Future for industrial policies Dr. Alexander Tettenborn Federal Ministry of Economics and Energy
The German Digital Economy 228 bn. Sales volume (ICT branch) 79 bn. Sales volume (internet economy) 4.9 % of the worldwide sales in ICT 4.7 % value creation #5 in worldwide ranking (behind U.S.A., S-Korea, Japan, U.K.) 23% of productivity gains result from ICT investments 900.000 jobs ICT branch + 360.000 jobs other sectors 8.5% incorporation rate (ICT foundations) Source: Monitoring Report TNS Infratest 2013 1
Mission Statements (Digital Agenda 2014-2017) http://www.digitale-agenda.de Besides energy transition and skills shortage, the digital agenda is the central challenge of our country Sigmar Gabriel, Minister for Economic Affairs & Energy The Internet has become ubiquitous. It will continue to fundamentally change our economy and society. How can we keep and improve our (industrial) competitiveness? Who will be the drivers of innovation? Digital Agenda defines the main work areas for German funding policy: Foster digital infrastructures and digital businesses: transform conventional industry & boost start-ups / entrepreneurs Create an adequate regulation framework in accordance with Europe Improve Security and Trust in ICT 2
Industry 4.0 Digital upgrade of Germany s Industrial Locations http://www.plattform-i40.de/ 3
Lighthouse project: Industry 4.0 Embedded into High-Tech-Strategy of Federal Government Manufacturing is the backbone of prosperity in Germany Jobs directly affected: 7,7 Mio. Peripheral Jobs: 7,1 Mio. With Cyber Physical Systems, we can radically change the set-up of manufacturing: (e.g. individualized production, batch size 1). Quelle: Abele, Eberhard/Reinhart, Gunther (2011): Zukunft der Produktion. Herausforderungen, Forschungsfelder, Chancen, Hanser, München. We are heading towards the design of versatile, self-configuring and self-organizing production systems 4
From sensor based applications to the Internet of Things: BMWi funding history of sensor / radio based smart applications & systems 2006 2011: Next Generation Media (11 Projects): Consumer electronics, health monitoring, logistics (RFID), manufacturing 2009 2014: Autonomics: Autonomous, simulation based systems for small and medium sized enterprises (14 projects): Logistics, manufacturing Tools and systems that are able to network via Internet, identify situations, adapt to changing operating conditions and interact with users on their own 2013 2017: Autonomics for Industry 4.0 (14 Projects) Smart Factories, Service Robotics, Home Automation 6 5
ICT-share Where are the Chances? Area 2015 2025 Cumulated Turn-over German Market Annual Growth Cumulated Turn-over German Market Area ICT-share 75 % Smart Home 2.300 Mio. Proportion value added - German providers 1.400 Mio. +23,5% +23,3% 19.000 Mio. Smart Home 80 % 11.400 Mio. prop. value added German Providers 50 % Maschinenbau 100.300 Mio. Prop value added German Providers 60.200 Mio. +6,3% +6,3% 185.000 Mio. Maschinenbau 60 % 111.000 Mio. prop. value added German Providers 50 % Pro. Value added German prov. 18.000 Mio. +8,0% +8,0% 38.700 Mio. prop. value added German provider 70 % 100% Prop. Value added German prov. 1.800 Mio. +20,2% +23,6% 15.000 Mio. prop. value added German provider 100% Quelle: Technologische und wirtschaftliche Perspektiven Deutschlands durch die Konvergenz der elektronischen Medien, VDI/VDE IT, 2011
Autonomics for Industry 4.0 Objectives Human-machine-interfaces for integrating internet-provided data to the real world, perception and decision support ( AugmentedX technologies) Developing objects, products and systems featured with the capability to autonomously manage complex tasks ( SmartX technologies) Existing technologies have to become fit for mass markets, by developing system kits, standardization and solutions for consumer markets Stimuli for new products, services and business models Next generation systems, services and business models in production (smart factories), service robotics and home automation 8 7
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Some new challenges: Individualization and fast delivery 10
Now, more seriously: 11
IT-Security and Industry 4.0 Challenges: Cyber Crime, Terrorism, Espionage, Sabotage etc. Task: Baseline study of major aspects of security for Industry 4.0 (start about June/14) - major content: - Analytics of future value chains and networks in the field of industry 4.0. - Characterization of new challenges concerning IT-Security - Recommendations of actions for stakeholders of economy, regulators (standardization, legal actions) and industry - Cost-benefit analysis esp. For SMEs - Brief account of current state of available technologies 12
New R&D program: Smart Data : 13
Other new challenges: Big Data : acatech study predicts a shift of control points Products will be sold as Smart Services Businesses must get ready to cooperate and continuously adapt their portfolios Services, Business control point = Return on investment Cyber physical Systems, Technology control point = Investment 14
Let s work together. Thank you for your attention. Dr. Alexander Tettenborn Head of Division Development of Converging ICT Alexander.Tettenborn@bmwi.bund.de 15