From Public Accounts Balance to National Accounts Balance. Notebook by the Portuguese Public Finance Council No. 1/2014

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From Public Accounts Balance to National Accounts Balance Notebook by the Portuguese Public Finance Council No. 1/2014 January 2014

The series entitled Notebook comprises short texts dealing with matters relating to the specific mission of the Portuguese Public Finance Council in order to help interested parties to better understand and evaluate matters included in areas that concern the Council. These are occasional short papers, normaly under ten pages length, directed to a wide audience. The Portuguese Public Finance Council was set up by article 3 of Law no. 22/2001 of 20 Mayt, which introduced the 5 th ammendment to the Budget Framework Law (Law no. 91/2011 of 20 August, republished most recently by Law no. 37/2013 of 14 June) and its Statutes were approved by Law no. 54/2011 of 19 October. The Council s mission is to conduct an independent assessment of the consistency, compliance with the stated objectives and the sustainability of public finances, while promoting fiscal transparency, so as to contribute to the quality of democracy and of political economic decisions and so strengthen the State s financial credibility. By Noémia Goulart and Jorge Garrido. ii From Public Accounts Balance to National Accounts Balance Portuguese Public Finance Council

From Public Accounts Balance to National Accounts Balance Notebook No. 1/2014 Lisbon, January 2014 Available at www.cfp.pt

Contents 1 INTRODUCTION... 1 2 PUBLIC ACCOUNTS AND NATIONAL ACCOUNTS WHAT ARE THE MAIN DIFFERENCES?... 1 3 PUBLIC ACCOUNTS BALANCE VERSUS NATIONAL ACCOUNTS BALANCE WHAT IS THE SCALE OF THE DIFFERENCES?... 3 4 RECONCILIATION OF THE TWO PERSPECTIVES HOW IS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE PA BALANCE AND THE NA BALANCE EXPLAINED?... 4 4.1 SECTOR DELIMITATION WHAT IS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE TWO PERSPECTIVES?... 4 4.2 ACCRUAL ACCOUNTING WHEN IS THE ACCOUNTING RECORD MADE?... 6 4.3 OTHER ADJUSTMENTS ARE THERE TRANSACTIONS THAT HAVE A DIFFERENT IMPACT ON THE BALANCES REPORTED IN NATIONAL ACCOUNTS AND IN PUBLIC ACCOUNTS?... 8 REFERENCES... 10 USEFUL LINKS... 11 iv From Public Accounts Balance to National Accounts Balance Portuguese Public Finance Council

1 INTRODUCTION Two accounting systems are used to report general government accounts, providing aggregates and indicators that are essential to monitor public finances: public accounting and national accounts. Compliance with the fiscal discipline criteria laid down in the Maastricht Treaty, in particular a budget deficit below the 3% of GDP benchmark is assessed on the basis of the general government figures according to national accounts. These figures are published by the Portuguese Statistical Authority (Statistics Portugal or INE) on an annual and quarterly basis, and the latter are made available 90 days after the end of the respective quarter. The figures in public accounts compiled by the Directorate-General for Budget (DGO) for general government as a whole, allow a timelier monitoring of public accounts developments since they are available earlier than the national accounts statistics. However, the difference between the results of these two perspectives has stirred an increasing interest for its clarification. This Notebook attempts to improve the general public s knowledge of the differences between the budget balances, determined according to the public accounting system and in national accounts, which are analysed on a regular basis by the Portuguese Public Finance Council (CFP). 2 PUBLIC ACCOUNTING AND NATIONAL ACCOUNTS WHAT ARE THE MAIN DIFFERENCES? The differences between the information produced by the public accounting system and the national accounts system essentially reflect the different moment in time at which these systems were designed and the different purposes they serve. While the public accounting system has been mainly directed towards a cash management, the national accounts are a system designed for macroeconomic analysis and assessment. The structure of the national accounts follows the conceptual framework applicable at the European level the European System of Regional and National Accounts (ESA95). 1 Given the specific nature of general government economic activities, the production of statistics in this sector abides by the rules laid down in the Manual on Government Deficit and Debt (MGDD) and the additional guidelines published by Eurostat in addition to the ESA95 rules. The public accounting system is underpinned by a legal framework consisting of the Public Accounting Framework Law, the State Administrative and Financial Regulations, the Official Public Accounting Plan (POCP) and the Budgetary Framework Law. According to this accounting plan the public accounting system is a complete system comprised of several independent and integrated subsystems: 1 Approved by Regulation (EC) No. 2223/96 of 25 June. This system describes, within a coherent framework, all of a country s activities. These principles also apply to the general government sector as an institutional sector of the economy. From September 2014, ESA95 will be replaced by an updated conceptual framework - ESA2010. Portuguese Public Finance Council From Public Accounts Balance to National Accounts Balance 1

