-4 Annual Enplaned Passengers Per Gate Method III.2-5 Percent Increase in Annual Operations Method III.2-6 Gate Requirements Departures Per Gate Approach III.2-7 Passenger Terminal Building Requirements III.3-1 Summary of Intersection LOS Determination Criteria III.3-2 Existing and Projected Level of Service (LOS) Signalized Intersections, Airport Area Access Roads III.3-3 Existing and Projected Level of Service (LOS) Unsignalized Intersections, Airport Area Access Roads III.3-4 Existing and Projected Level of Service (LOS) Signalized Intersections, Terminal Area Roadways (P.M. Peak Hour) III.3-5 Short-Term Public Parking Requirements III.3-6 Long-Term Public Parking Requirements III.3-7 Employee Parking Requirements III.3-8 Projected Rental Car Requirements III.4-1 Integrated Cargo Carrier Facility Requirements III.4-2 Integrated Cargo Carrier Apron Requirements III.4-3 Integrated Cargo Carrier Truck/Auto Requirements III.4-4 Belly Cargo Building Requirements III.4-5 Belly Cargo Truck/Auto Requirements III.5-1 General Aviation Building Area Requirements III.5-2 General Aviation Apron Requirements III.5-3 Hangar #2/Northstar Aviation Auto Parking Requirements III.5-4 General Aviation Auto Parking Requirements III.6-1 Jet A Commercial Fuel Storage Requirements III.6-2 Fuel Storage Land Requirements III.6-3 100LL Fuel Storage Requirements III.6-4 GSE Maintenance Building Requirements III.6-5 GSE Sheltered Storage Requirements Table of Contents ix December 2002
Table TABLES CHAPTER III DEMAND/CAPACITY AND FACILITY REQUIREMENTS () III.6-6 Existing Airfield Maintenance/SRE Facilities III.6-7 Airfield Maintenance/SRE Facilities Assessment III.6-8 Existing ARFF Facility Requirements III.6-9 FAR Part 139.315 & 139.317 ARFF Equipment Requirements III.6-10 ARFF Vehicular Capacities for Extinguishing Agents III.6-11 In-Flight Catering Facility Requirements III.7-1 Summary of Trigger Points CHAPTER IV ALTERNATIVES IV-1 Facilities Accommodated in the Plan IV.2-1 Airfield Evaluation Matrix IV.3-1 Terminal Alternatives Comparison IV.4-1 Long-Term Public Parking Requirements IV.5-1 Cargo Facility Evaluation Matrix CHAPTER V - AIRPORT PLANS V.2-1 Recommended FAA Airfield Design Standards CHAPTER VI IMPLEMENTATION PLANNING VI.3-1 Master Plan Project Costs Phase 1 (Through FY 2005) VI.3-2 Master Plan Project Costs Phase 2 (FY 2006 Through FY 2010) VI.3-3 Master Plan Project Costs Phase 3 (FY 2011 Through FY 2020) VI.4-1 Phase 1 Funding Plan VI.4-2 Phase 2 Funding Plan VI.4-3 Phase 3 Funding Plan VI.4-4 General Strategy for Funding Sources APPENDIX A SURVEY RESULTS A-1 List of Surveyed Flights A-2 Survey Weighting A-3 Average Travel Party Size A-4 Trip Purpose A-5 Airline Passenger Survey Destination Region A-6 Place of Origin A-7 Geographic Distribution of Passenger Originations A-8 Mode of Travel to the Airport Table of Contents x December 2002
Table TABLES APPENDIX A SURVEY RESULTS A-9 Average Number of Air Passengers Per Personal/ Company/Rental Car A-10 Passengers Arriving by Auto--Drop-off or Parked A-11 Parking Lot Distribution A-12 Parking Characteristics A-13 Passenger/Luggage Check-In Location A-14 Number of Well Wishers Entering the Terminal A-15 Average Amount of Luggage per Passenger A-16 Trip Duration A-17 Resident/Visitor Status A-18 Amenities Used A-19 Summary of Passenger Comments A-20 Peak Hour Upper and Lower Roadway Vehicle Classification A-21 Peak Hour Upper and Lower Curb Use A-22 Peak Hour Ticket Counter Observations A-23 Peak Hour Security Screening Observations A-24 Baggage Claim Observations A-22 Peak Hour Ticket Counter Observations A-23 Peak Hour Security Screening Observations A-24 Baggage Claim Observations APPENDIX B FORECAST ASSUMPTIONS B-1 Historical Values of Model Independent Variables B-2 New England GRP Projections (in millions) B-3 Yield Projections B-4 Low-Fare Carrier Market Penetration Projections B-5 T. F. Green Load Factor Data 4th Quarter 2000 B-6 Assumed Mix of Aircraft APPENDIX C SEPTEMBER 11 FORECAST VALIDITY REVIEW C-1 Top Ten Airlines Revenue Passenger Miles (RPM) Fourth Quarter 2000 vs. Fourth Quarter 2001 C-2 Top Ten Airlines Available Seat Miles (ASM) Fourth Quarter 2000 vs. Fourth Quarter 2001 C-3 T. F. Green 2000 and 2001 Passenger Traffic Comparison C-4 Scheduled Seats Comparison APPENDIX D TERMINAL SPACE PROGRAM D-1 LOS Determination Criteria D-2 Actual and Base Forecast Passenger & Aircraft Activity D-3 Existing Passenger Terminal Building Table of Contents xi December 2002
Table TABLES APPENDIX D TERMINAL SPACE PROGRAM () D-4 Existing Passenger Terminal Building Planning Factors D-5 Proposed Passenger Terminal Building 2000 (Base Year) D-6 Proposed Passenger Terminal Building 2005 D-7 Proposed Passenger Terminal Building 2010 D-8 Proposed Passenger Terminal Building 2015 D-9 Proposed Passenger Terminal Building 2020 D-10 Passenger Terminal Building Facility Requirements Summary APPENDIX E CURBFRONT REQUIREMENTS E-1 Curbfront Capacity E-2 Peak Hour Enplanement/Deplanement Activity E-3 Projected Peak 20-Minute Curbfront Utilization S:\02PVD\Master Plan\Final Document\2-Table of Contents.doc Table of Contents xii December 2002