Northwest Washington Labor Market Review

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Washington State Employment Security Department Labor Market and Performance Analysis May 2014 Northwest Washington Labor Market Review Volume 2014, Number 5 Compiled by Anneliese Vance-Sherman, Ph.D., Regional Labor Economist Phone: (425)258-6315 avancesherman@esd.wa.gov https://fortress.wa.gov/esd/employmentdata/home On a seasonally adjusted basis, preliminary estimates from the federal Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) indicate nonfarm employment in Washington rose by 4,000 from April 2014 to May 2014. 1 BLS estimates the private sector gained 5,200 jobs during the month and the public sector lost 1,200 jobs. On a not seasonally adjusted basis, estimates for May 2013 through May 2014 indicate an increase in employment of 73,900 for the state. The private sector added 72,100 jobs while the public sector gained an estimated 1,800 jobs over the year. Washington s preliminary seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for May 2014 is 6.1 percent. The revised estimated April 2014 unemployment rate was also at 6.1 percent. The May 2013 unemployment rate was 7.0 percent. Area Unemployment rate (not seasonally adjusted) (Prelim.) May 2014 Apr-14 May-13 Year-to- Year Change USA 6.1% 5.9% 7.3% -1.2% Washington state 6.1% 5.6% 6.9% -0.8% Whatcom 6.4% 5.7% 7.0% -0.6% Skagit 7.2% 6.5% 8.3% -1.1% Island 7.1% 6.2% 7.6% -0.5% San Juan 4.7% 4.6% 5.5% -0.8% BLS estimates of monthly job gains and losses are based on a survey of businesses. Preliminary estimates are subject to revision. April s preliminary estimated gain of 7,700 jobs was revised to a gain of 8,900 jobs. Northwest Washington labor market review for May 2014

Review of National Labor Markets For the current National Employment Situation Report, please use the following link: http://stats.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf Review of State Labor Market For current and historical Washington State Monthly Employment Reports, please use the following link: https://fortress.wa.gov/esd/employmentdata/reports-publications/economicreports/monthly-employment-report Labor Area Summaries Tables and graphs of monthly employment and labor force data can be found for each county in Washington state by following this link. https://fortress.wa.gov/esd/employmentdata/reportspublications/regional-reports/labor-area-summaries Whatcom County The unemployment rate in Whatcom County (not seasonally adjusted) increased from 5.7 percent in April (revised) to 6.4 percent (preliminary) in May. For comparison, the unemployment rate in May 2013 was 7.0 percent. Overall, the unemployment rate continues to decline in Whatcom County. Compared to May 2013, the number of people counted as employed increased by 330 and the number of people counted as unemployed or actively seeking work decreased by 690. This had the effect of pushing the unemployment rate down over the year despite a declining Whatcom County labor force. Initial claims for unemployment benefits in Whatcom County (not seasonally adjusted) decreased from 1,204 in April to 930 in May. The largest number of new claims was filed by persons in seasonally-sensitive construction-related occupations.

Whatcom County local area payroll jobs (Current Employment Statistics) Nonfarm payroll jobs in Whatcom County expanded by 800 from April to May 2014. Year-overyear, the tally of nonfarm jobs is up 1.4 percent or 1,200. Spring is typically a time of employment growth in Whatcom County. So far, 2014 has been demonstrating usual seasonal patterns. Month-to-month gains were observed in leisure and hospitality (300), manufacturing (200), and professional and business services and government (100 each). Year-over-year gains were reported in most major sectors. The only sectors reporting yearover-year losses in May 2014 were financial activities and trade, transportation and utilities. Skagit County The unemployment rate in Skagit County (not seasonally adjusted) increased from 6.5 percent (revised) in April to 7.2 percent (preliminary) in May 2014. For comparison, the unemployment rate in May 2013 was 8.3 percent. Compared to May 2013, the number of people counted as employed increased by 200 and the number of people counted as unemployed or actively seeking work declined by 630. Overall, Skagit County s labor force has been declining. Initial claims for unemployment benefits in Skagit County (not seasonally adjusted) decreased from 743 in April to 642 in May. The largest number of new claims was filed by persons in seasonally-sensitive construction-related occupations.

Skagit County local area payroll jobs (Current Employment Statistics) In May, Skagit County nonfarm payrolls expanded by an estimated 500 jobs compared to the previous month. Year-over-year, the tally of nonfarm jobs is up 2.1 percent or 1,000 jobs. Private employment increased by 300 over the month. Public sector employment added 200. Spring tends to be a time of economic growth in Skagit County. All industries observed in this report either expanded or maintained current employment levels in May. Over the year, most major sectors reported employment gains. The largest year-over-year gain was manufacturing (400) and the largest proportional gain was attributable to hiring in construction (10.0 percent). Leisure and hospitality declined by 100 jobs, 2.1 percent. Island County The unemployment rate in Island County (not seasonally adjusted) increased from 6.2 percent (revised) in April to 7.1 percent (preliminary) in May. For comparison, the unemployment rate in May 2013 was 7.6 percent. Compared to May 2013, the number of people counted as employed increased by 90 and the number of people counted as unemployed or actively seeking work dropped by 170. Island County s labor force decreased by 80 residents over the year. Initial claims for unemployment benefits in Island County (not seasonally adjusted) decreased from 262 in April to 252 in May. The largest number of new claims was filed by persons in construction-related occupations.

Island County local area payroll jobs (Current Employment Statistics) Nonfarm payroll jobs in Island County increased by 170 compared to the previous month. Yearover-year, the tally of nonfarm jobs was up 1.3 percent or 200 jobs. From April to May, employment gains were reported in leisure and hospitality (80), construction (30), retail trade and government (20 each) and education and health services (10). Manufacturing employment neither increased nor decreased over the month. Year-over-year, Island County gained 200 private sector jobs, spread across many sectors. The largest total employment gains were made in education and health services (170) and the largest proportional gains were made in construction (+20.6 percent). Professional and business services shed the largest number of jobs over the year (-80). San Juan County The unemployment rate in San Juan County (not seasonally adjusted) increased from 4.6 percent in April (revised) to 4.7 percent in May (preliminary). For comparison, the unemployment rate in May 2013 was 5.5 percent. Compared to May 2013, the number of people counted as employed decreased by 60 and the number counted as unemployed or actively seeking work decreased by 70. Initial claims for unemployment benefits in San Juan County (not seasonally adjusted) decreased from 30 in April to 22 in May. The largest number of new claims was filed by persons in food preparation and serving-related occupations and by workers from construction and extraction occupations.

San Juan County local area payroll jobs (Current Employment Statistics) Nonfarm payroll jobs in San Juan County in May expanded by 510 compared to the previous month. Year-over-year, total nonfarm employment was up 200 jobs or 3.7 percent. San Juan County has a highly-seasonal economy, due to its orientation toward tourism. Large downward shifts in employment are characteristic of autumn and winter months, with growth during the spring and summer months. In May, growth was reported in most industries. The greatest growth was attributable to hiring in the county s largest sector: leisure and hospitality (400). Over the year, San Juan County added 200 jobs. Private employers added 240 jobs, with gains reported in most sectors. Government employment contracted by 40 jobs over the year.