(i) Budget accounting, which records payments and receipts, on a cash basis; (ii) Accrual accounting, based on the accrual principle; 2 (iii) Analytical accounting, by function or activity. 3 The budget accounts and the accrual based accounts are systems which are used by all general government entities, unlike the analytical accounts, which are optional. However, the introduction of accrual based accounting has proved difficult and despite recent progress, the system is still incomplete and does not cover all public bodies. 4 For this reason in the State Budget, and when monitoring the public accounts performance in a public accounting perspective, preference is still given to budget accounting on a cash basis, which does not always produce the same results as the national accounts. Chart 1 Main differences between the two accounting systems The conceptual structures of these two accounting systems (national and public) are based on separate principles and criteria for classifying economic and financial information of the entities belonging to the general government sector. These differences essentially cover the time of recording of transactions and the entities which are subject to those principles (sector delimitation). 2 Accrual based accounting records transactions and other events in the period they arise regardless of when cash flows occur. Therefore under this subsystem liabilities are recorded as soon as they arises and not when payments are made or revenue is received. 3 The analytical accounting subsystem is an internal management information system aimed at measuring and analysing revenue, expenses and, accordingly profits related to the various goals/activities. 4 According to the Court of Auditors, at the end of 2012, 98% of the Autonomous Services and Funds and 51.6% of the integrated services produced accrual based accounts. In 2013, aside from the overseas services of the Foreign Ministry, POCP should be applied in all services, with the exception of non-higher education establishments, which should apply the plan from January 2014 onwards. 2 From Public Accounts Balance to National Accounts Balance Portuguese Public Finance Council

3 PUBLIC ACCOUNTING BALANCE VERSUS NATIONAL ACCOUNTS BALANCE WHAT IS THE EXTENT OF THE DIFFERENCES? In the government finance statistics the revenue and expenditure aggregates represent nonfinancial transactions between the general government and other institutional sectors. 5 The difference between these aggregates leads to a balance, usually designated by the budget balance that shows this sector s net lending capacity (surplus) or net borrowing requirements (deficit) 6. Both accounting systems (public and national) provide consolidated budget aggregates for the general government sector. However, as stated above, they lead to results that are sometimes significantly different. Chart 2 Balance produced by the two accounting systems (as % of GDP) Source: INE. CFP calculations. Between 2009 and 2012, the largest and smallest differences between the public accounting balance and the national accounts balance were recorded in 2010 and 2011 (3.1 p.p. and 0.8 p.p. of GDP, respectively). Although the national accounts deficit was always greater than the public accounting deficit over that period, this does not mean that national accounts always produce more unfavourable deficits than that calculated in public accounting. The scale of these differences reflects various adjustments, which are mainly contingent on the scope and time frames of the accounting records (budget accounting or accrual based accounts), as well as the nature of the one-off transactions undertaken by general government. The following section presents the adjustment categories that explain the difference between the balances compiled in the public accounting and national accounts perspectives. 5 These transactions include all transactions that do not involve financial assets and/or liabilities. Examples of liabilities are the borrowing or repayment of loans, and of transactions concerning assets are the granting or refunding of loans, and the purchase or sale of bonds and shares. 6 This indicator is also known as the overall balance. Portuguese Public Finance Council From Public Accounts Balance to National Accounts Balance 3

4 RECONCILIATION OF THE TWO PERSPECTIVES HOW IS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE PA BALANCE AND THE NA BALANCE EXPLAINED? General government statistics in national accounts (NA) are based on data from the public accounting system (PA). 7 To ensure that data complies with ESA principles several adjustments are made that can be classified into three categories: sector delimitation, time of recording and other adjustments. 8,9 4.1 SECTOR DELIMITATION WHAT IS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE UNIVERSE IN THE TWO PERSPECTIVES? One of the main differences between public accounting and national accounts concerns the universe of entities considered when compiling the public accounts. This discrepancy arises because in national accounts the economic context of each unit is the criterion for defining the universe, rather than the legal-institutional classification of public entities that is used under the public accounting perspective. Chart 3 Delimitation of the General Government Sector Note: The dotted lines refer to the reclassification of entities from and to the general government sector (GG). ASF stands for Autonomous Services and Funds. Quasi-corporations are GGS market entities and for this reason they are included in the non-financial or financial corporation sectors. 7 The Excessive Deficit Procedure (EDP) notification provides the transition between balances in both perspectives. In this report the starting point is the budget balance in public accounting produced by DGO including revenue and expenditure on financial assets. The inclusion of financial assets increases transparency of the accounts providing for information on all adjustments necessary to produce the national accounts balance, particularly as regards financial transactions that have been reclassified. 8 For further information on the reconciliation of the two perspectives, see http://www.dgo.pt/estatisticasfinancaspublicas/ 9 The EDP Inventory of Sources and Methods describes the sources of the data used in EDP reporting and their suitability to the ESA95 methodology. The latest update made by INE dates from April 2011. 4 From Public Accounts Balance to National Accounts Balance Portuguese Public Finance Council

The difference between the two universes stems from the market evaluation of the entities that fall within the scope of the public accounts 10 in order to identify those which carry out market activities. These entities are excluded from the general government sector in national accounts and are either included in the public non-financial corporations or financial corporations sector. 11 The same analysis applies to the corporate public sector which may lead to public corporations being included in the general government universe (see Box). Box General government universe the market test Public entities may be classified as market or non-market units. A unit is deemed non-market if its annual sales do not cover at least 50% of its production costs over a long period. Sales are defined as the revenue from the supply of goods and services at economically significant prices, that is to say at prices that influence the quantities produced and consumed. Sales exclude all payments received from general government (transfers), unless they are granted to other producers undertaking the same activity (compensation payments). As a rule production costs consist of operating costs, which include compensation of employees, intermediate consumption, consumption of fixed capital and taxes net of subsidies on production. The new conceptual framework, ESA2010 to be applied in 2014 will introduce new rules for sector delimitation. Of particular note are the inclusion of financial costs (interest) when calculating the market ratio and the introduction of qualitative criteria. For example, the production buyer criterion states that a public entity whose whole production is purchased by the general government and which is the only supplier of those goods and services is presumed to be a non-market unit, unless it competes with a private producer. These new criteria may lead to more public corporations being included in the scope of general government sector, and this will naturally affect the budget balance and the level of public debt. When analysing and defining the general government universe in national accounts there are public entities whose sector classification is not clear cut. In these exceptional cases the market test has little relevance and the additional guidelines set out in the MGDD are applied. Examples of exceptional cases are: (i) Public debt management agencies: entities that act on the State s behalf when obtaining resources in the finance market, but do not actually perform financial intermediation (IGCP, E.P.E.); (ii) Financial asset management vehicles: entities that manage assets where the general government bears the risks (Parvalorem and Parups); (iii) Pension funds: defined contribution pension fund managers where the funds are considered to be financial corporations that do not fall within the universe in the national accounts. The general government universe in public accounts has a purely legal nature. However, the 5 th amendment of the Budgetary Framework Law in 2011, provides for a greater approximation between both universes. From 2012 onwards, the universe of public accounts became contingent on the universe published by INE for the general government accounts of the year preceding the State Budget Draft. The entities that are reclassified into the general government sector in the public accounts are designated by Reclassified Public Entities. 10 The list of quasi-corporations to be removed from the ASF in the Public Accounts may vary from year to year as a result of changes in the sector classification of certain entities, the setting up of new entities and the merge or close down of others. 11 Public entities that carry out financial activities are included in the financial corporations sector, with the exception of financial asset management vehicles which are exclusively state funded (Parvalorem and Parups). Portuguese Public Finance Council From Public Accounts Balance to National Accounts Balance 5

4.2 ACCRUAL ACCOUNTING WHAT IS THE TIME OF RECORDING? The ESA requires transactions to be recorded in line with the accrual principle, that is to say at the time the economic value, the rights or liabilities are created, transformed or extinguished and not at the time the financial flows take place which is the case with cash based accounting. In public accounting, budget and accrual based information reflects different times at which the information is recorded. While the former favours the cash principle (which is essential for cash management), the financial statements drawn up according to the accrual principle emphasise rights and liabilities and record costs and revenues regardless of when they are paid or received (accrual accounting). Given the insufficient implementation of the accrual based approach of the POCP, monthly reporting in public accounts continues to be based on the budget accounting. As the information of the public accounts is the starting point for compiling national accounts, the latter relies on budget information, favouring information from accrual based accounts, whenever available. 12 Since the time of recording of a transaction in budget accounting differs from the time the economic transactions actually occurs, several accrual based adjustments are required to produce accounts in an accrual perspective. Although the recording criterion in national accounts is the moment the transaction takes place, exceptions are made in the case of revenue. In order to remove the risk of overvaluing the impact of tax and social security revenue on the general government balance, only the revenue that general government can realistically expect to collect is recorded. 13 In a number of European Union Member-States, including Portugal, the method for bringing the net revenue collected closer to the underlying economic reality is the recording of revenue on a time adjusted cash basis ( modified cash ) that takes into account the lag between the time the transaction that gave rise to the tax took place and the tax collection. This method is applied to some indirect taxes (VAT, Tax on Petroleum Products, Tax on Tobacco and Tax on Alcohol and Alcoholic Beverages), and to social security contributions. The remaining direct and indirect taxes are recorded in the national accounts on a cash basis. On the revenue and expenditure sides the following accrual based adjustments are also made: 12 The greater proximity of accrual based accounting to the national accounts as regards time of recording reduces adjustments to obtain figures in national accounts but does not eliminate the necessary conceptual adjustments specific to ESA95, when compiling them. For further information consult the recent OECD publication OCDE (Dabbicco 2013). 13 Regulation (EC) No. 2156/2000 of 7 November laid down specific rules for the time of recording of taxes and social security contributions that shift away from the accrual principle. 6 From Public Accounts Balance to National Accounts Balance Portuguese Public Finance Council

(i) Interest: in national accounts the interest received and paid is recorded as accruing continuously over time, unlike in budget accounting where it is recorded at the time of payment. (ii) Arrears: on the expenditure side budget accounting information is not used directly to prepare national accounts, since from the accrual standpoint it does not reflect commitments made at any one time but rather the payments made, regardless of the period to which they relate. This drawback is overcome by using information, when available, on the change in trade credits (liabilities) of the entities that report according to the budget accounting system. 14 (iii) Neutrality of EU grants: in national accounts subsidies financed by EU funds, channelled through general government (in the role of intermediary) to the other institutional sectors, are recorded as if they were paid directly by the EU to the final beneficiaries. Therefore the impact of these transactions is written off in the general government accounts, on both the revenue and expenditure sides. (iv) Other accounts payable/receivable (occasional): in addition to the regular adjustments there are occasional adjustments that also affect the time of recording on both the revenue and expenditure sides. Pension fund transfers and the purchase of military equipment are examples of this type of adjustments. In these cases, regardless of the financial inflow or payment having taken place in the year in which the transaction was recorded, their impact in national accounts is fully recorded in the year in which the liability or the economic ownership is transferred, respectively. Chart 4 Accrual related adjustments 14 For this purpose only the commercial debts are taken into account, that is to say, general government debt to suppliers of other non-financial sectors. Portuguese Public Finance Council From Public Accounts Balance to National Accounts Balance 7

4.3 OTHER ADJUSTMENTS ARE THERE TRANSACTIONS WITH A DIFFERENT IMPACT ON THE BALANCES COMPILED IN NATIONAL ACCOUNTS AND IN PUBLIC ACCOUNTING? The category of other adjustments covers transactions in several domains which, according to the national accounts rules and given their magnitude, deserve a special treatment, as set out in the MGDD. These adjustments relate to transactions which have a different recording in public and national accounts, in particular: a) Revenue recorded as non-financial in public accounting which is considered to be financial revenue in the national accounts, hence without an impact on the balance; and b) Expenditure recorded as financial in public accounting which is considered to be nonfinancial in the national accounts with an impact on the balance. The table below show examples of this type of transactions that arised in recent years. Table 1 Other adjustments Domain Type of transaction Classification of fiscal aggregates in national accounts Examples Capital injections b) Non-financial Expenditure Years 2007-09: Hospitais EPE Super dividends a) Financial Revenue Year 2006: REN, GALP Relations between General Government and Public corporations Operations under privatisation a) Financial Revenue Year 2012: ANA's Concession Debt assumption b) Non-financial Expenditure Year 2010-11: Debts assumed by the Madeira's government. Relations between government and the financial sector Other (of which): Recapitalization of financial institutions b) Non-financial Expenditure Year 2010: BPN Year 2012: CGD Year 2013: BANIF impairments b) Non-financial Expenditure Year 2012 : BPN Reclassification of assets b) Non-financial Expenditure Year 2010: SCUT Norte Litoral, associated with Public-Private SCUT Costa de Prata Partnerships Ano 2011: SCUT Algarve Called Guarantees b) Non-financial Expenditure Year 2010: BPP A recent example of the adjustment referred to in a) is the revenue from the public airport service concession (ANA-Aeroportos de Portugal, S.A.). The cash inflow from this transaction was classified as a non-financial revenue in the public accounts, while in the national accounts it was recorded as a financial transaction, and therefore with no impact on the deficit. As for type b) adjustments, the most recent transaction was the recapitalisation of the BANIF bank that took place in 2013, which was recorded in national accounts as a capital transfer impacting on the deficit, whereas in the public accounts it was recorded as expenditure in the financial assets account. This difference in accounting methods arises because in national accounts the time of recording of transactions always follows the substance over form principle. This means that transactions are recorded in line with the underlying economic reality and not according to their legal form. This principle calls for the scrutiny of the general government s role in such transactions, according to additional criteria set out in the MGDD, in particular: (i) the economic ownership of the underlying assets; (ii) the distribution of risks and profits associated with these transactions, and (iii) the general government s expectation as to an economic return. 8 From Public Accounts Balance to National Accounts Balance Portuguese Public Finance Council

The principles applying to the analysis of transactions between general government and public corporations also apply to transactions with private companies, whenever they receive public financial support to maintain their business. Under these circumstances support to these companies might not be treated as a financial transaction, as occurs in public accounting, but rather as expenditure that impacts on the budget balance. In recent years the other adjustments category has explained a major part of the higher deficit recorded in national accounts compared to public accounts, although its relative weight has varied. 2010 and 2011 were the years with the largest impact effect (over ⅔ and ¾ of the difference between the two balances is explained by this category, respectively). Thus from 2009-2012 this category explained over 50% of the cumulative difference between the budget balances under the two perspectives, due to the effects of the transactions identified in Table 1 and others of a similar nature. Chart 5 The effect of other adjustments in the reconciliation of balances in the two perspectives Source: INE. Note: PA stands for Public Accounts and NA stands for National Accounts. The figures for 2009 to 2012 are expressed as a percentage of GDP and the cumulative figures as GDP percentage points. The progressive approach between universes in public and national accounts, as well as the effective implementation of accrual based accounting in all general government entities, will tend to reduce the differences between the balances compiled by both systems, translating into lower universe and accrual adjustments. However, it should be stressed that there will always be differences between both perspectives, due in particular, to the other adjustments category. The source of these differences is the conceptually distinct recording of the transactions that occur between general government and other sectors, which in national accounts always reflects the underlying economic reality whereas in public accounting the legal form of the transaction tends to prevail. Portuguese Public Finance Council From Public Accounts Balance to National Accounts Balance 9

REFERENCES Caiado, A. C. P. and Pinto, A. C. (2002), Manual do Plano Oficial de Contas Públicas, Lisbon, 2 nd edition Ministry of Finance (2006), Conta Geral de Estado Dabbicco, Giovanna. (2013), The reconciliation of primary accounting data for government entities and balances according to statistical measures: The case of European Deficit Procedure Table 2. OECD Journal on Budgeting, Vol. 13/1, pp. 31-43 Eurostat (2013), Manual of Government Deficit and Debt, Luxembourg, 6 th edition Eurostat (2011), EDP Consolidated Inventory of Sources and Methods Portugal, April INE, Procedimento dos Défices Excessivos 2.ª notificação (October 2013) Jesus, M. A. and Jorge, S., (2010), Da Contas Públicas às National Accounts: Adjustments de transposição e impacto no défice, Fundação Calouste Gulbenkian, Fundação para a Ciência and a Tecnologia, Lisbon 10 From Public Accounts Balance to National Accounts Balance Portuguese Public Finance Council

LINKS OF SPECIAL INTEREST Bank of Portugal, Boletim Estatístico CFP, Relatórios DGO, Estatísticas das Finanças Públicas DGTF, Sector Empresarial do Estado Eurostat, Government finance statistics INE, National Accounts OECD, OECD Journal on Budgeting Portuguese Public Finance Council From Public Accounts Balance to National Accounts Balance 11

Portuguese Public Finance Council Praça de Alvalade, Nº 6 10.º, 1700-036 Lisboa, Portugal TEL +351 211 024 400 FAX +351 211 021 870 www.cfp.pt